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BEARUSD trade ideas
BTC/USD Price Action Update โ April 28, 2025๐BTC/USD Price Action Update โ April 25, 2025
๐นCurrent Price: 94,039.17
๐นTimeframe: 15M
๐Key Demand Zones (Support):
๐ข93,331.61โ93,464.50 โ Immediate Intraday Demand (potential bullish continuation zone)
๐ข92,901.29โ93,042.00 โ Deeper Demand Support (stronger reaction expected if tapped)
๐Key Resistance Level:
๐ด94,518.29 โ Short-Term Target Resistance
๐Bullish Outlook:
Price has shown strong recovery from the demand zones. Holding above 93,331 keeps the bullish structure intact. A clean break and retest can push price toward 94,518. Watch for bullish engulfing or BOS for confirmation.
๐Bearish Outlook:
If price breaks below 93,331, expect a deeper pullback into 92,901โ93,042. Loss of 92,900 could indicate short-term bearish momentum.
โกTrade Setup Tip:
โ
Look for long setups on bullish reaction at 93,464 or 93,042
โ
Manage trades carefully near 94,500 resistance
โ
Use tight stop-loss for scalps below demand zones
#BTCUSD #BitcoinTrading #CryptoAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcepts #SupplyAndDemand #IntradayTrading #BreakOfStructure #BTCScalping #CryptoUpdate #FXFOREVER #ForexAndCrypto
Weekly Cryptocurrency Market Analysis:Bitcoin(BTC)โIssue274(FreeThe analyst believes that the price of Bitcoin will decrease within the time specified on the countdown timer. This prediction is based on a quantitative analysis of the price trend.
___Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
BTC NEXT MOVE ANALYSIS Bitcoin is showing strong bullish momentum, with a potential pullback setup forming. We are currently watching the $93,300 zone for short term reaction, but our primary interest lies lower.
A buy limit is planned at $90,500, aligning with a high-probability demand zone and market structure support. This area could provide an optimal entry for a continued push toward the draw of liquidity near $96,500.
Stay patient any dip toward this zone is a buying opportunity.
Setup is valid unless price closes below $90,000.
Stay Tuned For More ๐ค๐๏ธ๐ซก
Will BTC emerge from the local downtrend channel on top?Hello everyone, let's look at the 1D BTC to USD chart, in this situation we can see how the price is moving in a downtrend channel in which we can currently observe an attempt to exit on the top. In such a situation, it must be borne in mind that often exiting the channel gives energy for growth close to the height of the channel itself, which in this situation could give a valuation in the region of $ 100,000 for 1 BTC.
However, before this happens, the price must positively exit the channel and break the first resistance line at $ 88,800, and then a significant level at $ 94,200.
Looking the other way, when the price bounces off the upper boundary of the channel and starts to fall again, we have a visible support zone from $ 85,150 to $ 83,000, and then a second very strong zone from $ 77,200 to $ 74,100.
Bitcoin Bulls Eye $95K as Upside Momentum BuildsAfter a bullish wedge break and having cleared the key 50-day moving average earlier this week, bitcoin bulls will now be eyeing a break above $95,000, especially with indicators such as RSI (14) and MACD signalling strengthening topside momentum.
A break and close above $95,000 would generate a bullish setup, allowing for longs to be established above with a stop beneath for protection. While some resistance may be encountered around $100,000, a move beyond that psychologically important level may encourage bulls to look for a run towards the record high above $108,000.
In the interim, bids have been noted at $91,750 with sellers emerging on pushes above $94,000.
Good luck!
DS
#Bitcoin Future Forcast of Final moves towards #BullRunAs per Weekly Chart Analysis,
Bitcoin performing on the perfectly into #ElliottImpulsive waves and its #CorrectionWave and this time the 5th Cycle of Elliott Impulsive Wave was completed and last Correction Wave cycle will under movements.
Now, it is completed the 0 to A-cycle & performing the moves towards B-cycle around $84k to GETTEX:87K and after that final moves towards C-cycle for last Lower-Low point around FWB:67K -65k approx, and that will be completing around next 120-150 days with 0-A-B-C of this cycle around July-August approx..
While, from 0 to A cycle was its first movement point of Retest of lower point, after the Bitcoin's $109k #AllTimeHigh point was at 0 point and $76k is the direction of Point A.
Then, after the completion of this cycle of Correction Wave, Bitcoin's final BullRun movement will be starts around August onwards for next 120-150 days for this season last Bullish cycle to reach out min. $180k to $220k and max. Mark will be around $250k to $280k approx.
