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BEARUSD trade ideas

BTC/USD H1 Analysis 📊 BTC/USD Analysis: The price is breaking out of a falling wedge pattern, indicating a potential bullish move! Key resistance to watch is 98,366, with further upside targets at 101,799. A retest of the Fib levels (0.618 at 97,314) could provide a solid entry for buyers. 🔍 Support Zones: ✔️ 94,674 - 93,326 (Strong demand area) ✔️ 90,268 (Deeper liquidity zone) 🚀 If BTC sustains momentum above 98,366, we could see a push toward 101K+! However, failure to hold support may trigger another dip toward key demand zones. #FXFOREVER #Bitcoin #BTCUSD #CryptoTrading #SmartMoney #TradingView
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by FXFOREVER_87
Bitcoin 2025: Updated Map, A New Market ViewGood evening my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, what a wonderful day. I hope you are feeling good and you should, Bitcoin is going up. Bitcoin is growing. Bitcoin looks good. Bitcoin is getting better everyday, doing better and is about to explode. When Bitcoin grows, everything Crypto grows. When everything Crypto grows, the world is happy. When the world is happy innovation takes place. Innovation further improves the comforts in our lives. It makes for a better life experience. Life is all about experience so having a better experience is all we want. And that's exactly what we should get. In this case, we can support Bitcoin with its growth and this growth will translate in a better life for all those involved and those that are soon to join the trend. The present is already digital. The future of money is Bitcoin. Crypto is here to stay. Namaste. ____ When we look at the chart and track the market, we tend to develop a map. This map is not a fixed reality but tends to be updated as new data comes in. Think of a jigsaw with all the pieces of the puzzle scattered all around. With each action and reaction that happens within the market, the pieces of the puzzle start to fit in their place. With every single interaction across all areas of life, the map can continue to be updated. When we look at one chart and consider one chart only, we tend to develop a picture, the map. But, when we consider more charts, many charts, as well as other factors, a bigger picture starts to develop and this picture has more strength than the previous one because it contains more information. The jigsaw pieces are now all organized and they only need to pushed to their rightful place. —The bull-market can last until late 2025. In 2021, the "orthodox end" of the bull-market happened in April. In November we get the famous double top followed by the start of a long-term correction, bear-market or wave 4 in Elliott terms. This time we are not likely to witness a long-term double-top but rather a blow-off top. Refer back to December 2017 to get an idea as to how a blow-off top looks like. Let's say the action starts March 2025. Late February to be exact. Instead of a jump from 100,000 to 150,000 in a matter of weeks or days, it can take months with prices growing and momentum slowly building up. Growing but slow and steady growth. May tends to be a time for corrections but a correction can be something quick and short. A correction within a bull-market can last 4 weeks or 8 weeks. A very long correction can last 12 weeks but not more. After the first half of the year, growing and growing strong, we get one stop and after this stop we get the bull-run phase. The bull-run phase starts as any other bullish wave, but the climax is a massive event where everything aims to hit its highest level before the cycle ends. Instead of seeing new All-Time Highs for the Altcoins before the end of Q2, we are likely aiming for late Q3 or somewhere in Q4. Now, some pairs already hit new All-Time Highs. Bitcoin is really strong. But there are thousands and thousands of projects, many of those are trading at bottom prices and this is the majority. This majority is what I am talking about. It can take 3 months (March, April & May) for them to recover and enter the bullish zone, 3-5 levels up, and the latter part of 2025 for the bull-run. Too hard? Let's recap. —Bitcoin is going up. Namaste.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by MasterAnanda
