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BEARUSD trade ideas

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical Analysis & Trade Setup Market Structure & Key Levels: The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 4-hour chart displays a descending channel breakout, followed by a range-bound consolidation phase. Key Support Levels: $78,000 - $77,320: A strong demand zone where buyers have previously stepped in. $80,000: Psychological support level. Key Resistance Levels: $84,340: Short-term resistance currently being tested. $85,996: Next major resistance level. $89,363: Target resistance level if a breakout occurs. $92,331: A higher timeframe resistance level. Chart Pattern & Price Action: Descending Channel (Early March) Price was in a downtrend, forming a descending channel pattern. The breakout from this channel led to a shift in momentum. Range Consolidation (Current Pattern) After the breakout, BTC entered a sideways accumulation phase (marked by the red box). Price is bouncing between $82,000 - $84,500, showing low volatility and indecision. Breakout Possibility (Bullish Bias) A break above $84,500 could confirm a bullish move towards $85,996 and beyond. The next major target is $89,363, which aligns with previous resistance. Support Retest (Bearish Risk) If BTC fails to break resistance, we might see a retest of $80,000 or even $78,000. A break below $77,320 would invalidate the bullish scenario.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by PIPsOptimizer
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COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Elliottwave-Edge
BTC WAVE 4 Elliott Wave Analysis Current Position: BTCUSD is likely completing Wave 4 of a higher-degree impulsive wave. The price at 83,455.38 is near the 38.2% retracement of Wave 3 (84,346.10) and the 1:1 Wave C projection (85,006.49). - Wave 4 (A-B-C): Wave A (100,935.08 to 87,508.38), Wave B (87,508.38 to 98,433.19), Wave C (98,433.19 to 83,455.38, nearing 1.618 extension at 76,708.79). - Next Move (Wave 5)**: If the price holds above 79,108.68 and breaks 87,508.38, Wave 5 should target 95,377–112,007. - **Bearish Risk**: A break below 79,108.68 could lead to a deeper correction toward 76,708.79 or 66,655.75. - **RSI Support**: RSI at 44.8 (near oversold) with a bullish divergence at 37 supports a potential Wave 4 low. - **Key Levels**: Support at 79,108.68; resistance at 87,508.38, 98,433.19, and 112,007.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by MAKFX21
BTCUSD-ANALYSIS Validation and invalidation criteria : if price close above 8300 with strong bullish candles the trade is validated. If price falls below 8100 invalidating the support level, the trade setup should be rejected General Trend : The Market is trending upward. From around 7900 towards 8300 indicating a short term bullish trend aligned with the border Market movement Liquidity zone : liquidity is concentrated between 8200 and 8300 due to price Volatility and recent pattern formations Price action Analysis : Bullish candlestick pattern near 8250 under key resistance indicate strong buying interest, suggesting a breakout TRADE IDEA : Consider an entry between 8200 and 8250 if bullish price action is confirmed. Set the stop loss at 8100 which is below a recent swing low. Take profit at 8400 as the first target with a potential extension to 8500. This setup leverage a possible breakout above previous highs near 8300
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Sam-Brown
Bitcoin- I'm looking to re-eter shortIn my BTC analysis last week, I outlined the reasons behind my decision to enter short exit and detailed my expectations for a corrective move. As projected, BTC broke below the $80,000 level. Although my initial downside target at $75,000 has not been fully met, I opted to manually close my short position to secure profits. Currently, I am monitoring price action for a potential re-entry on the short side. From a structural standpoint, after establishing a local low around the $76,500 area, BTC has initiated a corrective bounce. However, this recovery appears weak and corrective in nature — likely unfolding as a bear flag formation, albeit not perfectly defined. My primary short re-entry zone is identified between $85,500 and $87,000, where I expect supply to emerge. As long as price remains capped below that zone, my bearish bias remains intact. I continue to anticipate a move to $75,000, with a potential extension toward the $72,000 technical support zone. This bearish scenario would be invalidated in the event of sustained buying and consolidation above the $90,000 resistance level.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
2