Thereafter, the #BearishZone of market will be starts next year, after completion of this Elliott Impulsive & Correction Wave pairings, which is completely starts from Nov. 2022 from its last Lower-Low mark up point of Bitcoin was $15.5k approx.
Anyways,
Study deeply always to perform any trade and take StopLoss strategy for that as well DYOR too...๐
BTCUSD 4 - Hour Chart Market AnalysisBTCUSD 4 - Hour Chart Market Analysis
I. Trends and Patterns ๐
Looking at the 4 - hour chart, the recent performance of BTCUSD has been characterized by complex fluctuations. In the earlier stage, there was a consolidation phase where the price oscillated within a relatively narrow range, forming a roughly rectangular consolidation pattern ๐. During this period, the forces of bulls and bears were relatively balanced ๐ค, and the market was in a wait - and - see mode ๐ต๏ธ. Subsequently, the price broke above this consolidation range and moved upward, indicating that the bulls had taken the upper hand ๐, driving the price to gradually climb โฌ๏ธ.
Currently, the price is in an ascending wedge pattern, a common technical pattern. An ascending wedge is generally regarded as a reversal pattern. In an uptrend, although the price continues to reach new highs, the upward slope gradually flattens, suggesting that the bullish momentum is weakening while the bearish momentum is accumulating ๐ป.
II. Key Support and Resistance Levels ๐
Support Levels
93000: This is a crucial support level, located near the lower trend - line of the ascending wedge and also a key low point during previous pullbacks. If the price moves downward, this level is likely to provide strong support. A break below this level may trigger further declines โ ๏ธ.
91500: It is the upper edge of the previous consolidation range. If the price experiences a significant drop, this level may prevent the price from falling further sharply ๐.
86000: It is the lower edge of the previous consolidation range. If the price continues to decline, this will be an important support line. A break below it may open up a larger downside space ๐.
Resistance Levels
96000: This is the resistance level near the upper trend - line of the current ascending wedge. The price has tested this area several times but failed to break through effectively, indicating strong selling pressure at this level ๐ฅ.
97500: It is a higher - level resistance target. If the price can strongly break through the 96000 resistance level and continue to rise, it may test this level ๐ฏ.
โกโกโก BTCUSD โกโกโก
๐ Sell@95000 - 94500
๐ TP 93000 - 92000
๐ Buy@92000 - 93000
๐ TP 95000 - 96000
Accurate signals are updated every day ๐ If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide ๐งญ Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you ๐
What's Next For Bitcoin?Well now that Bitcoin broke major res all it needs to continue higher is a normal retrace to give TIME for the EMAs (Daily TF) to sync to the Upside and from then on the sky is the limit. Expect a normal retrace to the area FWB:83K - $84k on the Daily to continue higher . Bitcoin still NOT out of the woods until it prints a higher low. So far is looking very good again Weekly and Daily.
Note: If Bitcoin moves a bit higher (90k) before it retraces that will be much...much better.
What if I show you Bitcoin is at end of 1st cycle only ?
The Chart above involves TWO things we may need to pay attention to.
There is so much involved in this and I could go on for hours because, for me, this opens the door to so many things for Bitcoin.
And I am now looking at this past 14 years as the "Beginnings".
And we need to wait and see Where we go next before we label that
So..
What do we have here.
The ARC of Resistance. - I have talked about this before. Simply put, PA on every ATH since 2011 has been rejected by the same line / Arc - This needs no more than the Arc on a chart to see...
It is as simple as that.
Beneath this, we have that Dashed line of Support that has Never been Broken. Created off a High in 2011, it got retested as support in 2015 and not again until 2023.
Between these two points, you will notice how that Arc of resistance was at its furthest points from the line of support below.
It is like the Beginning and End of a sequence.......
The next thing we have is a Very interesting thing called the Trend-Based FIB Time.
It is important to understand what this is, So ;-
Trend-Based Fib Time is a technical analysis tool that uses the Fibonacci sequence to predict probable price corrections within an existing trend. It is represented by vertical lines at specific time intervals that show potential areas where a swing high, low, or reversal could occur. These intervals are based on the Fibonacci sequence and are not concerned with price levels but rather with time. The tool helps traders identify how far a wave is likely to travel in the trend.
Note what is in Bold there.
And then look at the chart..It clearly shows us, where PA touched that line of support twice, the Cycle / Wave. The RED zones. And between these was the Trend. The over all Gain in price, over Time.
