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BULLUSD trade ideas

BTCUSD: Deep 4 or a shallow 2?The recent crash has everyone running for the hills. People forget Bitcoin is not up everyday and it also doesn't stay down forever. With the amount of selling, it is time for a bounce in the upcoming week or two. At that time, we need to see if the bounce happens in 3 waves or 5. If we see a 3 waves move, then the selling will most likely get more intense. For an intermediate degree wave 2, price needs to correct everything since Nov 2022 low at 15.6k. That is a massive distance to cover. Just minimum .764 retrace will take the price down to below 70 k and .618 retrace will take it at 50 k. At this price level, I am still not calling wave 2. Even it looks quite deep and steep for wave 4, it is not unheard of. So, until 73 k breaks, i am keeping my count, but the top target will come down between 118k - 136k. Let's see how things progress in the next few weeks.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by mukit1
BTC Bitcoin - Upside Likely THIS WEEK (Thanks Retail Liquidity)Here's a challenge for you: How many places of built-up liquidity can you spot on this chart that indicated where price is heading to...? Post your chart below. Admittedly this isn't the easiest environment to trade in, but still the clues are there. Plus: DXY Dollar is weak for now, so XXXUSD seem more likely to be Bullish. Now we stalk it and wait to see the flip to the Upside (if it happens). The invalidation point is the clear last Wick low. There could be more opportunities later to scale in. ------------------ Are you seeing price action here the same as I am? If not, comment below and tell me if I'm missing something...
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by The_Peaceful_Trader
14
$BTC Macrolast idea remains intact—we are still bullish. Alts have held strong while BTC plunged. (I don’t own any BTC, and neither should you above $100K.) I predicted the exact $15.5K bottom on X, as well as the August 5th crash and bottom. Unfortunately, I wasn’t on the charts in December and missed the biggest, clearest signal on USDT.D for a potential local top, which otherwise would have 2x'd my current portfolio but mistakes were made) BTC taking the hits while alts hold steady is a strong sign that whales are taking profits from Bitcoin and preparing for "rotation". Most traders believe the cycle is over—and there are valid reasons for that (some of them are): - A monthly bearish engulfing candle - A structure resembling the 2021 top, suggesting one last rally before the bear market - Worst of all, double bearish divergence on the monthly, which worries me too However, there are strong counterarguments. The biggest? The cycle has never topped with BTC.D this weak. That’s why I’m still leaning toward a bullish scenario until proven otherwise. Update on the above chart: The parabola is intact with a beautiful reaction. That doesn’t mean we can’t still visit the red box—there’s only air between them—but I’m holding, and that remains my primary scenario. Alts can make new lows, but RR isn’t worth it. As I’ve said before, the time to sell spot bags has passed. You don’t sell in between unless invalidation occurs. Timing is everything. We failed to time this market, assuming it would mimic past cycles—but everyone was wrong. Traders won this cycle, while investors (except BTC holders) struggled... until now, at least. ONLY DIFFERENCE BETWEEN BOTH SCENARIOS (MENTIONED ON CHART) FOR ALTS? You have to wait way longer on the second scenario but both would take us to our goal. Worst case? We break and HTF close on USDT.D - last hope, officially ending bull market!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by SaadFiaz
