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BTC 2-4 Long / Tether

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BTCUPUSDT trade ideas

Bitcoin Sell SetupBitcoin failed to close above its all-time high and only managed to close outside my shaded blue box once, indicating a lack of willingness to push higher at this time. From a technical perspective, the SMT divergence between Bitcoin and Ethereum showed weakness, as ETH couldn't even approach its all-time high. Now, I'm watching to see if the inversion daily FVG sends the price lower toward the sellside. However, I wouldn’t be surprised if Bitcoin suddenly spikes to 79K—so be cautious when going long, guys!
Short
by SeifAbassi
1
Bitcoin: on the verge of a breakthrough or reversal?Bitcoin's global trend is still going up, but the current consolidation phase is making us wonder: will we see a new all-time high, or is the market getting ready for a correction? Let's take a look at the situation using technical and fundamental analysis. 1. Current Situation: consolidation after growth The daily chart of BINANCE:BTCUSDT shows that after the rapid growth since October 2024, the price reached the area of 106,000 USDT, but could not stay above it. Bitcoin is now consolidating in the range of 95,000 - 106,000 USDT, indicating a redistribution of liquidity. The global trend remains bullish — lows and highs continue to rise. Accumulation phase — high volatility in the range may be preparation for a new move. Volumes are declining — indicating either a decline in buyer interest or a lull before momentum. However, current movements show that the market has encountered resistance and is not showing clear strength. 2. Signs of a weakening trend Even though the global trend is bullish, the current dynamics of BTC are a bit concerning: Lack of a confident breakdown of 106,000 USDT - BTC tested this level, but each time it rolled back down. False upside breakouts with sharp pullbacks - this could indicate some bullish weakness. Decreasing volumes on bounces are a sign of less activity from buyers. If BTC consolidates below 95,000 USDT, it might signal a potential reversal and the start of a deeper correction. 3. Priority scenario: high probability of correction Right now, it looks like BTC might be facing a bit of a slowdown at the 100,000 - 105,000 USDT levels. This could potentially lead to a slight dip, but nothing to worry about just yet. If we see a bit of a pullback below 95,000 USDT, it might be a sign that things are heading towards the 88,000 - 90,000 USDT range. And, just a heads up, there's a chance that some institutional profit-taking might be adding a bit of pressure. It's also important to note that a rise in open interest in futures without spot market support is a worrying signal. 4. What could change the scenario? If BTC breaks 105,000 USDT with strong volume and then consolidates above that level, it could mean more upside for us. 5. Here are some fundamental factors that might point to a correction: The Fed isn't cutting rates yet, which is keeping the growth of risky assets in check. Large players are focusing on maximizing their profits, and there are signs of selling on hayahs. There's a lack of drivers for impulsive growth, so the market is waiting for new triggers. 6. Here's an alternative bullish scenario: If BTC holds above 95,000 USDT and breaks through 105,000 USDT with volumes, it could open up the path to 110,000 - 115,000 USDT. So, what does this all mean? Well, it's important to stay cautious and watch the market closely. BTC is currently in a range between 95,000 and 105,000 USDT, but there aren't any strong bullish signals yet. The current dynamics suggest that growth might be a bit slower, and there's a chance we could see a slight dip. My recommendation? Keep an eye on how BTC reacts at 95,000 USDT. If it doesn't hold, it might be a good idea to wait and see if it tests the 88,000 USDT level. 📢 And don't worry, subscribers! Stay tuned for all the latest updates on BTC and other assets. 🚀
Short
by Crypto_Strateg
BTCUSDT Trade LogBTCUSDT – Bullish Rebound Setup Market Context: BTC is currently trading near a 4H Fair Value Gap, with multiple wicks indicating buyers are stepping in. The 4H Kijun and the FVG overlap provide a strong confluence area for a potential bounce. Despite recent bearish pressure, a range-bound environment suggests a bullish bias could play out if price holds above this support region. Trade Idea (Long): – Entry: Look to buy on a retest of the 4H FVG or once the 4H Kijun confirms support. – Stop: Place just below the recent wicks or the lower boundary of the FVG. – Risk: 1% of account (or per your risk plan). – Target: Aim for a minimum of 1:2 RRR, targeting the next key structure high or daily supply zone. Risk Management: If price decisively breaks below the FVG and invalidates the Kijun support, exit the trade and wait for another setup. Remain watchful of macro news as it can spark sudden volatility.
