Long trade opportunity is coming Bitcoin price is starting to look interesting for a long trade opportunity.
Currently Bitcoin is in the range bound between 75,000 approx and 89,500 aprox (blue rectangular box in the chart).
EMA 200 is horizontally running through in the middle of the range and EMA 21, 55 and 200 are starting to get bunched up together. I really like this set up because when this happens, it is often followed by a strong directional move. All you need for now is patience, which is the hardest thing to do.
I will open a long position if the following conditions are met:
1) Daily MACD and RSI will move into the bull zone and they are clearly pointing to the upside.
2)The price will move and close above the descending trendline.
3) EMAs are going to start to spread out and line up properly (EMA 21>55>200 for long)
For whatever reasons, if I feel I need to be more cautious, I might wait for the price to move and close above 93,000 (above orange rectangular box area) because it is a high liquidity area and I think a lot of price manipulation might happen.
BULLUSD trade ideas
Bitcoin: Shooting Star Breaks Wedge, Bearish Bias BuildsDownside risks appear to be growing for bitcoin with Tuesday’s shooting star candle triggering a bearish break of the rising wedge it had been sitting in over the past week.
Shorts could be established on the break with a stop above Tuesday’s high for protection. Some may opt for the 200DMA as a trade target, but the preference would be to look for a return to the lows beneath $75,000 hit last week.
The neutral momentum picture is also showing signs of turning bearish, with RSI (14) breaking its uptrend as a result of the latest pullback. While RSI is trending higher, it remains in negative territory, indicating downside momentum is only lessening—not reversing entirely.
Good luck!
DS
BTC/USDT Trade Setup (30-Minute Time Frame) 16/04/202📅 Date: 16/04/2025
🕑 Time: 02:18 AM
💰 Current Price: 84,001 USDT
Trade Idea:
Pattern Identified: Double Top
Action: Sell at current price (84,001)
Target Price: 80,800
Stop Loss: 86,680
Risk/Reward Ratio: Approx. 1:1.2
Bias: Bearish — anticipating a rejection from resistance and a breakdown toward neckline support.
Double Top Pattern Summary:
The double top is a classic bearish reversal pattern that forms after an extended uptrend. It is characterized by two consecutive peaks at approximately the same level, separated by a moderate trough.
First Peak: The price rallies and then pulls back to a support level called the neckline.
Second Peak: The price climbs again but fails to break the first high, forming the second top.
Confirmation: A break below the neckline often signals a potential downside move.
Disclaimer: This trade idea is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency trading carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Please conduct your own research or consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
LSTM AI Model Predicts BTC Move on the 4H Chart 🧠 LSTM AI Model Predicts BTC Move on the 4H Chart ⚡
I've built and trained an LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) deep learning model specifically to analyze 4-hour BTC chart data — and it's showing some strong signals.
📚 What the model does:
The LSTM takes recent 4H candlestick data and learns from historical trends, volatility patterns, and short-term momentum. With ~96% accuracy on training data, it's shown solid potential in picking up turning points and projecting short-term moves.
🚀 Current Prediction:
The model suggests Bitcoin is on track to push toward $70K, continuing its current uptrend within the next 30 days if momentum holds.
This isn’t just a moving average crossover — this is deep learning trained to recognize complex crypto behavior.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
As always, no model is perfect. This is a forecast, not financial advice. Use it as a perspective, not a guarantee.
Let me know if you're seeing similar signs, or if you're using ML in your trading too! 🔍
#BTCUSD #Bitcoin #CryptoForecast #4HChart #LSTMModel #AITrading #BTCto70K #CryptoAnalysis
BTC looks good for investors/position traders hereSetup: breakout & retest of multiyear SR zone (65-74k)
The 65-74k area which held as resistance for 3+ years from 2021-24, was broken and is now being tested as support.
It is currently in accumulation under the 90k level / under the 20W ema
Trade idea :
Good area to start entering for a longer time horizon (multi-month)
Can target all-time-high levels of around 110k initially - & can hold some for price discovery later into the year.
Invalidation of this idea would be a weekly close below 59k.
BTC/USDT – Trap Activated: Is the Final Flush Coming?📆 Follow-up to our April 16 idea:
Back then we warned:
“Fake pump to 85.8K, followed by a drop to 81.5K. Tape is rotten, stops are baited, and Delta screams ‘run!’”
Well... here’s what’s happened since:
✅ What’s been confirmed:
BTC pushed into the 85.5K–85.8K trap zone and got rejected hard
Delta turned positive briefly – but with no price continuation
OI stayed flat = no real conviction = stealth distribution
Tape showed clear absorption at the highs
🎯 The trap we predicted is now active. Bulls walked right into it.
