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DXY Index at Critical Resistance: Possible Clues for USD Pairs👀👉 The US Dollar Index (DXY) is nearing a key resistance zone, repeatedly tested on both the monthly and weekly timeframes, which often signals a potential market reaction or rejection. While the US dollar has maintained a strong bullish trend, these factors suggest a possible near-term reversal, offering potential opportunities in both correlated and inversely correlated currency pairs. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions. 📊✅
TVC:DXY
by tradingwithanthony
Levels discussed on Livestream 21 October21st October DXY: needs to stay above 103.40 to continue uptrend to 103.90, beyond that 104.20 NZDUSD: Sell 0.6040 SL 30 TP 60 AUDUSD: Sell 0.6635 SL 20 TP 60 GBPUSD: Sell 1.2950 SL 30 TP 130 EURUSD: Look for reaction at 1.08-1.0780 support level USDJPY: Buy 150.50 SL 30 TP 120 (Hesitation at 150.90-151) USDCHF: Buy 0.8680 SL 35 TP 70 USDCAD: Could climb higher, looking for reaction around 1.39 Gold: Look for retracement to complete, then continue uptrend to 2750 (needs to stay above 2700)
TVC:DXY
by JinDao_Tai
How High Can the Dollar Go?The US dollar continues its impressive rally, marking three consecutive weeks of gains. This sustained strength is fueled by robust US economic data, persistent inflation, and a hawkish Federal Reserve. The dollar's rally reflects a significant shift in market sentiment. Initially triggered by escalating geopolitical tensions, the dollar's strength has been further reinforced by positive economic data. This combination of factors has fueled a powerful uptrend. Economic Strength: The US economy has consistently defied expectations of a slowdown, with strong labor market data and resilient consumer spending driving growth. Nonfarm payrolls continue to impress, with a significant number of jobs being added to the economy. The unemployment rate remains low, indicating a tight labor market. This, combined with robust consumer spending, paints a positive picture of the US economy, bolstering the dollar's appeal. Inflation Persistence: Despite some cooling, US inflation remains sticky, exceeding the Fed's 2% target. This persistent inflation reinforces the Fed's hawkish stance and diminishes the likelihood of significant rate cuts, further supporting the dollar's strength. Technical Confirmation: The dollar's uptrend is evident in the technicals. The US Dollar Index (DXY) has broken through key resistance levels, signaling further upside potential. The clean breakouts and strong momentum observed on various timeframes reinforce the bullish outlook for the dollar. Traders are closely watching for a sustained break above the 104 level, which could open the door for a more upside trajectory. Upcoming News: Bank of Canada (BoC) Interest Rate Decision: The BoC is widely expected to cut rates by 50 basis points, reflecting the slowdown in the Canadian economy and easing inflation. This potential rate cut could weigh on the Canadian dollar, particularly against the strong US dollar. A dovish BoC could push USD/CAD above 1.3900, while a data-dependent approach with a pause in a rate cut trajectory might cause a bounce from this level and return back toward the trendline. Eurozone and UK PMIs: The release of manufacturing and services PMIs for the Eurozone and the UK will provide further insights into the economic outlook for these regions. Weaker-than-expected PMI figures could weigh on the euro and the British pound, especially against the strong US dollar. EUR/USD falling to 1.0800. Break below likely - Only a hawkish ECB or strong PMIs can save it. Will 1.3000 hold? Traders are on edge as GBP/USD tests this key support. A break could trigger a wave of selling towards 1.2850. Share your thoughts on the dollar's outlook in the comments below. Follow our profile for more fundamental and technical analysis updates. This is a market analysis, not trading advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trade responsibly and do your own research.
