Where is Bitcoin's current bottom?Where will the sharp decline in price stop today?
It is impossible to close below the price you specified in the box
BTCUPUSDT trade ideas
BTC NY setup4H candle just close. From a candle perspective it looks very bearish. On the other hand, it can be seen as an absportion in volume. Generally, these can be good levels for both longs and shorts. I am more bias towards longs looking at everything else it is going on with BTC.
BTCUSDT (OKX) Analysis - February 18, 2025OKX:BTCUSDT.P
**Overall Assessment:**
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) on OKX is exhibiting significant volatility and conflicting signals across different timeframes. The long-term trend (Daily chart) remains technically bullish, but is showing weakness. The 4-hour and 15-minute charts are in short-term downtrends. This analysis focuses on identifying potential areas where Smart Money might be accumulating or distributing, as well as assessing trend strength.
**Detailed Analysis by Timeframe:**
**(1) TF Day (Daily):**
* **Trend:** Uptrend (Weakening).
* **SMC (Smart Money Concepts):**
* Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL) are *less defined* than before, indicating a loss of momentum.
* Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside previously, but now showing signs of a potential pullback.
* **Liquidity:**
* **Sellside Liquidity (SSL):** Significant SSL rests below previous lows in the 85,000 - 90,000 range. This is a likely target for Smart Money if they intend to push the price lower to accumulate more positions.
* **Buyside Liquidity (BSL):** BSL is present above the all-time high (109,998.9).
* **ICT (Inner Circle Trader Concepts):**
* No clear Order Blocks or Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) are immediately obvious at the *current* price level on the Daily chart. A wider historical view might reveal them.
* **EMA:**
* Price has *broken below* the 50-period EMA (yellow), a bearish signal.
* The 200-period EMA (white) is the next major support level.
* **Money Flow (LuxAlgo):**
* The indicator shows a long red bar, indicating significant selling pressure entering the market.
* **Trend Strength (AlgoAlpha):** Not shown in the provided image.
* **Volume Profile:** Relatively low volume on the recent decline.
* **Candlesticks:** The most recent candlestick is red, confirming selling pressure.
* **Support:** EMA 200, 85,000-90,000 (SSL area).
* **Resistance:** EMA 50, Previous All-Time High.
* **Summary:** The Daily chart's uptrend is weakening. The break below the 50 EMA and the negative Money Flow are bearish signals. The large SSL zone below is a key area to watch.
**(2) TF4H (4-Hour):**
* **Trend:** Downtrend (Short-Term) - after breaking below the 50 EMA.
* **SMC:**
* Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL) are forming.
* BOS to the downside.
* **Liquidity:**
* **SSL:** Below previous lows around 92,000.
* **BSL:** Above previous highs in the 104,000 - 108,000 range.
* **ICT:**
* **Order Block:** The price is approaching a bullish Order Block (the large green candle before the previous up-move). This *could* provide support.
* **EMA:**
* Price is below both the 50-period and 200-period EMAs (bearish).
* **Money Flow (LuxAlgo):**
* Predominantly red, confirming selling pressure.
* **Trend Strength (AlgoAlpha):** Not shown in the provided image.
* **Volume Profile:** Relatively low Volume.
* **Support:** Order Block, 92,000 (SSL area).
* **Resistance:** EMA 50, EMA 200, previous highs.
* **Summary:** The 4-hour chart is in a short-term downtrend. The price is approaching a potential support zone (Order Block). The Money Flow confirms selling pressure.
**(3) TF15 (15-Minute):**
* **Trend:** Downtrend.
* **SMC:**
* Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL).
* BOS to the downside.
* **Liquidity:**
* **SSL:** Below recent lows.
* **BSL:** Above recent highs.
* **ICT:**
* **Order Block**: Price is near a bearish order block
* **EMA:**
* The 50-period and 200-period EMAs are acting as resistance.
* **Money Flow (LuxAlgo):**
* Predominantly red, confirming strong selling pressure.
* **Trend Strength (AlgoAlpha):**
* Red, confirming downtrend
* **Volume Profile:**
* **Support:** Recent lows.
* **Resistance:** EMA 50, EMA 200, previous high areas.
* **Summary:** The 15-minute chart is clearly bearish, with price action, EMAs, and Money Flow all confirming the downtrend.
**Overall Strategy and Recommendations (BTCUSDT):**
* **Primary Trend (Day):** Uptrend (Weakening).
* **Secondary Trend (4H):** Downtrend (Short-Term).
* **Short-Term Trend (15m):** Downtrend.
