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BTCUPUSDT trade ideas

BTC HOLDING LEVELSDear friends, I want to analyze and discuss Bitcoin's future movements without any unnecessary chatter. Looking back at my previous analysis of BTC, I mentioned that I was waiting for lower prices to buy Bitcoin, and it seems we are at the beginning of the correction waves I was anticipating. I have identified three price levels where I plan to invest. It may take days or weeks to reach these levels, but once they do, I will buy Bitcoin and wait for it to reach $135,000 or even higher. I expect the price to continue its downward trend, potentially reaching $70,000 or lower. I plan to make my purchases at $80,000, $75,000, and if the price hits $67,000, I will invest my full budget. My first target is $135,000, which I believe could be achieved in the coming months or years. IMPORTANT: I will sell my holdings if the price continues to drop to $54,000. This could lead to significant issues for Bitcoin and its holders, so if that happens, I will exit my position and wait for new upward momentum. "IT'S JUST GOOD BUSINESS"
Short
by armindehghani
1
Bitcoin Local TopBitcoin: rally meets resistance Context • April low: $74 000 → today’s high: $101 200 (+37 %) • 90‑day pause on new US tariffs lifted risk assets; FOMC left rates at 4.25‑4.50 % with real yields still > 2 % • Active conflicts in Ukraine, Gaza and the South China Sea keep macro‑volatility elevated Flows • US spot‑ETF complex: cumulative net inflow $40.7 bn, AUM $106 bn • BlackRock’s IBIT: 15 consecutive inflow days, $6.96 bn YTD • MicroStrategy: bought 15 355 BTC (~$1.42 bn) last week, now holds 553 k BTC Technical focus (2‑hour chart) • Price is 11 % above the rising trendline from 1 May • Key confluence: $101 700 – $103 000 (0.27 Fib plus unfilled weekly supply) • First support: $97 000 – $98 000; major demand: $92 000 • Mean‑reversion target if momentum breaks: $86 000 • Invalidation of pullback view: daily close above $103 500 Base case 60 % probability of a retest of $92–97 k before any sustained advance 30 % chance of a deeper wash to $86 k 10 % chance of a clean breakout through $103 k toward $109 k+ Takeaways • Long‑only allocators: add on a confirmed weekly close above $103 k; risk below $98 k • Swing traders: fade spikes above $102 k toward $97 k; tighten stops if daily > $103 k • Spot accumulators: schedule bids at $92 k and $86 k; avoid chasing upside extensions Educational commentary, not investment advice. Manage position size and respect stops.
Short
by manelfx
Bullish on $BTC🧠 Wyckoff Overview 🔻 This chart follows Accumulation Schematic #1 in Wyckoff theory. 🔻 The Spring phase (Phase C) is confirmed. 🔻 BTC has broken out from the accumulation zone. 🔻 We are now in Phase D, expecting a move into Phase E (new ATH). 📊 Technical Details 🔻 Accumulation zone: Around $72,000 – $88,000. 🔻 Spring (Phase C): A fakeout happened near $68,000, matching Wyckoff structure. 🔻 Breakout is confirmed after price moved above the downtrend line and Ichimoku cloud. 🔻 Main resistance: $95,000 – currently testing the supply zone. 🔻 Target: If breakout continues, BTC could reach a new ATH above $110,000. 📈 RSI and Volume 🔻 RSI at 66.71: Not overbought yet, still has room to go up. 🔻 Volume is increasing along with the breakout → shows strong buying pressure. 🎯 Personal Prediction 🔻 If BTC holds above $92,000 – $95,000 and continues to consolidate: → Short-term goal: $100,000 → Mid-term goal (Wyckoff Phase E): $110,000 – $112,000
Long
by Lupinut
"New Hampshire Launches First State Crypto Reserve"On May 7, 2025, the state of New Hampshire made history by becoming the first U.S. state to legally establish a cryptocurrency reserve. This groundbreaking move allows up to 5% of the state’s treasury funds to be allocated to digital assets, starting with Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies boasting a market capitalization exceeding $500 billion. Why Is This Important? Until now, even the most crypto-friendly states in the U.S. have limited themselves to business incentives and relaxed mining regulations. New Hampshire has taken a much bolder step by equating cryptocurrencies to traditional reserve assets like gold and treasury bonds. By doing