BTC Fractal Update!!CRYPTOCAP:BTC is repeating the same ABC pattern that led to past 70 %+ rallies.
We're now at a decision point — next weekly close will confirm:
Scenario 1: Rejection Below $96K (Circle 1)
→ Likely dip to $78K–$80.5K (channel bottom + 0.5 Fib)
→ Final shakeout before major move.
Scenario 2: Breakout Above $96K (Circle 2)
→ Retest at $90.5K
→ Then rally toward $160K+ begins (Circle 3)
BTC is hovering near the $100K mark — up 5% from the $96K breakout — mirroring the previous breakout from $63K (Circle 2), where it surged to $ 67K (+5%) before a sharp retest to $59.2K, followed by a major rally.
A similar healthy retest could be on the cards before CRYPTOCAP:BTC breaks its ATH!
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BTCUPUSDT trade ideas
BTCUSDT Breakout –8 May- Eyes on $106K NextIdea:
Bitcoin has broken out of a prolonged accumulation range with strong bullish confirmation across multiple timeframes. The price has reclaimed structure above GETTEX:98K and is pushing higher within a rising channel. This sets the stage for a potential move towards the $106K–$110K zone.
Why:
Confirmed Break of Structure (BOS) and Change of Character (CHoCH) on 4H and 1D charts.
Price broke out of the previous resistance zone and is holding above the POC near $98K.
RSI is trending above 70 – showing strength, not exhaustion.
ADX and DMI indicate a strong bullish trend – buyers (blue) are firmly in control.
MACD histogram turning green again – supporting upside continuation.
Volume is increasing, confirming genuine momentum behind the move.
How to Trade:
Entry: Buy on retest near GETTEX:98K –$99K.
Target: $106K (first target), $110K (channel top).
Stop-loss: Below $96K (invalidates the bullish structure).
Risk Tip: Use proper position sizing – breakout trades can be volatile. Protect capital, let profits run.
Bitcoin Overall: Likely Moves (up to short)BTC is 'gathering strength' it seems to move towards the strong resistance. Looks like we are currently on wave 4/5 of an Elliott impulse (this being wave 1 of wave 5 of cycle degree).
Currently expecting the moves indicated. That's a pretty complicated and comprehensive forecast, let's see how I do!
BTC/USDT Analysis: Watching the Reaction at the HighHello everyone! This is a daily analysis from the trader-analyst at CryptoRobotics.
Yesterday, Bitcoin finally broke out of the range to the upside. The local selling zone at $96,100–$96,600 didn’t show any reaction. On the retest, it acted as a mirror level and supported continued growth.
At the moment, the local bias has shifted. All major volume clusters are now located below the price, so we can expect a new high. If we break through the current high, it’s important to watch the sellers' reaction. A false breakout could lead to a significant drop, but if it doesn't happen, the next potential target is $105,000.
Sell zones:
$98,000 (key level)
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies)
Buy zones:
$91,500–$90,000 (strong buy-side imbalance)
$88,100–$87,000 (absorption of market selling)
$85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volumes)
$82,700–$81,400 (volume zone)
$74,800 (key level)
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volumes)
What do you think — which scenario will play out?
Drop your thoughts in the comments — it's always interesting to compare views!
This publication is not financial advice.
Bitcoin Stabilizes at $94,000 — What's Next?Following a strong rally in early 2025, Bitcoin is now showing signs of stabilization, hovering around the $94,000 mark. For a notoriously volatile asset, this steady price movement might seem unusual. However, this calm may be the calm before the storm—either a breakout or a pullback. So, what’s behind this current phase of Bitcoin’s price?
Firstly, all eyes are on the U.S. Federal Reserve. Investors are nervously anticipating its next interest rate decision. As always, monetary policy acts as a major catalyst for risk assets. A rate cut could boost inflows into the crypto market, while a hike might lead to capital outflows and dampen sentiment.
Secondly, retail investor activity appears to be cooling. Trading volumes have declined compared to the high levels seen in February and March, when the market was filled with euphoria. Now, we are witnessing a period of cautious waiting. The "Fear and Greed Index" reflects this, hovering around neutral territory, indicating market indecision.
From a technical standpoint, analysts identify two key levels: strong resistance near $100,000 and a support zone around $90,000. As long as Bitcoin remains within this range, short-term traders are operating in a sideways market while longer-term investors remain on standby.
Beyond macroeconomic factors, crypto-specific developments will also influence BTC’s price. Important upcoming events—such as Ethereum’s upgrade, potential regulatory changes in the UK and Japan, and global crypto conferences—could all act as catalysts.