Long
by Fondera
WHY 99.9% OF BEGINNER TRADERS QUIT! MY NEXT SETUP Most beginner traders quit because they make the same deadly mistakes: ❌ They clutter their charts with too many indicators ❌ They have no real strategy or system ❌ They trade based on emotion instead of logic ❌ They never backtest their approach ❌ They have no idea how to size their positions correctly ❌ They completely ignore risk management If that sounds familiar, you're not alone. But in this video, we break down why these mistakes destroy accounts—and how to fix them. 🎯 Plus, we analyze my next trade setup in real time! 💥 Congrats if you took the short from supply! That setup played out beautifully. Now, let’s dive into the next opportunity. 🔔 Don’t forget to like and FOLLOW, for more insights!
Short
by Trade-Journal
22
$BTC MACD on weekly show a bearish trend. Read.You can see on the chart that in May 2024 I issued a warning, and look at what happened over the next five months. The same pattern is repeating now, and there’s a high probability we’ll see a similar result. Back in May 2024, the usual crowd—MMCrypto, That Martini Guy, Ash, Crypto Rover, etc.—were all saying things like, “We’re going to 110k,” “To the moon,” or “A huge bullish breakout is coming.” What did we actually get? Five months of consolidation and an -80% drop for most altcoins. So consider this a warning. The MACD on the weekly chart is a reliable indicator of the trend. Exchanges aren’t going to go against the trend. Even if there’s a ton of liquidity at 107k, they won’t risk buying billions worth of Bitcoin just to get wrecked by the prevailing trend and be forced to sell at a lower price than they purchased. Those pointing to the liquidity map at 107k are missing the point. Exchanges take the easier path. Going from 97k to 107k is plausible in an uptrend, but in a downtrend? No chance. What to Expect Now? Since this chart is on the weekly timeframe, there will be daily bounces. Some altcoins may see 10-20% gains if you time the bottom and top correctly. However, for holders, this is not a good time to hold. Is Invalidation Possible? Yes, but consider this: they’ve tried to break the trend five times and failed. The chance of a reversal now is about 1 in 9. It’s possible, but unlikely. Key Support Levels Support levels to watch are 95k, 91k, 85k, and 70k. While we might not drop as low as 70k, it’s better to be prepared. What’s Next? By May 2025, we’ll likely reach the end of this bearish trend, followed by a one-month altseason and a big BTC pump. However, starting in July 2025, we’re likely to face another five months of bearish consolidation. The introduction of ETFs has shifted the crypto cycle into a new paradigm of five months of consolidation followed by one month of pumping. As always, DYOR (Do Your Own Research).
by CryptoNikkoid
10
The Drop Isn’t Over Yet –But the Next Big Short Could Be Massive"No one will come up with short ideas when we are in this type of move. Be careful. People often get the things wrong." “Listen, I know everybody wants to call the bottom – but let’s be real, I don’t think the drop is done yet. The market is showing clear signs, and we trade with precision, not emotion!” Here’s What I’m Watching: 101,300$ – 103,000$ Short Zone: These levels could be perfect for shorts, but confirmation is key. No guessing, no blind entries – only smart trading. Perfect Entry Setup: The chart isn’t fully matured yet, but let me tell you – once CDV, lower time frame breakouts, and volume profile align, these zones could become goldmines for shorting opportunities. Disciplined Execution: We don’t rush. We wait for the right moment, with full confirmation, and then we strike. That’s how you trade like a pro! Key Takeaways: “Patience and precision – that’s the game. CDV, volume profile, and liquidity heatmap will tell the real story. We don’t trade what we hope – we trade what we see!” BTC is setting up for something big. Watch these levels, stay sharp, and when the moment comes – we dominate! 🚀🔥 Let me tell you, this is something special. These insights, these setups—they’re not just good; they’re game-changers. I've spent years refining my approach, and the results speak for themselves. People are always asking, "How do you spot these opportunities?" It’s simple: experience, clarity, and a focus on high-probability moves. Want to know how I use heatmaps, cumulative volume delta, and volume footprint techniques to find demand zones with precision? I’m happy to share—just send me a message. No cost, no catch. I believe in helping people make smarter decisions. Here are some of my recent analyses. Each one highlights key opportunities: 🚀 RENDERUSDT: Strategic Support Zones at the Blue Boxes +%45 Reaction 🎯 PUNDIXUSDT: Huge Opportunity | 250% Volume Spike - %60 Reaction Sniper Entry 🌐 CryptoMarkets TOTAL2: Support Zone 🚀 GMTUSDT: %35 FAST REJECTION FROM THE RED BOX 🎯 ZENUSDT.P: Patience & Profitability | %230 Reaction from the Sniper Entry 🎯 DEXEUSDT %180 Reaction with %9 Stop 🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move 🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month 💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace 🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge 📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone 🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential 🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade 🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones 🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River 📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones 🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum 🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision 🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs 🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity 🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked 🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer 🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan ⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One 💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas 🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence 🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results 🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB 📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total 🌟 FORTHUSDT: Sniper Entry +%26 Reaction 🐳 QKCUSDT: Sniper Entry +%57 Reaction 📊 BTC.D: Retest of Key Area Highly Likely This list? It’s just a small piece of what I’ve been working on. There’s so much more. Go check my profile, see the results for yourself. My goal is simple: provide value and help you win. If you’ve got questions, I’ve got answers. Let’s get to work!