so, it is effectively recognizing crypto as a long-term financial instrument and a hedge against macroeconomic volatility. This means the state can use cryptocurrency holdings to diversify its financial base, preserve value, and potentially improve budget flexibility during economic shifts. Security and Storage The newly passed legislation specifies that crypto assets must be held either in certified custodial wallets or via regulated exchange-traded products (ETPs) approved by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). This ensures a high level of security and regulatory compliance. In addition, the law mandates that crypto assets must be held for a minimum of 24 months to discourage short-term speculation. Federal Context and Reactions While President Trump has proposed the creation of a federal “Strategic Bitcoin Reserve,” the initiative has yet to be implemented. New Hampshire’s move places it ahead of the federal government and presents a model of state-level innovation in fiscal policy. Many analysts believe this decision could lead to a wave of similar measures in other states, particularly those already supportive of blockchain technology, such as Texas, Wyoming, and Florida. Potential Benefits Economists say that integrating digital assets into the public financial system could help protect state funds against inflation, foster technological innovation, and attract new businesses and investors. The move also sends a message to private sector players: New Hampshire is ready to embrace the future of finance. This could accelerate the migration of blockchain startups, fintechs, and institutional capital to the state. Criticism and Concerns As expected, not everyone supports the initiative. Critics argue that investing public money in such volatile assets is premature and risky, especially given the lack of federal regulation and the possibility of sharp market downturns. Some fear political fallout if the investment underperforms. There are also concerns about transparency and the mechanisms for evaluating which digital assets qualify under the new framework, as only tokens with extremely high market caps are currently eligible. Conclusion By creating a cryptocurrency reserve, New Hampshire has taken a bold and symbolic step toward modernizing state finance. It may be too early to gauge the long-term outcome, but the state has clearly positioned itself as a leader in government-level crypto adoption. What began as a local initiative could soon become a national trend.
Long
by HCN-News12
BTC/USDT: Long Opportunity After Order Block Breakout #### **Market Context** - Price has **broken and closed above** the key order block resistance, invalidating sell setups. - Current structure favors **bullish continuation** with a clean retest of the new demand zone. #### **Key Levels** - **Entry Zone**: **104,018.6** (Retest of bullish order block) - **Stop Loss**: **103,627.7** (Below recent swing low) - **Targets**: - **TP1**: 104,809 (Initial liquidity pool) - **TP2**: 105,179 (Next swing high) - **Risk/Reward**: **1:3+** (Conservative) #### **Analysis** - **Breakout Confirmation**: The previous resistance (order block) has flipped into support. - **Entry Logic**: Price retraced with a **healthy pullback** (not aggressive selling) into the new demand zone. - **SL Placement**: Below the recent swing low to avoid false breakdowns. #### **Trade Execution** - **Long Entry**: **104,018.6** (Limit order preferred for better fills). - **Stop Loss**: **103,627.7** (~0.4% risk from entry). - **Take Profit**: - **TP1**: 104,809 (Partial close to secure profit). - **TP2**: 105,179 (Runner position if momentum continues). #### **Risk Management** - **Do Not Risk More Than 1-2%** of capital per trade. - Adjust position size if volatility expands. #### **Chart Notes** - **Green Zone**: New demand area (retest entry). - **Red Line**: Invalidation level (stop loss). - **Blue Arrows**: Expected price path. --- ### **Why This Setup?** - **Trend Alignment**: Higher timeframe (HTF) bias remains bullish. - **Order Block Confirmation**: Old resistance now acts as support. - **Optimal R/R**: Favorable risk-reward with clear invalidation. **Next Watch**: If BTC holds above **104K**, next target is **105.5K**.
