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BEARUSD trade ideas

AVAX vs BTC | ALTCOINS | Life Changing IF This Pattern Plays OutFractals have been used for years as possible suggestions to map how money moves in the financial market. This is what gives them significance; they draw out a sort of map. The hard part about fractals though, is that they often appear cross markets and it is no easy feat to spot similarities on large scale. However, to the seasoned eye, fractal-spotting becomes easier over time. There is a misconception that fractals can only be used in the same timeframe. This is simply because, as with Bitcoin, there is a large history of candles (data) that plays out in an elaborate pattern. Daily candlestick patterns become lost in weekly patterns, even though the general direction / macro is the same. In the case for AVAX, a similar pattern has been observed in BTC before the COVID pandemic - and it has been playout out perfectly, so far. ______________________ BINANCE:BTCUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD BINANCE:AVAXUSDT
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CryptoCheck-
1
BITCOIN NEXT SUPPORT AND RESISTANCES ARE HEREWhat i have shown here is most effective way of analysis you all can find revesal of any stock, index,commodity by using this method which is never failure but before trade you should wait for signal.if you are with me sure you will learn and earn as well. Top most resistance is critical,there may be chance of major or minor reversal up to predicted support and todays high is also a critical level might be this high will take it to support.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by OM-MADY-stockmarketclasses
5
Bitcoin Cycle Analysis: Preparing for the Next Bull Market Peak In my detailed Bitcoin market analysis, I have identified that we are currently navigating through *Phase 5 of the bull run cycle*. This phase marks the last segment of the upward trend within the broader market cycle, signaling an important period for long-term crypto investors and traders. -Cycle Insights: Historically, Bitcoin has demonstrated distinct cyclical patterns, and by analyzing past market data, I project that the peak of this bull market cycle is likely to occur around **April to May 2025**. This projection aligns with market dynamics, on-chain data, and cyclical behavior that the crypto space has followed in previous cycles. -Strategic Recommendations for Investors: 1. Prepare Your Strategy: Now is the critical moment to solidify your exit strategy. Identify key targets for your holdings and set alerts for market movements as we approach the anticipated top. 2. Market Sentiment & Data Tracking: Monitor sentiment closely; as we approach cycle peaks, irrational exuberance often takes hold. Combining technical indicators with on-chain data will help pinpoint optimal selling windows. 3. Manage Risk: Avoid getting caught in the frenzy. Ensure you have a disciplined approach to profit-taking and risk management as market volatility is expected to rise. Next Steps: We still have time to observe the final leg of this bull market. Being proactive in understanding the cycle's behavior will be the key to optimizing returns. Whether you are a long-term holder or a short-term trader, planning your moves ahead will differentiate strategic success from missed opportunities. Let's keep our eyes on the charts and prepare our sell strategies accordingly to maximize this cycle's potential gains.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Yassine_Houd
3
BTC to the $446 in five years! The biggest capital robbery ever!This is not just for crypto! All assets will lose their value. A theory suggesting an impending depression combined with the idea that Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies might have been created as a "trap" to channel capital back to the state is intriguing and raises important questions. While this view is speculative, there are some interesting aspects to your analysis of economic cycles and the role of governments and central banks. 100-Year Economic Cycle Historians and economists recognize that long economic cycles, like the Kondratieff wave, involve alternating periods of economic booms and busts over roughly 40-60 years. While the exact duration and frequency vary, some analyses indicate that we are approaching a phase of debt deflation, or even a potential depression. The exponential growth of debt and the sustained low-interest-rate policies support this outlook. Crypto and the Role of Government Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies were originally designed as decentralized, non-government-controlled currencies, independent of banks and states. While it is speculative to claim that governments were behind Bitcoin's creation, it is true that some governments are closely monitoring the crypto market, possibly to manage large capital flows and ensure tax compliance. However, Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies do not guarantee protection against economic crashes. Governments could regulate these markets further, affecting their value and accessibility. Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs), for instance, represent a way for governments to exert greater control over digital money flows, which contradicts Bitcoin's original intent. Fear and the Use of Assets Like Gold and Bitcoin Concerns around CBDCs, inflation, and geopolitical instability can drive people toward "store of value" assets like gold and Bitcoin. Your point about "fear-driven media" is interesting, as both media and governments can at times amplify fear, which increases demand for alternative assets. A Possible Future Depression Many analysts and economists highlight overheated markets and massive debt burdens as warning signs of a financial collapse. Economic cycle downturns are often marked by deflation, rising unemployment, and declining asset prices. The idea that the coming years could be challenging for the global economy is not without basis, particularly if debt burdens become unsustainable or if monetary policy tools are exhausted. Conclusion While the notion that governments might use crypto to "reclaim black money" or that crypto was even designed as a tool for wealth redistribution is difficult to substantiate, it is a theory commonly raised by crypto critics. What is clear, however, is that both governments and central banks are actively seeking ways to control capital flows and maximize tax revenue. All in all, it seems a challenging period lies ahead. We may witness the emergence of new forms of money, like CBDCs, and potentially significant shifts in the economic order.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by EvertLenos
2
MAJOR BTC correction incoming!?Calm your tits. Normally when #Bitcoin breaks ATH, the price goes sideways for 12-30 days. Then the first parabolic movement of 100-200% starts. This lasts for 1-2 months. Finally followed by the first big correction of 30-40%. So should we worry now with the first red candle? No. Bitcoin has skipped the sideways trend and has gone straight parabolic. In between there are multiple candles of 3-5%. We’re just in WEEK 1 of the parabolic movement. BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P BINANCE:DOGEUSDT BINANCE:ETHUSDT CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D INDEX:BTCUSD BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by KennyCryptoNL
3
BTC $83k-$86k top, then down below $30k?I sold all of my crypto between May - July thinking we'd see a large correction. We did pull back to the GETTEX:48K level, but we didn't see continuation below that level. Now price is within MIL:1K of where I sold it and I now think we'll see the last move higher. So I'm starting to build exposure again. If we look at the chart, CRYPTOCAP:BTC has been consolidating right below resistance. I think we'll see one final move to FWB:83K -$86k, then we'll see the larger correction that I was anticipating below $30k. Still don't think we see $100k BTC anytime soon. I think that doesn't come until 2026-2028. I've started building exposure to CRYPTOCAP:BTC again and certain alts, specifically CRYPTOCAP:DOGE incase Trump wins as I think that'll be a catalyst to send price higher. I I think alts will see one last move higher into early December before the whole market starts to correct. Let's see what happens.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by benjihyam
19
BTCUSD | 95K Target 1:1 Move | BullishThis will be the first big trade at the start of the exponential cycle we're about to witness for the 5th time in BTC history. Considering the descending broadening wedge pattern, a 1:1 move into the pattern gives a price target of roughly $95k. It can also been seen as a flag pattern which also reads a $95k impulse target as seen below: If you want to look at more longer-term targets and analysis of CRYPTOCAP:BTC , I've attached 3 of the charts I've made which will satisfy that long term bullish outlook. Best of luck to you all out there involved in this space and remember, manage your risk appropriately.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Mt.BFX
2
Interpreting Long/Short Ratios in Futures Trading█ Interpreting Long/Short Ratios in Futures Trading: Beyond Bullish and Bearish For beginner traders, the long/short ratio in futures markets can seem like a clear-cut indicator of market sentiment. Many assume that a high ratio of longs to shorts means the market is bullish, while more shorts than longs signals a bearish outlook. But in reality, this interpretation is oversimplified and can lead to misguided trading decisions. In this article, we'll break down the nuances of the long/short ratio in futures trading, explaining why positions on the “short side” don’t always indicate a bearish stance and how traders can better interpret these ratios for a well-rounded perspective. █ Understanding the Basics: Futures Trading Is Not Spot Trading In the futures market, every trade requires a buyer (long position) and a seller (short position). For each person going long, there’s a counterpart going short. This zero-sum structure means that, by definition, there’s always a balance between longs and shorts. However, the reasons why traders take long or short positions vary widely—and not all of them are directional bets on price movement. █ Why Not All Shorts Are Bearish (And Not All Longs Are Bullish) Let’s dig into why a trader might take the short side without actually betting on a price drop: ⚪ Hedging: Some traders