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Bitcoin halving cycles and BTC targetBitcoin is such a different asset! And one of the biggest differences are halvings. The cycle of the market is strictly correlated with halving (green lines) dates and this has been working since BTC start. In this post, I'll show last 3 halvings. Each time a halving occurs, we have 1,5 years of bull market. A very strong bull market. In 2016 we saw a 3.336% return in 1,5 years after halving. In 2020 we saw 645% return after halving in 1,5 years. And in both cases, we lived in a flat (and volatile) market for 2,5 years where everyone blamed the cryptos. Current situation Now, we did the halving in April 2024 and until 2026 we will be in the middle of a bull market for BTC. The break of the blue expanding triangle is just one mor econfirmation for the bull trend, so the price will go at least to $200k before 2025 ends. ¿Why $200k ? BTC is a very big market right now, and getting more and more money inside is more and more difficult, so seeing rallies of 3k% as we saw in 2016 is imposible, that would mean BTC has more money than the whole world! But doubling the price is still posible! Do you agree with the 200.000k$ as a reasonable target for this bull market? Where do you see the price by the end of next year when this cycle ends?
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by TopChartPatterns
1
Crypto Options Trading: A Beginner's GuideCrypto options trading is emerging as a popular way for traders to hedge risk, amplify profits, and diversify their trading strategies. As the cryptocurrency market matures, options trading is gaining traction among both traditional and crypto-native traders who seek a new way to leverage the volatility of digital assets. Here’s an in-depth look at what crypto options are, why they’re compelling, and how to navigate this evolving market. What Are Crypto Options? In simple terms, a crypto option is a financial contract that gives the trader the right—but not the obligation—to buy or sell an underlying asset (like Bitcoin or Ethereum) at a predetermined price, known as the “strike price,” within a specific time frame. Options can either be: Call Options: These give the holder the right to buy the underlying asset at the strike price. Put Options: These allow the holder to sell the underlying asset at the strike price. Crypto options can be a valuable tool to manage risk in a market characterized by high volatility. The premium paid for an option can be significantly lower than the outright purchase of the cryptocurrency, allowing traders to gain exposure with limited capital at risk. Why Trade Crypto Options? The benefits of trading crypto options go beyond just leveraging price movements. Here are some core reasons why crypto options have become attractive: Hedging: Options allow investors to hedge against adverse price movements. For example, a Bitcoin holder can buy put options to offset potential losses if Bitcoin’s price drops. Leverage: Options provide leverage, allowing traders to control a large position with relatively small capital. This magnifies potential gains, though it also increases potential losses. Profit in All Market Conditions: Options strategies can be designed for various market conditions—bullish, bearish, or even sideways. This flexibility can be a game-changer in the highly volatile crypto market. Limited Downside Risk: When buying options, the maximum loss is limited to the premium paid, making it a potentially safer way to speculate than futures or spot trading. Key Terms in Crypto Options Trading Before diving into trading strategies, it's essential to understand the core terms: Premium: The cost of purchasing the option, which the buyer pays to the seller. Strike Price: The predetermined price at which the option can be exercised. Expiration Date: The date at which the option contract expires. In-the-Money (ITM): When an option has intrinsic value. For example, a call option is ITM if the underlying asset’s price is above the strike price. Out-of-the-Money (OTM): When an option has no intrinsic value. For example, a put option is OTM if the asset’s price is above the strike price. Mention the key terms related to the option shown in the image below. Types of Crypto Options Crypto options primarily fall into two types: American Options: These can be exercised at any time before expiration. European Options: These can only be exercised at expiration. Most crypto exchanges offering options (such as CoinCall, Binance) focus on European-style options due to their simplicity and cost efficiency. Popular Crypto Options Trading Strategies Long Call: This involves buying a call option when you expect the price to rise. The upside potential is unlimited, while the maximum loss is limited to the premium paid. Long Put: Ideal for bearish outlooks, buying a put option allows you to profit from a price decline. Again, the maximum risk is limited to the premium. Covered Call: For this, you hold a long position in the asset and sell a call option. This generates income through the premium while capping potential gains if the price rises beyond the strike price. Protective Put: Similar to a stop-loss, a protective put allows you to hold a long position while buying a put option to protect against downside risk. Straddle: A strategy for high volatility, a straddle involves buying a call and a put option at the same strike price and expiration. Profits occur if the price moves significantly in either direction. Strangle: Like a straddle but with different strike prices for the call and put options. It’s a good strategy if you expect volatility but aren’t sure of the direction. Risks of Crypto Options Trading While crypto options trading provides flexibility, it comes with risks: Volatility Risk: Crypto markets are highly volatile, and while this is favorable