Long
by Darkanalysis
Bitcoin: Sellers Still Holding Their GroundHey traders and investors! On the daily and weekly timeframes – sideways ranges (boundaries marked in black on the chart). The current initiative is from the seller. 📌 Yesterday, the seller made an effort to push the price down — this shouldn't be ignored. 📊 Targets on the chart: Weekly TF: 96,500 Daily TF: 89,256 10-day TF: 99,475 (upper boundary of the buyer zone) Although I expect the price to continue moving up, it's not advisable to look for buy setups until clear signs of buyer strength appear. 🚨 Selling is risky (details in the post about the 10-day TF). 👀 Observing. This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Wishing you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
Phemex Analysis #80: Can Bitcoin Hold $100k?Bitcoin’s breakout above the $100,000 mark on May 8, 2025—its highest level since early January—reflects renewed risk-on sentiment across global markets, supported by easing U.S.-China tension and expectations of favorable crypto regulation. Spot ETF flows have also played a pivotal role: U.S. Bitcoin ETFs have accumulated over $1 billion in net inflows this month, with BlackRock’s IBIT leading demand, underpinning liquidity in the $100k zone. Despite the enthusiasm, trading volumes on leading exchanges have shown signs of plateauing, hinting at cautious engagement from larger players. Possible Scenario Support Analysis 1. $100,000 Psychological Support After initially spiking to $105,784, BTC retreated to hover just above $100k, which has transitioned into a crucial support level. A decisive hold here would confirm buyer conviction at round-number thresholds. $97,000 Major Technical Floor: Beneath six figures, the $97,000 region—previously a resistance zone in April—now offers strong demand, reinforced by the convergence of the 50- and 100-day moving averages. $92,000 Secondary Support: Should broader market risk aversion emerge, traders could see a retracement back to $ 92K, where on-chain data indicates accumulation by long-term holders. This level aligns with the 200-day moving average, often cited as a bear-market safeguard. 2. ETF-Driven Cushion Spot ETF inflows continue to absorb sell-side pressure, potentially dampening volatility around support levels. Historical data shows ETFs acted as a buffer during the March sell-off, suggesting they may again prevent sharp dives if BTC dips towards $90k–$100k. Resistance Analysis 1. $105,000 Near-Term Cap BTC peaked at approximately $105,784 on May 12, encountering supply from short-term profit-takers. A close above this region would target the early-2025 all-time high near $109,917. 2. $109,917 All-Time High Surpassing the January ATH at $109k remains a key objective for bulls. However, historical patterns reveal increasingly subdued momentum on successive tests of this level, indicating potential exhaustion if attempted too quickly. 3.Upside Target $120,000 Most Analysts highlight a possible extension to $120k should institutional demand persist and macro conditions remain supportive. Conclusion Bitcoin’s ability to hold the $100,000 mark hinges on its capacity to stave off profit-taking around headline-grabbing price points and sustain ETF-driven support. Key technical floors at $100k and $ 97K—reinforced by moving-average convergence—provide a strong base, while resistance levels at $105k and the all-time high near $109.6k represent the next hurdles. If these zones are negotiated successfully, a new leg toward $120k could unfold; if not, traders should watch for a pullback to the mid-$90,000 range for renewed entries. Overall, barring sudden negative macro shocks, the outlook favors BTC maintaining its foothold at six figures, underpinning continued upside momentum. Pro Tips: Armed Your Trading Arsenal with advanced tools like multiple watchlists, basket orders, and real-time strategy adjustments at Phemex. Our USDT-based scaled orders give you precise control over your risk, while iceberg orders provide stealthy execution. Disclaimer: This is NOT financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). Phemex is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss incurred or claimed to be caused by or in association with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in this article.
by Phemex
Bitcoin resilience and momentum toward new highs?Bitcoin has demonstrated notable resilience in recent days, with price action maintaining a strong upward trajectory that suggests the potential for a move toward new all-time highs. This bullish momentum has persisted despite key resistance levels, signaling continued market strength. Key Points to Consider: - Bullish Market Structure**: The broader market continues to exhibit a bullish structure, characterized by higher highs and higher lows. This reinforces the ongoing uptrend and suggests that market participants remain optimistic. - Key Highs Remain Intact**: Previous significant highs have not been breached to the downside, preserving the integrity of the bullish trend. This structural consistency indicates a healthy and sustainable rally. - $104,300 – Major High Timeframe Resistance**: This level represents the last major resistance on the higher timeframes. A decisive break and close above this point would likely confirm a bullish continuation and open the door for price discovery beyond historical highs. If buyers can sustain this momentum, the likelihood of a bullish expansion significantly increases. Importantly, there have been no clear signs of weakness — such as strong rejections or bearish reversal patterns — suggesting that market confidence remains robust. Price action has consistently displayed strength, even at historically significant resistance zones. The absence of notable rejection at these levels is particularly telling, as it reflects strong demand and buying pressure. Such behavior often precedes continuation moves, provided volume supports the breakout. A true corrective move or market pullback is likely to occur only after a **climactic volume node**, where excessive buying activity may lead to short-term exhaustion. Until then, the current trend appears well-supported by bullish sentiment. However, **vigilance is crucial**. Once a correction does materialize — which is inevitable in any trending market — it may present a valuable "buy the dip" opportunity. During such phases, identifying and monitoring **key support zones** becomes critical to assessing the health of the trend and spotting optimal re-entry points. Outlook: For now, the momentum remains bullish, and higher prices are likely in the immediate short term. The market structure, strength at resistance, and absence of bearish signals all point toward the potential for further upside. Still, staying prepared for a correction and having a clear strategy for when it arrives will be essential for capitalizing on the next phase of the market cycle.
