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Bitcoin Wave Analysis – 12 February 2025 - Bitcoin reversed from the support area - Likely to rise to resistance level 100,000.00 Bitcoin cryptocurrency recently reversed up from the support area between support levels 93775.00 and 90000.00. This support area has stopped the previous corrections 4, A, C and 2, as can be seen below. This support area was further strengthened by the lower daily Bollinger Band and by the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the upward price impulse from November. Given the clear daily uptrend, Bitcoin cryptocurrency can be expected to rise to the next round resistance level 100,000.00.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by FxProGlobal
Can Bitcoin Survive the Inflation Storm?Bitcoin, the world's most prominent cryptocurrency, has experienced a turbulent period, recently dipping below the $95,000 mark.1 This price correction comes amidst growing concerns about rising inflation in the United States, as reflected in the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. The CPI, a key indicator of inflation, surpassed market expectations, reigniting fears of persistent price pressures and their potential impact on risk assets like Bitcoin.2 Inflation's Shadow Over Bitcoin The unexpectedly high CPI reading has sent ripples through financial markets, with investors becoming increasingly wary of the Federal Reserve's response to inflation. The Fed's primary tool for combating inflation is raising interest rates, a move that can make borrowing more expensive and potentially slow down economic growth. This prospect often leads investors to reduce their exposure to riskier assets, including cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin. The connection between inflation and Bitcoin is complex. While some argue that Bitcoin can serve as a hedge against inflation due to its limited supply, others believe that it is still too volatile to be considered a safe haven asset. The recent price drop suggests that market sentiment is currently leaning towards the latter view, with investors reacting to the inflation news by selling off their Bitcoin holdings. Market Dynamics and Technical Levels Bitcoin's price movements are influenced by a multitude of factors, including macroeconomic trends, regulatory developments, and market sentiment. In addition to inflation concerns, the recent price drop could also be attributed to normal market corrections, profit-taking by traders, and technical factors. Analyzing Bitcoin's price chart reveals key support and resistance levels that traders are closely monitoring. The $95,000 level appears to be a crucial support zone, and a sustained break below this level could lead to further price declines. On the upside, the $101,000 mark is a significant resistance level, and a decisive move above this level could signal a potential recovery for Bitcoin. The Fed's Dilemma and Potential Scenarios The latest CPI data presents a challenge for the Federal Reserve, which is tasked with balancing the goals of controlling inflation and maintaining economic growth. While the higher-than-expected inflation reading might suggest the need for more aggressive interest rate hikes, the Fed also needs to be mindful of the potential impact on economic activity. Despite calls for lower interest rates, the Fed is widely expected to continue its path of gradual rate increases in the coming months. The central bank has repeatedly emphasized its commitment to bringing inflation under control, and a strong labor market provides further support for its policy stance. Looking ahead, several scenarios could play out for Bitcoin. If inflation remains elevated, the Fed might need to take more aggressive action, potentially leading to further price declines for Bitcoin. On the other hand, if inflation starts to subside, the Fed could adopt a more dovish stance, which could provide some relief for Bitcoin and other risk assets. Bitcoin's Long-Term Outlook Despite the recent price volatility, the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains positive for many market participants. The cryptocurrency's underlying technology, blockchain, continues to attract interest from various industries, and the adoption of Bitcoin by institutional investors is steadily increasing.3 Furthermore, some argue that Bitcoin's decentralized nature and limited supply make it an attractive alternative to traditional currencies, especially in times of economic uncertainty. While Bitcoin's price can be volatile in the short term, its long-term potential continues to draw investors seeking exposure to the digital asset space. Navigating the Uncertainty The current market environment is characterized by uncertainty, with inflation concerns and macroeconomic factors weighing on investor sentiment. Bitcoin, like other risk assets, is susceptible to these broader market trends. However, it is essential to remember that Bitcoin is a nascent asset class, and its price volatility is to be expected. Investors considering Bitcoin should carefully assess their risk tolerance and conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. While Bitcoin's long-term potential remains intriguing, it is crucial to be aware of the inherent risks associated with investing in cryptocurrencies.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
