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Idea for next week.The Dollar Index (DXY) is currently trading at $104.123, up by 0.10%, but hovers close to a key pivot point at $104.144. This level aligns with the 50-day EMA of $104.146, marking it as a critical zone for short-term direction. Should DXY break above $104.15, we might see upward momentum build, pushing toward immediate resistance at $104.281, with additional targets at $104.407 and $104.545. However, if the dollar falls below $104.144, support at $104.006 could be tested, with further downside risk toward $103.820. Traders should note that maintaining above the pivot is essential for sustaining a bullish trend in the near term.
TVC:DXY
by EZIO-FX
Dollar Index - Election Years Comes With Volatile SwingsThe U.S. Dollar Index tracks the strength of the dollar against a basket of major currencies. DXY was originally developed by the U.S. Federal Reserve in 1973 to provide an external bilateral trade-weighted average value of the U.S. dollar against global currencies. U.S. Dollar Index goes up when the U.S. dollar gains "strength" (value), compared to other currencies. The following six currencies are used to calculate the index: Euro (EUR) 57.6% weight Japanese yen (JPY) 13.6% weight Pound sterling (GBP) 11.9% weight Canadian dollar (CAD) 9.1% weight Swedish krona (SEK) 4.2% weight Swiss franc (CHF) 3.6% weight US Dollar Slips, Business Spending Rises: The dollar edges lower despite a 4-week winning streak, as positive economic data dampens rate cut expectations. US business spending plans exceed expectations, while German business sentiment improves. 50/50 going into next week even though business has been conducted @ 104.450. There is still the potential for next weeks price action to attack the daily order block @ 104.801 whilst punishing buyers by continuing to sell-off to 103.444, a target previously mentioned last week.
TVC:DXY
by LegendSince
Unmasking DXY's Bullish Potential with Volume ProfileH ello, The unusually high market activity around the 100.5 level indicated strong bullish accumulation. The yellow ellipses highlight the volume and price levels. You can see that volume decreases both above and below this key level. This accumulation is evident because the price broke out of a bullish consolidation pattern, as shown in the left yellow circle, reaching a high of 103.9, indicated by the yellow line. This is the current level, where you may notice exceptionally high market activity. As the price remains above the green demand zone, the red supply zone may be tested, as suggested by the volume profile. Regards, Ely
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by Elysian_Mind
Dollar Holding Steady For The Fourth Consecutive Week, Now What?Hey there, It's been a while since we saw the dollar run as smoothly as its running now, recovering more than 50% of its value since last quarter. However, this growth doesn't come without a concerning question, how sustainable is this run? With key payroll and inflation data due next week while also moving closer to the election we're likely to see a very active market in the coming weeks. So, to get an idea of whats happening and what you should prepare for check out today's video and begin taking advantage.
TVC:DXY
by DeanMuller
Analysis Dollar / DXYAs I mentioned in yesterday's analysis, the Dollar has a strong potential to continue its bullish movement on the weekly (W) chart to capture liquidity (LQY) in the upper zones. Also, let me remind you again that the Dollar is in consolidation on the weekly (W) chart. Tomorrow, we have very strong news at the opening of the New York Stock Exchange, so I will most likely take the day off and wait to see what happens. On the hourly (H) charts, we see strong bullish momentum, but we also see a lot of liquidity below. Therefore, I believe that tomorrow's news impact will push the price down and create a pullback for the price to collect buy orders.
TVC:DXY
by andricstrahinja95
Dollar / DXY AnalysisOn the weekly chart, we can see that the Dollar is aiming to capture liquidity in the zones above. We also see that the Dollar is in consolidation on the weekly chart. On the daily chart, the Dollar is strongly bullish, which indicates to me that it will continue its bullish movement. What happened today is a pullback, which I mentioned in yesterday's analysis, followed by a continuation of the bullish trend. Tomorrow, we have news throughout the day that will affect the Dollar, so I will most likely take a break and observe what the price does during the day. We also have news for the EUR, which is not of great importance, and GBP news that may push the price in a certain direction. On the hourly charts, the Dollar continues with its bullish structure.