We have 3 Waves in total. The 3 ATH to ATH from 2017 to now
To further support this idea, see how PA did not come down to the Line of support between the 2017 - > 2021 ATH's
That was MID CYCLE - Strength
And so now, while we all wait for the next push up, I want to show you a zoomed, Daily version of this chart
The Current ATH we have was absolutely on the day of the END of this Fib Time cycle.
I promise you I did not "Adjust this to suit." That was the genuine result.
And I was Stunned.
And more than that, This image also very clearly shows us that Time and Room is running out for PA.
It faces the strongest lines of Support and resistance it has ever faced and these lines reach an apex in Dec.....
PA ALWAYS REACTS BEFORE THE APEX
So, What is Next ?
The chances of Bitcoin crashing to the Floor are highly unlikely unless all the corporations that have been buying BTC, decide to sell them all at the same time.
This IS a possibility ONLY if they are working with the TradFi banking organisations, that tried to Crash BTC in 2022 / 2023
OK OK, that involves ridiculous amounts of Losses for many ..so..NO
BUT PA IS GETTING SQUEEZED
And so we wait....and Wait till we see Bitcoin PA break out, Enter a Brand New Trend..a Long Term Cycle.....and we may call it Adulthood.....
Or, we will have a Story to tell our Grandchildren about a Dream of breaking Free of Banking that Came Oh so Close
I cannot wait to see what happens Next - and I am HODL
NEXT WEEK XAUUSD ANALYSIS SIGNAL UPDATE > GO AND READ THECAPTAINBaddy dears friends ๐๐ผ
(BTCUSD) trading signals technical analysis satup๐๐ผ
I think now (BTCUSD) ready for(SELL)trade ( BTCUSD) SELL zone
( TRADE SATUP) ๐๐ผ
ENTRY POINT (94700) to (94500) ๐
FIRST TP (93800)๐
2ND TARGET (92800)๐
LAST TARGET (91200) ๐
STOP LOOS (95700)โ
Tachincal analysis satup
Fallow risk management
Weekly Market Recap | DXY, Gold, Bitcoin โ What Just Happened? In this weekโs market recap, we break down the key economic and political events shaking up the financial markets:
๐ฅ DXY makes a short-term comeback โ but is the dollar still on a long-term decline?
๐ Gold pulls back from record highs โ are dip-buyers already stepping in?
๐ Bitcoin bounces back โ is it acting like a risk asset or a safe haven?
We dig into:
The impact of easing Sino-U.S. trade tensions
Weak U.S. PMI data and Fed policy expectations
Goldman Sachs' bearish outlook on the dollar
Why institutional demand continues to fuel gold and crypto
๐ฏ Plus, I share my forecast for the U.S. dollar and what traders should watch next.
Whether you're trading currencies, gold, or crypto, this recap will give you the clarity and edge you need going into the new week.
"Bitcoin 4H โ Bearish Rejection, 89K Target"Asset: Bitcoin (BTC) against the US Dollar (BTC/USD).
Timeframe: 4-hour (each candle represents 4 hours of trading).
Current Price: Around 94,062 USD, slightly down by -0.63%.
Key Points on the Chart:
1. Support and Resistance Zones:
Red Zone (Top): Strong resistance between 94,932 - 96,128 USD. Price struggled to break higher here.
Blue Zones (Middle/Bottom): Key support areas where price has previously bounced up.
Bitcoin Following 2013-2017 Fractal UPDATE for APRIL- looks GOODInitially we can see we got the expected bounce in approximatly the are we expected it due tot he MACD reaching the bounce zone near Neutral.
Currently, PA is hoovering around the Marker near the Circle.
I did expect that to take longer and so the PA would be within the circle but I am not complaining
As it stands of today. we may still see PA reach that circle as the Daily chart shows.
Shoudl PA range across, it would take 1 whole month to reach the centre. I would be surprised if that happens as Weekly MACD is only just returning to BULLISH and the Daily still has plenty of Room to conintue its bullish climb.
BUT, and I do mean this seriously, We could see a reversal and return to Bearish still.
This has happened before
So, Lets remain cautious for now, even though we are near the Neutral line and sentiment predicts a further push higher, Caution is the better part of Valor.
But on the Longer Term, Which Path are we taking >?
We have begun rising right between the two options and, so for now, I am inclinded to Favour the Dashed Arrow that points to a 250K ATH.
And to many extents, this will still follow the Fractal, even if we are now below....
The amount of Money required to push Bitcoin up into the Bold Arrows Path and Get PA back ontop of the Fractal is truly Eye watering.
But I will Always say Never say Never.
Bitcoin is on a Cross roads. As I have mentioned in other posts, PA is under a VERY Long Term line Arc of resistance right now.
