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Australian vs US Dollar

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AUDUSD.P trade ideas

Could the Aussie bounce from here?The price is reacting off the support level which is an overlap support ad could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.6324 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 0.6301 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 0.6373 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
AUD/USD "The Aussie Dollar" Forex Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱‍👤 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the AUD/USD "The Aussie Dollar" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on! however I advise placing Buy Stop Orders above the breakout MA or Place Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most re cent or closest low or high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at the recent / nearest low level Using the 4H timeframe, SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 0.65100 (or) Escape Before the Target Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook: AUD/USD "The Aussie Dollar" Forex Market is currently experiencing a Bullish trend., driven by several key factors. 💨 Fundamental Analysis The AUD/USD pair is struggling due to dismal Goods Trade Balance data from Australia, a modest US Dollar uptick, February RBA rate cut bets, and US-China trade war fears. Australia's trade surplus has shrunk to a three-month low, and the latest Q4 Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures showed that headline inflation rose by 2.5% YoY, down from 2.8% in the previous quarter. 💨 Macro Economics The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has kept interest rates at record highs, while the US Federal Reserve (Fed) has trimmed the benchmark interest rate by 100 bps through 2024 and aims to slow the pace of cuts in 2025 . The Australian economy is expected to be affected by the US-China trade war, as China is its biggest export market. 💨 COT Analysis Large speculators and asset managers remain net-long the US dollar index, although the latter has a more convincing bullish view . The Australian Dollar COT Index represents the positioning of large non-commercial (speculator) net positions minus large commercial (hedger) net positions. 💨 Key Takeaways The AUD/USD pair is bearish due to weak Australian data, US Dollar strength, and trade war fears. The RBA is expected to cut interest rates in February, while the Fed is slowing the pace of rate cuts. Large speculators and asset managers remain net-long the US dollar index. 💨 Bullish Factors RBA Rate Cut Priced In: Markets have already priced in a 25 basis point rate cut by the RBA, which could limit the downside potential for AUD/USD. China's Economy Showing Signs of Recovery: China's latest economic data, including the Caixin Services PMI, has shown signs of recovery, which could boost demand for Australian exports and support the AUD. Iron Ore Prices Rising: Iron ore prices have been rising due to supply disruptions and strong demand from China, which could support the AUD. AUD/USD Oversold: The AUD/USD pair is currently oversold, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) below 30, which could lead to a technical bounce. US Dollar Overbought: The US Dollar is currently overbought, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) above 98, which could lead to a correction and support the AUD. Positive Australian Data: Australia's latest economic data, including the Q4 Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the January employment report, has been positive, which could support the AUD. Technical Support: The AUD/USD pair has technical support at 0.6200, which could limit the downside potential. 💨 Bullish Scenarios AUD/USD breaks above 0.6300: A break above 0.6300 could lead to a rally towards 0.6400. RBA surprises with no rate cut: If the RBA surprises markets with no rate cut, the AUD could rally towards 0.6500. China's economy continues to recover: If China's economy continues to show signs of recovery, the AUD could benefit from increased demand for Australian exports. 💨 Market sentiment for AUD/USD is currently bullish, with 76% of traders holding long positions ¹. This is also reflected in IG's client sentiment data, which shows that 78% of client accounts are long on this market However, it's essential to note that market sentiment can change rapidly, and it's crucial to consider other factors, such as technical analysis and fundamental data, when making trading decisions. From a technical perspective, AUD/USD is struggling to capitalize on its recent recovery move from a multi-year low, dropping toward 0.6250 due to dismal Goods Trade Balance data from Australia Fundamentally, the Australian economy is expected to be affected by the US-China trade war, as China is its biggest export market. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has kept interest rates at record highs, while the US Federal Reserve (Fed) has trimmed the benchmark interest rate by 100 bps through 2024 and aims to slow the pace of cuts in 2025 ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
