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BEARUSD trade ideas

Potential bullish rise?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has reacted off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance which acts as an overlap resistance. Pivot: 92,651.63 1st Support: 87,516.30 1st Resistance: 99,246.82 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:BTCUSDLong
by ICmarkets
$BTC Flipping Resistance to Support?! Based on the provided image and the context from the web results, here's a layered analysis: 🔍 Analyzing the #BTCUSD Weekly Chart at All-Time Resistance! We're currently witnessing Bitcoin testing an all-time resistance trendline, which is a significant milestone in its price history. Here's a detailed look: 1️⃣ Initial Growth: From late 2017 to early 2019, Bitcoin saw a significant rise, peaking at around $20,000 before correcting. 2️⃣ Bear Market: Post-2019, Bitcoin endured a prolonged bear market, hitting lows around $3,000. 3️⃣ Recovery Phase: The recovery began in 2020, with Bitcoin breaking through previous resistance levels. 4️⃣ Bull Run: The 2021 bull run pushed Bitcoin to new heights, surpassing $60,000. 5️⃣ Current Trends: Bitcoin has now reached an all-time resistance trendline, and according to Elliott Wave Theory, we still have the second half of the 3rd wave to complete. This suggests potential for further bullish movement. Possibly flipping the trendline from resistance to support. The chart also features: 🟣 Ascending trend lines showing the overall bullish trend. 🔴 Purple lines indicating potential resistance points. 🟢 Green lines highlighting support levels. Given Bitcoin's position at this critical resistance trendline, the question arises: Will this now flip resistance to support and begin the new age of Bitcoin? According to Elliott Wave Theory, if Bitcoin successfully breaks and sustains above this resistance, it could indeed flip it into support, signaling the start of a new bullish phase. This would align with the completion of the 3rd wave, which is often the strongest in the sequence, indicating a powerful continuation of the trend. However, this is contingent on several factors including market sentiment, regulatory news, and broader economic conditions. While the technical indicators are promising, the real-world impact of these factors cannot be underestimated. What do you think about Bitcoin's potential to break this resistance and enter a new era? Share your thoughts below! 🚀💹 Please note that this analysis is based on the provided chart and general knowledge from related web results. For specific predictions, always consider multiple sources and do your own research.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by globulltrader
Bullish tendency is broken 101-102K for sellingMorning folks, So, BTC was not able to stay above predefined support area and drop right back to the daily 92-95K level. It means that existing bullish context on daily chart is done. In general, this is reasonable - we're going to the Xmas Holidays and inauguration. There are a lot of uncertainty with coming D. Trump policy. Especially when JPowell said that the Fed doesn't intend to own any BTC... so inner conflict is ready. So, retracement might be deeper in nearest month. Since BTC is overextended down a bit, the first thing we expect upside technical bounce, somewhere to 101-102K area. Then, if we're correct in our analysis, downside reversal should happen with potential H&S pattern.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Sive-Morten
Bitcoin's Ultimate Pump: The Trap Before the CrashBitcoin continues its “hype” and is close to forming the next spurt. Globally, the picture looks like close to the distribution zone. We are approaching the biggest “cheat” in history. I expect a final spurt into the zone around 120k, from here a long trade will start where altcoins will shoot up and show incredible gains. The crowd will be experiencing FOMO, heads of state and big companies will start making noise that this is just a pro-trade level for Bitcoin before the next spurt. Only the majority will fall back into the trap and end up in a bear market with huge losses. The market is set up so that only 10% will make money and the other 90% will be cheated. After the distribution is completed, I expect the bitcoin price to fall below the 0.5 Fibonacci level. The RSI value will drop below 30 units on such a drop and we will enter a global fear phase. I would attribute the next bull market to the rise of the DeSci and AI sectors. My research on the cryptocurrency market sectors shows that large funds and corporations are starting to invest in projects in these areas. Horban Brothers.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by horbanbrothers