Long
by The_Alchemist_Trader_
BTC Testing Critical Reclaim Zone on the 3D Chart 🚀 BTC 3D Timeframe Insight 📈 Bitcoin is pushing back into the upper region of its parallel channel, showing renewed strength after recent sideways action. 🛡️ Key Support Zone: Holding above the 99,500 – 100,500 area is vital for bulls to keep momentum alive. ⚠️ A solid close above this range could unlock the next leg up—continuation depends on this level holding firm. 👀 Price action around this zone will decide the next move—stay alert!
by coin_mastermind
BITCOIN ( Is this the final DIP ? )I bought the dip but it just keeps dipping! it's time to put on my bear glasses and check this ponzi chart !! oh yeah As you can see in these patterns the moments everyone ready for breakout, bitcoin dumps to another lower level and kills all hopium that moonboyz, frog army and GM gurus got if you think that you are person who manage to buy the exact number at dip you are wrong too, like people who bought at 60k and had plan to sell at 90k RSI looks bearish like the pattern , I start shorting at 17490 and not going to close it till 16950$ If you got crypto on Huobi and Gemini exchange watch out too funds are NOT safu
Short
by moonypto
74
BTCUSDT:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyAll the trading signals today have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉 The current price of Bitcoin is 94,218, with a 24-hour trading volume of 2.1275 billion. The price has decreased by 0.13% over the past 24 hours and by 0.93% over the past 7 days. Technically, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is in the neutral zone, and the bullish momentum of the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is weakening, while the medium-term trend remains upward. One may consider buying when Bitcoin stabilizes within the support range of 92,500 - 93,500 and a reversal signal appears. Trading Strategy: buy@92500-93500 TP:95500-96500 The signals in the Signature have brought about continuous profits, and accurate signals are shared every day. Hurry up and click to get them! 👇 👇 👇 Obtain signals👉👉👉
Long
by PagAugustine
BTC - Ranges overview (update) Let's get back to BTC and let's see how the pa moved in the past days. As we noted previously IF we held the HTF FVG (yellow box) we should expect to trade back towards 90K-100K. We held perfectly and traded back towards our target. Hopefully the scalpers amongst you guys managed to get some nice entries (feel free to go back to the previous idea and watch how we managed to call out the 'bottom'. What is next... IF we 100K expect us to aggressively trade towards price discovery and new all time highs. IF we fail to hold 90K expect us to trade back towards 80K. Pretty simple...BE PATIENT...LET THE MARKET SHOW YOU ITS HAND...AND TRADE WITH IT. Stay safe and never risk more than 1-5% of your capital per trade. The following analysis is merely a price action based analysis and does not constitute financial advice in any form.
by Patrick2707
BTC at a Crossroads: Bull Trap or Moon Mission?A possible bearish scenario is playing out on BTC, but hey—just one of many possibilities before the real bloodbath begins. 👀 This could just be a classic trap to lure people in before shaking them out. The key resistance zone is between GETTEX:97K and $101K, a big range to clear. If we flip it and close above $102K on the weekly, that would be amazing—but let’s be real, we’ll need a strong catalyst for that. If we do, then we’re likely talking about the $120K range. On the flip side, if we drop lower from here, the most obvious support sits at $72K. Below that… well, let’s just say we don’t wanna go there—next real support isn’t until $50K. For everyone’s sake, let’s hope we don’t see those levels. Big decision point ahead—let’s see who wins this battle! ⚔️🚀
by crypto_chebz