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BEARUSD trade ideas

BITCOIN This is what happened on the last 1D MA100 double test.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) hit yesterday its 1D MA100 (green trend-line) for the second time in 6 days and is reacting on a bullish note early today following basically 4 straight flat 1D candles. We mentioned the importance of the 1D MA100 as a Bull Cycle demand level on previous analyses. What we didn't discuss though is how BTC behaved the last time we had a 1D MA100 double test on such short time-frame. As you can see, the last time Bitcoin had a 1D MA100 Double Test within a 1-week time-frame was on October 10 2024 and the one before that on May 08 2024. The common characteristics of both those fractals was that the 1D RSI held the 43.00 level (just like it's doing today) and the price rebounded to hit the respective Resistance Zone from the previous High. Channel Up patterns emerged on both occasions, the difference is that in May 2024 BTC got rejected on the Resistance Zone, while on October 2024 it broke to the upside aggressively following the U.S. elections. As a result, we can target at least $108k on the short-term. Since long-term Accumulation Phases like March - October 2024 only take place two times at most during each Cycle (and we've already had this twice already), we give more probabilities to an extended rally like November - December to a new All Time High. Long-term traders may seek to sell these positions when the 1D RSI approaches the 85.00 profit taking level (overbought). But what do you think? Is BTC starting a rally to at least $108000? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
9
February 7 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello It's a Bitcoinguide. If you have a "follower" You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections. If my analysis is helpful, Please would like one booster button at the bottom. Here is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart. The Nasdaq indicator will be released at 10:30. (Non-farm index) Since it is a sideways section and there are so many variables in the Nasdaq, I proceeded as safely as possible. Also, the sideways section is difficult and complicated to explain, but today, the participation rate was good, so I proceeded simply and mildly. *Red finger movement path Long position strategy (final short) 1. 96,727 dollars long position entry section / cut-off price when the green support line is broken 2. 100,445.5 dollars long position 1st target -> Top 2nd target until the weekend After reaching the top section, switch to a short position Check the live support line and price range The first section at the top is a sideways market From the first section breakout, an upward trend can be connected. If you don't touch the first section and come down right away, the second section becomes the final long position, and the MACD dead cross imprint on the weekly chart during the weekend is the main key point. Even if it breaks through the top section and continues to rise, the dead cross may continue to press down next week, so it could be a headache. If you look at the bottom, from the current position to the sky blue support line of $98,912.5 (safe zone) and maintain it without breaking away from the bright sky blue of $92,796 at the bottom (danger zone), it would be good. You may have been surprised by the sudden decline last week due to Nasdaq and Trump, but as I explained last time, since the movement is within the expected range, it seems that the direction will be revealed to some extent after this week. I ask that you simply refer to and use my analysis so far, and I hope that you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss prices. You worked hard this week too. Thank you.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PLong
by BitCoinGuide
Tricks around 102.4K targetMorning folks, So, our weekly bearish DRPO "Sell" pattern has been confirmed. It means that until market either complete its 81K target or remains under 102.5K its invalidation point - this pattern presents the risk for the bulls. With all this stuff on the table we make two decisions. First is - we cut potential upside target down to 102.4K area by two reasons. First - this is 0.618 expansion and it agrees with major 5/8 resistance level. Second - this is invalidation point of weekly DRPO "Sell" pattern. So, conclusion is follows. For long-term traders we suggest to not consider any new long positions until DRPO is valid. For short entry with DRPO - keep an eye on 102.5K area. For intraday traders we suggest that long position is still acceptable but with the new 102.4K target and very tight stop - just under 94K lows. Market has to start upside action now. If it will not happen, then it will not happen at all and weekly DRPO will start working. I mark this setup as "Bullish" because of 102.4 target. But, in general we have bearish view until DRPO stands in place.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Sive-Morten