Short
by XU99
2
Bitcoin will dump to $86500You must be thinking this guy is crazy based on that title. But am just gonna show you this simple analysis. Its monthly timeframe. Market behavior have occurs in 3 ways. Impulse, Correction and continuation. Bitcoin right now seems to be starting its corrective phase before next continuation followed by impulse. I highlighted in yellow circle just to show you how the correct phase looks on the monthly so you can see the similarity. Now the demand for bitcoin is strong so when it corrects on the monthly usually doesn't correct too deep. It normally retraces to fib 38.2. As of yet it hasn't retrace to the 38.2 fib level yet which is around $86500.. I don't think I need any additional confluences, on lower timeframes price structure its slowly confirming this is where the market will likely go. So buckle up and don't be surprise. And of-course don't come for me if it doesn't play out, anything can happen we talking probability here. Its not favorable to invest at a high. Better to buy low and sell high. This correction could take a few months or it could happen very quickly days to weeks.
Short
by Filnft
Wyckoff Distribution Schematic - BTCThe Wyckoff Distribution Method is a technique used in technical analysis for stock trading, developed by Richard D. Wyckoff. This method focuses on understanding the accumulation and distribution phases of a stock's price movement to predict future price trends. Here's a breakdown of the Wyckoff Distribution Method: Key Concepts: Phases of Market Cycle: Accumulation: When smart money (institutional investors) are buying or accumulating shares, often at the bottom of a bear market or a consolidation period. Markup: The price rises as more investors buy in. Distribution: The phase where smart money begins to sell or distribute shares, typically near the top of a bull market or during a resistance phase. Markdown: The price falls as selling pressure increases. Distribution Phase: Preliminary Supply (PSY): This is where the stock might show initial signs of weakness or resistance after a significant uptrend, often marked by a wider range bar or a notable sell-off. Selling Climax (SC): Not as common in distribution as in accumulation, but if present, it can indicate panic selling followed by a sharp recovery. Automatic Rally (AR): After selling pressure, there's often a quick, automatic bounce back due to short covering or bargain hunting. Secondary Test (ST): The price might return to or near the level of the PSY or SC, testing the supply area to see if more shares can be distributed at higher prices. Sign of Weakness (SOW): A significant move down on increased volume, showing that bears are now in control. Last Point of Support (LPS): As the distribution phase nears its end, there might be one or more rallies that fail to reach new highs, signaling that the distribution is almost complete. Downside Break: The final confirmation that distribution is over, leading to the markdown phase where the price falls more decisively. Wyckoff's Principles During Distribution: Supply and Demand: Wyckoff emphasizes that price movements result from the balance between supply and demand. In distribution, demand is diminishing, and supply is increasing. Effort vs. Result: Analysts look at the volume (effort) against price movement (result). In distribution, higher volumes might not lead to significant price increases, signaling underlying weakness. Cause and Effect: The length and nature of the distribution phase (cause) predict the potential extent of the subsequent markdown (effect). Use in Trading: Traders using the Wyckoff method will look for these signs to sell or short stocks, anticipating a price drop. They might also use this phase to adjust stop-losses or take profits from long positions. It requires careful analysis of price, volume, and market context, often combined with other technical indicators to confirm signals. Understanding the Wyckoff Distribution Method allows traders to potentially spot when a stock is about to enter a bearish phase, preparing for or capitalizing on downward price movements. However, like all trading methods, it's not foolproof and should be used in conjunction with other analysis tools and risk management strategies.
