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BEARUSD trade ideas

Why did BTC experience such minimal movement todayBTC has been floating at 84000 today, yesterday it touched resistance at 87000, today's resistance is still valid, with the Fed's information, gold's rally has been full down, and more people will pay attention to BTC next 💎💎💎 BTC 💎💎💎 🎁 Buy@83500 - 84000 🎁 TP 86000 - 87000 The market has been extremely volatile lately. If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others. If you also want to succeed，Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by BenGray9
3
BTC - Is history repeating itself with the M2 money supply?The expansion of the M2 money supply generally leads to increased liquidity in the market. As more money circulates, it must find a home, and some of it inevitably flows into speculative assets like Bitcoin. In previous cycles, when the money supply increased, Bitcoin tended to benefit from the added liquidity, which often drove up its price—especially during periods of strong demand. In short, a larger M2 supply means more money is available for assets like Bitcoin, potentially pushing its price higher. The Global M2 Money Supply and Bitcoin: A Closer Look Lately, I’ve come across comparisons of the global money supply and Bitcoin's price movements, often accompanied by charts showing a clear correlation. The conclusion drawn is that when global M2 supply rises, Bitcoin’s price follows after a brief lag. But is this conclusion accurate? Let’s take a deeper dive into the matter. Global M2 Supply and Bitcoin in the Current Cycle In this cycle, the global M2 supply is steadily increasing to new highs. After each dip, Bitcoin has mirrored this with a corresponding drop. Currently, Bitcoin seems to lag behind the global M2 supply by approximately 80 days. The question is: is Bitcoin ready to follow the M2 supply increase and reach new highs? If you look at the current cycle, the answer would be yes, indeed. However, when examining past cycles, this conclusion becomes more uncertain. Let’s explore why. Global M2 Supply and Bitcoin in Previous Cycles (2017/2018 and 2020/2021) In 2018, the global M2 supply continued to rise even after Bitcoin reached its peak. This could be a warning sign for this cycle. While many are forecasting higher Bitcoin prices due to the rise in the global M2 supply, it’s important to note that this doesn’t always translate into higher asset prices. In the 2021 cycle, the global M2 money supply continued to rise until early 2022. However, Bitcoin had already reached its cycle top and was entering the early stages of a bear market. This highlights a key point: the increase in M2 supply doesn’t always guarantee further price increases in Bitcoin. Conclusion While the global M2 supply is rising this cycle, and Bitcoin has mirrored that growth, there are reasons to be cautious. The global M2 supply has reached new highs, but we must be careful not to assume that this will automatically lead to new highs for Bitcoin. In the past two cycles, the bear market had already begun while the M2 supply continued to rise. Therefore, it's important not to get stuck on the idea that Bitcoin’s price must rise simply because the global M2 supply is increasing. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment! Lets chat in the comment section. See you there :)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Youriverse
17