Market Analysis and ExpectationLooking at the Bitcoin 1-hour chart, I’m expecting price to move up from the current price level or anywhere within this POI (Point of Interest) region. Here’s why: Market Structure The overall structure suggests we are in a broader range-bound phase, with price cycling between premium and discount zones. Currently, price has tapped into the premium-to-discount zone, showing signs of exhaustion to the downside. Liquidity Sweep There was a Break of Structure (BoS) and a clear Sell-Side Sweep (SSS) around this area. These are classic signs of liquidity being taken, indicating that the market might be gearing up for a reversal or at least a significant retracement. Psychological Levels Price is hovering just above a significant psychological level (94,374), which often acts as a magnet for liquidity and a potential bounce zone. Buyers may step in to push the market higher from here. Chalk Flip and POI Alignment I can see a Change of Character (ChoCH) in smaller timeframes. Coupled with this POI in the discount area, it’s a prime spot for price to pivot upward. Daily Resistance and Targets If the reversal plays out, my immediate target would be the daily resistance zone around 102,587, with intermediate take-profit levels at previous supply zones. This move aligns with the market’s tendency to rebalance inefficiencies and target liquidity pockets above. Overall, I’m positioning myself for potential longs from this region while keeping an eye on smaller timeframe confirmations to refine my entries. The bias flips only if price breaks decisively below this POI with strong momentum.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by israelharrison010
2
When to Be Concerned About Bitcoin in the Short Term🟢 When to Be Concerned About Bitcoin in the Short Term BITSTAMP:BTCUSD has surged significantly since the summer of 2024, and the bullish cycle is expected to last at least until the summer of 2025. This means that in the medium to long term, fluctuations shouldn't be a major concern. However, if you're trading Bitcoin or waiting for a chance to buy at a lower price , it's worth paying attention to the levels mentioned in this article ✅ What pattern is unfolding in Bitcoin? At the moment, there isn't a defined pattern like the ones I usually show, so I won't provide entry and exit prices as I typically do. However, it's important to understand that the current price movement makes BTC a neutral market in the short term. We need to keep an eye on the lower blue line and the area marked as last support (blue rectangle). These zones could be ideal for buying Bitcoin , as the price shouldn't fall below these levels if the bullish trend continues. However, a head and shoulders pattern might be developing, so it's crucial to monitor the price movement in the coming days to see if it breaks the blue support line. 💰 How to trade this chart pattern? You can either buy near the lowest blue line or sell looking for a fast decline if the head and shoulders is confirmed. 🛡️ The risk management strategy As we have done in so many previous ideas, remember you can split the position in 2. - 50% of the position in a take profits, at least, as large as your stop loss (adapt SL and this 1st TP to local supports/resistance levels). In this case, a 3% TP for 2% SL. - 50% of the position to a price as large as the previous pattern, which would mean a profit of 7% to 15%. ✴️ ENJOY AND FOLLOW for more 😊
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by TopChartPatterns
Bitcoin's road to 150,000 Bitcoin Halving 2024: A New Era The fourth Bitcoin halving, expected on April 15, 2024, will cut the block reward to 3.125 BTC, increasing scarcity and reinforcing its deflationary nature. Historically, halving cycles drive three phases: a bullish uptrend in the first 70,000 blocks, a bearish retracement in the next 70,000, and sideways consolidation before the next halving. This cycle points to a potential peak of $150,000, supported by historical trends, logarithmic regression, and metrics like the MVRV ratio. Current Market Position Bitcoin has emerged from the sideways phase of the third halving era (2020–2024) and is poised for a bullish run. The MVRV ratio, currently at 2.24, signals fair value, with room for growth. Historical patterns show Bitcoin dominance surges above 70% during bullish phases, supporting price appreciation. Halving Cycles and Projections Bitcoin's logarithmic regression model aligns with these price phases: Bullish Phase (0–70,000 blocks): Exponential growth; projected high of $150,000. Bearish Phase (70,000–140,000 blocks): Retracement of 80%, with lows around $55,000. Sideways Phase (140,000–210,000 blocks): Consolidation before the next cycle. MVRV Ratio Insights The MVRV ratio (Market Value to Realized Value) serves as a key valuation tool: MVRV > 3.7: Overbought, market tops. MVRV < 1: Undervalued, market bottoms. The current reading of 2.24 reflects equilibrium, signaling potential upside. Timeline Overview April 2024 (Halving): Demand rises, supply tightens, sparking bullish momentum. 2025–2026: Peak at $150,000 as the bullish phase matures. Post-Bullish Phase: Retracement to $55,000, consistent with historical patterns. Conclusion Bitcoin’s cyclical dynamics, driven by halving mechanisms, position it uniquely in financial markets. Historical data and on-chain metrics suggest a bullish trajectory to $150,000, with an 80% drawdown to $55,000 post-peak. While short-term volatility remains, Bitcoin’s long-term appeal as a store of value persists. Disclaimer: This analysis is educational and not financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are volatile, and past performance does not predict future results. Sources Coin Metrics CryptoQuant TradingView Data Analysis
