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BEARUSD trade ideas

Bears showing up !? 🚨 Bitcoin Bears Tighten Their Grip: What’s Next for the King of Crypto? 🚨 CRYPTOCAP:BTC The bears are back in full force, and Bitcoin is under pressure. Recent price drops have rattled the market, leaving traders wondering: what lies ahead for the world’s leading cryptocurrency? 🔍 Key Observations: Bearish Momentum: Bitcoin's recent performance signals a growing bearish sentiment among traders. Market Dynamics: Global economic uncertainty, interest rate speculation, and ongoing regulatory debates are adding weight to BTC's shoulders. Support Levels: Bitcoin is teetering on key support zones—will it hold firm, or are deeper corrections imminent? 💡 How to Navigate This Market: 1️⃣ Stay Informed: Keep a close eye on critical price levels and market updates. 2️⃣ Risk Management: Diversify your portfolio and set stop-loss orders to safeguard your investments. 3️⃣ Long-Term Perspective: Remember, Bitcoin has endured—and bounced back from—similar downturns in the past. The crypto market thrives on resilience. Is this dip a golden buying opportunity, or will the bears take full control? 💬 Drop your predictions and strategies in the comments below!
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by AlphaBull-Trading
El Salvador's Bitcoin ReserveElSalvadorBTCReserve : El Salvador's Bitcoin Reserve El Salvador’s bold decision to embrace Bitcoin as legal tender has captured global attention, and its Bitcoin Reserve is now making waves. Here’s the latest: 📈 Bitcoin Reserve Growth El Salvador continues to strategically accumulate Bitcoin for its national reserve, reinforcing its commitment to cryptocurrency and its long-term potential. 💡 A Strategic Economic Move By holding Bitcoin, the country aims to leverage potential price appreciation, a strategy that could transform its financial system and influence global crypto adoption. 🌍 Global Ripple Effect As a trailblazer in adopting Bitcoin as legal tender, El Salvador might inspire other nations to explore similar paths. --- 🚀 What’s Next? 🔄 Continued Accumulation: Will El Salvador keep adding Bitcoin during market fluctuations? 📊 Market Impact: How could this growing reserve influence Bitcoin's global price dynamics? As El Salvador’s Bitcoin journey evolves, the world watches to see how this bold experiment shapes the future of cryptocurrency adoption.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by AlphaBull-Trading
December 19 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello It's a Bitcoinguide. If you have a "follower" You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections. If my analysis is helpful, Please would like one booster button at the bottom. This is Bitcoin's 30-minute chart. In a little while, at 10:30 and 12:00, there will be a Nasdaq indicator announcement. As I explained, Nasdaq and Bitcoin both reached the center line of the Bollinger Band daily chart, but Nasdaq is recovering the 12+ daily pattern, and Bitcoin has touched the center line of the daily chart alone, so the mid-term pattern is broken. Even if it succeeds in bouncing back from the current position, it is a problem, but today, at least in Nasdaq, there is a higher possibility of a sideways movement rather than a plunge, so we proceeded with trend following. *Red finger movement path One-way long position strategy 1. 101796.5 dollars long position entry section / When the green support line is broken or when section 2 is touched, stop loss price 2. 104828.5 dollars long position 1st target -> Good 2nd -> Great 3rd If the strategy is successful, the daily chart ends. The 1st section of the red finger is a long position re-entry attempt and stop loss price autonomous section. Today, the 15-minute Bollinger Band center line has not been touched even once, so the strategy is to play at 5+15 or even 15+30 even if it is pushed. With a strong upward condition, the success rate is approximately less than 5%. From the 1-hour chart center line touch, it can be dangerous because it is open downward, right? Also, I marked the purple finger at the top. In order to succeed in today's strategy, you must first touch 102.7K to increase the probability, and the long position switching position can change from the 1st section touch consecutively. If the adjustment comes out immediately without touching the purple finger at the current position, a long position entry position can come out once within the purple support line near the center line of the 30-minute chart, and it becomes a dangerous section from the 2nd section touch. You can see the movement within the convergence section of the orange resistance line of the 1st section and the sky blue support line of the 2nd section at the top as a sideways market. I drew a gray rising trend line in the 3rd section, and if it doesn't deviate from this section depending on the movement this week, it can continue to rise. If the 3rd section touches today, it seems like it will be a double bottom condition, but I don't recommend it. Bottom is the place where the 12+ daily pattern can be restored, but if a strong rebound does not occur, the candle may deviate from the center line of the daily chart, so additional declines may occur. Up to this point, I ask that you simply use my analysis for reference and use, and I hope that you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss prices. Thank you.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PLong
by BitCoinGuide