The chart for this is beow. this is a rough version but clearly shows the problem
To break over this, we need to Pass and remain above 118K USD
On the Fracta, this region os part of a Sustained push higher, as PA would normaly do in an area of High resistance...To Break through.
And we are sitting Just below this point right now....With the ability to push through
We have to wait and see which arrow we follow....My bet ois on the dashed for now....
Time will always tell us.....
Stay safe everyone.....
BITCOIN Sell everything in October!Yep, kind of a clickbait title but it doesn't fail to serve justice to this very important Bitcoin (BTCUSD) chart.
Today's analysis displays in the most illustrative way the extremely tight symmetry between BTC's Cycles and how this can help us time our Sell at the Top of the Cycle and equally have the patience to buy as close to the next Bottom as possible.
As you see, in the past +10 years since the 2014 Bear Cycle, every Cycle has almost identical time ranges/ durations. All three Bear Cycles since then, lasted for approximately 1 year, and both Bull Cycles for almost 3 years (152 weeks, 1064 days to be exact). More specifically, the last two Bear Cycles were exactly 1 year long, the 2018 one started on the week of December 11 2017 and ended on December 10 2018 and the next Bear Cycle started on November 15 2021 and ended on November 07 2022. So it's been December-to-December and November-to-November Bear Cycles respectively.
If this high degree of symmetry continues to hold, counting 1064 days from the last Cycle Bottom o November 07 2022, gives a time estimate for the next Cycle Top on (the week of) October 06 2025. If also that holds for the Bear Cycle, expect an October-to-October duration, with an approximate bottom on October 12 2026.
So Sell everything up to October 2025 and Buy back as we get close to October 2026 is the strategy?
Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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The Market Wins... For now... Let's talk CryptoIt seems that when I said in my previous videos "no matter what we want, Bitcoin can technically shoot up to a million tomorrow because that's just crypto", Crypto heard and said, "yeah, we'll do that". Kidding, we're not at a million nor will we be today or tomorrow. And at some point it will reverse because we need more demand for a sustainable push to new ATH's (peep 2021-2023 as I mention in this video). But at what point? Not for us to say until we start to see signs of tapering.
Once we broke out and consolidated out of our strong selling channel, we were given the heads up to be careful with our shorts - and with a certain amount of levels broken (i.e. FWB:88K ) I closed most of my short positions. But I do still have a HTF target at lower levels.
most importantly, we don't dictate to the market when it goes where. It decides on it's own and we wait for signals utilizing the algorithms and volume to guide us.
This is a long video because I don't have the "answers" as to why BTC is up 10%! But I still urge everyone to stay patient and cautious, either long or short, because in all markets there is clearly something being prepared for.
Happy Trading :)
#BTC Market Update โ April 22, 2025Current Price: $90,700 (+4%)
๐ Technical Overview
โข 200-Day MA: $88,356 โ BTC is trading above it โ Bullish sign
โข RSI: 78 โ Overbought zone โ Possible pullback
โข Resistance: $90,000 โ Key psychological level
โข Support: $85,000 โ Watch this level on retracement
๐ On-Chain Insight
โข Long-Term Holders: Some distribution happening โ Profit-taking
โข Network Activity: Steady โ Healthy usage
โข Sentiment: Bullish โ Weak USD + institutional inflows
๐งญ Macro & Fundamentals
โข U.S.โChina tensions + Fed uncertainty โ BTC seen as safe haven
โข Institutions are increasing their exposure โ Positive market signal
โ
Summary:
BTC shows strong bullish momentum, but RSI is overheated. Stay alert for potential short-term correction. Key levels: $85K support / $90K breakout.
Bitcoin's next targets are 140K and 250K !This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
Are Bitcoin's mid-term targets still valid?
First of all, please review the previous analysis
In our last analysis, we mentioned that if there was any drop, it would likely be towards the resistance line that had been broken, and we identified the pullback zone around the 77K channel.
Now, based on the available data, the pullback has been successful, and Bitcoin's target is to move toward the 130-140K range. A 3D pattern has formed, and the third drive could complete within this range, after which Bitcoin may enter a corrective phase.
But what about the second target | 250K?
Why are we considering this target? There are several reasons:
First, the bullish wave in gold was preventing capital from flowing into cryptocurrencies, especially Bitcoin. Now, gold is reaching the end of its bullish wave, which could lead to significant liquidity flowing into crypto and Bitcoin.
Second, Bitcoin's channel structure remains very bullish. If substantial liquidity enters the market, not only could the 250K target be achieved, but Bitcoin might even reach higher levels.