Institutional investors are another major factor. Companies like MicroStrategy continue to accumulate Bitcoin, adding confidence to the asset’s long-term outlook. If more institutions follow suit, Bitcoin could see increased demand and stronger bullish momentum.
In the near term, market participants are advised to stay cautious. Bitcoin may continue consolidating until a clear macro or market-specific catalyst emerges.
All in all, $94,000 is more than just a number. It represents a temporary equilibrium of forces—bullish and bearish. The question is not whether Bitcoin will move again, but when and in which direction.
Market Likely to Resume Downtrend – Caution AdvisedAfter some consolidation, the market looks ready to resume its broader downtrend. Bullish momentum is fading, and resistance remains strong. Unless we see a breakout, downside pressure is likely to build.
Watching for confirmation via key support breaks or bearish signals. Stay cautious and manage risk. Not financial advice — just my view.
Taming the Crypto Rollercoaster: How to Stay Sane in a Volatile Hey traders, it’s Adnan Ahdan Khan here, and let’s talk about that wild crypto ride we’re all on! Today, May 6, 2025, Bitcoin’s hovering around $95,600 after a sharp drop from $97,895, and altcoins are feeling the heat too. I remember my first crypto dip – my stomach churned watching my portfolio shrink. Sound familiar? In this crazy 2025 market, with stablecoins booming past $232 billion and meme coins swinging, volatility is the name of the game. But here’s the secret: mastering your trading psychology can turn chaos into opportunity. Let’s dive into three ways to stay calm and trade smart, no matter how wild the charts get.Accept Volatility as Your Trading Buddy
Crypto’s like a rollercoaster – thrilling, but it can make your head spin. Bitcoin’s recent correction, driven by macroeconomic jitters like U.S. tariffs, reminds us that volatility is baked into this market. I used to panic at every 5% drop, but here’s what I learned: volatility isn’t the enemy; it’s the fuel for profits. In 2025, with institutional money flowing into Bitcoin ETFs and altcoins like Solana consolidating, these swings create entry points. The key? Accept that prices will move. Instead of stressing, focus on the bigger trend. Bitcoin’s still up 12.82% over the last week despite today’s dip. Altcoins, though lagging, are poised for a breakout if Bitcoin clears $100,000. Train your mind to see red candles as opportunities, not disasters. A trick I use? Zoom out on the chart to a weekly view – it puts daily noise in perspective and keeps me grounded.Stick to Your Plan Like Glue
Let’s be real – when Bitcoin tanked to $94,200 this week, my first instinct was to sell everything. But that’s where a trading plan saves you. I’ve burned myself chasing dips without a strategy, and I bet you have too. A solid plan is your anchor in 2025’s stormy market, where stablecoin inflows signal growing demand and altcoins like Cardano hover near key resistance. Before every trade, I ask: What’s my entry? My stop-loss? My profit target? For example, during last month’s altcoin dip, I bought Ethereum at $3,400 with a 5% stop-loss and a $3,720 target. It hit, and I was out with a smile. Write your plan down – on paper, not just in your head. It’s like a contract with yourself. And don’t tweak it mid-trade; that’s how emotions creep in. With Bitcoin eyeing $100,000 and altcoins like XRP showing demand, a disciplined plan keeps you from FOMO buys or panic sells, letting you ride the volatility with confidence.Protect Your Mental Game
Trading crypto in 2025, with its $1.78 trillion market cap and 24/7 price swings, is a mental marathon. I’ve had nights glued to Binance, refreshing Bitcoin’s chart like a zombie. It’s draining. To stay sharp, I protect my headspace. First, I set price alerts on Binance for key levels – like $94,700 support or $97,000 resistance – and step away. This week’s dip showed me: staring at candles doesn’t change them. Second, I journal every trade. Writing why I entered and how I felt (nervous? greedy?) helps me spot emotional traps. Finally, I carve out non-trading time. A quick walk or 10-minute meditation before checking altcoin charts keeps me calm. With stablecoins like USDC and Tether driving liquidity and meme coins like Dogecoin riding community hype, the market’s noise is loud. Protect your mind, and you’ll make clearer calls – whether it’s holding Bitcoin through a correction or catching the next altcoin breakout.Conclusion
Volatility’s here to stay, but you’ve got this, traders! By embracing the swings, sticking to a rock-solid plan, and guarding your mental health, you can thrive in 2025’s crypto jungle. Bitcoin’s dips and altcoin wobbles are just part of the ride – like that first scary drop I survived. With stablecoins surging and the market buzzing, now’s the time to sharpen your psychology. What’s your go-to trick for staying cool when the charts go wild? Drop it in the comments – let’s learn from each other! Until tomorrow, keep calm and trade on!