TVC:DXY
by E8Markets
DXY Will Move Lower! Sell! Here is our detailed technical review for DXY. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 103.495. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 102.219. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TVC:DXYShort
by SignalProvider
1
What America Does with Its Money ? 🇺🇸 Decoding America's Spending: A Deep Dive into Government Finances This topic has been on the horizon for a while, and I think many new traders will be pleased to see it so LFG Just like a business, the government has its own financial records : 💰 Money comes in (primarily from taxes) 💸 Money goes out (to fund a variety of programs) With an expected gross domestic product (GDP) of nearly $29 trillion in 2024, the US remains the world’s largest economy, surpassing China’s $18.5 trillion. However, the US government isn’t exactly profitable. In fact, it’s been consistently running a growing deficit, raising concerns about its long-term financial stability. As a general election approaches, it's more important than ever to understand how the US generates and spends its money. So, let’s dive into the details Here’s a quick overview: - Revenue: A deep dive into taxes - Spending: Powering the nation - Bottom Line: Operating costs & the deficit - National Debt: A mounting challenge - The Future: America's financial outlook 1. Revenue: A Deep Dive into Taxes The US government operates on an enormous scale, and like any large organization, it requires a consistent stream of income to stay functional. However, unlike businesses that sell products or services, the government generates revenue primarily through taxes and fees In fiscal year 2023, the federal government collected an astounding $4.4 trillion So, where does all of this money come from? Let’s take a closer look: 👥 Individual Income Taxes:Nearly 50% of the government’s total revenue comes from individuals. Every time you receive a paycheck, a portion is automatically sent to Uncle Sam. This also includes taxes on capital gains from investments. 🏦 Social Security and Medicare Taxes: About 36% of revenue is generated from these taxes, which support programs like Social Security and Medicare for retirees and older adults. It’s a system where current workers help fund benefits for those who have already retired. 🏢 Corporate Income Taxes:Around 10% of the total revenue comes from businesses, which contribute a portion of their profits to the federal government. This is reflected in the income tax provisions that companies report. 🧩 Other Revenue:The remaining ~4% is sourced from various channels such as excise taxes (extra charges on goods like alcohol and tobacco), estate taxes, customs duties, and even fees collected from national park visits. 2. Spending: Powering the Nation Now that we’ve seen how money flows into the US Treasury, it’s time to explore the exciting part figuring out how it’s spent. The US government faces the enormous responsibility of keeping the country functioning, covering everything from national defense to healthcare and infrastructure. And that demands a massive amount of spending In fiscal year 2023, the federal government's net cost was $7.9 trillion, which is almost as large as the combined GDP of Germany and Japan the world’s third and fourth largest economies! -Outlays vs. Net Cost:In FY23, total outlays (the actual cash spent) reached $6.1 trillion. Outlays refer to the cash disbursements, while the net cost also includes accrual-based accounting adjustments, such as changes in the future value of federal employee retirement benefits. Who’s Deciding Where the Money Goes So, how does the government determine how to allocate all this money? It’s a balancing act involving both the President and Congress: -The President’s Proposal: The President begins the process by proposing a budget, outlining spending priorities based on requests from federal agencies. Think of it as a wish list—with a lot of extra zeros. -House and Senate Role:Next, the House and Senate Budget Committees take over. They review the President’s proposal, make adjustments, and ultimately create the final spending bills. This process involves hearings, debates, and a fair amount of political negotiation. Types of Spending -Mandatory Spending:These are legally required expenses, like Social Security and Medicare, which make up a significant portion of the budget. These costs rise over time, particularly as the population ages -Discretionary Spending:This is the part of the budget where the President and Congress decide how much to allocate to areas like defense, education, and more. In FY23, discretionary spending accounted for roughly 28% of total outlays, and it involves a yearly struggle as various departments compete for funding. -Supplemental Spending: In cases of emergency, Congress can pass additional funding outside the normal budget cycle, as it did for the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. Where the Money Goes Now, let's dive deeper into the specific areas where all that spending is directed: -🏥 Healthcare Heavyweight:The Department of Health and Human Services commands the largest portion of spending, making up 22% of the net cost. This reflects the huge outlays for healthcare programs like Medicare and Medicaid. -👵 Social Safety Net:Programs like Veterans Affairs and the Social Security Administration also require significant funding, together accounting for 18% of the budget. This demonstrates the high priority placed on supporting veterans and retirees. -🫡 Defense and Security:The Department of Defense, tasked with ensuring national security, takes up 13% of government spending! -💸 The Interest Burden: A growing share of the budget is going toward paying interest on the national debt, consuming 9% of total spending. In FY23, government outlays represented 22% of the US economy (GDP). Over the past decade, this figure has remained slightly above 20%, excluding the exceptional impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. 3. Bottom Line: Operating Cost & Deficit When government expenditures exceed its revenue, a budget deficit occurs In FY23, the U.S. government recorded a $1.7 trillion deficit (revenue minus outlays). Here’s a breakdown of two key financial terms: -Net Operating Cost:This includes all costs incurred by the government, even if the payments haven’t been made yet. In FY23, the net operating cost was $3.4 trillion -Budget Deficit:This is a narrower measure, focusing only on the cash difference between revenue and outlays. As mentioned, the FY23 budget deficit stood at $1.7 trillion Both of these financial measures reveal a government consistently spending beyond its means—a pattern that has persisted for decades. In fact, over the past 50 years, the U.S. federal budget has only seen a surplus four times, with the most recent one occurring in 2001. 