How low could BTC drop?Bitcoin prices have dropped sharply over the past three days, making it a tough period for crypto and altcoin holders. At one point, ETH was down 24% from its December 16 high, while Litecoin saw a full 41% drop from its peak. These sharp declines may encourage some buyers to take advantage of the massive pullback in altcoins, but watching Bitcoin's movements is crucial. When BTC finds a low, the chances of a low in altcoins will be greater. So, from which level could BTC bottom out? Since November 12, Bitcoin has been moving within a bullish channel, steadily pushing higher as latecomers joined the rally. However, it has now breached the channel, as the chart shows. And as long as Bitcoin trades below today's high of 98,253, this trendline break remains valid, suggesting the potential for further downside. So, how low could prices go? A 21% correction from the all-time high is reasonable in a typical bull trend. This would bring Bitcoin's price down to approximately 85,000. If that happens, many latecomers who bought since November 12 would likely be stopped out, potentially allowing the price to stabilize and resume its upward trajectory from that level. A stronger support level exists at the March and October highs of 74,000. Hopefully, the market won't test this level, which marked the start of the latest rally after the US election. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
THINKMARKETS:BTCUSDShort
by ThinkMarkets
105K for possible short entryMorning folks, So, BTC just perfectly completed our setup for this week, turning down precisely around 107.80K, where as butterfly as H&S pattern targets were completed and falling down to predefined 98-98.5K area... Now what? Daily trend has turned bearish, so, nominally we have no reasons for longs at least on daily chart. And should wait for the bounce to resistance levels. Now 105K seems potentially interesting for short entry, if BTC will hold bearish trend. On intraday chart current 98-98.5 Lows in fact is a last hope for the bulls. This is K-support area, trend line support. SO tactical bounce should happen here, and it is already underway. Thus, for intraday traders, this level might be interesting for scalp long position. Those who would like to sell should wait for the same upside bounce. And, some resistance area, say 105K. If BTC will keep going higher, then forget about shorts for some time. So, daily traders should wait...
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Sive-Morten
Extrapolating previous cycle price action to predict the futureUsing the Indicator: 4-Year Cycles Cycle Analysis: Cycle 1 to Cycle 2 Changes: ATH increased from $1,160 to $19,676 (16.96x increase) Gain percentage dropped from 52,287.39% to 12,804.2% Loss percentage slightly improved from 86.9% to 83.11% Cycle 2 to Cycle 3 Changes: ATH increased from $19,676 to $68,979 (3.51x increase) Gain percentage dramatically dropped from 12,804.2% to 1,976.94% Loss percentage improved from 83.11% to 75.93% Projection for Cycle 4: Based on the observed pattern of diminishing returns and the logarithmic nature of Bitcoin's growth: Projected ATH: $242,000 to $275,000 (Calculated by applying the observed ATH increase factors) Projected Gain: Approximately 800-1200% (Continuing the trend of diminishing percentage gains) Projected Loss: Around 70-75% (Following the gradual improvement in loss mitigation) Each cycle shows a pattern of: Reduced percentage gains Slightly improved loss recovery Continued exponential growth in absolute ATH price ATH Calculation: Cycle 1 to Cycle 2 growth multiplier: $1,160 → $19,676 = 16.96x Cycle 2 to Cycle 3 growth multiplier: $19,676 → $68,979 = 3.51x Observed Growth Multiplier Trend: Cycle 1 to 2: 16.96x Cycle 2 to 3: 3.51x Projection Approach: Lower Bound Calculation: Previous ATH: $68,979 Multiplier: 3.51 (conservative) Lower target: $68,979 × 3.51 = $242,000 Upper Bound Calculation: Previous ATH: $68,979 Multiplier: 4.0 (slightly more optimistic) Upper target: $68,979 × 4.0 = $275,91 Gain Percentage Calculation: Cycle 1: 52,287.39% Cycle 2: 12,804.2% Cycle 3: 1,976.94% Observed Decline Pattern: Cycle 1 to 2: ~75% reduction in gain percentage Cycle 2 to 3: ~84% reduction in gain percentage Projected Gain Range: Lower bound: 600-800% Upper bound: 1000-1200% Loss Percentage Trend: Cycle 1: 86.9% Cycle 2: 83.11% Cycle 3: 75.93% Projected Loss: 70-75% (continuing the gradual improvement) Methodology Notes: Used geometric progression with decreasing multipliers Considered logarithmic growth pattern Accounted for diminishing returns observed in previous cycles Disclaimer: Ultimately, these projections are mathematical extrapolations based on historical data and should not be considered definitive predictions. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile and unpredictable. This projection is based on historical patterns and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult financial professionals before making investment decisions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by jpkxyz
December 18 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello It's a Bitcoinguide. If you have a "follower" You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections. If my analysis is helpful, Please would like one booster button at the bottom. Above is the 30-minute Tether Dominance chart. Roughly, it should proceed as the blue finger moves, and the beat should move in the opposite direction, right? If I explain it, it may take all night, so please refer only to the drawing section and major price ranges. This is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart. The FOMC US interest rate announcement is at 4 a.m. Since the no-questions-asked decline yesterday, the mid-term pattern has also been broken, so there have been a lot of turning points. The strategy is going to be one-way, but I don't know how to explain the mid-term turning point. The secret section at the bottom is the Gap8 section, and when I draw it, it seems impossible if it doesn't fall right away from the current position. To summarize, *The blue finger movement path is a two-way neutral short->long switching strategy. 