Sector Rotation Analysis: A Practical Tutorial Using TradingViewSector Rotation Analysis: A Practical Tutorial Using TradingView Overview Sector rotation is an investment strategy that involves reallocating capital among different sectors of the economy to align with their performance during various phases of the economic cycle. While academic studies have shown that sector rotation does not consistently outperform the market after accounting for transaction costs, it remains a popular framework for portfolio management. This tutorial provides a step-by-step guide to analyzing sector rotation and identifying leading and lagging sectors using TradingView . Understanding Sector Rotation and Economic Cycles The economy moves through distinct phases, and each phase tends to favor specific sectors: 1. Expansion : Rapid economic growth with rising consumer confidence. - Leading Sectors: Technology AMEX:XLK , Consumer Discretionary AMEX:XLY , Industrials AMEX:XLI 2. Peak : Growth slows, and inflation may rise. - Leading Sectors: Energy AMEX:XLE , Materials AMEX:XLB 3. Contraction : Economic activity declines, and unemployment rises. - Leading Sectors: Utilities AMEX:XLU , Healthcare AMEX:XLV , Consumer Staples AMEX:XLP 4. Trough : The economy begins recovering from a recession. - Leading Sectors: Financials AMEX:XLF , Real Estate AMEX:XLRE Step 1: Use TradingView to Monitor Economic Indicators Economic indicators provide context for sector performance: GDP Growth : Signals expansion or contraction. Interest Rates : Rising rates favor Financials; falling rates benefit Real Estate. Inflation : High inflation supports Energy and Materials. Step 2: Analyze Sector Performance Using Relative Strength Relative Strength RS compares a sector's performance against a benchmark index like the SP:SPX This helps identify whether a sector is leading or lagging. How to Calculate RS in TradingView Open a chart for a sector TSXV:ETF , such as AMEX:XLK Technology. Add SP:SPX as a comparison symbol by clicking the Compare ➕ button. Analyze the RS line: - If RS trends upward, the sector is outperforming. - If RS trends downward, the sector is underperforming. Using Indicators e.g.: You may add the Sector Relative Strength indicator from TradingView’s public library. This tool ranks multiple sectors by their relative strength against SP:SPX Additionally, you can use the RS Rating indicator by @Fred6724, which calculates the Relative Strength Rating (1 to 99) of a stock or sector based on its 12-month performance compared to others in a selected index. Example In early 2021, during economic recovery, AMEX:XLK 's RS rose above SP:SPX , signaling Technology was leading. Step 3: Validate Sector Trends with Technical Indicators Technical indicators can confirm sector momentum and provide entry/exit signals: Moving Averages Use 50-day and 200-day Simple Moving Averages SMA. If a sector TSXV:ETF trades above both SMAs, it indicates bullish momentum. Relative Strength Index RSI RSI > 70 suggests overbought conditions; <30 indicates oversold conditions. MACD Moving Average Convergence Divergence Look for bullish crossovers where the MACD line crosses above the signal line. Example During the inflation surge in 2022, AMEX:XLE Energy traded above its 200-day SMA while RSI hovered near 70, confirming strong momentum in the Energy sector. Step 4: Compare Multiple Sectors Simultaneously TradingView allows you to overlay multiple ETFs on one chart for direct comparison: Open AMEX:SPY as your benchmark chart. Add ETFs like AMEX:XLK , AMEX:XLY , AMEX:XLU , etc., using the Compare tool. Observe which sectors are trending higher or lower relative to AMEX:SPY Example If AMEX:XLK and AMEX:XLY show upward trends while AMEX:XLU remains flat, this indicates cyclical sectors like Technology and Consumer Discretionary are outperforming during an expansion phase. Step 5: Implement Sector Rotation in Your Portfolio Once you’ve identified leading sectors: Allocate more capital to sectors with strong RS and bullish technical indicators. Reduce exposure to lagging sectors with weak RS or bearish momentum signals. Example During post-pandemic recovery in early 2021: Leading Sectors: Technology AMEX:XLK and Industrials AMEX:XLI Lagging Sectors: Utilities AMEX:XLU Investors who rotated into AMEX:XLK and AMEX:XLI outperformed those who remained in defensive sectors like AMEX:XLU Real-Life Case Studies of Sector Rotation Case Study 1: Post-Pandemic Recovery In early 2021, as economies reopened after COVID-19 lockdowns: Cyclical sectors like Industrials AMEX:XLI and Financials AMEX:XLF outperformed due to increased economic activity. Defensive sectors like Utilities AMEX:XLU lagged as investors shifted away from safe havens. Using TradingView’s heatmap feature , investors could have identified strong gains in AMEX:XLI and AMEX:XLF relative to AMEX:SPY Case Study 2: Inflation Surge in Late 2022 As inflation surged in late 2022: Energy AMEX:XLE and Materials AMEX:XLB outperformed due to rising