4. National Debt: A Mounting Challenge So, how does the government continue operating despite being in the red? It borrows money, mainly by issuing Treasury bonds, bills, and other securities. This borrowing adds to the national debt, which has grown into a major concern for the country’s economic outlook. As of September 2024, the national debt has reached a staggering $36 trillion. To put that in perspective, it's as if every person in the US owes over $100,000! Every time the government spends more than it earns, the shortfall is added to the national debt, which, in turn, increases the interest payments that need to be made in the future. Why the Debt Keeps Growing ? Several factors contribute to the relentless increase of the national debt: -Persistent Deficits:For decades, the government has continuously spent more than it collects in revenue, leading to ongoing debt accumulation. -Wars and Economic Crises: Significant events such as wars (like those in Iraq and Afghanistan) and economic crises (including the 2008 recession and the COVID-19 pandemic) often necessitate large government expenditures, further escalating the debt. -Tax Cuts and Spending Increases: Policy decisions that either reduce government revenue (through tax cuts) or increase spending (by introducing new programs or expanding existing ones) also play a role in growing the debt. The national debt presents a complicated issue without straightforward solutions. It requires balancing essential funding for programs and services while ensuring the nation’s long-term financial health. 5. The Future: America’s Finances The road ahead is filled with challenges. The national debt continues to rise, with a debt-to-GDP ratio surpassing 100%, raising concerns about the nation's long-term economic stability and ability to fulfill financial commitments. According to the Department of the Treasury, the current fiscal trajectory is unsustainable. Projections based on existing policies show a persistent gap between expected revenue and spending. Without substantial policy reforms, the national debt is likely to keep increasing. Several factors will influence the future of America’s finances: -Economic Growth: A strong economy generates higher tax revenues, making it easier to manage the debt. Conversely, slower growth could worsen the deficit and increase the debt burden. -Interest Rates:Rising interest rates would elevate the cost of servicing the national debt, redirecting funds from other vital programs. -Inflation: Excessive government debt can contribute to inflation, diminishing the purchasing power of individuals and businesses. -Political Polarization: The significant partisan divide in U.S. politics complicates consensus-building on fiscal policy and the implementation of long-term solutions to address the debt. -Demographic Shifts: An aging population increases pressure on entitlement programs like Social Security and Medicare, leading to higher government spending and potentially widening the deficit. To tackle the challenges of growing debt and deficits, a combination of strategies is needed: -Controlling Spending:Identifying areas for budget cuts or finding more efficient methods to deliver government services. -Increasing Revenue:Exploring avenues for raising revenue through tax reforms or other means. -Fostering Economic Growth:Implementing policies that promote sustainable long-term economic growth and boost tax revenues. -Encouraging Bipartisan Cooperation:Seeking common ground across party lines to implement lasting fiscal reforms. The future of America’s finances remains uncertain, but one thing is clear: addressing the national debt and ensuring the nation’s long-term fiscal health will require tough decisions and a commitment to responsible financial management. What Can Be Done? It’s easy to feel overwhelmed by the scale of these challenges, but meaningful change often starts with informed citizens. As we head into a new election cycle, understanding how the US government manages its finances is more crucial than ever. So, what do you think should be America’s financial priorities? Should policymakers concentrate on cutting spending, raising taxes, or fostering economic growth?
TVC:DXYEducation
by moonypto
2
Bullish bounce?US Dollar Index (DXY) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance level which acts as a pullback resistance. Pivot: 103.33 1st Support: 102.83 1st Resistance: 103.98 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYLong
by ICmarkets
US Dollar DXY Surge : Is DXY Ready for a Major Breakout to $106?"The U.S. Dollar Index is showing strong signs of a bullish reversal! Are we about to witness a breakout toward $106? Get ready for what could be a big move in the dollar market!" **Title:** "U.S. Dollar Surge: Is DXY Ready for a Major Breakout to $106? 📈" **Hook:** "The U.S. Dollar Index is showing strong signs of a bullish reversal! Are we about to witness a breakout toward $106? Get ready for what could be a big move in the dollar market!" --- **DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) Analysis:** This chart of the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) on the daily timeframe shows a potential bullish setup, indicating a promising buy opportunity for those looking to take advantage of a strengthening U.S. dollar. Key elements of the analysis: 1. **Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern:** The chart reveals an inverse head and shoulders formation, a reliable bullish reversal pattern. This signals a potential shift in market sentiment, with buyers starting to dominate. The breakout from the neckline around 103.50 further strengthens the case for a bullish outlook. 2. **Key Resistance Zone:** After the breakout above the downtrend line, DXY is approaching a critical resistance zone near 104.00, which could serve as a short-term hurdle. A successful close above this level could confirm the breakout, pushing the index toward the 106.00–107.00 target area. 3. **Accumulation Opportunity:** A pullback toward the 102.50–103.00 support area could offer a good entry point for long positions. The chart suggests that buyers could step in at this level, increasing the probability of upward momentum in the coming weeks. 4. **Bullish Target:** The projection in the green path anticipates a rally toward the 106.00 region, marking a significant upside potential from current levels. Traders should keep a close eye on key support and resistance zones to confirm entry points and manage risk effectively. This setup presents a strong opportunity for a long position in DXY, with risk management strategies like stop-losses below 102.00 to minimize potential downside. **Disclaimer Statement:** "The content provided in this video is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Trading cryptocurrencies involves significant risk, and you should always perform your own analysis before making any investment decisions. The creator of this content is not responsible for any financial losses incurred by viewers. Additionally, any misuse of this information for illegal activities will be prosecuted under applicable laws and may have spiritual consequences in the hereafter."
TVC:DXYLong
by Robinhold