go short to hedge an existing position. For instance, if they already hold a large amount of Bitcoin in the spot market, they might take a short position in Bitcoin futures to protect against potential downside risk. This doesn’t mean they’re bearish on Bitcoin; they’re just managing risk. ⚪ Arbitrage: Some traders take short positions for arbitrage purposes. For example, they might go long in one market and short in another to profit from small price differences without having any directional view on Bitcoin’s future price. Their short position is purely for balancing and not a bet on falling prices. ⚪ Market Making: Market makers provide liquidity to the market by taking both long and short positions. Their goal isn’t to profit from price movements but to capture the spread between the bid and ask prices. They don’t have a directional view—they’re simply facilitating trades. ⚪ Closing Long Positions: When traders close long positions, they effectively create a new short transaction. For instance, if a trader decides to exit a long position by selling, they’re adding to the short side of the market. But this action doesn’t necessarily mean they expect prices to drop—it could just mean they’re taking profits or reallocating their portfolio. █ Interpreting CoinGlass Long/Short Ratio Charts: Volume vs. Accounts Let’s look at the long/short ratio charts on CoinGlass as an example. CoinGlass provides two main types of ratios: ⚪ Volume-Based Ratio: This chart shows the volume of capital in long vs. short positions. For example, a high volume in longs might suggest that large players are buying into Bitcoin. However, it’s important to remember that some of these long positions could be from market makers, hedgers, or arbitrageurs, who may not expect Bitcoin to rise. The volume itself doesn’t tell us why they’re in these positions. ⚪ Account-Based Ratio: This chart tracks the number of accounts on each side (long vs. short) on exchanges like Binance. A higher number of accounts on the short side doesn’t mean all those traders are bearish. Many could be taking short positions to balance other trades or hedge risks. They’re not necessarily expecting Bitcoin to decline; they’re just managing their positions. █ Example Analysis: Misinterpreting Long/Short Ratios Imagine you’re looking at a CoinGlass chart that shows an increase in long volume around November 5th. A beginner might see this and think, “Everyone’s bullish on Bitcoin!” But as we discussed, some of this long volume could be non-directional. It could include positions taken by market makers providing liquidity or hedgers who are long on Bitcoin futures but have a corresponding short in another market. Similarly, if you see a spike in the number of short accounts, don’t automatically assume that everyone expects Bitcoin to fall. Some of those accounts might just be managing risk or taking advantage of arbitrage opportunities. █ Avoiding the Pitfall of Overinterpreting the Long/Short Ratio The biggest mistake traders make is interpreting the long/short ratio as a direct indicator of market sentiment. Remember, every trade has a counterparty. If there’s a high volume of longs, it simply means there’s an equal volume of shorts on the other side. The market’s overall sentiment isn’t always reflected in this ratio. Instead of relying solely on the long/short ratio, consider these other factors to form a clearer market view: Market Sentiment Indicators: Use sentiment tools, news, and social media sentiment to understand how traders are feeling beyond just positions. Volume Trends: Look at overall market volume to see if there’s conviction behind the moves. Context and Price Action: Interpret the ratio in the context of price action and recent events. If there’s a strong bullish trend, a higher long ratio might reflect confidence in the trend rather than simply volume. █ Conclusion: A Balanced Perspective for Smarter Trading Understanding the long/short ratio requires a more nuanced perspective. Just because the “longs” are up doesn’t mean everyone’s bullish—and just because the “shorts” are up doesn’t mean everyone’s bearish. The futures market is filled with diverse participants, each with unique motives, from hedging and arbitrage to liquidity provision. By looking at these ratios with a balanced view, traders can avoid common pitfalls and interpret the data more accurately. Trading is about context and strategy, not just numbers on a chart. So, next time you’re checking the long/short ratio, remember: there’s more to it than meets the eye. █ Final Takeaway: Focus on Context, Not Just Ratios The long/short ratio can be a helpful tool, but it’s only one piece of the puzzle. Use it in combination with other market indicators, and always consider the motives behind trades. By doing so, you’ll make better-informed trading decisions and avoid falling into the trap of oversimplifying complex market data. ----------------- Disclaimer This is an educational study for entertainment purposes only. The information in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell securities. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on evaluating their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs. My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by Zeiierman