commodity prices. Technology AMEX:XLK underperformed as higher interest rates hurt growth stocks. By monitoring RS lines for AMEX:XLE and AMEX:XLB on TradingView charts, investors could have rotated into these sectors ahead of broader market gains. Limitations of Sector Rotation Strategies Transaction Costs : Frequent rebalancing can erode returns over time. Market Timing Challenges : Predicting economic cycles accurately is difficult and prone to errors. False Signal s: Technical indicators like MACD or RSI can produce false positives during volatile markets. Historical Bias : Backtested strategies often fail when applied to future market conditions. Conclusion Sector rotation is a useful framework for aligning investments with macroeconomic trends but should be approached with caution due to its inherent limitations. By leveraging TradingView ’s tools, such as relative strength analysis, heatmaps, and technical indicators, investors can systematically analyze sector performance and make informed decisions about portfolio allocation. While academic research shows that sector rotation strategies do not consistently outperform simpler approaches like market timing or buy-and-hold strategies, they remain valuable for diversification and risk management when used judiciously.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by TradeVizion
9
Bitcoin Yet To Recover Amidst February DipBitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) has yet to fully recover from its early February drop. The leading cryptocurrency remains colloquial, trading between $92,000 support and $102,200 resistance. This price variations posits a key contrast between digital and physical gold—while an ounce of gold trades at a relatively modest $3,000, Bitcoin fluctuates within a $10,000 price disparity. BTC’s future direction remains uncertain. If buyers gain strength and push the price above $100,000, Bitcoin could test new highs in the $102,200–$105,500 range, potentially extending its upward trend. However, a deeper correction could trigger a retest of the $93,000 support level, which would likely lead to a new local low within the $89,200–$92,000 range. Presently Up 1.02% with a moderate RSI of 44.90 a moderation largely attributed to Michael Saylor's 7,633 purchase of Bitcoin worth $742 million today. While the fear and greed index still remains at 35 this hints at a potential pull back might be inevitable.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by DEXWireNews
Crypto market crash begins in 14 weeks / May 2025For the past decade, since 2012, a specific pattern has emerged that has consistently proven to be a reliable predictor of when the next market top will occur. The first 2-day life cross (red circles) that prints after the previous market top has been an accurate predictor of the time until the next market top since 2012. At most that time is 745 days away and could be as little as 550 days away. The market top is in not more than 14 weeks from now, mid May 2025. And potentially as early as March 10th at 681 days as with the 2021 bull run. Is this time different? Ww
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by without_worries
32
BTCUSD: Falling Wedge close to breaking to $105.5kBitcoin is marginally bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 44.917, MACD = -782.200, ADX = 41.331) but neutral on both 1H and 4H, as it is close to conclude a Falling Wedge. Today the price held the 1H MA50 for the first time after a test of the pattern's top, which increases the chances of a bullish break out. Buy only if the break out happens and target the 2.0 Fibonacci extension (TP = 105,500), which happens to be just under the R1 level. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by InvestingScope
"The Financial Convergence Star Points to $114K" Now, take a look at the star-like pattern formed by the intersecting lines (trend lines, resistance, and support levels). This is more than just a random drawing—it’s actually quite unique and meaningful. Convergence of Trend Lines: The star shape is formed where multiple trend lines intersect. This convergence represents a critical area where the market could make a decisive move—either a breakout (upward) or a breakdown (downward). It’s like all the forces in the market are coming together at this point, creating pressure. Think of it like a spring being compressed—it’s ready to explode in one direction. Central Point of Action: The center of the star (near the Bear Zone boundary) is a high-tension area. When price approaches this point, it’s likely to react strongly—either bouncing away or breaking through. This