BTC / NDX / SPX to get to the probable core: AI.I examine here some confluences and draw a hypothesis that AI is in a bear market and may remain in it for a bit longer.
BEARUSD trade ideas
This chart represents a Bitcoin (BTC/USD) price analysis on a 30This chart represents a Bitcoin (BTC/USD) price analysis on a 30-minute timeframe. Here’s a breakdown of the key elements:
Supply Zone (Resistance) at ~$85,599
The price has approached this supply zone, which could act as a resistance level.
The expectation is that the price may struggle to break above this level and could reverse downward.
Demand Zone (Support) at ~$81,500 - $81,755
This is labeled as the "diamond zone," which could act as a strong support area where buying interest may emerge.
The price is anticipated to decline towards this level.
Projected Price Movement
The blue arrows suggest a bearish scenario.
The price might initially react to the supply zone, then break below the trendline, confirming a downtrend.
The target for this downward move is the demand zone around $81,500.
Trendline Break
A rising trendline is drawn, which currently acts as support.
If the price breaks below it, it would confirm a bearish momentum shift.
Conclusion
This chart suggests a short-selling opportunity near the supply zone, targeting the demand zone. However, traders should watch for confirmations such as a rejection from resistance and a break below the trendline before entering a trade.
Bitcoin ($BTC) - Hoping for a Short-Term RolloverBitcoin bounced from the daily demand (76874.75-74306.67) that was highlighted in my "Bitcoin Uptrend Continuation" post from 5 days ago (see related post below). However, the rubber will now meet the road as BITSTAMP:BTCUSD could break higher or continue lower from current price. The in-play 1D sell zone, which is admittedly doesn't have great structure, is 86267.86-92920.42. Ideally, short-term CRYPTOCAP:BTC momentum, per the RSI, would be weaker than it is, but momentum is still soft per the daily oscillator. I'm not looking to short BTC blindly, but rather am stalking it via LTFs and will execute a confirmation short if evidence of the near-term uptrend (established 3/10) violation/termination materializes. If the intermediate-term downtrend continues, T2 = sub-$70K.
Anyway, just an idea. For those looking for longer-term buying opportunities, a near-term selloff should be viewed as a positive. Futures open in ~5 hours and can always be used to hedge longs if we get a breakdown.
Thanks for reading. Thoughts/feedback appreciated!
Jon
@JHartCharts
#202512 - priceactiontds - weekly update - bitcoinGood Day and I hope you are well.
comment: Bulls are still too weak to close strongly above 84k but they kept the market above 80k. Another neutral week which is good for the bears. We are getting close to the big bear trend line, where I expect market to create another strong bear leg down to 75k or lower. Plan did not change for the past 2 weeks. Above 87k we could test 90k and maybe higher, which would damage the bear case big time. Below 80k we likely do the next leg to 75k or even 70k. Clean bear flag but remember, they can also break to the upside. I just don’t think it’s likely given the current structure.
current market cycle: bear trend
key levels: 70k - 94k
bull case: Bulls need anything above 90k/91k to break above the bear trend line but giving this some room, even 94k could still not be enough for them to stop this bear trend. They are doing good at keeping the market above 80k and if they prevent the bears from testing the previous ath at 73.8k, that would be the third try and likely the last before many bears give up and bulls could test higher again.
Did not change much to last week since market has not invalidated anything of it.
Invalidation is below 70k.
bear case: Bears need to close the bull gap down to 73800, no ifs or buts. If they do not create better selling pressure next week and close a daily bar below 80k, market has likely turned more neutral again and both sides have equal odds of the next impulse.
Invalidation is above 94k.
short term: Neutral. Need strong selling momentum again for me to join this.
medium-long term - Update from 2025-02-23: 75000 is still my biggest target for 2025. It’s happening. 70k/75k and then I expect a bigger bounce first. Then we will see if we can go lower or not. For now it’s very low probability that the big bull trend line from 2023-10 breaks anytime soon.
current swing trade: None
chart update: Nothing
$BTC to the MoonFor BTC, we are still sticking to our "to the moon" analysis 🚀 hehehe. We remain in a trade with the following parameters:
Entry: 81,758
Stop Loss: 79,901
Target: 109,390
This is our trade operation, but we have also increased our hold position at this entry point, aiming for the very long term. Currently, our average price is 42,350.
What reinforces our analysis?