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Daily AnalysisHello Traders 👋 📉 Further Decline Expected in Bitcoin! 1. Current Market Situation: ✅ Bitcoin is currently trading at $84,975. ✅ The price has dropped from the $100,000 - $110,000 resistance zone. ✅ It has tested the $84,000 - $85,000 support zone, but there is a high chance of further decline. 2. Key Levels to Watch: 🔴 Breakdown Level: $78,953 → A break below this could lead to further downside. 🔵 Target Level: $69,978 → A strong support zone. 🟢 Retracement Zone: $85,000 → If price gets rejected here, it could be a sell opportunity. 3. Possible Trading Strategy: 📌 Sell Entry: • If Bitcoin closes below $78,953, a short trade opportunity arises. • Confirmation: Strong red candle or rejection from resistance. 🎯 Target Levels: • First Target: $75,000 (nearest support). • Second Target: $69,978 (major support). ❌ Stop Loss: • If entering a short position at $78,953 breakdown, an ideal stop loss is between $82,000 - $83,000. • Avoid placing a tight stop loss at $85,000, as fake breakouts can happen. ⚠️ Risk Management: • If Bitcoin moves above $85,000 and holds, it could attempt to go bullish again. • Large traders might target buying near $70,000 for a potential bounce. Conclusion: ✅ Bitcoin is showing bearish momentum and could drop further if $78,953 support breaks. ✅ A price decline towards $69,978 is likely in the coming days. ✅ Use a stop loss of $82,000 - $83,000 to avoid getting trapped in fake breakouts. 🚀 Always follow risk management and wait for market confirmation before entering trades! #Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #BTCUpdate
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Singnals_provider_King
SPY/QQQ Plan your Trade For 2-28 : Gap Up - LowerToday's pattern suggests the markets will open with a slight GAP UP (higher), then transition into a downward price trend throughout the rest of the day. After yesterday's deep selling, I suspect there may be a bit more of an uptrend in early trading. The 584-585 level on the SPY was hit. That was my original projected downside target for the Feb 21-24 breakdown in price. We've also seen Bitcoin collapse a little over 25%. I believe this deep selling in Bitcoin prompted a "sell-everything" type of breakdown in the SPY/QQQ and other assets (gold/silver). Once this move subsides/bases, I believe we'll see 2-3 days of basing/bottoming, then a reasonably strong reversion rally in the SPY/QQQ as the sell-everything fear settles. This would be a good time to look for initial "anchor" positions in certain assets related to a moderate recovery rally between now and March 11-14 - maybe a bit later. Overall, we are moving solidly into my expanding megaphone pattern and should continue to see increased price volatility. The next phase of the market trends is a moderate recovery rally. Then, as we approach the March 21-24 breakdown phase, we will see more selling. Get ready for a base/bottom setup. Then, we'll see the price move into a recovery phase, and the SPY may target 600 to 604 before topping again. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by BradMatheny
2
Liquidity Sweeps: A Complete Guide to Smart Money Manipulation!🔹 What is a Liquidity Sweep? A liquidity sweep occurs when price temporarily moves beyond a key level, such as a previous swing high or low to trigger stop-losses and lure breakout traders into bad positions before reversing in the opposite direction. This is a classic smart money technique used to grab liquidity before initiating the real move. Financial markets need liquidity to function, and institutions (smart money) can’t enter or exit large positions without it. Instead of chasing price like retail traders, they manipulate price to engineered levels where liquidity is resting, allowing them to fill their orders without causing massive slippage. 🔹 How Liquidity Works in the Market To understand liquidity sweeps, it’s important to know where liquidity pools exist. These are areas where a high number of stop-loss orders and pending market orders are placed. Stop-loss liquidity: Traders set stop-losses above swing highs and below swing lows. When price hits these levels, stop-loss orders trigger as market orders, adding fuel for big moves. Breakout trader liquidity: Many traders enter buy trades when a high is broken and sell trades when a low is broken. Smart money often uses these breakout orders as liquidity before reversing the market. Essentially, liquidity sweeps allow smart money to take the opposite side of retail traders’ positions before moving the market in their favor. 🔹 Identifying Liquidity Sweeps on the Chart A valid liquidity sweep has three key components: 1️⃣ A Key Liquidity Zone: Look for well-defined swing highs and lows where stop-losses are likely sitting. Equal highs and equal lows are prime targets because many traders place stops there. Areas with high trading activity (volume profile levels, POCs) are also potential liquidity pools. 