for some options strategies, extreme fluctuations can result in significant losses. Liquidity Risk: Not all crypto options have high liquidity, especially for less popular assets. This can lead to wider spreads and difficulty in executing trades at desired prices. Complexity: Options trading requires a deep understanding of various strategies and how options prices react to market changes. Without adequate knowledge, traders can incur losses. Time Decay: Options lose value as expiration approaches (especially for OTM options). This phenomenon, known as “theta decay,” can erode potential profits if the market doesn’t move favorably soon enough. Key Metrics in Crypto Options: The “Greeks” To understand the dynamics of options pricing, traders should familiarize themselves with the “Greeks,” which measure the sensitivity of the option’s price to various factors. Delta: Measures how much the option’s price changes with a $1 change in the underlying asset’s price. Gamma: Measures the rate of change of delta over time. Theta: Represents time decay, showing how much value the option loses each day as it nears expiration. Vega: Measures the sensitivity of the option’s price to changes in volatility. Rho: Indicates how much the option’s price changes with a change in interest rates, which is often minimal in the crypto space. Crypto options trading provides a valuable addition to a trader’s toolkit, offering flexibility and an alternative way to profit from market volatility. Whether you’re looking to hedge a position, profit from volatility, or speculate with defined risk, crypto options can be highly beneficial. Yet, success in options trading doesn’t come from guesswork; it requires a solid understanding of the mechanics, diligent strategy testing, and constant risk assessment. For those who put in the time to learn and adapt, crypto options trading can open new avenues for profit in an ever-evolving market.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDEducation
by HexaTrades
BTCUSD Eyes $93K Amid Institutional Buys & Post-Election InflowsFundamental Analysis: MicroStrategy's Major Purchase: MicroStrategy’s recent acquisition of 27,200 BTC at an average price of $74,463 reinforces its bullish outlook. This buy has pushed Bitcoin's valuation and likely contributed to the recent rally, with Bitcoin now trading near $84,000. The company now holds 279,420 BTC, valued at approximately $23 billion, showcasing substantial institutional backing, which could add stability and investor confidence. Crypto Investment Inflows: Following the recent US elections, there has been a surge in crypto investment inflows, with $1.98 billion added, pointing to renewed investor interest in digital assets. The post-election sentiment and optimism about future economic policy may further boost Bitcoin's demand, sustaining its current upward momentum. Market Sentiment: With Bitcoin nearing its ATH, the market is at a crossroads. Some analysts predict a rally toward $100,000, while others warn of a potential correction due to overbought conditions. The massive inflows and institutional investments suggest optimism, but caution is advised due to the likelihood of profit-taking and market volatility. Outlook: Bullish Scenario: Stability above the $79600 resistance could propel BTC/USD toward the $92800 and $100,000, driven by strong institutional support and positive market sentiment. Bearish Scenario: Failure to break resistance could lead to a correction, with potential support around $71,400. Conclusion: The BTC/USD chart reflects a strong bullish outlook, but it is crucial to remain cautious of potential corrections, especially near key resistance levels. MicroStrategy’s large-scale investment and post-election inflows provide a supportive backdrop, making a $100,000 target plausible if Bitcoin sustains its current momentum. previous idea:
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by SroshMayi
BITCOIN Cup and Handle into Channel Up targets $350kBitcoin / BTCUSD is only at the very start of an insane rally, coming off hot from the U.S. elections. The Bear Cycle into the Bull Cycle was a Cup and Handle pattern, which has now transitioned fully into a Channel Up that is being supported by the 1week MA50. As long as it holds, the Channel Up should remain intact and as in December 2022, we are now at the very start of the Channel's new bullish wave. This should last until the end of 2025 and if the Cup and Handle goes for a full 2.0 Fibonacci extension target with two similar bullish waves of +379.50%, then the Cycle should peak at $350k! Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TheCryptagon
Bitcoin the Dominatrix: Leading the Crypto Charge💥👑 Bitcoin the Dominatrix: Leading the Crypto Charge 📈⚡️ Hello everyone! Bitcoin is asserting its dominance yet again! Following a period of geopolitical turmoil, Bitcoin has not only held steady but has begun pushing through resistance near $69,000, underscoring its strength and growing market share compared to altcoins. Dominance Highlights: Bitcoin vs. Altcoins: Bitcoin is up 1.43%, while Ethereum lags at 0.49%, and altcoins overall are down 0.9%. This trend reflects Bitcoin’s expanding “dominatrix” role in the crypto space, capturing a larger slice of the market with every price rally. Safe Haven Status: Like gold, which is also hitting new highs, Bitcoin is behaving as a safe-haven asset, especially appealing in volatile times. Investors continue to favor it for stability, and its price action is suggesting a potential next target of $79,000, with further levels to monitor. Future Price Potential: As we look toward 2024, Bitcoin’s path may lead it to all-time highs, with targets of $115,000 and even $160,000 on the horizon, as post-election market movements often fuel further growth. Bitcoin’s strength is undeniable, but resistance levels should be watched closely for those trading this wave. With each step, Bitcoin solidifies its role as the leader in crypto. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 Charts: Bitcoin Dominance 15m : Bitcoin Dominance 4h: Bitcoin: Alts Total3:
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by FX_Professor
1
Bitcoin: on a quest for new ATHThe crypto market benefited from the ongoing US Presidential campaign. Namely, as one Presidential candidate is counting on votes from the crypto community, so the market is reacting to initial pools for a potential win of this candidate. This is currently a market game, betting on a better future condition for further push of the crypto coins into the mainstream including the enlargement of the crypto ecosystem. Certainly, no one knows what the final result will be, for both the US Presidency and crypto ecosystem, but still, BTC price benefited from such expectation, which is certainly positive. BTC price reached its highest weekly level at $73.338. It is quite close to BTCs ATH from March this year. Still, during the second half of the week, BTC reverted back a bit, ending the week around the $69,3K level. The RSI moved from clear overbought territory, down to the level of 57. There is currently no clear indication that the market started its reversal toward the oversold market side. Moving averages of 50 and 200 days formed a clear golden cross two weeks ago, while MA50 continued its divergence from MA200. The week ahead will be marked by two important events. The US Presidential elections are scheduled for November 5th and FOMC rate decision, scheduled for November 7th. These two events are promising higher market volatility. In this sense, the price of BTC might turn to both sides quite easily. At this point on charts, there is probability that BTC will test the level of $68K, where the support line stands. Whether the price of BTC might revert to the fresh new ATH, could not be clearly noted at this moment from charts. It would depend on the market sentiment after November 5th and 7th. Trading precaution is highly advisable.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by XBTFX
Bitcoin 100K by Christmas '24?FA: > 'cryptocurrency fan' Trump becoming president has created a surge in speculative investments into Bitcoin and altcoins. > ETFs , especially Bitcoin ETFs are doing better than expected > New innovations in blockchain technology are pumping altcoins as well as Bitcoin TA: Judging by the last pump from the beginning of 2023 to march 2024, Bitcoin is aiming towards 100K for the next resistance and price correction. Volumes have been relatively stable, so I do not expect any drastic surprise-dumps of the same long-term nature as in the past, for 2024. But we might see a pump to 100k before Christmas 2024. Tools used: Reverse Fibonacci Retracement Projected Forecast/Forecast This is not investment advice or financial advice. These are my own subjective thoughts on Bitcoin/altcoin price actions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by GoldArti
$BTC bottom and top targets. Top = $123-127k, bottom = sub $10kThis is the chart I'm using to guide the top and bottom of the cycle. Now that we've decisively broken above the bull/bear line, the next targets on the chart are $83-$86k and then $123k-127k. Those should be significant resistances where price will reject. If we make it up to the top resistances, I think that will mark the end of the cycle. As long as we don't break below $66k after touching those resistance levels, price will remain bullish. If we break below $66k, then the $9k bottom is possible. Simple as that.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by benjihyam
Everything I do is based on my own Point of View Liquidity Zones : Marked liquidity areas both above and below the current price range. The “LIQUID HERE” labels suggest that these are zones where price is likely to be drawn due to stop-loss orders or other pending orders from retail traders. Potential Reversal Structure : In the top liquidity zone, there's a red zone where price has recently moved into and started to pull back. The yellow lines show a potential double-top pattern or a head-and-shoulders structure forming. This implies that if price fails to break above the upper liquidity area, a reversal downwards might occur, targeting lower liquidity. Targeting Lower Liquidity : If the price does reject the upper liquidity area, it could be aiming for the lower liquidity area marked at around the 74,800 level. This area may serve as a potential take-profit (TP) zone if you're considering a short position. Market Context : The recent price action shows a strong move up, followed by a pullback and a test of the resistance zone. This could either be a distribution phase before a reversal or consolidation for a possible continuation upwards. Trading Plan : If you're looking to take a trade here, setting a stop-loss just above the upper liquidity zone could help limit risk. On the downside, the lower liquidity zone could serve as a take-profit target if price starts to drop. Overall, watch for confirmation before taking a position, as price could either reverse here or continue up to break the resistance.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by LoneTraderski
Biggest single Whale $875.42 Mil is Hiding in the market.I spotted at 21:50, Nov 7 2024. The biggest whale I have seen this year with $875.42 million is currently hiding in the market, he will make a big move in 3 days to clear this order of the book. My only concern is that Thurs - Sundays are very typical dumping days for Bitcoin, however, He who has the most money will set the course of the future of Bitcoin. There aren't any retailers that can suppress or beat those order. Be mindful to follow the trend system carefully.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by SamniNoDen