By analyzing the daily and H4 time frames, we can observe:
✅ Bullish continuation purges
✅ SMT (Smart Money Theory) confirming the movement
✅ A shift in the state of price delivery
With that in mind, I remain bullish, and may the moon be just the first target! Let's go, BTC! 🚀
BTCUSD SELL🔻 BITCOIN SHORT SETUP 🔻
📉 BITSTAMP:BTCUSD - 1H Chart Analysis
🚀 Price retesting key resistance!
⚠️ Liquidity Grab & Rejection in Play
💰 Bearish Confirmation Expected
🔸 Entry: Below Resistance Zone
🔸 Stop Loss: Above Recent High
🔸 Target: Major Demand Zone
📊 Trade Smart, Manage Risk!
💯 Follow for more setups!
Bitcoin Breakout: Potential Rally Towards $110K!"Key Observations:
Descending Channel: The price has been moving downward within a channel, showing lower highs and lower lows.
Support Level: Marked near $79,912.83, where the price recently bounced.
Breakout Scenario: BTC appears to be breaking out of the channel, suggesting a potential bullish trend.
Target: The projected target is $110,146.67, indicating a significant upward move.
Stop Loss: Positioned below the support level to manage risk in case of a price reversal.
Trading Idea:
A long trade setup is suggested, with entry upon confirmation of the breakout.
Stop-loss below the recent low ($79,912.83) to minimize risk.
Profit target near $110,146.67, aligning with previous resistance levels.
This setup follows a classic breakout and retest strategy, expecting bullish momentum if Bitcoin sustains above the resistance zone.
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) - Bullish Breakout from Strong Falling WedgeBitcoin is currently showing signs of a potential breakout from a strong falling wedge pattern on the 4H chart, which is a classic bullish reversal signal.
🔍 Technical Highlights:
The falling wedge has been forming since late January, creating a series of lower highs and lower lows.
Price action is now consolidating near the wedge resistance, indicating an impending breakout.
A previous bullish leg saw a price rally of 25,428.16 (+30.29%), suggesting strong historical momentum.
If BTC breaks out cleanly, we could see a similar or stronger move—projecting a potential rally of 28,086.24 (+31.12%).
📈 Expected Target : ~$118,141, aligning with the measured move from the wedge breakout.
🧠 Trading Insigh t: Watch for a confirmed breakout with strong volume above the wedge resistance zone. Retests of the breakout area can offer ideal entries for continuation trades.
Let's always put our trust in BTC, mate.Bitcoin Market Analysis
BTC price hovers around 84,000 in consolidation. Bulls and bears battle at this price.
Support Level
Support is in 81,000 - 82,000. Strong buying emerges there. It stopped drops in past corrections. Dense holdings mean many cost - bases are in this range, propping up support.
Resistance Level
Resistance at 87,000. K - lines show heavy selling near it. Past break - throughs failed. Trapped or profit - taking positions sell as price nears, creating resistance.
Bullish Outlook
I'm bullish. Global recovery raises risk appetite for BTC. More institutions hold BTC, boosting price. Positive sentiment on long - term prospects, due to blockchain growth, helps. Upward - diverging moving averages show uptrend. Lower volume in consolidation, but activity stays. New positives may push price to resistance.
💎💎💎 BTC 💎💎💎
🎁 Buy@83500 - 84000
🎁 TP 86000 - 87000
The market has been extremely volatile lately. If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others. If you also want to succeed，Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
CHECK BTCUSD ANALYSIS SIGNAL UPDATE > GO AND READ THE CAPTAINBaddy dears friends 👋🏼
(BTCUSD) trading signals technical analysis satup👇🏼
I think now (BTCUSD) ready for( BUY )trade ( BTCUSD) BUY zone
( TRADE SATUP) 👇🏼
ENTRY POINT (84000) to (84100) 📊
FIRST TP (84600)📊
2ND TARGET (85200)📊
LAST TARGET (85700) 📊
STOP LOOS (83400)❌
Tachincal analysis satup
Fallow risk management
BTC/USD UPDATESIn this forecast we're analyzing 1H time frame for finding the upcoming movement and changes in BTCUSD price. My BIAS for today was Bullish and when price come to my key level area. we'll observe the reaction of price if price give any bullish confirmation then we'll execute our trade. Let's delve deeper into these levels and potential outcomes.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
This is just my analysis.