Best Timeframes to Trade | Complete Guide 4 Traders by BrokerirChoosing the right timeframe is one of the most important factors for successful trading in Forex, cryptocurrencies, and other financial markets. In this guide, we will break down different timeframes and help you determine which one best suits your trading style. This guide applies to all tradable assets but has a particular focus on cryptocurrency and Forex trading. Weekly Timeframe (1W) | Best for Long-Term Traders ✔ Low Risk | Fundamental + Technical Analysis 📌 Ideal for long-term investors and position traders The weekly timeframe (1W) gives traders a broad overview of the market and is useful for identifying key support and resistance levels. ✅ Pros: No need for constant chart monitoring Reduces the impact of short-term market noise Helps in identifying primary trends ❌ Cons: Takes longer to realize profits Not suitable for quick trades or scalping 📌 How to use it? 🔹 Identify major price areas and trends 🔹 Determine if the market is in an uptrend or downtrend 🔹 Use lower timeframes to refine trade entries Daily Timeframe (1D) | Best for Swing Traders ✔ Medium Risk | Technical + Fundamental Analysis 📌 Ideal for traders holding positions for several days to weeks The daily timeframe (1D) is widely used by swing traders, who hold trades for multiple days or weeks. ✅ Pros: Clearer trend analysis Less need for constant chart monitoring Works well with technical indicators ❌ Cons: Can miss intraday price movements Requires holding trades overnight, exposing positions to market gaps 📌 How to use it? 🔹 Identify major trends on the weekly timeframe (1W) 🔹 Use candlestick patterns and indicators for entry signals 🔹 Look at 4H or 1H timeframes for precise entry points 4-Hour Timeframe (4H) | Best for Hybrid Traders ✔ Medium to High Risk | Primarily Technical Analysis 📌 Ideal for traders balancing between swing and intraday trading The 4-hour timeframe (4H) serves as a bridge between swing trading and day trading, allowing traders to take advantage of both short-term and medium-term trends. ✅ Pros: Provides more trade opportunities than the daily chart Reduces short-term noise compared to the 1-hour chart Works well with indicators and price action strategies ❌ Cons: Requires more frequent market monitoring More volatile compared to the daily timeframe 📌 How to use it? 🔹 Analyze overall trends on the daily and weekly charts 🔹 Identify support and resistance levels and candlestick patterns 🔹 Look for confirmation from indicators before entering trades 1-Hour Timeframe (1H) | Best for Day Trading ✔ High Risk | Quick Technical Analysis 📌 Ideal for intraday traders and scalpers Day traders and scalpers prefer the 1-hour timeframe (1H) or lower, as they provide frequent trade setups and allow traders to capitalize on short-term price movements. ✅ Pros: More trading opportunities throughout the day Allows for quick profit-taking strategies Works well with scalping and momentum strategies ❌ Cons: High market noise, increasing the risk of fake signals Requires constant market monitoring and quick decision-making 📌 How to use it? 🔹 Identify trends in the 4H and daily timeframes 🔹 Wait for confirmation signals before entering trades 🔹 Use stop-loss strategies and proper risk management Which Timeframe is Best for You? 🔹 For long-term trading: Use weekly and daily timeframes 🔹 For a balance between swing and day trading: Use 4-hour charts 🔹 For intraday or scalping: Use 1-hour charts or lower 📢 Key Takeaway: There is no "one-size-fits-all" timeframe. The best timeframe depends on your trading style, risk tolerance, and strategy. Final Thoughts Selecting the right timeframe is a crucial part of risk management and trading success. By understanding the differences between timeframes and how to use them effectively, traders can make more informed decisions and improve their trading performance.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by SasanHATAM
Bitcoin below $96K – Miners trigger a sell-offThe price of Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has dropped more than 3% in the past 24 hours, closing around $96,000 amid aggressive selling by miners. Over 2,000 BTC have been transferred to centralized exchanges since Bitcoin’s recovery to GETTEX:98K , intensifying downward pressure on the market. This price decline is driven by miners’ efforts to reduce their reserves in response to market instability. At the same time, Bitcoin mining difficulty has increased by 5.6%, signaling new challenges for the industry and adding pressure on the cryptocurrency’s value. Typically, asset transfers to centralized exchanges indicate a readiness to sell, whereas transfers to custodial wallets suggest long-term holding. Over the past two weeks, Bitcoin has repeatedly dropped below the $100K mark, influenced by uncertain U.S. trade policies and negative macroeconomic signals from the Labor Department report. A brief recovery failed to sustain bullish momentum, leading to large-scale sell-offs and further price declines, keeping altcoins under constant pressure. As a significant part of institutional Bitcoin demand, miners continue to shape market dynamics. However, over the past seven days, selling activity has slowed as investors anticipate a potential price rebound. FreshForex analysts forecast that BTCUSD retains the potential for recovery and even new all-time highs, while Standard Chartered suggests Bitcoin could reach $500K by 2028.