TVC:DXY
by andricstrahinja95
WHY I THINK DOLLARS ARE IN DEMAND...ITS GOOD BUSINESS.The Case for Dollar Strength Amid Margin Compression The relationship between U.S. Treasury yields and the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) continues to draw attention, particularly as we observe a divergence between 10-year yields and the DXY. With the 10-year yields showing signs of a sell-off, the dollar has managed to surge, reflecting broader market sentiment favoring the dollar as a safe haven. Margin Compression and Its Implications Margin compression refers to the reduction of profit margins, often due to rising costs or increased competition. In the context of financial markets, when profit margins tighten, investors tend to seek safe assets to protect their capital. The behavior signals caution, leading to a flight towards more stable currencies like the U.S. dollar. The observed margin compression across various sectors could indicate heightened demand for dollar-denominated assets. This trend is consistent with the movement in the DXY, which has seen a sharp uptick, possibly fueled by global investors buying into the dollar to hedge against market volatility and declining yields. 10-Year Yield Dynamics and Dollar Demand The graphical comparison of the 10-year U.S. Treasury yields against the DXY reveals an interesting narrative. As yields show signs of a sell-off, typically indicating lower confidence in growth or inflation outlooks, the dollar has strengthened. This inverse relationship can be attributed to investors shifting capital into the U.S. dollar as a safety net amid broader economic concerns. Essentially, when there is less faith in long-term yields, the appeal of holding dollars rises. What This Means for Future Dollar Movements Given the current landscape, where margin compression is forcing businesses and investors to tighten their strategies, there is a potential for continued buying pressure on the dollar. The DXY's consistent rise suggests that the dollar could maintain its upward trajectory, especially if the U.S. economy continues to outperform its global peers or if there is increased economic uncertainty worldwide. In conclusion, margin compression, often underappreciated, is proving to be a critical indicator of where capital flows are heading. As long as investors remain cautious and seek stability, the dollar is likely to remain strong. Keep an eye on these dynamics, as they could play a significant role in guiding trading strategies in the weeks to come.
TVC:DXY
by moneymagnateash
Daily Chart Analysis of the DXY Dollar Index The DXY (Dollar Index) is currently approaching a significant supply and resistance zone in the range of 104.00 to 104.50. This level has historically acted as a barrier to further price increases, and we expect a potential rise in supply (selling pressure) around this area, which could temporarily halt the upward momentum in the short term. Key Levels: Resistance Zone: 104.00 - 104.50 Potential Target: If a breakout occurs, the next medium-term target may be above this range. Current Strategy: Short positions can be considered around 104.00 to 104.50, but patience is advised to observe the exhaustion of buying power at this resistance level. Key Considerations: Supply Increase Expected: The resistance level at 104.00 to 104.50 is likely to attract sellers, potentially capping the price in the short term. The market will need strong buyer momentum to overcome this supply zone. Watch for Exhaustion of Buyers: Look for signs of buyer fatigue, such as weaker upward moves, before entering a sell position. This could signal the ideal time to act within this range. Potential Breakout: In the event of a strong breakout above 104.50, the upward trend may continue in the medium term, suggesting that selling pressure has been absorbed. In such a case, waiting for confirmation of sustained price action beyond 104.50 would be essential before considering a reversal of strategy. Risk Management: Implement tight stop-loss orders in case the price surges past the 104.50 resistance, invalidating the short-selling scenario. Conclusion: At this stage, the 104.00 to 104.50 level represents a critical resistance zone for the DXY. While selling at this range could be profitable in the short term, it's important to wait for clear signs of weakening buyer strength. However, a strong breakout could shift the market's direction towards further price gains in the medium term.
TVC:DXYShort
by BourseNegar
Dollar Index - Busy Week Ahead. Expect VolatilityFor over 2 weeks, dollar index has been bullish, rallying up to the weekly objective of 103.546 - 104.080 fair value gap whilst also pinging off the daily bearish order block. Bearishness this week down to the most local imbalance @ 103.444 - 103.345 (T1) and 102.993 - 103.031 (T2) would be considered a healthy retracement in the grand scheme of the bull run. Have you not noticed that as the FED and other central banks lower their interest rates (effectively making their money to borrow cheaper) lead to a low resistance liquidity run. Monday - 2 medium events Tuesday - 4 medium, 1 High event Wednesday - 3 Medium - 5 High event Thursday - 4 Medium, 9 High event Friday - 5 medium, 2 High events
TVC:DXYShort
by LegendSince