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Theperfectionist
1
Market Shifts To Risk-Off: Correction For Bitcoin To 85-90k.We are seeing significant flows since the Fed delivered a hawkish cut yesterday, with stocks turning sharply to the downside while the US dollar continues its recovery above 108. Another reason for this end-of-year shift could also be profit-taking, given the substantial gains in risk assets throughout the year, so traders see this as reason to exit, since FED expect less cuts next year. This shift into the US dollar and out of the stock market is also impacting cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin has turned perfectly downward from 108, which we tracked as an important resistance level in wave five of an extended wave three. Now that price turned down and broken the channel support line, it looks like an A-B-C correction is underway, likely targeting even lower levels. The key support zone for the current corrective fourth wave should be around the 84000–90000 area. This zone could provide the foundation for a potential new bullish resumption, aligning with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. Broke through that zone will put bulls in some real trouble. Grega
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by ew-forecast
“Whispers of Dominance" The Tale of Dominance and the Rise of Alt Season In the grand arena of the crypto markets, where titans clash and fortunes are forged, the charts whisper secrets to those who listen. This story is etched in the movements of Bitcoin and the altcoin dominance chart, known as OTHERS.D. Together, they dance in a delicate rhythm of power, signaling the coming tides for those who can decode them. Act I: The Prelude to Power On January 1, 2021, the market set the stage. The dominance of altcoins began to surge, rising steadily for 2 bars (28 days) with a staggering volume of 19.03T. At the same time, Bitcoin, the king of crypto, began to form a bull flag, a sign of hesitation. The altcoins faltered briefly, caught in the shadow of Bitcoin’s indecision. But the winds were shifting. Act II: The Divergence of Titans As the market surged toward April 9, 2021, Bitcoin reached its All-Time High (ATH), a peak of glory marked by the first white vertical line. Yet, in this moment of triumph, a subtle change occurred: Bitcoin began to waver. And as the king faltered, OTHERS.D — the collective might of altcoins — gathered strength. By July 16, 2021, after 5 bars (57 days) and a volume of 15.64T, dominance peaked again. The altcoin army was on the rise, even as Bitcoin’s price descended. The stage was set for a shift of power. Act III: The Wisdom of the RSI Scanner Amidst the chaos, the RSI Scanner — with its two white bands and the orange wave — became the oracle. It foretold a truth known only to the wise: “Alt Season begins when altcoin dominance breaks above the upper RSI Scanner band.” This is the moment of ascendance — when altcoins shatter their shackles and surge forward, leaving Bitcoin in their wake. Act IV: The Prophecy of March 11, 2024 Fast forward to March 11, 2024. The market holds its breath as the charts reveal a pattern: 13 bars (182 days) of synchronized movement between Bitcoin and altcoins. A volume of 32.14T pulses through the veins of the market. The white vertical lines remind us of Bitcoin’s past glories — the ATHs of April 9, 2021, and November 5, 2021. After each of these peaks, OTHERS.D continued to rise, signaling the quiet but determined march of altcoins. Now, the question looms: Will altcoins rise once more above the RSI Scanner’s upper band? Will Alt Season be unleashed upon the markets? The Pending New Era A smiley face marks the hope of a Pending New ATH for Bitcoin — a beacon of optimism in this tale of dominance and divergence. But wise traders know: the real drama lies in the hands of the altcoins. Their time is near. The charts have spoken. The stage is set. This was just a glimpse. Tomorrow, I begin to unravel the full depths of liquidity for OTHERS.D. Traders, the Bull Run for Alts has not even started. Or for a more intense delivery: Today was merely a taste. Tomorrow, I’ll unveil the true extent of liquidity flowing through OTHERS.D. Traders, the Bull Run for Alts has yet to ignite. Here is your OTHERS.D chart, paired perfectly for comparison with Bitcoin. Or, with a bit more emphasis: Here is your OTHERS.D chart, designed to pair seamlessly for comparison and deeper insight with Bitcoin.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by The_ForexX_Mindset
42
