AUDUSD – Bullish Trade Setup (1H Short-Term Divergence)✅ Market Snapshot:
Pair: AUDUSD
Timeframe: 1 Hour
Direction: Short-Term Bullish
Signal: Bullish Divergence – Lower lows on price, higher lows on RSI/MACD
Bias: Reversal or retracement likely from recent bearish leg
🔍 Technical Confluence:
Divergence confirms slowing bearish momentum
Price reacting from an intraday support zone or demand area
Candle Structure: Early signs of bullish pressure – e.g. doji, bullish engulfing
📈 Trade Plan – LONG Setup
Entry:
On confirmation candle after divergence
Or breakout of a micro-resistance on 1H timeframe
Stop Loss:
Below the recent swing low (beneath divergence)
Take Profit:
TP1: Previous structure high on 1H
TP2: Near 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of last bearish move
Risk-to-Reward: Aim for 1:1.5 or 1:2
⚠️ Things to Watch:
USD news events that may increase volatility
If price makes another lower low without divergence, setup may weaken
Best paired with a break of trendline or order block confirmation
AUDUSD.P trade ideas
AUD/USD - Potential TargetsDear Fellow Traders,
CPI - Inflation Data Today, be safe.
1) Potential return - "SHORT" to breakout area if trend resistance holds.
2) Strong bullish breakout yesterday, price can also just attempt a minor correction and
continue to rally - "LONG".
Feel free to ask if anything is unclear.
Thank you for taking the time to study my analysis.
Could the Aussie reverse from here?The price is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6206
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6321
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.6067
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
AUD/USD Supply Zone Rejection Trade Setup🔵 Supply Zone → (Blue highlighted area) The price is expected to reverse from here.
🔹 Entry Point → 0.60610 📍 (Marked with a blue line) The trade is planned to start here.
🟠 Stop Loss → 0.60934 ❌ (Marked with an orange line) If the price goes above this, the trade will be exited to prevent further loss.
🔻 Target Point → 0.59400 🎯 (Marked at the bottom) Expected profit zone if the trade moves as planned.
📉 Trade Plan:
✅ Short position (Sell trade) expected to drop from the supply zone.
🚀 Risk-to-reward ratio looks good as the potential profit is higher than the risk.
⚠️ Risk Factor: If price breaks above the supply zone, the setup might fail.
Aud/Usd Long Term SellAud is weak. So has also Usd been this week. But, what I'm looking for here is long term picture. Institutions are shorting Aud and buying Usd. This we can see looking at COT reports and priceaction.
Looking at monthly and weekly charts bulls have difficulties to move price higher. Simply put, sellers are holding their resistance at 0.6400 level and price is ranging in side movement. Also, Aud had a strong push up from 0.6240 level after US put tarrifs on foreign countries on April 2nd. Despite this price was pushed down again on April 4th.
Entry: 0.62400
SL: 0.65000
TP: 0.5800
For best performance: trade in small size and scale into trade. This gives you opportunity to DCA with small size while keeping risk down.
AUDUSD - Wait for 1st Sign of Failed RallyHi Traders, today i'm looking for the first signs of a AUDUSD failed rally. I'm watching on the lower timeframes to see the AUD run out of upside steam, make a break to the downside and then continue downside direction.
Technically; the last few days printed a solid bottom, but downside is likely to be retried towards the 61 cent big figure, and potentially to the 60 cent mark if bears can gather steam.
Watch this space!
AUDUSD Long – Fair Value Gap + Macro Confluence + Bullish LEI AUDUSD Swing Long Setup – Technical + Macro Confluence
✅ Bias: Long AUD/SD
Based on a multi-factor thesis:
Macro: RBA steady; AUD LEI rising steadily (87 → 96), Endogenous improving
USD Weakness: Fed dovish + GDP downgraded = downside pressure
Seasonality: USD historically weak entire April
Falling Wedge Trading Pattern: Unique Features and Trading RulesFalling Wedge Trading Pattern: Unique Features and Trading Rules
Various chart patterns give an indication of possible market direction. A falling wedge is one such formation that indicates a possible bullish reversal. This FXOpen article will help you understand whether the falling wedge pattern is bullish or bearish, what its formation signifies about the market direction, and how it can be used to spot trading opportunities.