Long
by Thief_Trader
7
Market Analysis: AUD/USD Holds Strong—Are More Gains Ahead?Market Analysis: AUD/USD Holds Strong—Are More Gains Ahead? AUD/USD is attempting a fresh increase from the 0.6350 support. Important Takeaways for AUD/USD Analysis Today - The Aussie Dollar found support at 0.6300 and recovered higher against the US Dollar. - There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 0.6365 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen. AUD/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair formed a base above 0.6300. The Aussie Dollar started a decent increase above the 0.6350 resistance against the US Dollar, as mentioned in the previous analysis. The pair even cleared 0.6400 before there was a minor pullback. The recent low was formed at 0.6351 and the pair is again rising. The bulls pushed the pair above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6408 swing high to the 0.6351 low. However, the pair is still below the 50-hour simple moving average. On the upside, the AUD/USD chart indicates that the pair is now facing resistance near the 0.6385 zone. It is close to the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6408 swing high to the 0.6351 low. The first major resistance might be 0.6395. An upside break above the 0.6395 resistance might send the pair further higher. The next major resistance is near the 0.6410 level. Any more gains could clear the path for a move toward the 0.6450 resistance zone. If not, the pair might correct lower. Immediate support sits near the 0.6365 level. There is also a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 0.6365. The next support could be 0.6350. If there is a downside break below the 0.6350 support, the pair could extend its decline toward the 0.6330 zone. Any more losses might signal a move toward 0.6300. Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
AUDUSD BUY SETUP🔵 BUY TRADE SETUP (Bullish Institutional Plan) ✅ Entry Zone: 0.6360-0.6340 (Refined institutional execution). ✅ Stop Loss: 0.6315 (below OB, avoiding stop hunts). ✅ Take Profit Targets: TP1: 0.6400 (First liquidity target). TP2: 0.6420 (Main buy-side liquidity zone). TP3: 0.6450 (Final liquidity sweep). ✅ Trade Type: Intra-day / Swing (depends on reaction at OB). ✅ Confidence Level: High (Strong confluence with liquidity & structure). 📌 Final Institutional Execution Decision – 🔥 Best Play for Smart Money Execution: 🚫 Do NOT buy at current highs (0.6389-0.6400). ✅ Wait for a retracement to 0.6360-0.6340 before executing a buy. 🔎 Monitor for Smart Money confirmations (liquidity grab, bullish rejection, BOS). 📢 Final Verdict: WAIT for retracement to 0.6360-0.6340, then execute a buy trade with institutional precision. 🎯🚀
Long
by jibkhan111
Bullish rise?The Aussie (AUD/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 0.6313 1st Support: 0.6144 1st Resistance: 0.6448 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
AUDUSD - Wyckoff Up-Thrust on Fib 78.6 - Speed Index readingThis is how you can use Speed Index and Plutus signal to confirm a Wyckoff Up-Thrust The methodology: 1. Location: if 61.8 Fib does not provide resistance 78.6 is stronger 2. It all started with a Fast Up wave (FU) with Speed Index 0.5F (fake move) 3. The down wave followed with an Abnormal Speed Index of 2.0S (first Push Down) which means that we could have sellers coming in. 4. On next up wave look at bottom indicator PVR where as price increases volume increases = more sellers coming at the top (SI:1.8) 5. Finally Plutus shows the entry with a WU signal (Wyckoff Up-Thrust) Enjoy
Short
by TradeTheVolumeWaves
BlkRk Says Buy USD on Dips... AUD sell with TRAILING STOP!!!The view from fund managers is still very bullish USD, and this Aussie rally gives a great opportunity to sell the Aussie dollar at a relatively high price to recent trading. This trade has a potentially fantastic risk to reward. We're looking to trail the stop, and secure 50% of the position at a 1:1 risk reward. Please note that using a trailing stop loss has been proven to be a winning strategy of itself - adding your own analysis can add further edge. Here' we're looking at a recent bearish structure break combined with trading below the 1H 21 period moving average. For more follow!
Short
by tomstewy
AUDUSD - Potential SHORT to take advantage of AUD weaknessHigher timeframe trend = down Retail traders = long Therefore bias = down NOTE : Not in yet - Entry order set below the structure that is forming currently. We are at a resistance turned support zone (marked with white rectangle) and have seen a reaction which may entice buyers to get involved - at which point we can get involved if their stops get taken out. Target is close to the low that was recently created (marked with white dotted horizontal ray). Stops where my personal backtesting has suggested they be placed to invalidate the trade. If price gets to stops before triggering in, entry order is cancelled. Please keep in mind that there is another layer of analysis that goes into this that is part of my personal plan.
Short
by Gamblers-Fallacy