❗ What’s still to come (likely very soon):
The final flush of long positions hasn't happened yet.
Updated liquidation maps (1D & 48H) show massive clusters below 82.8K–81.2K full of over-leveraged longs.
⚠️ If price breaks below 83K with volume + strong red delta...
💣 Expect a liquidation cascade.
🧠 Strategy (Still Aligned with April 16)
🔻 SHORT (Primary Idea)
Entry: Rejection at 85.5K–85.8K
SL: 86.2K
TP1: 83.2K
TP2: 81.5K
🔺 LONG (Only if the flush comes first)
Entry: Sweep down to 82.8K + delta reversal + OI spike
SL: 81.8K
TP: 84.8–85.2K
🌍 Updated Macro Context:
USD still strong 💵
Fed not pivoting anytime soon 🏦
Trump’s BTC reserve news = bullish narrative, but no short-term impact yet
📉 Macro still favors risk-off sentiment
🎭 Final Words from the Pôncio Doctrine:
“The trap is active. The stops are aligned.
Now we just wait for one institutional candle to wipe the board.”
If this breaks… you’ve officially been Pônciado.
BTC has upside chances until it holds above 81K areaMorning folks,
So, picture barely has changes since our last discussion. Right now we do not see any ready-to-trade setups. But suggest some bullish support to the market. After major XOP target has been reached - BTC has not dropped but remains in tight consolidation. This is more a bullish sign.
In general, we could suggest here a kind of reverse H&S shape. It makes us think that until BTC price is above ~ 81K area, it keeps chances on upside breakout. Drop below 81K will lead BTC back to the previous lows.
So, if you would like to buy - try to do this as closer to the lows of consolidation as possible. We consider no shorts by far.
What factors could drive Bitcoin(BTC/USD) to reach the $68KGiven the current market conditions, Bitcoin has not managed to establish a new high in its recent upward movement. Various factors, including uncertainty regarding upcoming economic changes, reduced liquidity, the focus of financial institutions on the decline of stock markets, and the market's inability to react to sudden shifts, have contributed to the lack of a clear directional trend.
However, based on the presented analysis and chart review, it is anticipated that Bitcoin will reach the level of $68,000 in the coming weeks, paving the way for the initiation of a strong bullish trend. This upward movement is expected to first drive Bitcoin's price to approximately $130,000, and after a brief correction, the upward momentum may continue, potentially pushing the price to levels as high as $179,000.
BTC USD ENTRY point 85200 target 84000 stop loss 86000Here's the setup for your BTC/USD short trade:
Entry: 85,200
Target: 84,000
Stop Loss: 86,000
Trade Breakdown:
Risk (SL - Entry): 800 pips
Reward (Entry - TP): 1,200 pips
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:1.5 (solid)
Quick Tips:
Watch for a lower high or bearish candle formation at/near 85,200 before entry.
Set alerts near 84,400 to consider trailing your stop or partial close.
If BTC is trending strongly, wait for signs of exhaustion before entering short.
Need help stacking confluences for the trade or checking current market sentiment?
HOW BTC GONNA BE 1M IN 2 YEARS
HI.
Gotcha..
Without filling the dots on fundamental n value etc.
I am over simplifying this idea in 2 lines.. uptrend support n resistance line on MoM
Don't get excited becoz it's only 10X on 1:1
and 2-3 years 1000 days..
Few conditions before you make a move.. ( follow and share ) :)
:- you should have a plan
:- you can start slowly (it's going to be long ride brother & sister)
:::::PM me.. I will give you my mind for free.. ( caveat emptor )
Please don't trust me.
I'm not a guru.
If it clicks.. go for it
BTC/USD... 1D CHART PATTREN...Here's is my 1-Day technical analysis for BTC/USD based on my setup:
---
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – 1D Chart Analysis
Current Price: $84,500
Trendline Breakout: Confirmed (suggesting bullish momentum)
Position: Buy Initiated
Entry Zone: $84,000–$84,500
---
Technical Setup:
Breakout Type: Trendline breakout on daily timeframe
Volume Confirmation: Look for increased volume on the breakout candle (bullish sign)
Support Levels: $81,000 and $78,500
Resistance Zones:
Target 1: $94,000 – Psychological & Fib resistance
Target 2: $98,500 – Extended target, may align with overbought RSI levels
---
Indicators to Watch:
RSI: Should stay below 70 for healthy bullish momentum
MACD: If bullish crossover confirmed, supports further upside
EMA 50 & 200: Price trading above both = strong trend confirmation
---
Strategy:
Buy Zone: $84,000–$85,000
TP1: $94,000
TP2: $98,500
Stop Loss: Below $81,000 (to protect against false breakouts)
---
Let me know if you want a chart drawn or an intraday scalping plan based on this setup.