What Is a Falling Wedge Pattern?
Also known as the descending wedge, the falling wedge technical analysis chart pattern is a bullish formation that typically occurs in the downtrend and signals a trend reversal. It forms when an asset's price drops, but the range of price movements starts to get narrower. As the formation contracts towards the end, the buyers completely absorb the selling pressure and consolidate their energy before beginning to push the market higher. A falling wedge pattern means the end of a market correction and an upside reversal.
How Can You Spot a Falling Wedge on a Price Chart?
This pattern is usually spotted in a downtrend, which would indicate a possible bullish reversal. However, it may appear in an uptrend and signal a trend continuation after a market correction. Either way, the falling wedge provides bullish signals. The descending formation generally has the following features.
- Price Action. The price trades lower, forming lower highs and lower lows.
- Trendlines. Traders draw two trendlines. One connects the lower highs, and the other connects the lower lows. Finally, they intersect towards a convergence point. Each line should connect at least two points. However, the greater the number, the higher the chance of the market reversal.
- Contraction. The contraction in the price range signals decreasing volatility in the market. As the formation matures, new lows contract as the selling pressure decreases. Thus, the lower trendline acts as support, and the price consolidating within the narrowing range creates a coiled spring effect, finally leading to a sharp move on the upside. The price breaks through the upper trendline resistance, indicating that sellers are losing control and buyers are gaining momentum, resulting in an upward move.
- Volume. The trading volume ideally decreases as the pattern forms, and the buying volume increases with the breakout above the upper trendline, reflecting a shift in momentum towards the buyers.
Falling and Rising Wedge: Differences
There are two types of wedge formation – rising (ascending) and falling (descending).
An ascending wedge occurs when the highs and lows rise, while a descending wedge pattern has lower highs and lows. In an ascending formation, the slope of the lows is steeper and converges with the upper trendline at some point, while in a descending formation, the slope of the highs is steeper and converges with the support trendline at some point.
Usually, a rising wedge indicates that sellers are taking control, resulting in a downside breakdown. Conversely, a descending wedge pattern indicates that buyers are gaining momentum after consolidation, generally resulting in an upside breakout.
The Falling Wedge: Trading Rules
Trading the falling wedge involves waiting for the price to break above the upper line, typically considered a bullish reversal. The pattern’s conformity increases when it is combined with other technical indicators.
- Entry
According to theory, the ideal entry point is after the price has broken above the wedge’s upper boundary, indicating a potential upside reversal. Furthermore, this descending wedge breakout should be accompanied by an increase in trading volume to confirm the validity of the signal.
The price may retest the resistance level before continuing its upward movement, providing another opportunity to enter a long position. However, the entry point should be based on the traders' risk management plan and trading strategy.
- Take Profit
It is essential to determine an appropriate target level. Traders typically set a profit target by measuring the height of the widest part of the formation and adding it to the breakout point. Another approach some traders use is to look for significant resistance levels above the breakout point, such as previous swing highs.
- Stop Loss
Traders typically place their stop-loss orders just below the lower boundary of the wedge. Also, the stop-loss level can be based on technical or psychological support levels, such as previous swing lows. In addition, the stop-loss level should be set according to the trader's risk tolerance and overall trading strategy.
Trading Example
In the chart above, there is a falling wedge. A trader opened a buy position on the close of the breakout candlestick. A stop loss was placed below the wedge’s lower boundary, while the take-profit target was equal to the pattern’s widest part.
Falling Wedge and Other Patterns
Here are chart patterns that can be confused with a falling wedge.
Falling Wedge vs Bullish Flag
These are two distinct chart formations used to identify potential buying opportunities in the market, but there are some differences between the two.
A descending wedge is a bullish setup, forming in a downtrend. It is characterised by two converging trendlines that slope downward, signalling decreasing selling pressure. A breakout above the upper trendline suggests a bullish move.