1. $106,394 short position entry section / red resistance line breakthrough or top section touching is the stop loss price 2. $104,310.5 long position switching / stop loss price when the green support line is broken After the final long position switching, I don't know how it will move. Long target price is Top and I'd like to talk again tomorrow. The purple support line drawn from the current position basically has to be maintained for the strategy to succeed, so please watch closely. Orange resistance line breakthrough -> Purple support line must be damaged or separated. ... It's hard to explain. Also, the movement within the convergence section of the orange resistance line in section 1 and the green support line in section 2 marked above and below is a sideways movement. If it falls right from the current position or falls after section 1, the section 2 at the bottom becomes the final long position entry section. (section 1 is the first short position entry section of today) section 3 is the support line of the 4-hour Bollinger Band. It's around section 4+6 where the mid-term pattern is restored. It becomes today's major support line, and the bottom section is the center line of the 12-hour Bollinger Band chart. Overall, if only the green support line is maintained, it would be best for a long position. I marked a thin gray line below the bottom, which is a mid-term trend line. Since the low point continues to rise, if this position is not broken, the uptrend can continue. Up to this point, please use my analysis as a reference and only I hope you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss prices. Thank you.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.P
by BitCoinGuide
Bullish Market structure Rules *A bullish market structure is defined as a structure that forms a series of Higher highs (HH) and Higher lows (HL) What can we expect on a Bullish market structure? *Price has to break previous HH and respect previous HL *We should be expecting BUYS on discounted prices How can i identify discounted prices? -You can use Gann box -You can use Fib Tool -Anything below 50% is considered "Discounted price" -Order block below 50% level I personally use the FIB tool 71.8%-78.8% levels. that's where i look for trend change. How do you identify valid trend change? * Reply in comment sections The illustration highlights the recent BTC market structure.
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by Ocean98
Pride Comes Before the Fall: A Trading Lesson in HumilityIn trading, as in life, pride can be your undoing. The saying “Pride comes before the fall” holds a profound lesson for traders who let overconfidence cloud their judgment. While confidence is an essential trait for success, excessive pride often leads to reckless decision-making, ignored warnings, and ultimately, significant losses. This post explores the dangers of pride in trading and how maintaining humility can safeguard your capital and enhance your decision-making process. The Dangers of Pride in Trading 1. Overconfidence in Winning Streaks Few things inflate a trader's ego like a winning streak. When every trade seems to go in your favor, it's tempting to believe you've mastered the market. However, markets are dynamic and unforgiving. - Overconfidence may lead you to take larger positions, abandon risk management strategies, or ignore market signals. - A single unexpected move can erase gains and even wipe out your account. 2. Refusal to Admit Mistakes Pride can prevent traders from accepting when a trade idea is wrong. This often results in: - Holding onto losing trades longer than necessary. - Averaging down into bad positions, magnifying losses. - Ignoring stop-loss levels because of a belief that the market will "come back." 3. Chasing "Revenge Trades" After a loss, pride might push you to recover your losses immediately by doubling down on risk. Revenge trading is driven by emotions rather than logic, often leading to bigger losses. 4. Ignoring the Bigger Picture Pride can blind traders to critical market realities. Instead of adapting to changing conditions, they stubbornly cling to outdated strategies or refuse to learn from others. How to Keep Pride in Check 1. Treat Every Trade as a Probability Game The market doesn't owe you anything, and no strategy guarantees success. Every trade involves risk, and outcomes are influenced by factors beyond your control. - Focus on executing your strategy consistently rather than trying to "win." - Acknowledge that losses are a natural part of trading. 2. Stick to a Risk Management Plan Pride can tempt you to exceed your risk limits. Combat this by: - Using fixed position sizes relative to your account balance. - Setting stop-loss levels for every trade and respecting them. 3. Practice Continuous Learning Markets evolve, and so should you. Humility keeps you open to learning new strategies, techniques, and perspectives. - Analyze your trades, both wins and losses, to identify areas for improvement. - Seek mentorship or study market history to gain broader insights. 4. Detach Emotionally from Trades Acknowledge that a single trade doesn't define you as a trader. - Avoid tying your self-worth to your trading results. - Focus on the long-term process rather than short-term outcomes. Conclusion Pride is one of the most dangerous emotions a trader can harbor. It clouds judgment, promotes reckless behavior, and blinds you to market realities. Trading is not about proving you're right—it's about staying disciplined, managing risk, and adapting to ever-changing conditions. Remember, humility is your greatest ally in the market. Stay grounded, respect the risks, and you'll be better equipped to navigate the ups and downs of trading without falling victim to the perils of pride. Pro Tip: Write this on a sticky note and place it near your trading screen: "The market is always right. My job is to listen, adapt, and act accordingly."
BINANCE:BTCUSDEducation
by Mihai_Iacob
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