Bitcoin: the $96K or the $92KAnother week of a higher volatility on the crypto market passed. As the BTC became a part of the mainstream markets, its price continued to react to all concerns that investors on traditional markets have. Currently, the major focus on investors is on the imposed trade tariffs of the US Administration, but also inflation fears. The posted non-farm payrolls and unemployment figures in the US on Fridays implied a higher correction of the US equity markets, and BTC followed. The basis for correction were assumptions of investors that higher average earnings of US employees might trigger a higher inflation and consequently Fed's decision to hold interest rates at current levels for a longer period of time. Monday started with a huge move of BTC price to the level of $ 92K support line. However, this was an early move to the downside, which was not sustainable at this moment, in which sense, the price of BTC reverted back. During the week BTC was mostly traded around the $ 98K, with several attempts to break the $100K level. As this move was also not sustainable, the market reverted back, and again began sort of side trading between levels of $ 98K and $96K. The RSI is reflecting these moves, moving also in a range between the levels of 50 and 42. The moving average of 50 days slowed down its divergence from MA200, however, the distance between lines is high, in which sense, the potential cross is not in the store in the near term. By looking at the daily chart on a larger scale, there is indication that the chart is currently more bearish than bullish. The level of $ 92K is a significant level, which sustained the price of BTC since November 2024. This level was shortly tested on Monday, which implies that the market is potentially eyeing this level in the future period of probably a few weeks from now. Still, for the last four days, the level of $96 was also holding strongly. The question is how long this level can hold the selling pressure? This level is going to be a starting point for the week ahead. In case that this level manages to hold, then there is high probability that the price will revert back toward the $ 98K, most likely will try to test the $100K for one more time. In the opposite case, if it breaks the $96K support line, then the next stop of the BTC might be the $92K.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by XBTFX
Bitcoin (BTC): Attentions at $102,000 and $92,000On a 1D timeframe, we are seeing some kind of reversal currently, which might send the price to the $102K area, where we then should see a proper move to lower zones. Now we are not going to rush blindly to short here but we are waiting for more confirmations, which would be either a proper rejection from $102K or a breakdown + re-test of the GETTEX:92K zone. After that, we will see a proper free fall below EMAs! Swallow Team
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by SwallowAcademy
Bitcoin ..Down side 88000...My Bitcoin analysis with a sell position targeting specific price levels. Here's a breakdown of your analysis: - *Current Position*: Sell - *Entry Point*: 96,000 (assuming this is in USD or another fiat currency) - *1st Target*: 92,000 - *2nd Target*: 88,000 This suggests you anticipate a downward movement in Bitcoin's price, with two potential profit-taking levels. Here are a few considerations for your analysis: 1. *Technical Indicators*: Are you using any specific indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD, moving averages) to support your sell position? These can help validate your bearish outlook. 2. *Support and Resistance Levels*: Ensure that your targets align with key support levels. If 92,000 and 88,000 are significant support zones, they could act as areas where price might reverse or consolidate. 3. *Risk Management*: Always define your stop-loss level to manage risk. For example, if Bitcoin moves above 96,000, where will you exit the trade to limit losses? 4. *Market Context*: Consider broader market conditions, such as news, macroeconomic factors, or Bitcoin's overall trend (bullish or bearish). These can influence price movements. 5. *Timeframe*: Specify the timeframe for your analysis (e.g., hourly, daily, weekly). Short-term and long-term trends can differ significantly. If you'd like, I can help refine your analysis further or provide additional insights! Let me know.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Algo_Trading_Mql5
18
$BTC - Sunday Market Outlook🔸 Bitcoin remains in a sideways range ( GETTEX:89K -$110K) before a potential breakout toward $140K by the end of 2025. Whales and institutions are accumulating, while retail traders remain distracted. 🔸 Key Support Zone at GETTEX:89K - GETTEX:92K Market has provided seven long opportunities in this range. Whales are accumulating, while retail traders are panic-selling. 🔸 Upside Target: $140K OTC supply is drying up, with only 140,000 BTC left in January. ETFs bought 50,000 BTC in January alone, indicating strong accumulation. Once OTC supply depletes, a FOMO-driven rally could push BTC to new highs. 🔸 Risk Level at $85K Short-term volatility possible due to market makers creating FUD. Major support at $85K, any breakdown below could delay the next leg up. 🔸 Action Plan: ✅ Open long positions in the GETTEX:89K - GETTEX:92K range. ✅ Buy dips like Monday’s crash to strengthen positions. ✅ Maintain long positions ✅ Stay bullish despite market noise—smart money is accumulating. 🚨The next leg up is loading. Patience & strategy will define the winners!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by CryptoSkullSignal
1
ATCryptoScan: BTCUSD About time to downThe recent price action stalled flattish with 4 days of doji... but overall, these doji have long upper tails. This means that with every attempt intraday to rise, eventually it is smacked down. Hence, selling pressure not tremendous, but enough to keep it in place. MACD though a slightly lagging indicator, has already heads up that the daily chart of BTCUSD is in bear territory. Just need price to follow and complete the picture. The window is opened for the revised target of mid-Feb 2025 accumulation at about 88,000. Watch the weeks to come...