How To Properly Read Open Interest (OI) Identify Trends $VARAIn crypto, especially when trading shit coins, measure OI on BTC, ETH, and any other asset that has futures up against whatever you are trading. Most importantly identify positive or negative correlation between the asset pair and TRADE accordingly. i.e. if you are measuring OI for USDX or DXY know that it will have negative correlation toward your risk asset whatever it is. Open Interest and Volume ARE NOT THE SAME THING! Volume is the measure of contracts settled in a trading session (hourly, daily, monthly, etc.) Open interest (or OI for short) is the total number of contracts still outstanding. OI and order wall size are correlated. OI is charted. Increasing OI means an increase in liquidity i.e. open contracts. Decreasing OI means that there is a decrease in liquidity i.e. liquidity is leaving the market either cash or asset. Open Interest can help you identify trend shifts. Use it along with order flow the compliment each other. OI Rising - Market trends up - Volume increasing - Trend will continue OI Falling - Market trends up - Volume decreasing - Trend will turn bullish OI Rising - Market trends down - Volume rising - Strong bearish continuation OI Falling - Market trends down - Volume falling - Bearish bias is lessening Notice in the above simplified examples that volume MUST be paired with OI to be useful. One might mistake that volume on it's own can be used to judge trends. Open interest will increase as more traders enter the market which means often that money is coming into the market. OI will decrease as traders exit the market or as contracts are closed. This means that money is leaving the market i.e. less buyers
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by fritbjorn
THERE IS NO GOOD OR BAD NEWS IN THE MARKET, ONLY NEWS TIMING MATTHERE IS NO GOOD OR BAD NEWS IN THE MARKET, ONLY NEWS TIMING MATTERS! Many investors often wonder: "Why does the market keep falling despite good news everywhere?" or conversely: "Why doesn't the market drop further despite overwhelming negative news?" Today, I want to offer you a different perspective: The market doesn't have inherently good or bad news; it's all about when the news is released along the price journey. 1. News is Merely a Tool Used by Market Makers News itself is neither inherently good nor bad. The essence of the market lies in two primary movements: UP Trend: Rising wave (beginning, middle, and peak) DOWN Trend: Falling wave (beginning, middle, and bottom) The timing of news releases defines its role and impact: ✅ During a DOWN trend: Market makers release positive news to sustain investor confidence, making investors believe that "prices are low enough to buy." As a result, investors keep averaging down (DCA), thinking they're buying at or near the bottom. In reality, prices continue to fall further. ✅ During an UP trend: Negative news is subtly released to calm overly enthusiastic investors, allowing market makers to accumulate positions quietly. Once they've gathered enough, extremely positive news floods the market, enticing retail investors to buy at the peak, allowing market makers to sell at optimal prices. Thus, the critical aspect isn't the content of the news itself but the timing within the price cycle. 📌 CURRENT EXAMPLE: BITCOIN (BTC) The market is currently in a DOWN trend. Positive news like "BTC will reach 100K or even 300K soon" continuously emerges, reinforcing investors' belief that they've hit the bottom, prompting them to buy aggressively. Prices temporarily bounce, confirming investors' beliefs. However, soon after, prices continue to drop sharply, devastating investor psychology with heavy losses. Traders with leveraged positions face liquidations and account blowups. Investors fail to realize that the market has long transitioned into a DOWN trend, and positive news merely helps market makers keep retail investors engaged, allowing them to buy assets cheaply. 🔥 HOW TO AVOID FALLING INTO THE NEWS TRAP? Clearly identify where the market stands: UP trend (early, mid, peak stage) DOWN trend (peak, mid, or final stage) Avoid blindly averaging down (DCA) based solely on news. DCA works effectively only when the market clearly confirms a bottom and reversal. Don't let news anchor your decisions. News is merely a tool, not the decisive factor for buying or selling. Focus instead on technical analysis and smart money flow. Remember, market makers always have the upper hand: They use news strategically to influence market psychology. While you can't control that, you can position yourself correctly by understanding the role and timing of news. 🔥 CONCLUSION: The market doesn't have inherently good or bad news—only the timing of news matters along the price path. 👉 Stay rational and clear-headed about all market news! 🚀
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by rainbow_sniper