2️⃣ A Quick Price Spike Through That Level: Price briefly moves beyond a high or low, triggering stop-losses and luring breakout traders in the wrong direction. This move often happens suddenly, with a sharp candle wick or a short-term breakout that quickly fails. 3️⃣ An Immediate Reversal (Rejection): Price fails to hold above/below the liquidity level and reverses aggressively. Strong rejection candles like long wicks, bearish engulfing (after a buy-side sweep), or bullish engulfing (after a sell-side sweep) confirm the sweep. The stronger the rejection, the higher the probability that smart money just manipulated price to collect liquidity before the real move. 🔹 Types of Liquidity Sweeps 🔸 Buy-Side Liquidity Sweep (Bull Trap) Price spikes above a key high, triggering stop-losses from short sellers and inducing breakout buyers. If price fails to hold above that level and quickly reverses, it confirms the sweep. This is a signal that price is likely to drop as smart money absorbs liquidity before selling off. Example of a buy side liquidity sweep (BSL) 🔸 Sell-Side Liquidity Sweep (Bear Trap) Price dips below a key low, triggering stop-losses from long traders and trapping breakout sellers. If price fails to hold below that level and quickly reverses, it confirms the sweep. This is a signal that price is likely to rise as smart money collects liquidity before pushing higher. A liquidity sweep is not just a random wick, it’s a strategic price move designed to trap traders before a reversal. Example of a sell side liquidity sweep (SSL) 🔹 Why Liquidity Sweeps Matter Liquidity sweeps provide traders with some of the highest probability reversal signals because they: ✔ Show where institutions and smart money are active ✔ Confirm major support and resistance levels ✔ Help traders avoid false breakouts ✔ Provide excellent risk-to-reward setups Once a liquidity sweep is confirmed, price often moves aggressively in the opposite direction, as smart money has finished collecting liquidity and is now driving price toward their true target. 🔹 How to Use Liquidity Sweeps in Your Trading 1️⃣ Identify Key Liquidity Zones Mark previous swing highs and lows where traders are likely placing stop-losses. Pay attention to equal highs/lows and tight consolidations, as these areas tend to hold a lot of liquidity. Use volume profile tools to see where the highest liquidity clusters exist. 2️⃣ Wait for a Liquidity Sweep & Rejection Don’t enter just because price broke a high/low, wait for confirmation. A strong rejection candle (wick, engulfing pattern, pin bar, etc.) signals that the sweep was a trap. Lower timeframes (5m, 15m) can help confirm entry after a sweep happens on higher timeframes. 3️⃣ Combine with Other Confluences Liquidity sweeps are most effective when combined with: ✅ Fair Value Gaps (FVGs): Price often sweeps liquidity before filling an imbalance. ✅ Order Blocks: Smart money enters positions at order block levels after a sweep. ✅ Fibonacci Retracements: Sweeps often happen near the Golden Pocket (0.618 - 0.65). ✅ Volume Profile (POC): If a sweep happens near a Point of Control (POC), it adds extra confluence. The more confirmations you have, the higher the probability of a successful trade! 🔹 Common Mistakes Traders Make with Liquidity Sweeps Entering too early: A liquidity sweep needs confirmation. Wait for a clear rejection before trading. Ignoring higher timeframes: The strongest sweeps happen on 1H, 4H, and Daily charts. Lower timeframes can be noisy. Forgetting the invalidation rule: If price closes above/below the liquidity sweep level, the move may not be valid. Chasing price after a sweep: Always look for an optimal entry (retracement to a key level) rather than impulsively entering. 🔹 Advanced Tips for Trading Liquidity Sweeps 📌 Use Time-of-Day Analysis: Liquidity sweeps often occur before major sessions open (London, New York, etc.). Many sweeps happen during high impact news releases, be cautious. 📌 Look for Repeated Sweeps at the Same Level: If price sweeps liquidity multiple times without follow through, it increases the chance of a strong reversal. A double or triple sweep is a powerful confirmation that smart money is manipulating price before a real move. 