XLV trade ideas
Healthcare is still in a bull market - be longAt the start of 2022, healthcare stocks have gotten killed, especially anything that was a winner in the past 1-2 years. A lot of people are getting rather bearish, but they shouldn't be. The fundamentals favor healthcare still in many ways, and momentum is still rather strong. We already got the breakout in healthcare stocks, and we just got the retest, which was enough to scare a lot of people out. Now is a great entry for a long position, coming out of a short consolidation into a potential new bull phase.
Bullish Candle in Health Care as Key Conference BeginsThe SPDR Health Care ETF Health care has pulled back after a sharp rally in December. Some interesting patterns are also appearing on the chart.
First, XLV stands out because it was the first major sector fund to go positive yesterday. Its 1 percent gain also made it the top performer in the session.
Second, the bounce followed a drop to a one-month low and took out Friday’s high. That kind of large bullish outside candle is a potential reversal pattern. It could mark the end of a six-day skid.
Next, it’s noteworthy that buyers stepped in to defend the 50-day simple moving average (SMA).
In addition, Monday’s low was near a previous high on November 26. A downward-sloping trendline along the highs of September and November could also be turning from old resistance to new support.
Finally, you have an active calendar. The 40th Annual J.P. Morgan HealthCare Conference takes place this week, followed by quarterly results from top holdings UnitedHealth (1/19) and Johnson & Johnson (1/25).
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$XLV looks risky (3/5)Conviction: 4/5
Health Care sector looks quite risky. It is touching long-term resistance (2008).
RSI-W is also putting in a seeming-start to bearish divergence.
Major indicator (perhaps) if this breakdown from short-term support.
Historically this could mean another few months of uptrend, but longer term this does not look good for the sector.
However, it is looking quite attractive relative to SPY, so could be a good place to hide when things go to the pooper.
$XLV going to outperform $SPY (5/5)Conviction: 5/5
Health Care ( AMEX:XLV ) is looking very attractive relative to S&P 500 ( AMEX:SPY ), just bounced off of long-term (2022) support on a relative basis.
RSI-M at oversold levels (obviously), while RSI-W seems to have put in a bullish divergence?
Let's see which channel wins, but I think long-term one is stronger.
$XLV set to outperform $SPY (4/5)Conviction: 4/5
Relative performance of Health Care against S&P 500 ( AMEX:SPY ) looks pretty good for the long term. However, it recently broke below support sooo not 100% sure, possibly 90% sure.
However, $XLV seems like it might be ready for a drop based on its own trends.
signal for near-term drop of the markets?
Health Care Sector is due to overperform soon.As you can see from the graph, The Health Care sector has been lagging in comparison to the S&P500.
It's not only oversold on the multiyear range it's been trending at. But also on the RSI.
This position is highly correlated to GILD (posted a couple of days ago) and may be just a tool used by me as Confirmation Bias to keep on hanging :)
Take care of your health Read this article here
Think for a moment. With the society becoming more affluent, people are eating more meals, having the choice to exercise or not, have more entertainment concepts coming up and people are sleeping later and later into the night .Naturally, their health is at stake. And with old age creeping up year on year, medical care is a NECESSITY globally. In fact, the richer the countries, the more "rich diseases" (high cholesterol, high blood pressure, diabetes,etc) are prevalent.
In the rural areas where the income is very much lower, they have no other means of income other than hard labouring job. Also, they eat less a day but work longer, thus the physical body is at work, lubricating the joints and improving the muscles tissues. Farmers are very healthy people, you know ?
This ETF is a must have, imo in anyone's portfolio , for both the good and bad times of the year !
XLV - an attractive buy
The pandemic has opened up investing opportunities in the healthcare sector. While buying stock in major companies may be attractive, I feel that investing in healthcare ETF (XLV) may be a better and more conservative option.
XLV recently hit a 52 week high but as you can see it has been pulling back (perhaps in part due to the uncertainty caused by the delta variant). I see significant support between 133.70-134.40 nearby and will be watching price action closely to enter a long trade.
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Elliott Wave View: XLV Extending HigherShort term Elliott Wave View in XLV (Healthcare EtF) suggests the rally from March 5, 2021 low is unfolding as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Up from March 5 low, wave 1 ended at 115.79 and pullback in wave 2 ended at 113.35. The ETF extended higher again in wave 3 which ended at 125.19. Pullback in wave 4 ended at 121.38 as the 1 hour chart below shows. Internal of wave 4 unfolded as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. Wave ((a)) ended at 123.03, wave ((b)) ended at 124.10 and wave ((c)) ended at 121.38
The ETF has rallied and broken above wave 3 high at 125.19, suggesting wave 5 has started. Up from wave 4 low, wave (i) ended at 123.39 and pullback in wave (ii) ended at 122.52. The ETF extended higher again in wave (iii) towards 123.86. Pullback in wave (iv) ended at 122.95, and wave (v) of ((i)) ended at 123.88. The ETF then corrects cycle from May 13, 2021 low in larger degree 3, 7, or 11 swing in wave ((ii)) which ended at 121.59. Up from there, wave (i) ended at 125.66, and pullback in wave (ii) is in progress to correct cycle from May 19 low in 3, 7, or 11 swing before the rally resumes.
Near term, as far as pivot at 121.38 low stays intact, expect wave (ii) dips to find support in 3, 7, or 11 swing for more upside. The next extreme area in 3 swing comes at 123 – 123.8 as highlighted in blue box on the chart. The blue box area should find buyers for more upside or 3 waves reaction higher at least.
Healthcare failed to Break out! Since, I am analyzing some health care stocks, I find it irresponsible to overlook the sector. The market in general has been volatile for past two weeks for now. Also, the news that are coming out are not boosting trader's confidence in the market. We have SEC looking to delist Chinese stocks and late last week one of the hedge funds defaulted on their margin account and do not have enough money to cover their loses leaving the banks on the hook! This is important because others have taken note and are reducing their risk by closing their positions, which translate more sell off in the market. Most specially technology being the most volatile sector is one of the first stocks on the chopping block when one wants to reduce risk. Health also being a traditionally defensive sector, has witness some sell offs thanks to getting to overbought due to pandemic. However, past few days health has been getting very strong and picked up momentum. So much so that it was about to break out. However, it has failed to do so. Given the market condition I expect lower prices in health sector ahead. However, compare to other sectors. Healthcare selloff started much earlier in early Feb; therefore, it is safe to conclude that it will be one of the sectors that may hold its ground much better than other sectors that just has started selling off! At the end of the day, healthcare is one of the defensive sectors when investors want to reduce risk.