* **Liquidity:** Significant SSL zones exist below the current price on all timeframes.
* **Money Flow:** Negative across all timeframes.
* **Trend Strength:** Downtrend on 15m
* **Strategies:**
1. **Wait & See (Best Option):** The conflicting signals and the strong bearish momentum on the shorter timeframes make waiting the most prudent approach. Look for:
* The 4H Order Block to hold *and* for the 15m chart to show definitive bullish reversal signals (break above resistance, bullish Money Flow, bullish candlestick patterns).
* *Or*, a clear break below the 4H Order Block, which would confirm further downside.
2. **Short (High Risk):** This is the more aggressive strategy, aligned with the 15m and 4H trends.
* **Entry:** On rallies towards the 15m EMAs or other resistance levels.
* **Stop Loss:** Above recent 15m highs, or above the 4H Order Block (if you're anticipating a breakdown).
* **Target:** Potentially the SSL zones on the 4H and Daily charts.
3. **Buy on Dip (Extremely High Risk - Not Recommended):** This goes against the prevailing short-term momentum and the negative Money Flow. *Do not* attempt this unless you see *very strong* bullish reversal signals on *all* timeframes.
**Key Recommendations:**
* **Conflicting Timeframes:** The conflict between the bullish Daily chart and the bearish 4H and 15m charts is the primary concern.
* **Money Flow:** The consistently negative Money Flow across all timeframes is a major bearish signal.
* **4H Order Block:** This is a key level to watch.
* **Sellside Liquidity (SSL):** Be aware that Smart Money may target the SSL zones below. This means stop-loss hunting is a real possibility.
* **Risk Management:** Due to the high uncertainty and volatility, *strict risk management is absolutely critical*. Use tight stop-losses, do not overtrade, and be prepared for rapid price swings. Do *not* "revenge trade" if you get stopped out.
* **Volume:** Confirm any breakouts or breakdowns with volume.
* **News** Pay attention to the news.
**In conclusion, BTCUSDT is in a high-risk, high-volatility situation. The short-term downtrend is dominant, and the Money Flow is bearish. The best approach for most traders is to wait for a clearer directional bias. Shorting is a possibility for aggressive traders, but with tight risk control. Buying is extremely risky and not recommended until there are strong and consistent bullish reversal signals across multiple timeframes.**
BTC roadmapas i told you btc should attack more than twice above the ATH, so one of them happened. so i expect it happen again.
Bitcoin and altcoin overview (February 18-19)The Bitcoin scenario hasn't changed since yesterday—we are still expecting a test of key support zones, from which a full-fledged upward movement is likely to develop.
Primary target for growth: $102,000.
Sell zone:
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies).
Buy zones:
Around $95,000 (strong buyer reaction, volume anomalies).
$94,000–$93,000 (volume anomalies).
$89,000–$86,300 (accumulated volumes).
Interesting Altcoins
For WIF , the trend has shifted to long on the 4H timeframe. We are waiting for a test of the $0.57 and $0.55 levels, and if there is a false breakout with a strong buyer reaction, we expect an upward movement.
BTC trading 18.02.After seeing a beautiful model 2 into my target zone, we now came into the 5min demand with some kind of accumulation. My next target if the demand holds is the liquidity above us and maybe even the supply at 104.000$.
This trading plan made me gain 1000 points of profit
BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P BINANCE:ETHUSDT
Late yesterday, I came up with a perfect trading plan based on Bitcoin trend analysis. This plan successfully allowed me to gain 1,000 pips of profit. I think some great traders saw my trading plan at the time, and now they must be as happy and excited as I am. Of course, this makes me feel very proud and satisfied that my selfless efforts have helped more traders.
Next, I will continue to share my accurate trading plan, so that I can help more traders and stop them from being confused by investment failures!!!
Mr. Baker
#BTCUSDT ( 3 LINES )If you look at the chart, you will notice that
three strong green support lines meet at one point and
that point is around $93,200.
So we should consider this point because it could have a high probability of a reversal.
Of course, it is a personal opinion and..
03feb25 cont.Monday, 13Jan25 there was a significant and well pronounced low followed by bullish price action for that week.