Crypto Analysis: BTC/USD – 30-Min Chart!📊 🚀 Setup Type: Bullish Breakout – Triangle Pattern + Price Compression ✅ Trade Plan: Long Position 🔔 Entry & Exit Plan ✅ Entry Zone: Above $84,167.85 (Breakout Confirmation) 🛡️ Stop-Loss (SL): Below $83,229.60 (Support & Triangle Base) 🎯 Take Profit Targets: 📌 TP1: $84,958.18 – Key Resistance Zone 📌 TP2: $86,529.62 – Breakout Projection + Major Resistance 📊 Risk-Reward Breakdown 🔻 Risk: $84,167.85 – $83,229.60 = $938.25 📈 Reward to TP1: $84,958.18 – $84,167.85 = $790.33 → 1:0.8 📈 Reward to TP2: $86,529.62 – $84,167.85 = $2,361.77 → 1:2.5 ✅ Solid breakout play with clean structure & high potential to TP2! 🔍 Technical Breakdown 📌 Symmetrical Triangle: Price compressed between higher lows and lower highs 📌 Breakout Candle: Attempt to push above resistance trendline 📌 Key Support Holding: Strong base formed around $83,200–$83,300 📌 Momentum Bias: Bullish if price holds above breakout level with volume 🛠️ Execution Strategy ✔ Wait for Candle Close Above $84,200+ for confirmation ✔ Move SL to Break-even once TP1 is hit ✔ Partial Profit Booking Strategy:  ▫️ Book 50% at TP1  ▫️ Let the rest ride toward TP2 ✔ Monitor Bitcoin dominance & U.S. market correlation during trade ⚠️ Risk Considerations ❌ False Breakouts: If breakout lacks volume, price may return to range ❌ News Volatility: Be cautious of macroeconomic events or crypto-specific news 🚀 Final Thoughts from ProfittoPath ✔ Bullish structure with a tight breakout zone ✔ Strong R/R setup with clean invalidation ✔ Trade the breakout—don’t chase, wait for confirmation 💡 Discipline + Risk Management = Consistent Profits 🔗 #Bitcoin #BTCUSD #CryptoTrading #ProfittoPath #BreakoutSetup #TradingView
MARKETSCOM:BITCOINLong
by ProfittoPath
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of March 21, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: This week's trading session demonstrated considerable volatility in Bitcoin's price action. The cryptocurrency made multiple attempts to attain our Interim Coin Rally 88400, yet it ultimately remained at the same level as the week commenced. The current analysis suggests that Bitcoin must reach our Mean Support of 82500 before initiating an upward progression aimed at the Interim Coin Rally of 88400 through the Mean Resistance of 87000. Furthermore, a retest of the completed Outer Coin Dip 78700 is essential before the emergence of a significant rally.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradeSelecter
BITCOIN → Flag (consolidation) before falling to 78-73KBINANCE:BTCUSD is consolidating after a short-squeeze relative to 85-87K. A bearish set-up is being formed, the break of which may strengthen further decline to the key target of 73K A symmetrical triangle is forming within the downtrend on D1, a breakdown of this structure may strengthen the decline. Locally, within the channel a flag - bearish figure is formed (on the local TF false uptrend, the crowd enters to buy from the support or at the break of local resistance, at accumulation of the necessary potential the big player removes the limit order and releases the price, which is dispersed by liquidation of traders), regarding 85K-86.6K the liquidity capture is formed and the price returns to the selling zone. Consolidation below 85K may trigger a breakdown of the figure support and further fall to 80K-78K Fundamentally: the market sells off any positive news very quickly (negative background is created): crypto summits, (Trump said nothing new at the second summit) positive resolutions of problems (for example between SEC and XRP, or removal of restrictions from local exchanges) crypto reserve The only nuance, bitcoin's dominance index is still high despite the price drop... Resistance levels: 85150, 866700, 89400 Support levels: 82K, 80K, 78200 There are no positive signs for growth. The zone where we can consider a trend reversal ( if something supernatural happens ) is 89-91K, but it is very far away. But now I would consider a breakdown of the flag, or 83.5 - 82.5 and price consolidation below this zone with the purpose of further fall to the local important level 78173. Then another consolidation or correction is possible before a further fall to 73.5K Regards R. Linda!