📌 Use Liquidity Sweeps for Entry & Exit Points: Entering after a confirmed liquidity sweep can provide great risk-to-reward setups. Use liquidity sweeps as take-profit targets if price is approaching a key high/low, expect a sweep before reversal. 📌 Final Thoughts: Mastering Liquidity Sweeps Liquidity sweeps are one of the most powerful tools in a trader’s arsenal because they reveal smart money’s true intentions. By understanding how they work, traders can: ✅ Avoid being trapped by false breakouts ✅ Identify high-probability reversal points ✅ Follow smart money instead of fighting it Next time you see price breaking a high or low, don’t immediately assume it’s a breakout. Look for the liquidity sweep if it happens, it could be a game changer for your trading strategy. 🚀 Also, check out our Liquidity sweep indicator! __________________________________________ If you found this guide helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment. I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈✨
KRAKEN:BTCUSDEducation
by TehThomas
Bitcoin Slips: Buy the Lows or Ride the Sell-Off? Following an extended expanding consolidation from Dec 2024 – Jan 2025, bearish pressure intensified after a downside breakout, increasing the probability of a double-top formation at 108,360 – 109,350. This raises concerns about a potential drop towards the previous major support-turned-resistance zone at 72,000 – 74,000. 🔹 Momentum Check: The RSI has hit oversold levels last seen in Aug 2024, when BTCUSD found a bottom before rallying past 100K. 🔸 Bullish Scenario: If BTCUSD holds above 82,000, upside targets include 86,500, 93,000, and potentially a retest of 109,000. 🔻 Bearish Scenario: A close below 82,000 could accelerate declines toward 79,500 & 72,000, aligning with the 50% & 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the Aug 2024 – Jan 2025 uptrend. - Razan Hilal, CMT
FOREXCOM:BTCUSD
by FOREXcom
Bitcoin at Key Support: Could We Be Nearing the Bottom?Bitcoin is at a critical support level, bouncing off the 200-day moving average. The Fear & Greed Index is at extreme lows, bearish sentiment is peaking, and Trump’s crypto policies could fuel a rebound. With strong technical and psychological factors aligning, is this the turning point? Watch for key insights and price levels to watch! This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information
THINKMARKETS:BTCUSD
by ThinkMarkets
Bitcoin's Trend Trap: The Shoe Has Spoken Why This Bounce Won't Stick & Where Price is Headed Next Bitcoin's recent price action is fooling a lot of people into thinking that the worst is over—but the charts are telling a different story. This latest analysis focuses on trend caps, resistance confirmations, and why Bitcoin is more likely to fail its recovery attempt rather than sustain a new rally. The video dives into chart physics and explains how trend lines aren't just drawn arbitrarily—they reveal how price interacts with past levels of support and resistance. Using a line of closings and crossings, Hollywood demonstrates how price will tend to respect these self-reinforcing levels. Bitcoin’s recent attempt to push upward is running into trouble because it's failing to break key levels that would indicate actual bullish momentum. Instead, the market is setting up for a return to test the lower support. Even if price manages a small push higher, it won’t change the overall structure—it's still heading toward the inevitable retest of lower levels, and this time, the failure will be decisive. Know Thy Shoe. Trust Thy Shoe. This isn’t just about Bitcoin’s price—it’s about the psychology of the market. Traders don’t want to believe a deeper drop is coming. There’s an unspoken desperation to keep Bitcoin in the $90K range, but the reality is that there’s nothing but clear air below. No real support, just a big empty space where the price should have built a foundation—but didn’t. Hollywood’s message? Watch the trend cap. Watch the test of the floor. And when the shoe fits, wear it. (wow, thank you ChatGPT for really good video summary from nothing but a transcript .... Yeah, ladies and gentlemen, I didn't write all that, if this was me writing all this all the time you wouldn't get this till tomorrow or maybe next Wednesday)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Hollywood260AB