Short
by mrbeetea
Bitcoin’s Bull Cycle Nearing the End? What’s Next! Base Scenario: Development of a triangle in the 4th wave of the impulse. This is the final structure before the last upward movement and the completion of the current bull cycle of COINBASE:BTCUSD . The triangle acts as a consolidation phase before the last impulse move upwards. Alternative Scenarios: Five-wave impulsive structure. The current phase represents the 2nd smaller-degree wave within the developing 5th wave. Once completed, a strong upward impulse is expected, accelerating the movement toward the final targets. Completion of the structure through an ending diagonal. In this case, a final distribution wave is forming, indicating the conclusion of the long-term bull trend. This scenario is typical for the final growth phases before a global correction. All three scenarios point to continued growth of BINANCE:BTCUSDT . The final distribution wave and buying climax are expected in the $120,000 – $145,000 USD range, after which the market may transition into a prolonged bearish phase. It is crucial to monitor the dynamics of CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D and TVC:DXY , as Bitcoin's growth is only possible within a downward trend in these indices. ❖ My forecast for USDT.d ❖ My forecast for CAPITALCOM:DXY Shaka
Long
by shakatrade1_618
BTC USDT🔍 Bitcoin Price Analysis - Short Setup A potential short setup is forming on the 15-minute chart: 1️⃣ Entry Point: Below resistance, signaling the start of the short position. 2️⃣ Stop-Loss: Positioned above the resistance zone, ensuring risk management. 3️⃣ Target: A significant downward move to support at $95,833. 📉 The trend shows lower highs, suggesting bearish momentum. If price rejects resistance, we could see a continuation to the downside. ⚠️ Invalidation: If price breaks above the red zone, this short setup is invalid. What's your take on this setup? Share your thoughts! 💬
Short
by Aliirezaeii
BTC BOLLINGER BANDSAnalyzing the Bitcoin daily chart with Bollinger Bands reveals key insights into the current market dynamics. The price is currently trading below the middle band (20-day moving average), which often serves as a dynamic resistance level in a downtrend. This signals a bearish bias, with the price unable to regain strength above this key level. The lower Bollinger Band has widened, reflecting increased volatility during the recent sell-off. The price recently tested the lower band, indicating oversold conditions, but there was no significant rebound, suggesting that selling pressure remains strong and that buyers are hesitant to step in with confidence. This lack of a strong bounce near the lower band also highlights the bearish momentum in the market. A move back toward the middle band would require a shift in sentiment and a recovery in buying interest. For now, the price is trading closer to the lower band, leaving room for further downside exploration, particularly if Bitcoin fails to break back above the middle band. This setup suggests traders should watch for a decisive close above or below the bands, which could signal the next major directional move.
by ScottMelker
Thesis: Bitcoin Intraday Trade StrategyTrade Setup Outcome: Open Long Entry Price: $97,070 Stop Loss: $96,000 Take Profit: $100,000 Confidence Level: 75% Market Context & Justification 🔹 Bullish Sentiment & Long-Short Ratio – Positive trader sentiment and a 1.2 buy/sell ratio on Binance Perpetuals suggest more long positions entering the market. 🔹 Technical Indicators – Mixed signals: RSI: Neutral (no clear overbought/oversold signals). MACD: Negative on 1h and 15m, but showing signs of recovery on the daily timeframe. 🔹 Support & Resistance Levels Price is near support, increasing the likelihood of a bounce. A breakout above $98,869 could fuel further upside toward the take-profit level at $100,000. 🔹 Options & Liquidity Impact CME Max Pain Price at $95,000 may act as a pullback zone if BTC faces short-term selling pressure. Large liquidation clusters at $95,000 could trigger stops if downside volatility increases. 🔹 Funding & Open Interest Data Funding Rate: Slightly positive at 0.02%, indicating mild bullish positioning. Open Interest: 76,232 BTC, showing active participation in the market. Conclusion Despite mixed technicals, strong sentiment and positioning data support a long entry at $97,070, with a stop loss at $96,000 to mitigate downside risk. If resistance at $98,869 is broken, BTC has a high probability of reaching $100,000. However, traders should monitor liquidation clusters and options expiry effects for potential volatility.
Long
by titankarma