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3X Short Bitcoin Token

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BEARUSD trade ideas

Don’t Trade the Headlines—Trade the Chart: My BTC Game PlanThere’s been a flood of noise in the media over the past few weeks—headlines shouting about uncertainty, new U.S. tariffs, market crashes, and an impending recession. Years ago, I used to pay close attention to this kind of news, identifying myself as a "fundamental analyst". It didn't take long until I realised that I was looking in the wrong direction. What changed my mindset was reflecting on how I felt during past market dips and how that feeling often contradicted what actually happened next. In almost every major move, my emotions—heavily influenced by media narratives—led me the wrong way. This time, I believe, is no different. Despite bearish sentiment and doomsday headlines, I see opportunity. Even if a recession is on the horizon—and I do believe it’s likely—the market has a way of pricing in fear before the real damage hits. That means the upside may start before the worst news becomes obvious. Before diving into my analysis and strategy, I recommend reading my privous publication, which is also linked to this publication Chart Analysis & Market Status: As anticipated, Bitcoin is currently retesting the capitulation price range that was first reached on February 28. Since then, volume has remained relatively low, while the Fear & Greed Index has started to slightly rise—indicating that panic selling may have already subsided. The price is also sitting around the 20-week EMA, a level that has historically acted as a strong support zone. This alignment suggests that bearish sentiment may already be priced in, and we could be at or near the bottom of the current cycle—regardless of the broader macro fears. My Current Strategy 🔹 Position: I remain bullish at current levels. 🔹 Exposure: 30% of my capital is already deployed. Bullish Scenarios Scenrio 1: (More Likely) If the market bounces in the next 1–2 weeks, then retests this same price range with a healthy pullback, I’ll deploy another 40% of my capital. From there, I’ll follow the "blue model" (my projected price path) all the way up until either my timing target or pricing target is hit—whichever comes first. I’ll keep the remaining 30% in reserve to adjust my average buy-in during unexpected market moves. Scenario 2: (Less likely) If Bitcoin loses the current support at the 20-week EMA, I’ll allocate 20% at the $71K–$72K range and remain bullish—as the broader macro structure stays intact— considring this price as Wyckoff Spring. Then I will eploying further 20% at around $80K when market bounces back considering it as Sign of Strength of current Re-Accumolation zone. I’ll keep the remaining 30% in reserve to adjust my average buy-in during unexpected market moves. Bearish Scenario: (Least Likely) If Bitcoin breaks below the FWB:73K level—the peak of the previous wave—I’ll deploy another 20% around the 50-week EMA (currently near GETTEX:64K ). This would invalidate the current bullish model, but my strategy adapts: my average entry would drop to ~$73K. In that case, I plan to sell on the next bounce that retests the 20-week EMA. I’ll still keep the remaining 30% in reserve to adjust my average buy-in during unexpected market moves. Final Thoughts: As I always say: This market is stochastic—not deterministic. You can’t plug in numbers and expect a fixed outcome. There is no perfect formula. That’s why a well-structured Plan B is essential for survival and success. Don't let headlines write your trades. Let the chart do the talking.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Ali-Mani
$BTC Breakdown – Updated View Bitcoin is currently trading near $78,828, struggling to maintain bullish momentum after a sharp retrace from the $85K region. 🔸 Key Support Zone at $77.5K: BTC is sitting on a short-term critical support at $77.5K. Holding this level could provide a short relief bounce. However, a confirmed breakdown below $77.5K will likely accelerate the downside pressure. 🔸 Next Support Levels: If $77.5K breaks: $74K – $72K becomes the next key zone Below that, $66K – $60K might act as mid-level supports In a worst-case bearish scenario, $55K – $50K could be targeted 🔸 Risk Level at $72K: Losing $72K with volume would invalidate bullish structure and increase the risk of a deeper correction. 🔸 Bullish Recovery Needs: BTC must reclaim and sustain above $80K, then $85K Clean break above $85K could restart the bullish rally toward $90K+ 🔸 Action Plan: Watch $77.5K closely for reaction Breakdown = prepare for $72K test Bounce = potential retest of $80K- FWB:83K
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by CryptoSkullSignal
3
Short position openedI invest in Bitcoin, and don’t usually trade. However, I can see a pretty bearish setup unfolding. Trade set up: Entry price: 85341.66 (black line in 4H) Stop loss: 87,962 (red line in 4H chart, just above the previous week high) Target 1 - 80.971 (green line, previous week low and Fib 0.5 level in Daily chart) Target 2 - 78, 253 (green line in 4H chart, previous month low, approx 50% encroachment zone of fair value gap in daily chart . Reasons: Weekly: MACD is still in the bull territory but MACD lines are clearly moving to the downside. The price has retraced to 50% of the massively bearish red candle of(March 3rd weekly candle) and now resuming to move to the downside. Daily: RSI and MACD are both in the bear territory and it looks like they are rolling back to the downside in the bear territory, which is pretty bearish. The price has dropped and closed below the ascending trend line. 4H: The price has been travelling inside the ascending parallel channel, but it is dropped and closed below the bottom line. Both MACD and RSI are deep in the bear territory.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by EbonyFalcon
BTC/USD Long Setup – Bullish Reversal PlayAfter a sharp drop, BTC is testing a key liquidity zone around 78.2k. The market structure suggests a potential bullish reversal, with a fakeout and recovery in sight. 📌 Trade Idea: Entry: After confirmation of a reclaim and bullish structure break (above ~79.3k) SL: Below recent low ~77.6k TP: 82.8k zone RRR: ~3.2 📅 Timeframe: 30min 📈 Bias: Counter-trend long 🔁 Watch for: Price reaction at current support and market structure shift 🚨 Wait for confirmation – patience is key in volatile conditions!
VANTAGE:BTCUSDLong
by EpicmindJournyFX
1
Bitcon On Track For 73.3K - Daily BreakdownBy now it's fairly obvious we've entered a bearish market. From a peak of 109k to now 82k this is hard to argue. We can view our earning moving average data with the red(10day), blue(20day), and yellow(50day) to see the candles are well below all levels. The most important level on the bearish confirmation is the 50 day EMA cross. This is known as a 'death cross'. When price crosses below the 50 day EMA price historically will continue to decline. Our second major confirmation to enter short is by looking at lower Support zones for price. Looking at price to the left there are long periods from 73.3k to 87k where price action took off very rapidly with zero consolidation.(side ways market action). This means when price comes back down as it is there are zero support levels(as in the orange box) until 73.3k. 73.3k was previously a resistance level(where price did not go above) four times as in circled. These levels will now become a support zone for buying liquidity. I do believe this bearish market will be much different than previous years. It will be a much more drawn out process with less typical overall volatility. This is due to the increase in the market cap is much higher than before. That being said the major confirmations based upon EMA data and zero support levels make this overall trend very clear. Don't be stupid NEVER trade against the trend! Do not except price to snap to target over night either. This is a daily view on the overall direction of BTC and is not a short term trade. We should except price to decrease overall, but remember the market increase and decrease in 'waves'.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by remarkableCake99061
8