BTC at a CrossroadsDouble Wedge Squeeze: This pattern forms when the price of an asset is consolidating within two converging trendlines (one ascending and one descending). It suggests that volatility is compressing, and a significant move (breakout or breakdown) is likely once the price exits the wedge. Key Levels: 121K: If the price breaks above 121K, it would signal a bullish breakout, potentially leading to a continuation of the upward trend. 60K: If the price breaks below 60K, it would indicate a bearish breakdown, potentially forming an M pattern (double top), which is a reversal pattern signaling a potential downtrend. M Pattern (Double Top): If the price breaks below 60K, it confirms the M pattern, which typically indicates a reversal from an uptrend to a downtrend. The target for the downside move could be estimated by measuring the height of the pattern and projecting it downward from the breakdown point.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Ehsan599
BTC Poised for Upside Move: Key Levels to WatchBitcoin (BTC) is showing signs of strength as it consolidates above critical support levels. With positive momentum building and key indicators pointing upward, BTC could be setting up for a steady climb. In this idea, we’ll explore the technical levels and trends that suggest upward potential. No breakout needed—just steady gains ahead. Let’s dive in! Disclaimer: Trading involves risk, and this analysis is for educational purposes only. Traders should perform their own due diligence and risk assessment before executing any trades.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by PrabuddhaPeramuna
BTC SHORT TP: 85,4000 05-03-2025Bitcoin is currently displaying a rebound pattern towards the 85,000 - 85,500 zone, which is crucial to maintain its bullish momentum. I suggest entering a short position in this range with tight stop-losses to capitalize on the anticipated movement. This analysis is based on a 1-hour timeframe, so we should expect results within 8 to 11 hours. If the expected price action does not occur within that timeframe, the trade will be considered invalid. Be sure to follow me for ongoing updates and to continue generating profits! We've successfully executed 6 trades in a row—let's aim for this to be the 7th, or we start fresh!
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by ReyDragon21
BTC/USD – 1H Timeframe🚀 BTC/USD Smart Money Analysis – 1H Timeframe 📉 Price Action Update: 🔹 Key demand zones at 90,924 - 91,580 🔹 Potential support at 92,323 - 92,523 🔹 Upside target at 94,919.59 📈 Trading Plan: 🔹 Watch for a bounce from demand zones for potential long entries 🔹 Break and hold above 92,523 could confirm bullish continuation 🔹 Targeting 94,921 - 96,918 if bullish momentum sustains #Bitcoin #BTCUSD #SmartMoneyConcepts #PriceAction #CryptoTrading #LiquidityZones #BTC
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by FXFOREVER_87
Bitcoin Rejection at Resistance: Potential Drop to 94,825This BTC/USD 1-hour chart highlights a key resistance zone around 96,400, where price has tested and failed to break through. A rejection from this level suggests potential downside movement. If the price confirms rejection at resistance, a bearish move toward the target zone near 94,825 is likely. The overall setup indicates a possible short opportunity if resistance holds. Resistance : Around 96,400 – 96,600 Target: 94,825
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by TRADE_CENTER_1
3
BTC/USD 1H – Smart Money Insights📊 BTC/USD 1H – Smart Money Insights 🔹 Market Structure: ✅ Break of Structure (BOS) confirms bearish intent ✅ Fair Value Gap (FVG) aligned with possible retracement zones ✅ Key Demand Zone: 73,997.54 ✅ Fibonacci Levels: 0.618 at 87,733.18 📌 Potential Trade Setup: 🔹 Bullish Scenario: Buying near the demand zone (73,997.54) for a push higher 🔹 Target Levels: 90,924 - 91,580 & beyond 🔹 Bearish Scenario: A break below current support could drive price lower #BTCUSD #SmartMoneyConcepts #CryptoAnalysis #LiquiditySweep #FVG #BreakOfStructure #CryptoTrading #PriceAction 🚀
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by FXFOREVER_87