makes it a key spot to watch for reversals or trend shifts. Balance Between Zones: The star sits between the Bull Zone (green) and the Bear Zone (red), symbolizing the battle between buyers and sellers. This makes it a pivot point, where the market can decide its next major trend. These zones help visualize sentiment changes in the market based on price movement. The Bull Zone indicates a potential area of upward price movement, where buyers dominate. The Bear Zone, on the other hand, reflects selling pressure and downward momentum. Breakout Peak: Above the Bull Zone, we see the Breakout Peak labeled at 110,044.37, which represents the highest point reached after a breakout. This suggests strong bullish momentum led to that point, and it could act as a potential resistance level if the price revisits it. Support and Resistance: Resistance (red dashed lines): These are key levels where upward price movement has historically been capped or slowed down. Support (green dashed lines): These levels show where price has found stability in the past, with buyers stepping in to prevent further declines. These levels are critical for identifying breakout or breakdown zones and planning entries or exits. Trend Lines and Patterns: Several trend lines are drawn on the chart, representing both short-term and long-term trends. The converging lines near the Bear Zone resemble a triangle or wedge pattern, which often precedes significant breakouts or breakdowns. The lines connect support, resistance, and price trends into one focal area, visually guiding us to key decisions. Price Levels: Key price levels are marked, such as 102,599.85, 107,284.53, and 91,711.17. For example, 102,599.85 and 107,284.53 are interim resistance levels within the Bull Zone, where price action may slow or reverse. 91,711.17 and 80,080.43, on the other hand, are below the Bear Zone, acting as potential downside targets if bearish momentum strengthens. Wizard Illustration: The wizard on the chart represents the "magic" or unpredictability of the market. It reminds us that while price action may seem random, tools like trend lines, zones, and support/resistance levels help us make sense of the chaos and plan accordingly. Market Sentiment and Multi-Timeframe Analysis: The chart divides sentiment into Bull and Bear Zones, balancing the analysis between breakout potential and retracement risks. Judging by the clarity of the levels and zones, this is likely a higher timeframe view (e.g., weekly or biweekly), making it ideal for analyzing macro trends or planning swing trades. Summary: This chart serves as a roadmap for trading decisions: Focus on the Breakout Peak as a critical resistance level. Monitor how the price behaves near the Bull Zone and Bear Zone boundaries to anticipate market sentiment shifts. Use the star pattern as a focal point for high-tension moves and breakout/breakdown signals. Pay attention to the drawn support and resistance levels and their impact on future price movement. In short, the chart ties everything together—zones, levels, patterns, and sentiment—to provide a detailed strategy for navigating the market while at the same time, institutions are the money movers who control the price movement.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by The_ForexX_Mindset
94
MTF Short Idea for BTCBefore we see a final wave up to new ATH's, I think we see one more push down closer to the lows of the recent liquidation candle. Price has been moving within this predictive channel and while I don't think it's high probability we hit then bottom of it, I think using it is a nice way to contain price action for now and use it to establish a reasonable target for profits around the middle of the channel. Since the most recent local lows around 95.6k, price has been following this upwards arcing price action. From my experience these tend to end in impulsive moves upwards, leaving behind limited structure to fall back on safely. I would like to see price impulse up, sweep the local highs around 99.1k, break the arcing support it has been creating and retrace back into the descending channel. I would also like to see high delta and trapped buying above those highs at 99.1k for additional confluence. It's very important for me to see price retrace back into the descending channel before entering. If we sweep the highs but don't retrace back into the descending channel then it may be flipped as support and at that point I would reconsider my stance on needing a bigger retrace towards the lows of the liquidation candle before beginning a new wave to ATHs. Enjoy!
BINANCE:BTCUSD.PShort
by Back2Baseline
2