20jan25 the market formed a significant well pronounced high the noted high and lows are our weekly bsl and ssl it seems as though on Monday ,03Feb25 the market delivered price back towards the low of January 13th to tap into some underlying demand; on the 4h time frame there was a bullish order block identified, which is the point of interest. I applied fibs from the swing low of January 13th to the high of January 20th. The market tested the 88.6% fib level on which corresponded with the mean threshold of the p.o.i. This event formed a higher low signifying the markets desire to go higher especially after the change of character between the 13th and the 20th of
January
* I find it very interesting that 13 minus 20 is 3. Would this help with anticipating what day events in the market will take place
Btcusdt 03Feb25 Monday, 13Jan25 there was a significant and well pronounced low followed by bullish price action for that week. 20jan25 the market formed a significant well pronounced high the noted high and lows are our weekly bsl and ssl it seems as though on Monday ,03Feb25 the market delivered price back towards the low of January 13th to tap into some underlying demand; on the 4h time frame there was a bullish order block identified, which is the point of interest. I applied fibs from the swing low of January 13th to the high of January 20th. The market tested the 88.6% fib level on which corresponded with the mean threshold of the p.o.i. This event formed a higher low signifying the markets desire to go higher especially after the change of character between the 13th and the 20th of January
* I find it very interesting that 13 minus 20 is 3. Would this help with anticipating what day an event would take place ?
BTC Monthly Fib Extension and External Range Targets High or LowFib extension drawn from Fib ext A (start month low local low) to Fib ext B (high) to Fib ext C (low of the range).
Formation is a decending wedge - obvious rejection 0.382.
Only drawn 2 low Naked Daily PoCs (Naked Point of controls). Depicted, looking at a rejection fromm he wedge to loweest NPOC. Looking higher, elevated higher highs that could be putting in with the low nPocs acting as support.
The external Fib is based of a Fib extension from the previous consolidation range, Zoom out to see how I got this.
BTC/USDT - Liquidity Grab & Potential UPSIDE MOVEMarket Analysis:
Liquidity Sweep: BTC recently grabbed sell-side liquidity around $95,215 - $95,141, triggering stop losses and gathering institutional orders.
Reversal Signs: After tapping into this liquidity, a bullish reaction has started, with price now moving towards the buy-side liquidity range.
Potential Upside Move: If BTC maintains support above $95,600, we can expect a push towards the $97,000 - $97,600 range.
Trade Setup:
✅ Entry: $95,800 - $96,000 (After price confirmation)
🎯 Target 1: $97,050
🎯 Target 2: $97,600
🚀 Extended Target: $98,800 (If momentum continues)
❌ Stop-Loss: Below $95,100 (Below liquidity grab zone)
Trade Rationale:
📌 Liquidity Grab: Market makers swept stop losses, indicating potential reversal.
📌 Market Structure: Bullish recovery from key support zone.
📌 Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:3 (low risk, high reward setup).
🔔 Waiting for confirmation before entry! A strong bullish candle close above $96,000 can confirm entry. 🚀
📢 Let me know your thoughts! Are you bullish or bearish on BTC? 📈👇
Btcusd Bullishi will be observing manipulation that will last for almost 22 days for this quarter . i am leaning bullish its early to say but still i am bullish on btc 108k is imminent. we opened in discount and manipulation is likely to the lower side so a move to upside is possible.
My insta handle :
asad_chaudhry_
BTC bounces to 1.618, it may go up to the pump, I hear it BTC bounces to 1.618, it may go up to the pump, I hear it
Lower tf btcAt some point I think we might still continue to consolidate in the current range and keep everyone in stress for some time, however, seeing the pullback makes me think people are just not let to be positioned long with every resweep occuring, eventually it will blastoff either way for sweep of lower liquidity which leaves hope for the higher targets or continue drain the wallets of the retail traders and households.
Globally speaking, I see this range as one of the final targets for BTC due to the distribution we already have in this range, So speaking of the previously uploaded 1D analysis it would be nice to see lower prices but it does not mean it will deliver there as it might still keep us in the range so the people continue buying. Who would want to buy below the range which will tell the retail traders that we broke the support, (and who will pay the money for distributed btc when their pockets already empty)
BTC 1D local analysis and further planWell since we have not gone above the premium range of the Feb 7th candle and could not break any higher from where we received the dynamic move down, the levels im focusing on are as following 94 k in the discount array of Wed 14th candle, and if we dont keep it then I am looking for 92-93k, this is if we speak locally and where we can expect any retracements on lower timeframes or rebounds. Speaking generally I really like the idea of sweeping 90k and taking the lower boundary of the range before we receive any significant growth, obviously with manipulation and accumulation of the orders on daily timeframe
Univers OF Signals | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #8👋 Welcome to Univers OF Signals !
Let's delve into the Bitcoin analysis. Today is Monday, the start of the week, so let's check out the weekly and daily timeframes for Bitcoin to see what happened last week and how the weekly candle closed.