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Auguraltrader
Weekend is coming - another liquidation coming? BTC strongly bounced Monday and formed a daily candle with a massive bottom wick.  It is a bullish candle but that itself doesn't confirm the bull trend is going to start.  It was definitely the buy the dip moment for spot buyers and hodlers. However, if people are trading, the obvious stop of Stop/Loss is just below that wick on the Monday candle.  Subsequent daily candles failed to close above 100K.   All daily momentum indicators are entering the bear zone. Now the price is steadily moving down. Weekend is coming.  I can see another perfect setup for the long liquidation event.    I hope I am wrong. I think the next few weeks are critical for the BTC bull.  Weekly MACD is touching but hasn't crossed yet, so I will continue to observe the price action. If MACD lines clearly cross to the downside and stochastic has entered the bear zone. I would consider opening a short position.  I will use a daily chart to identify an entry. It has been a very challenging market.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by EbonyFalcon
"The Master Pattern Framework" Smart Money Concepts (SMC) – Explained Simply Alright, let's break this down in a way that makes sense for everyone. We’re looking at how Smart Money moves price, where they buy, where they sell, and how we can trade alongside them instead of getting trapped. ________________________________________ 1. Accumulation – Where Smart Money is Buying 🟢 📍 Main Zone: $90,882 - $98,604 This is where Smart Money is loading up on buy orders at discounted prices. • What happens here? o They push price down to grab liquidity (stop losses from retail traders). o Once they trap enough sellers, they start pushing price up. o The key signal that Smart Money is in control is when price dips below $96,154 but quickly reclaims $97,667. 💡 How to trade it: ✅ Look to buy when price dips into this zone and quickly reverses up. ✅ Stop loss should go below $95,137 (where Smart Money may make one last grab). ✅ Target: $98,604 first, then $102,823 if momentum continues. 📌 If price drops all the way to $90,882, that’s another deep accumulation area—expect a strong bounce. ________________________________________ 2. Distribution – Where Smart Money is Selling 🔴 📍 Main Zone: $99,216 - $109,450 This is where Smart Money is unloading their buy positions and selling to late buyers (retail traders chasing the move up). • What happens here? o They push price up to make it look like a breakout. o Retail traders FOMO in, thinking price will keep rising. o Smart Money sells into their orders, causing price to stall and reverse. 💡 How to trade it: ✅ Look for price to spike above $102,767 and then reject strongly—that’s a sign Smart Money is selling. ✅ Stop loss should go above $109,450 (where Smart Money would fully exit before a major drop). ✅ Target: $99,216 first, then down to $96,154 if price collapses. 📌 If price consolidates inside this range for too long, it could mean Smart Money is preparing a bigger move. ________________________________________ 3. Consolidation Blocks – Where Smart Money Sets the Trap 🔵 📍 Marked as "Distribution Blocks" on the Chart This is where Smart Money holds price in a tight range to trap traders before the next big move. • What happens here? o Price moves sideways for a while. o Traders think it's a "safe" range and start placing breakout trades. o Smart Money suddenly spikes price up or down to trap them before reversing the real move. 💡 How to trade it: 📌 If price breaks out of consolidation, wait! It’s often a fake move before the real direction is revealed. 📌 Look for a liquidity grab (a spike above or below the range) and enter when price reverses back inside. ________________________________________ 4. The Forex Master Pattern Block – The Final Decision Zone 🔥 📍 Located around $106,959 This is a major decision level where Smart Money previously controlled the market. • What happens here? o If price breaks through it cleanly, it could mean continuation higher. o If price rejects hard here, it could be a major sell-off signal. 💡 How to trade it: 📌 If price reaches $106,959, watch closely—it’s a major battle zone for Smart Money. 📌 A rejection here could mean a sharp move down toward $102,823 or even lower. ________________________________________ 5. How to Trade Smart Money Moves (Step by Step) ✅ Long Trade Setup (Buy Smart Money Accumulation) 1️⃣ Wait for a dip below $96,154 and a quick recovery above $97,667. 2️⃣ Enter long (buy) when you see strong rejection or a bullish candle. 3️⃣ First target: $98,604, second target: $102,823. 4️⃣ Move stop loss to breakeven once price clears $99,216. ________________________________________ ✅ Short Trade Setup (Sell Smart Money Distribution) 1️⃣ Wait for price to spike above $102,767, then watch for rejection. 2️⃣ Enter short (sell) when price shows a strong wick or bearish engulfing candle. 3️⃣ First target: $99,216, second target: $96,154. 4️⃣ Move stop loss to breakeven once price drops below $99,216. 📌 If price reaches $106,959, pause—this could be a major turning point. ________________________________________ 6. What’s Smart Money Doing Right Now? ✅ Accumulation is happening near $96,154 - $98,604 → Smart Money is likely buying. ✅ Distribution is happening near $99,216 - $109,450 → Smart Money is likely selling. ✅ Consolidation means price is waiting for a breakout—watch for the trap! ✅ The Forex Master Pattern Block at $106,959 is the key decision point—big move coming. ________________________________________ Final Takeaway – How to Use This 🚀 If you’re bullish: Look for long entries near $96,154, confirm a breakout, and target $102,823+. 📉 If you’re bearish: Watch for a liquidity grab above $102,767, enter short on rejection, and target $96,154. ⚠️ If price reaches $106,959, be cautious—Smart Money will decide the next big move there. 📌 The goal is to follow Smart Money, not fight against them. If you see consolidation, liquidity grabs, and strong reversals, you know where they’re positioned. ________________________________________ This is how you trade like Smart Money, not against them. 🧠🔥
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by The_ForexX_Mindset
59