SAXO:BTCUSDLong
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Bitcoin Dips to $94K Amid Hotter-Than-Expected US CPI DataThe cryptocurrency market experienced a sharp selloff following the release of the latest US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, which came in hotter than expected. Bitcoin, the flagship cryptocurrency, fell by 3% to $94,000, reflecting the broader market’s reaction to rising inflation concerns. The January CPI data revealed a 3% year-over-year (YoY) increase, up from December’s 2.9%, while the monthly CPI rose to 0.5%, exceeding market expectations. This unexpected spike has reignited fears of a prolonged hawkish stance by the Federal Reserve, dampening investor sentiment across both traditional and crypto markets. Inflation Woes and Macroeconomic Pressures 1. Hotter-Than-Expected CPI Data The US Labor Department reported that the January CPI inflation rose to 3% YoY, surpassing the market consensus of 2.8%. On a monthly basis, inflation increased to 0.5%, up from December’s 0.4%. Core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, also came in higher than expected at 0.4% monthly and 3.3% YoY. These figures indicate that inflationary pressures remain persistent, complicating the Federal Reserve’s path to rate cuts. 2. Federal Reserve’s Hawkish Stance The Federal Reserve has maintained a cautious approach to monetary policy, with Chair Jerome Powell emphasizing the need for more evidence of cooling inflation before considering rate cuts. The hotter CPI data has further solidified the Fed’s position, reducing the likelihood of near-term rate cuts. This has weighed heavily on risk assets, including cryptocurrencies, as higher interest rates typically reduce liquidity and investor appetite for speculative investments. 3. Impact on Crypto Market Sentiment The crypto market has been highly sensitive to macroeconomic data, and the latest CPI release has exacerbated existing fears. The global crypto market cap fell by 3.3% to $3.1 trillion, with Bitcoin leading the decline. The US 10-year Treasury yield surged by 2.05% to 4.630%, while the US Dollar Index (DXY) rose by 0.42% to 108.290, adding further pressure on Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Technical Analysis 1. Immediate Price Reaction Bitcoin’s price dropped sharply from $96,488 to $94,000 within minutes of the CPI data release. This decline reflects the market’s immediate reaction to the negative macroeconomic news. As of writing, Bitcoin is down 1.23%, trading near the oversold region with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 38. 2. Key Support and Resistance Levels - Support: If selling pressure persists, Bitcoin could test the $80,000 support level, a critical psychological and technical threshold. - Resistance: A breakout above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level could reignite bullish momentum, potentially pushing Bitcoin back toward the $100,000 mark. 3. Chart Patterns and Indicators Bitcoin’s price action is currently hovering near key moving averages, indicating a tug-of-war between bulls and bears. The RSI at 38 suggests that Bitcoin is nearing oversold territory, which could attract buyers looking for discounted entry points. However, the overall trend remains bearish in the short term, with the falling RSI and declining price action signaling caution. 4. Market Sentiment and Volume Trading volume has spiked following the CPI release, indicating heightened market activity. The increased volume during the selloff suggests that investors are reacting strongly to the macroeconomic data, with many opting to take profits or reduce exposure to risk assets. Conclusion: The latest US CPI data has underscored the crypto market’s sensitivity to macroeconomic developments, with Bitcoin and other digital assets experiencing significant volatility. While the short-term outlook remains uncertain, the long-term potential of Bitcoin and the broader crypto market remains intact.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by DEXWireNews
BTCUSD SHORT Bitcoin!!!! Market structure Bearish on HTFs DW Entry at both Weekly and Daily AOi Weekly Rejection At AOi Previous Weekly Structure Point Daily Rejection At AOi Previous Daily Rejection At AOi Around Psychological Level 99 000 H4 EMA retest H4 Candlestick rejection Levels 7.43 Entry 105% Looking at potential retrace to 90 000 REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability : Manage Your Risk : Be Patient : Every Moment Is Unique : Rinse, Wash, Repeat! : Christ is King.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by mobbie_zw