A bullish flag appears after a strong upward movement and forms a rectangular shape with parallel trendlines that slope slightly downward or move sideways. This formation represents a brief consolidation before the market resumes its upward trajectory.
While the falling wedge indicates a potential shift in a downtrend, the bullish flag suggests a continuation of an uptrend.
Falling Wedge vs Bearish Pennant
The falling wedge features two converging trendlines that slope downward, indicating decreasing selling pressure and often signalling a bullish reversal when the price breaks above the upper trendline.
Conversely, the bearish pennant forms after a significant downward movement and is characterised by converging trendlines that create a small symmetrical triangle. This pattern represents a consolidation phase before the market continues its downward trend upon breaking below the lower trendline.
While the falling wedge suggests a potential bullish move, the bearish pennant indicates a continuation of the bearish trend.
Falling Wedge vs Descending Triangle
The falling wedge consists of two downward-sloping converging trendlines, indicating decreasing selling pressure and often signalling a bullish reversal when the price breaks above the upper trendline. In contrast, the descending triangle features a flat lower trendline and a downward-sloping upper trendline, suggesting a buildup of selling pressure and typically signalling a bearish continuation when the price breaks below the flat lower trendline.
While the falling wedge is associated with a potential bullish move, the descending triangle generally indicates a bearish trend.
Falling Wedge: Advantages and Limitations
Like any technical pattern, the falling wedge has both limitations and advantages.
Advantages
- High Probability of a Reversal. The falling wedge is often seen as a strong, bullish signal, especially when it occurs after a downtrend. It suggests that selling pressure is subsiding, and a reversal to the upside may be imminent.
- Clear Entry and Exit Points. The pattern provides clear points for entering and exiting trades. Traders often enter when the price breaks out above the upper trendline and set stop-loss orders below a recent low within the formation.
- Versatility. The wedge can be used in various market conditions. It is effective in both continuation and reversal scenarios, though it is more commonly associated with bullish reversals.
- Widely Recognised. Since the falling wedge is a well-known formation, it is often self-fulfilling to some extent, as many traders recognise and act on it, further driving the market.
Limitations
- False Breakouts. Like many chart patterns, the falling wedge is prone to false breakouts. Prices may briefly move above the resistance line but then fall back below, trapping traders.
- Dependence on Market Context. The effectiveness of the falling wedge can vary depending on broader market conditions. In a strong downtrend, it might fail to result in a significant reversal.
- Requires Confirmation. The wedge should be confirmed with other technical indicators or analysis tools, such as volumes or moving averages, to increase the likelihood of an effective trade. Relying solely on the falling wedge can be risky.
- Limited Use in Low-Volatility Markets. In markets with low volatility, the falling wedge may not be as reliable, as price movements might not be strong enough to confirm the falling wedge's breakout.
The Bottom Line
The falling wedge is a powerful chart pattern that can offer valuable insights into potential trend reversals or continuations, depending on its context within the broader market. By understanding and effectively utilising the falling wedge in your strategy, you can enhance your ability to identify many trading opportunities. As with all trading tools, combining it with a comprehensive trading plan and proper risk management is crucial.
FAQ
Is a Falling Wedge Bullish?
Yes, the falling wedge is a bullish continuation pattern in an uptrend, and it acts as a bullish reversal formation in a bearish market.
What Does a Falling Wedge Pattern Indicate?
It indicates that the buyers are absorbing the selling pressure, which is reflected in the narrower price range and finally results in an upside breakout.
What Is the Falling Wedge Pattern Rule?
The falling wedge is a technical analysis formation that occurs when the price forms lower highs and lower lows within converging trendlines, sloping downward. Its rule is that a breakout above the upper trendline signals a potential reversal to the upside, often indicating the end of a downtrend or the continuation of a strong uptrend.
How to Trade Descending Wedge Patterns?
To trade descending wedges, traders first identify them by ensuring that the price is making lower highs and lows within converging trendlines. Then, they wait for the price to break out above the upper trendline, ideally accompanied by increased trading volume, which confirms the breakout. After the breakout, a common approach is to enter a long position, aiming to take advantage of the anticipated upward movement.