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by RLinda
45
BITCOIN Is Very Bullish! Long! Take a look at our analysis for BITCOIN. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 84,125. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 90,061 level soon. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by SignalProvider
1
USA Bitten More Than It Can Chew: The Case for a Dollar CollapseIntroduction: The United States has long been the global economic superpower, but cracks are beginning to show. From geopolitical tensions to internal economic vulnerabilities, the stage may be set for a seismic shift in the global financial system. This report explores the possibility of a U.S. recession, a dollar collapse, and the potential for Bitcoin to surge to $1,000,000+ as a hedge against systemic failure. Key Themes/Theories: The U.S. Dollar’s Vulnerability: The U.S. dollar has been the world’s reserve currency for decades, but its dominance is being challenged. Rising debt levels, inflation, and geopolitical tensions are undermining confidence in the dollar. Bitcoin and Gold as Safe Havens: Bitcoin and gold have historically performed well during times of economic uncertainty. The inverse correlation between the dollar and these assets suggests they could skyrocket in a dollar collapse scenario. Geopolitical Catalysts: The growing influence of China, Russia, and other nations is creating a multipolar world. The risk of World War III or a new Cold War could accelerate the decline of the U.S. dollar. Market Psychology of Big Investors: Elon Musk, institutional investors, and other wealthy individuals are diversifying away from traditional markets (e.g., Tesla, NVIDIA) and into private companies (e.g., SpaceX) and alternative assets like Bitcoin. This behavior suggests a lack of confidence in the sustainability of current market valuations. Evidence/Proof: 1. Historical Precedents: Trump’s Election and Bitcoin’s Surge: When Donald Trump won the presidency in 2016, Bitcoin surged to nearly $20,000, and gold also saw significant gains. This suggests that investors were already seeking alternatives to traditional financial systems. Trump Coin Failure: The collapse of the Trump family’s cryptocurrency venture highlights the speculative nature of markets but also shows how early investors can profit from hype before a collapse. 2. Market Behavior: NVIDIA and Tesla: The DeepSeek shock (a hypothetical or symbolic event) and Elon Musk’s decision to cash out Tesla shares and invest in private companies like SpaceX indicate that big players are preparing for market instability. Institutional Adoption of Bitcoin: Companies like MicroStrategy and Tesla have already added Bitcoin to their balance sheets, signaling a shift toward decentralized assets. 3. Geopolitical Tensions: China’s Rise: China’s growing economic and military power is challenging U.S. dominance. Russia, India, and Israel: These nations are increasing their military capabilities, suggesting a potential arms race or conflict. World War III Risk: The possibility of a global conflict could destabilize the U.S. dollar and traditional financial systems. Catalysts for a U.S. Recession and Dollar Collapse: Debt and Inflation: The U.S. national debt is at record levels, and inflation remains a persistent threat. A loss of confidence in the dollar could trigger hyperinflation or a collapse. Geopolitical Shocks: A conflict involving China, Russia, or other major powers could disrupt global trade and weaken the dollar. Market Psychology: If big investors continue to exit traditional markets, it could create a domino effect, leading to a broader sell-off. Outcome: Bitcoin as the Ultimate Hedge Bitcoin’s Role: Bitcoin’s fixed supply (21 million coins) makes it an ideal hedge against inflation and currency devaluation. In a dollar collapse scenario, demand for Bitcoin could skyrocket, driving prices to $1,000,000 or more. Gold’s Role: Gold has historically been a safe haven, but its physical nature limits its utility in a digital age. Bitcoin, as “digital gold,” could surpass it in value and adoption. American Response: If the dollar collapses, Americans may flock to Bitcoin as a store of value, further driving up its price. Conclusion: The U.S. is facing unprecedented challenges, from economic vulnerabilities to geopolitical tensions. If these pressures lead to a recession or dollar collapse, Bitcoin could emerge as the ultimate hedge, potentially reaching $1,000,000 or more. While this scenario is speculative, the signs are clear: the global financial system is at a tipping point, and investors must prepare for the possibility of a new monetary paradigm.