1
BTC IDEA FOR LONG TERM DAILY AND WEEKLY TIMEFRAME Recently, BTCUSD touched a significant low of 91,031, establishing a critical target liquidity zone. I anticipate that the price will first climb to the 102,599.85 mark to activate the buy stops positioned in that area, providing an opportunity to seize profits before we potentially explore lower price levels for shorting opportunities. In terms of key price levels, the most crucial points to note are: - The buy stops are clustered at 109,358.00, representing a likely point of upward movement should the market rally. - Conversely, sell stops are situated at 89,028.64, indicating where potential selling pressure may emerge. Currently, the resistance level stands at 106,530.26, which acts as a barrier against upward movement. At this moment, there is a noted absence of resistance in the prevailing order flow, with sell stops predominantly positioned just above the recent low of 91,031.27, ready to trigger if the price declines further.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by LEGACYTECHNICAL
BTC complete Analysis ........Whats next .... bear or BullBTC/USD 4H Chart Analysis Key Observations: Descending Channel: Price is moving within a downward-sloping channel with lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL), indicating a bearish structure. Major Support & Resistance: Support: Around $89,000, marked as "major support." Resistance: Around $105,000, marked as "major resistance." BTC is currently near support, which could act as a potential bounce zone. Double Top Formation: A double top pattern was formed around $105,000, confirming strong resistance. This led to a rejection and continuation of the downtrend. Fake Breakout: A previous attempt to break above resistance failed, causing a sell-off. Potential Scenarios: Bullish Case: If BTC holds the support zone and breaks the resistance line, it could move towards the $100K+ zone. Bearish Case: If BTC fails to hold support, it could retest $89,000 as mentioned on the chart. RSI Divergence: RSI is showing a slight bullish divergence, meaning price is making lower lows while RSI is making higher lows. This could indicate a potential reversal or temporary bounce. Conclusion & Strategy: Watch the GETTEX:89K -$90K support level closely. A breakout above the resistance line may confirm a bullish reversal. If price loses support, the next downside target could be $85K-$87K. RSI divergence suggests a possible short-term bounce. 🚨 Trading Plan: Long Entry: If BTC reclaims the resistance line with volume confirmation. Short Entry: If BTC loses support and breaks below GETTEX:89K with strong selling pressure.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by limitissky77
BTC/USD - 1H Analysis & Prediction📉 BTC/USD - 1H Analysis & Prediction 🔻 Liquidity Grab & Potential Reversal Zones Price is approaching key demand zones after a recent drop. A bullish reaction is possible if confirmation signals appear. 📊 Bullish Scenario: 1️⃣ 94,674 - 93,326 – First demand zone, potential reversal area. 2️⃣ 90,268 – Stronger support, deeper liquidity grab possible before upside. 3️⃣ 98,366 – Key resistance level, potential bullish target. 💡 Trading Plan: ✅ Watch for bullish confirmations near the green zones for long entries. ✅ A break above 96,000 strengthens the bullish case. 🚀 Bulls need to reclaim 98,340 for a full reversal. #FXFOREVER #BTCUSD #CryptoTrading #SmartMoney #PriceAction #Bitcoin
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by FXFOREVER_87
BTC Macro - Medium Short Term - Trivial Analysis BTC Macro - Medium Short Term - Trivial Analysis Projected Target based on previous time frame fib extension: Trend based Fib Extension from LL begining 2024 to HH to LL - extension 2.0 Current (Point A): Local CRAB Harmonic Target previouse fib 2.0 target X A B C D -> crab pattern with fib extension pointing to target from Fib noted in point A ---- If I get anymore warnings from TradingView on False advertising - I will stop posting all together!
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by hmaroudas