– Adnan Ahdan Khan
#FOMCMeeting #USHouseMarketStructureDraft CRYPTOCAP:BTC
BTC/USDT Update – GigaAlgo SMC | May 6, 2025
Price action continues to respect the previous analysis — BTC remains in the premium zone, now showing clear rejection with back-to-back bearish candles. Although overall sentiment remains labeled as BULLISH, the multi-timeframe JASMINN AI and Regression tools reflect short-term downside momentum, especially below the 94K zone.
Key updates:
94K has turned into immediate resistance — failure to reclaim could signal a deeper pullback.
Support at 93K remains critical. If that fails, BTC may retrace to the equilibrium zone around 85K, consistent with earlier charts.
Watch for volume shifts — bearish volume is now increasing (25%), reflecting stronger sell-side interest.
Structure Breakdown:
BOS (Break of Structure) has been followed by a lower high, hinting at a potential shift if a lower low forms next.
Still within the overall bullish market structure, but correction looks imminent unless bulls step in above 94.5K.
Bitcoin Price Prediction Trend : Consolidating between $86,000 (support) and $98,000 (resistance)
Key Levels to Watch
Support : $86,000 – Strong demand zone
Resistance : $98,000 – Key supply zone
Possible Scenarios
Breakout Bullish : Above $98,000 → Target $102,000+
Breakdown Bearish : Below $86,000 → Target $82,000 or lower
Most Likely Short-Term Move : Continued sideways movement within the range
Outlook
Short-Term (1–2 Weeks) : Range-bound with potential for breakout
Long-Term (3–6 Months) : Depends on whether price breaks key support/resistance
BTC (Y25.P2.E1) Have 2 scenariosHi Traders,
I won't use words as the charts do the job if you can read charts.
Scenario #1, price moves up from here
Scenario #2, price sweeps the lows for liquidity. A fractal is aligned with it.
I'm looking to enter the trade big at the lows with Avwap, EMAs and liquidity making a strong case.
Here are short term levels based on our approach.
All the best,
Regards,
S.SAri
BTC Forming Bullish Structure — But Wait for the Higher LowAfter months of lower lows and lower highs, Bitcoin has finally broken structure by pushing above the previous lower high, officially forming a new higher high (HH). This is an early sign of a potential trend reversal back into bullish territory.
However, before momentum continues upward, a healthy retracement could occur. The key level to watch is the support zone around $91,200. If price pulls back and forms a higher low (HL) here or slightly lower around the $88,700–$87,500 zone, it would confirm the bullish structure and potentially kickstart the next leg up.
Patience is key here — let the higher low form before looking for long setups.
Market overview
WHAT HAPPENED?
Last week, for bitcoin, we got an exit from the sideways trend in the upward direction, but the growth wasn’t significantly confirmed by volumes. The price reached the key resistance zone of $97,500–$98,400 (pushing volumes), from which we received a reaction.
Currently, BTC has adjusted to the buy zone of $95,000–$93,400 (accumulated volumes), the buyer's reaction is present.
WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
There is a high probability of a test of lower levels this week. This scenario is confirmed by the following factors:
• a steady delta advantage in the direction of sales, which prevents the development of a full-fledged upward movement;
• rather weak trading volumes;
• the wave structure, which has already called into question the current exit from the sideways trend, the price has returned to its framework.
We consider the development of the correction through one of the marked scenarios on the chart.
Sell Zones:
$96,100–$96,600 (local volume area)
Level $98,000
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies)
Buy Zones:
$95,000–$93,400 (accumulated volumes)
$91,500–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance)
$88,100–$87,000 (absorption of market selling)
$85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volumes)
$82,700–$81,400 (volume area)
Level $74,800
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volumes)
IMPORTANT DATES
On macroeconomic developments this week:
• Monday, May 5, 13:45 (UTC) — publication of the index of business activity in the US services sector for April;
• Monday, May 5, 14:00 (UTC) — ISM Purchasing Managers' Index for the non-manufacturing sector of the United States for April;
• Wednesday, May 7, 18:00 (UTC) — publication of the FOMC statement and the US Federal Reserve interest rate decision;
• Wednesday, May 7, 18:30 (UTC) — FOMC press conference;
• Thursday, May 8, 11:00 (UTC) - announcement of the interest rate decision The Bank of England in May;
• Thursday, May 8, 12:00 (UTC) — publication of the inflation letter from the Bank of England;
• Thursday, May 8, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial applications for unemployment benefits in the United States.
*This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
#analytics