#BTCUSD 1H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
BTCUSD Bitcoin Rising Wedge Breakdown – Professional AnalysisBitcoin's price action is forming a Rising Wedge pattern on the 1-hour chart, a well-known bearish reversal formation. This pattern suggests that although the price has been making higher highs and higher lows, the upward momentum is weakening. Historically, when a rising wedge breaks to the downside, it often leads to strong downward movement, making it an ideal shorting opportunity.
This analysis will cover the pattern formation, key support and resistance levels, price action expectations, trading strategy, and risk management to ensure a well-informed trade setup.
1. Chart Pattern Breakdown: Understanding the Rising Wedge
Formation of the Rising Wedge
The price has been moving within two converging trendlines (black lines), forming a wedge shape.
The slope of both the upper and lower trendlines is positive, indicating an uptrend, but the lower trendline is steeper, suggesting weakening bullish pressure.
As Bitcoin moves higher, buying volume is declining, indicating that buyers are losing control.
The price has tested the upper resistance trendline multiple times, failing to break above it, further confirming bearish exhaustion.
The lower trendline has acted as strong support, but multiple touches suggest a possible breakdown soon.
Why This Pattern is Bearish
The rising wedge is inherently bearish because it signals that although the price is rising, the upward movement is slowing down. Eventually, the price is likely to break below the lower support trendline, triggering a sharp sell-off.
A breakdown from this wedge structure would confirm the start of a downtrend, making it an excellent opportunity for short traders.
2. Key Technical Levels to Watch
Resistance Level (~$86,000 - $86,500) - Strong Sell Zone
Bitcoin has repeatedly failed to break above this zone, indicating heavy selling pressure.
If the price unexpectedly moves above this level, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
Support Level (~$80,000 - $80,500) - Breakdown Zone
This support level has held strong multiple times.
If BTC loses this zone, it will likely trigger a massive drop due to stop-loss orders being hit and panic selling.
Stop Loss ($88,062) - Risk Management
A stop loss above $88,062 ensures protection against unexpected bullish breakouts.
This level is placed just above recent highs to minimize the risk of premature stop-outs.
Target Level ($75,718) - Profit Objective
The projected price target is based on measuring the height of the wedge and applying it to the breakout point.
This level also aligns with a major historical support zone, where buyers might step in.
3. Trading Setup & Strategy
Bearish Trading Plan - Short Setup
📌 Entry:
Enter short after Bitcoin breaks below the wedge’s lower support and confirms the breakdown by retesting support as new resistance.
Ideal entry price is around $81,500 - $82,000 after confirmation.
📌 Stop Loss:
Place above $88,062, which is beyond the wedge’s upper resistance.
This protects against unexpected bullish breakouts.
📌 Take Profit:
First target: $78,000 (psychological support).
Final target: $75,718 (technical breakdown target).
Confirmation Signals for a Strong Short Trade
✔ Candle Close Below Support – A 1-hour candle closing below the wedge confirms a breakdown.
✔ Increase in Selling Volume – Rising bearish volume supports downward momentum.
✔ Retest of Broken Support as Resistance – If the price retests the wedge’s lower trendline and fails to reclaim it, it confirms further downside.
4. Risk Management & Considerations
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: The trade offers a 3:1 risk-reward ratio, making it highly favorable.
Market Conditions: External news events, institutional activity, or macroeconomic trends (like inflation reports) could impact price action.
Bear Trap Possibility: If Bitcoin breaks below but quickly reclaims support, it could be a fakeout, so wait for confirmation before entering.
5. Alternative Scenario – When to Invalidate the Bearish Outlook?
Although the primary expectation is a bearish breakdown, we must consider alternate scenarios:
🚨 Bullish Invalidation: What if Bitcoin Rallies?
If Bitcoin breaks above the resistance zone at $86,500 - $88,000, the rising wedge breakdown would be invalidated. In that case:
✅ A breakout above $88,062 could trigger a short squeeze, pushing BTC toward $90,000+.
✅ Bulls will regain control, shifting the trend to bullish continuation instead of reversal.
🔹 In such a case, traders should exit short positions and re-evaluate market conditions before re-entering trades.
6. Conclusion – Trading Plan Summary
📊 Current Bias: Bearish 📉
🔹 Pattern: Rising Wedge (Breakdown Expected)
🔹 Entry: Short after wedge breakdown & confirmation
🔹 Stop Loss: Above $88,062
🔹 Target: $75,718
Bitcoin is forming a classic Rising Wedge, which historically leads to strong downward movement once it breaks support. If BTC follows the expected scenario, a high-probability short trade is in play, targeting a decline toward $75,718. However, traders must wait for confirmation and manage risk effectively to avoid fakeouts.