Bitcoin: New Profit Objectives Greater Risk.Bitcoin is poised to push the 104K high after breaking the previous inside bar (buy signal). While this is exciting and a newsworthy event for the casual observer, it is important to recognize some potential turning points from here. While there is no precision to this, it does offer a way to measure profit objectives and compare them to the growing RISK. Once again I will emphasize that swing trades and day trades are the most effective way to contain the large magnitude of RISK that is often overlooked by many. The blue arrow on the chart points to the 104K all time high. The thing to avoid here is shorting it with the thinking that it will "double top" ect. At this time there are no signs of weakness. The outside bar that developed a week ago has been bought up, along with any minor pullback thereafter. With the trend structure clearly in place, shorts still pose a high risk, especially on swing trade time frames. There are situations where risk on both sides of the market can be high and these are usually good times to be small or be out. As far as profit objectives: measuring Wave 1 and projecting from the Wave 2 bottom, I see inflection points in the 105K and 113K areas (see horizontal lines). We can use these to anticipate selling activity and prepare to lock in profits, etc. Can price can further? ANYTHING is possible, but as I will ALWAYS say at highs, the probability is lower. The fact that we are in the vicinity of a Wave 5 of 5 of a broader 3 is what clues me into the limited potential. The initial retrace from the current high (see illustration) or these anticipated profit objectives will serve as a short term buying opportunity (swing trade). As of now, UNTIL the 90K support is broken, I would not be bearish. Look for supports to hold and confirmations to buy on smaller time frames. It is important to REALIZE that markets move in CYCLES. At some point this bullish cycle will complete and the next corrective cycle will begin. It may be hard to believe at the present time because news and general sentiment is continuously bullish. What will catch most people off guard is when the next cycle begins, it will seem like a normal pullback only this time will it not be followed by new highs. This is when the typical trader/investor gets married to the market because they refuse to adjust to the changing structure. And like over half of the marriages today, it will be costly. For me, the 90K break will confirm that the broader corrective cycle is in play. Thank toy for considering my analysis and perspective.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
9
BTC/USD ANALYSIS BY DAVID JOSH BTC/USD H4 CHART ANALYSIS The BTC/USD chart on the 4-hour timeframe suggests a potential reversal pattern amid recent volatility. After reaching a peak near $109,551, Bitcoin has faced downward pressure, testing key support levels around $92,633. This reflects a corrective move following its upward trajectory. Fundamentally , the market is influenced by macroeconomic factors such as regulatory news and institutional investment trends in cryptocurrency. Market sentiment remains cautious with traders closely monitoring global economic cues. Key Levels: Resistance: Around $104,339 Support: Critical at $92,633 Trading Strategy Traders might consider buying opportunities if the price breaks above resistance at $101,158 with strong volume. Conversely, a break below current support could signal further downside risk to the lower support level. Risk management is crucial given Bitcoin's inherent volatility. Monitoring fundamental indicators alongside technical signals can help navigate this dynamic market environment effectively.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by David_Josh_Trader
1
BTCUSD H1 : POTENTIAL BEARISH CONTINUTOIN DOWNTREND BTCUSD H1 : POTENTIAL BEARISH CONTINUTOIN DOWNTREND Pennants are typically consolidation patterns that precede a continuation of the prior trend. In this case, the prior trend was downward, so the pennant suggests a potential resumption of the downtrend. KEY AREAS ENTRY POINT $96300 TO $96800 1ST TP $93500 2ND TP $92500 SL $97042 For more updates and information keep following me and comment, like and support if you are agree with my analysis.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Investing_Hours
BTC is approaching the 99,000 resistance zone,BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BTC is approaching the 99,000 resistance zone, where selling pressure could emerge. If this level holds, the downside target remains at 86,000, which aligns with a significant support level. Keep an eye on price action and momentum indicators for confirmation before entering a position. Entry Position: - **Sell Entry:** Around 98,900–99,100 (to account for potential resistance zone fluctuations). Stop Loss: - **Stop Loss:** 99,600 (above the resistance zone to manage risk). Target: - **Take Profit:** 86,000 (key support zone). Risk-Reward Ratio: - Ensure the risk-to-reward ratio is at least 1:2 to maintain a favorable trading setup. Adjust your position size accordingly. Keep monitoring for bearish confirmation signals (e.g., rejection wicks, bearish divergence, or a breakdown of intraday support).
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by TRADE_CENTER_1