What Is the Target of the Descending Wedge Pattern?
The target for a descending wedge is typically set by measuring the maximum width of the wedge at its widest part and projecting that distance upwards from the breakout point. This projection gives a potential price target.
What Is the Entry Point for a Falling Wedge?
The entry point for a falling wedge is ideally just after the breakout above the upper trendline. Some traders prefer to wait for a retest of the broken trendline, which may act as a new support level, before entering a trade to confirm the breakout.
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AUDUSD bullish continuation still to expect
FX:AUDUSD we are have break of CHANNEL, break of long trend line, price is make revers, now its on strong sup zone and from here new bullish push expecting.
USD showing self weak still, continuation expecting, +we are not see some special moves here.
SUP zone: 0.62500
RES zone: 0.64400, 0.64900, 0.65400
AUD/USD Trend US and Asian Sessions – Bearish Trend Maintained🔔🔔🔔 AUD/USD news:
➡️ The Australian Dollar (AUD) saw a modest recovery on Tuesday following a sharp decline over the past few days. AUD/USD climbing toward the resistance level at 0.6100 after bouncing from a low near 0.5930 — a level last seen in March 2020 — posting slight gains on the day. The pair's upward movement was largely driven by a broader pullback in the U.S. Dollar (USD).
➡️ However, during the American session, AUD/USD faced renewed selling pressure and slipped back toward the 0.6000 area, limiting its recovery. This was mainly due to escalating uncertainty surrounding the U.S.-China trade conflict. Concerns over potential retaliatory measures from China are expected to keep the Australian Dollar under close watch for the time being.
Personal opinion:
➡️ Currently is a difficult time for AUD, which is a riskier currency. Strong support for AUD/USD increases in the short term but the downtrend remains intact.
➡️ Analysis based on important resistance - support and Fibonacci levels combined with trend lines to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Sell GAUD/USD 0.6070 – 0.6080
❌SL: 0.6120 | ✅TP: 0.6010
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Aussie H1 | Rising into a multi-swing-high resistanceThe Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards a multi-swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 0.6079 which is a multi-swing-high resistance that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 0.6140 which is a level that sits above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and a swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 0.5944 which is a multi-swing-low support.
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Dont lose money shorting AUDUSD, IT IS GOING UPI want you to use this trade to learn compounding. Buy any small retracement you see as long as we dont hit sL. This buy will be for a long time and AUD will be stronger than EUR and GBP
Stop selling pls, just fund your real account and buy.
Follow me as most of my trades are market order so you see and trade it on time
AUDUSD InsightHello to all our subscribers!
Please feel free to share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to boost and subscribe!
Key Points
- White House spokesperson Caroline Leavitt stated that China has not withdrawn its retaliatory tariffs. As a result, the previously announced 104% tariff on Chinese goods will take effect starting April 9. This has escalated tensions in the U.S.-China trade dispute and raised concerns globally.
- Chinese Premier Li Qiang responded by firmly rejecting President Trump’s demand to lift the retaliatory tariffs, emphasizing that China possesses sufficient policy tools to completely offset the U.S. tariffs.
- U.S. President Donald Trump revealed via Truth Social that he had a positive phone call with South Korea’s Acting President Han Duck-soo. He also mentioned that negotiations are ongoing with several other countries, suggesting that Trump’s reciprocal tariffs are being used as a bargaining tool.
- Although Australia has been subject to a relatively low 10% reciprocal tariff, the 104% tariff on China is expected to further dampen China’s economy, which may also negatively impact Australia’s economic outlook.
This Week's Key Economic Events
+ April 10: FOMC Meeting Minutes, U.S. March Consumer Price Index (CPI)
+ April 11: U.K. February GDP, Germany March CPI, U.S. March Producer Price Index (PPI)
AUDUSD Chart Analysis
As mentioned in the previous analysis, the pair showed a short-term upward movement but faced resistance and began to decline. Notably, it broke through the expected support level of 0.60000, indicating potential for further downside. The next support level is around 0.57000, and we continue to maintain a bearish outlook toward that range.