📢 Stay updated, follow price action closely, and trade responsibly! 🚀
BTC Today's strategySo far, BTC has fluctuated around 84K today, and it still fluctuates within our marked range. The strategy of selling high and buying low still works.
Today's BTC trading strategy:
btcusdt buy@83K-83.5K
tp:84.5K-85.5K
There is no large-scale selling by long-term holders in the market. Short-term holders have a significant impact on short-term movements. At present, geopolitical conflicts continue, trade frictions continue, and bitcoin and gold have historically performed well in times of economic uncertainty
Our investment strategy has achieved significant returns in the past two weeks. If you also want to double your capital, you can click on my link to get my trading strategy
BTC SELLDue to the expiration time of the correction and collision of multiple opening to the price resistance, I couldn't pass the resistance so I expect my return and open my deal up to 50 %
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of March 21, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
This week's trading session demonstrated considerable volatility in Bitcoin's price action. The cryptocurrency made multiple attempts to attain our Interim Coin Rally 88400, yet it ultimately remained at the same level as the week commenced. The current analysis suggests that Bitcoin must reach our Mean Support of 82500 before initiating an upward progression aimed at the Interim Coin Rally of 88400 through the Mean Resistance of 87000. Furthermore, a retest of the completed Outer Coin Dip 78700 is essential before the emergence of a significant rally.
BITCOIN approaching the critical 1day MA50 test.Bitcoin / BTCUSD has found the support it desperately needed on the 1week MA50 and rebounded.
Now it faces the most important Resistance of its Cycle, the 1day MA50.
Every time this broke in the last 2 years, the market started a strong rally.
Buy and target 140000, which would be just under the Pi Cycle Top.
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
BTCUSD: Staying bullish with this breakthrough analysis.Bitcoin remains marginally neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 45.889, MACD = -2304.900, ADX = 28.298) as it erased yesterday's Fed gains. Nevertheless, this doesn't make us lose sight of the bigger picture. On this 1M chart, we have selected all Decembers, as they hold critical importance for BTC Cycles. Both bottoms and tops tend to be priced around them and in between two consolidation phases take place. Don't let the short term volatility cloud your long term perspective. This Cycle hasn't topped yet. Stay bullish.
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i think this gona happen in next days with btcusdim seeing short on btc now and after a long buy ... its just my idea
BTCUSDT.WEEKLY.MAPPINGHi,
This weekend, I’ll be mapping out BTC’s path based on the weekly timeframe so we can monitor its behavior over the last two days of the week. We’ll focus on how the weekly (W) and daily (D1) candles close.
If the price action unfolds as I anticipate, the D1 and H4 timeframes will push BTC higher than its current range of 87k-88k, where it might either consolidate sideways or pull back slightly. This is also the zone where both the D1 and W candles will close.
This price level is critical. If BTC hits this target and the weekly candle closes strong, it’ll gain momentum to climb toward the higher range of 92k-97k, supported by the weekly timeframe.
Summary:
Short-term (D1 & H4): BTC will reach around 88k, hover there as we await the weekly candle close, and then resume its upward journey into the following week.
Mid-term (W): A solid weekly candle close will fuel BTC’s next leg up, targeting 92k-97k with support from the weekly trend.
Post-mid-term: After this move, BTC will likely retrace to 72k or 66k, setting up a swing short opportunity.
Per the plan, let’s see how BTC chews through these levels!
SHORT POTENTIAL Price hit majpr Resistance area with a retest resulting in selling.
Potentially i see price continuing downtrend to 83k before and reversal
BTCUSD H1 timeframe market AnalysisBTCUSD H1 timeframe. we are looking at a trend line going from top to bottom that has seen a bullish breakout indicating a trend, on the other hand, the upside liquidity has also broken out, indicating that Bitcoin is showing a bullish trend, we would consider buying.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD Entry Buy level: 85,200
TP: 88,000
TP: 90,400
TP: 92,700
SL: 82,600
Support and Resistance
Strong Support Zone : 76,630
Strong Support Zone 2 : 79,930
Strong Resistance Zone: 72,700
BTCUSD. LONG RANGE SETUP. MARKET STILL BLEEDING!Here is my expectations for Bitcoin upcoming days. Market is not safe. Investors are seeking their victims on crypto market maybe GOLD dumped hard today but still less interest. I'm going to see a berish giant candle on BTC in the next week.
Have a good weekend!