📅 Weekly Timeframe
The scenario I mentioned before still stands in the weekly timeframe. If the price stabilizes below 93,419, we can expect further corrections. The initial correction targets remain at 82,000 and then 71,000, which are still relevant.
🔍 On the other hand, if the ATH area, which is a resistance at 105,000 in the weekly timeframe, is broken, the price could start its next bullish leg. If this resistance breaks, I will update the analysis as usual and include Bitcoin’s next ATH targets.
📊 The market volume is still decreasing. The candles are also becoming smaller and smaller. As you can see, last week's candle hardly showed any fluctuation, indicating very minimal price range.
✨ That covers everything for the Bitcoin analysis in the weekly timeframe. Since the RSI hasn't activated any triggers yet, it's better to move on to the daily timeframe to see what has happened there over the past seven days.
📅 Daily Timeframe
The main supports and resistances in the daily timeframe are at 92,470 and 106,212, unchanged from last week.
🧩 However, the change is in the support at 96,312, which I mentioned last week could be a good area for the price to form a higher low and move towards the ceiling. This support has slightly shifted and is now at 95,601, which is still a significant support for the price. If supported at this level, and if it forms a higher low relative to 92,470, the price could move towards the ceiling of 106,200. In this case, if it can form a higher ceiling, the likelihood of breaking 106,212 will increase.
🔼 The early trigger for opening a long position that we discussed last week worked out well, and in the daily timeframe, if the price can stabilize above 98,061, we can expect it to form a higher low and move towards the main resistance at 106,212.
💥 The market volume, as I mentioned in previous analyses, has decreased significantly and has reached its minimal possible state. When the market volume decreases, the chart can move more easily. So, again, as I mentioned in the previous analysis, be ready behind the chart in these few days because movements after such low-volume ranges can be very volatile and can help you open profitable positions.
⚡️ Now that we've reviewed the weekly and daily timeframes, let's move on to lower timeframes and identify suitable futures triggers.
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe
We have an expanding triangle in the four-hour timeframe, and the price has been reacting well to it. Yesterday, it was rejected from the triangle's ceiling, which could have provided a good position. I will show you this position in the one-hour timeframe.
👀 The support at 95,108 remains very important, and I suggest that if the price reaches this area and you want to break it, have a short position ready. For long positions, I still believe that the triangle's trendline must be broken from above, and in that case, the triggers at 98,482 and 99,946 would be suitable.
🚀 The first target for these positions, as a scalp, is 101,819, and their main target is 105,928. The short position target could be the bottom of the triangle or the area at 92,702.
🔑 The market volume has increased slightly in this timeframe. As you see, and as I mentioned yesterday, after the volume reaches its minimum, the price will definitely make a move in one direction, which I will specify in the one-hour timeframe how we could have taken our position.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
Let's move to the one-hour timeframe. First, I want to review the position the market gave us yesterday, and then we'll see what today's trigger will be.
🔄 About an hour after I published the analysis yesterday, the support at 97,110 broke, and with this break, we could have opened a short position that could still remain open, and I suggest you make it risk-free because, as I said yesterday, this position is very risky and the maximum target we can consider for it is 95,308.
📈 However, I personally would save the profit and not allow it to remain open any longer because it was opened as a scalp. The trigger for the long position at 97,816 was not reached and was not activated.
🔽 But today, I don't have a special trigger for a short position, and 95,108 is the only trigger that we were waiting for last week to be broken, but this did not happen. Here in the market volume, we can see in more detail that after breaking the 97,110 area, it increased significantly, and currently, with the price starting to range again, the market volume has decreased again.
✅ For long positions, first wait for the price to return above 97,110 and see which area it reacts to, and we can specify our next trigger tomorrow. But if the price comes up unidirectionally, you can open a short position with the breaking of 97,816 or 98,482.
🧲 Be careful because the price moved a bit yesterday, it might range today. So make sure you only open positions with triggers you are sure about, not risky triggers.
📅 BTC.D Analysis
Let's move on to Bitcoin dominance. We specified a very good resistance for Bitcoin dominance yesterday at 60.95, and as you see, Bitcoin dominance reacted very well to it, hitting this area several times with a shadow point and then dropping again, and it is now back to its support at 60.48, which is very important. If 60.48 breaks, the dominance could drop to 59.84, as mentioned in previous analyses, and in this case, if short positions are activated, their triggers within Bitcoin could allow us to open a very good short position on Bitcoin.