Bitcoin's Bounce, Your Weekly Scoop on the Bullish Surge !The market has unfolded as anticipated, aligning with our projections.
Short-Term Outlook: Expect a relatively narrow trading range this week due to the absence of major news catalysts.
Bullish Perspective: We maintain a bullish stance, targeting a price range of $88,000–$92,000.
Local Bottom Confirmation: Bitcoin appears to have established a local bottom. Notably, it diverged from Ethereum, which recorded lower lows, while Bitcoin resisted forming a new low.
Technical Analysis: Last week, Bitcoin respected a daily bullish order block, resulting in a strong upward move.
Key Support Level: This week, an inverse fair value gap (FVG) on the daily chart around $82,400 is expected to act as a liquidity zone and support, with price likely to tap this level and rebound higher.
Thank you for your support! Stay tuned for more insights and drop a Like if you loved it 🚀
Free Masterclass? Need Follower InputHey Traders! 👋
To anyone who’s been following my journey, you already know—my only real priority is to share the knowledge and specialized analysis I’ve built up over time with as many people as possible.
I post videos as often as I can, especially when I feel something is brewing on the charts, to give you my clearest insights into how I approach the market. The hope is that you can take these tools, replicate the thought process, and make the most out of your own trading and financial path.
But as I sit here about to make another video, I had a realization—this is so much bigger than just one chart or one video.
I want to teach this in a way that’s immersive and personal, so we can learn, grow, and spread this knowledge together as a team.
So here’s my proposal:
I’d love to host a (free, of course) “masterclass” session for anyone interested in digging deeper into how I read and understand the market. It’ll be super relaxed—a Zoom session where you can ask questions, share what you’ve learned, and connect with other like-minded traders along with learning from me in a live and direct setting.
If this interests YOU, just comment below or DM me privately. If I get 15+ replies, I’ll officially organize it and share the date, time, and Zoom link.
I’m honestly so excited to do this. There’s only so much I can cover in 5–15 minute videos, and I’d love to build something from the ground up. Maybe it turns into a 10-hour marathon, or maybe we start with 2 hours and take it from there—but let’s just start.
To my 1,100+ followers—let me know what you think. I want to give you the best possible way to learn this incredible way of seeing the market.
Wishing you all the best &
Happy Trading :)
Shorting Analysis on Bitcoin - Fxdollars- {15/04/2025}Educational Analysis says that BTCUSD may give countertrend opportunities from this range, according to my technical analysis.
Broker - BITSTAMP
So, my analysis is based on a top-down approach from weekly to trend range to internal trend range.
So my analysis comprises of two structures: 1) Break of structure on weekly range and 2) External pushback to fill the remaining fair value gap
Let's see what this pair brings to the table for us in the future.
Please check the comment section to see how this turned out.
DISCLAIMER:-
This is not an entry signal. THIS IS ONLY EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ANALYSIS.
I have no concerns with your profit and loss from this analysis.
I HAVE NO CONCERNS WITH YOUR PROFIT OR LOSS,
Happy Trading, Fx Dollars.
BITCOIN is kissing a critical resistance zone.BITCOIN is kissing a critical resistance zone.
Bitcoin is currently kissing a critical resistance zone, hovering around the $85,500 level. This region aligns closely with a descending trendline that has historically capped BTC rallies, and this test comes after a sharp recovery from a local low near $74,000, a drop that was triggered in tandem with broader risk-asset selloffs following U.S. tariff announcements and rising global macroeconomic tension.
Technical Analysis
The descending trendline (marked in blue on the chart) acts as a key resistance.
A daily close above $85,800 - $86,200 could confirm a breakout, potentially paving the way for a fresh attempt toward the $90,000 psychological level.
Conversely, failure to break and hold above this resistance could cause a rejection and pullback.
Immediate downside support lies at the previous local low (~$74,000), and below that, the next strong support zone is around $69,000 (yellow block on chart).
Fundamental Backdrop
Bitcoin continues to be driven by macroeconomic news, institutional flows, and growing ETF inflows.
If fundamentals remain bullish, including continued institutional accumulation, favorable regulatory developments, or increased on-chain activity, they could fuel momentum for a breakout.
The market doesn’t reward assumptions — it rewards preparation.
Whether it’s a breakout or a pullback, risk management should always come first. As always, protect your capital before thinking of profit. Use stop-losses, scale your entries, and avoid over-leveraging in volatile zones like this.
What’s your take on BTC at this juncture?
Do you see a breakout brewing, or is this another trap for over-leveraged bulls?
Let’s discuss