PEPPERSTONE:BTCUSDLong
by PIXEL_BLADE
Don't FOMO into the market yet; the bear run isn't over!Earlier today, I took some time to scroll through Reddit and Twitter, where I saw discussions suggesting that the recent pullback in crypto is the first leg of the highly anticipated bull run. While I largely agree that the bull run is far from over, a broader look at price movements across multiple markets indicates that the bear market isn’t over yet. To prove this point, I will be analysing Bitcoin's price charts. On Bitcoin's daily chart, it's clear that the current price movement is more of a correction than a reversal. Zoom in to the 4-hour chart and and you can see how the pullback moves in an ascending triangle. Over the next few days we might see price break below the channel and head for the area around point 'B'. This will serve as the pullback for this short swing, where bulls will temporarily drive prices slightly above the most recent high before a sharp decline leads to the formation of a new low.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by michaelrex
3
BTC/USD – BIG ESPRESSO SHOT–is the breakout of the decade ahead?On the Bitcoin (BTC/USD) daily chart, we observe a potential bullish scenario based on the well-known Cup and Handle formation. Between November 2021 and November 2024, Bitcoin formed a classic Cup and Handle pattern. The "cup" part (marked as 1-2-3) is characterized by a rounded bottom, indicating a correction phase, accumulation, and gradual recovery of bullish momentum. Then, in the second half of 2024, the "handle" (marked as 4-5) formed as a short-term consolidation in the shape of a triangle, which was followed by a breakout that led to a peak around $109k in January 2025. A correction followed, pushing the price down to approximately $76.5k in March 2025. Currently, the price is making a pullback, testing the key zone around 87K–$93k from below. To confirm the bullish scenario, we need a strong hold above the $75k–$76k support and a clear breakout above the local resistance zone at 87K–$93k. As of now, this retest has not yet been confirmed and requires further observation, as there is still a risk of a fake breakout and potential drop to lower support zones — such as $66k or even $50k. This formation suggests strong upside potential for Bitcoin in the medium to long term, and if confirmed, may signal a continuation of the uptrend with a target around $127k–$130k. WATCH CLOSELY
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by maqone
"Bitcoin Price Analysis: Short Trade Setup with Key Levels"### **Bitcoin Price Analysis Chart (BTC/USD - 4H Timeframe)** This chart presents a **bearish trade setup** for Bitcoin (BTC/USD) based on technical analysis. The key levels and trade plan are as follows: ### **📌 Key Levels:** - **Entry Level:** **$86,790** – The proposed short entry point, suggesting that BTC may face resistance around this level. - **Stop Loss (SL):** **$88,500** – If BTC moves beyond this level, the trade would be invalidated, as it would indicate a bullish breakout. - **Target:** **$78,500** – A strong support zone where the price is expected to decline if the trade plays out correctly. ### **🔻 Bearish Trade Scenario:** 1. Price is expected to approach the **resistance zone (~$86,790 - $88,500)** before rejecting downward. 2. A potential **double rejection** at resistance before a decline toward the support at **$78,500**. 3. The price could consolidate slightly before breaking downward, confirming the short position. ### **📊 Trade Plan:** ✅ **Short Entry:** Near $86,790 (wait for confirmation). ✅ **Stop Loss:** Above $88,500 to limit risk. ✅ **Profit Target:** $78,500 for a strong risk-to-reward trade.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by ChartingMarketInsights
BTCUSDT.WEEKLY.MAPPINGHi, This weekend, I’ll be mapping out BTC’s path based on the weekly timeframe so we can monitor its behavior over the last two days of the week. We’ll focus on how the weekly (W) and daily (D1) candles close. If the price action unfolds as I anticipate, the D1 and H4 timeframes will push BTC higher than its current range of 87k-88k, where it might either consolidate sideways or pull back slightly. This is also the zone where both the D1 and W candles will close. This price level is critical. If BTC hits this target and the weekly candle closes strong, it’ll gain momentum to climb toward the higher range of 92k-97k, supported by the weekly timeframe. Summary: Short-term (D1 & H4): BTC will reach around 88k, hover there as we await the weekly candle close, and then resume its upward journey into the following week. Mid-term (W): A solid weekly candle close will fuel BTC’s next leg up, targeting 92k-97k with support from the weekly trend. Post-mid-term: After this move, BTC will likely retrace to 72k or 66k, setting up a swing short opportunity. Per the plan, let’s see how BTC chews through these levels!
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by rainbow_sniper