💣 But if at the same time as the activation of these triggers, the dominance increases and the resistance of 60.95 breaks, short positions on altcoins would be better than on Bitcoin.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Let's move on to the Total2 analysis to see what suitable triggers will be for opening positions on altcoins.
🛎 The Total2 trigger was activated yesterday as you see at 1.24, which I said you could open a position with it riskily. However, as you see, the price has engulfed all the downward movements and returned up. However, I had said that this position was to be opened riskily and as a scalp, and if you opened a position with the trigger, quickly close your position.
📚 However, as you saw, Bitcoin still has a better bearish structure compared to Total2, and the reason is that Bitcoin dominance was bearish simultaneously with breaking the bearish areas, and if you had opened a position on Bitcoin, you would have made more profit, and now the position would still be open, but Total2 has returned all its upward movement and seems to want to form an upward structure. For now, I won’t change the 1.24 area and want to see what structure the price creates today and which ceiling it reacts to, and tomorrow I will change the location of this area for you.
📉 For short positions, you can open a position with the breaking of 1.23, but be aware, as you saw yesterday, altcoins did not drop much compared to Bitcoin, so if Bitcoin dominance is rising, you can open positions on altcoins. Otherwise, if the dominance is bearish, the short position you open on Bitcoin will give more profit.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Yesterday’s trigger for Tether dominance at 4.48 was activated, and Tether dominance had an upward move or leg, which was not very strong in terms of upward momentum and does not seem to be continuing.
💫 We can draw a trend line in this chart that the price has currently hit and seems to have been rejected. In this case, if the 4.48 area, which is now acting as support, is broken again, the price could drop to 4.24. Otherwise, if the price can break the downward trendline, we can expect Tether dominance to move up to 4.62.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTC long set up (short term)Basis: Weekly volume profile // 1 hour timeframe price action
- Hourly price action currently losing the point of control level for the current week
- The current value area low at 95,852 is worth a bid for a short term move to the next supply zone
- Risk: 1%
BTC HTF Trend Continuation ThoughtsToday, suddenly the thought came to me that there actually has been a bullish example with a 1D Candle Close below the relevant level: August 2023.
So this shifts my bias more to a neutral level (but still more to the short side).
----------------------
The last two weeks have been parculiar: a two week consolidation?...
That makes me think a big move is coming (because price can get above this consolidation, then below and then big breakdown, or price can get below (has to be an SFP), then get above and then a big pump).
So this is what now have and it's all about the 3rd February low (dashed line):
- I don't want an SFP of the previous SFP which provided the long setup (13jan low). I want the HL SFP of the 3rd feb low for bullish HTF trend continuation. If you look at this chart on the 1D, with the outstanding 3rd feb wick + the horizontality that followed (the 2 week consolidation), an 1D SFP would look very clean and promising -----------> the horizontality creates the pathway to trend continuation because the resistance created by the structure after the highest high SFP gets less and less as the horizontality continues. IF we get the SFP which closes back in the structure, there likely will be a big pump coming.
- If price however goes up to the other dashed line (resistance level dashed line), WITHOUT hitting the support-level dashed line FIRST, I'm pretty sure we don't get HTF trend continuation. Because: there hasn't been significant PA (like an SFP) at the bottom, so price doesn't have the strength to push up, so the likelyhood of a LH is very high. This then would lead to LL, getting below that 2 weeks consolidation, which would then lead to a big breakdown to I think 48k low.
-----------------------
Comparing August 2023 environment to this environment:
- The 1D SFP candle of at the highs looks now worse then in August 2023.
- In August 2023 price had clean MS where price made the HL after the SFP at the highs. Now there hasn't been clean MS: there's no last HL in MS. Though I'm always more convinced of big SFP wicks for HL's instead of normal MS HL's. I view the 13jan SFP therefore as the last HL, that's why I don't want it to get hit.
Environment comparison conclusion: I actually like the current environment more than August 2023 environment for HTF trend continuation (thus, bullish) AS LONG AS we get an outstanding SFP wick of the 13rd january low.
--------------------------
Note: I wrote this on the Binance spot chart but the Binance perps chart is the main BTC chart. The SFP I'm looking for wille therefore be determined on the perps chart, not this one, though the likelyhood of identical PA on these two charts is high as there likely won't be a 'liquidation event' as there's no verticality possible in the chart.
Potential trade setup for todayIf this plays out we would first sweep the extreme liquidity from last week and after that push up to take out all the weekend liquidity. Below the extreme liquidity is a 5min demand zone, which could be a good entry.
