BULLUSD trade ideas
All-Time High Bitcoin Mining Difficulty Future Bitcoin's mining difficulty has recently reached a new all-time high, a significant milestone that underscores the network's growing security and resilience. This metric, which adjusts every 2016 blocks to maintain a consistent block generation time of approximately 10 minutes, reflects the increasing computational power dedicated to securing the Bitcoin network.
What Does Increased Mining Difficulty Mean?
• Enhanced Network Security: A higher mining difficulty implies that it becomes increasingly challenging for malicious actors to launch attacks like 51% attacks. This strengthens the network's security and protects its integrity.
• Increased Energy Consumption: As more miners join the network to compete for block rewards, energy consumption associated with Bitcoin mining tends to rise. This has sparked debates about the environmental impact of the network.
• Price Volatility: Increased mining difficulty can influence Bitcoin's price volatility. A surge in mining difficulty may lead to price fluctuations as miners adjust their operations to maintain profitability.
Bitcoin Open Interest Surges Ahead of Elections
In the lead-up to the U.S. presidential election, Bitcoin's open interest has seen a significant uptick. Open interest refers to the total number of outstanding futures contracts on a particular asset. A rising open interest indicates increased market activity and potential for heightened price volatility.
Bitcoin Breaks Above $70K
Bitcoin's recent surge above the $70,000 mark has generated considerable excitement and speculation. This milestone highlights the growing institutional interest in Bitcoin as a store of value and a hedge against inflation. However, it's important to note that such rapid price movements can be accompanied by periods of volatility.
"Calm Before the Storm": Anticipating Volatility
The term "calm before the storm" is often used to describe a period of relative tranquility before a significant event. In the context of Bitcoin, it suggests that the current period of relative price stability may precede a period of increased volatility.
Several factors could contribute to this anticipated volatility:
• Election Uncertainty: The outcome of the U.S. presidential election could have a significant impact on global financial markets, including the cryptocurrency market.
• Regulatory Developments: Changes in regulatory policies can influence the price of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.
• Market Sentiment: Shifts in market sentiment, driven by news events, social media trends, or economic indicators, can lead to rapid price fluctuations.
Navigating the Volatile Market
Given the potential for increased volatility, investors and traders must adopt a cautious approach. Here are some tips for navigating the volatile Bitcoin market:
• Do Your Research: Stay informed about the latest news and developments in the cryptocurrency market.
• Diversify Your Portfolio: Spread your investments across different assets to reduce risk.
• Set Stop-Loss Orders: Use stop-loss orders to limit potential losses.
• Manage Your Risk: Avoid overtrading and stick to a well-defined trading strategy.
• Stay Patient: The cryptocurrency market is known for its volatility. It's important to maintain a long-term perspective and avoid making impulsive decisions.
In conclusion, Bitcoin's increasing mining difficulty, surging open interest, and recent price surge highlight the dynamic nature of the cryptocurrency market. While the potential for volatility remains, the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains positive, driven by its underlying technology and growing institutional adoption.
Navigating Bullish Momentum with Key Support & Resistance LevelsHere’s my analysis and prediction based on the chart. I see that the green line (50MA), which represents the shorter moving average, is above the red line (200MA), the longer moving average, suggesting an overall bullish trend. The price is currently trading above both of these moving averages , typically indicating continued bullish momentum .
When I look at the price action, I notice a clear pattern of higher highs and higher lows, which supports the bullish trend. However, the price recently faced some resistance and pulled back from a local high, possibly signaling a minor consolidation or a pause before the next move.
The RSI is in the mid-range, not yet in overbought or oversold territory. This neutral position suggests there’s room for movement in either direction. If the RSI trends upwards, it could signal more bullish momentum, while a downward trend might indicate a correction.
My prediction is as follows: If the price continues to find support above the moving averages, it’s likely to retest the recent high and potentially break through to new levels. I’ll be watching the RSI for confirmation of bullish momentum. On the other hand, if the price breaks below the shorter moving average, there could be a pullback toward the longer moving average or previous support levels. A drop in RSI could indicate weakening momentum, leading to a correction or consolidation phase. Overall, I see the current setup as slightly bullish, but I’ll keep an eye on how the price and RSI behave around these key levels.
Follow for more!
Analyzing Bitcoin's Breakout: A Bullish Momentum in PlayI see that Bitcoin has been in a downtrend, marked by a descending channel. However, it’s clear that the price has broken out of this channel, suggesting a potential trend reversal or a bullish breakout.
When I look at the Fibonacci retracement levels, I notice that the price is currently around the 0.5 level, approximately $70,209.94. This is an important area, as it often acts as a pivot point for the price, either as resistance or a spot where momentum could continue upward.
The moving averages on the chart are also giving me some valuable insights. I can see a shorter-term moving average (the green line) and a longer-term one (the red line). The price has moved above both of these averages, which is a bullish signal. If the shorter moving average crosses above the longer one, that would confirm a Golden Cross, adding more weight to a bullish outlook.
Looking at the RSI, I see it’s been moving upwards and has recently broken above a resistance trendline. This tells me that bullish momentum is building. The RSI is getting close to overbought territory but isn’t there yet, suggesting there might still be room for the price to rise.
For key levels, I’m noting that the breakout point around $68,513.37 acts as a solid support. There’s also support around the 0.786 Fibonacci level at $68,248.34. On the upside, the immediate resistance is at the 0.5 Fibonacci level, and beyond that, I’m eyeing the 0.382 level at $71,010.80 as the next potential target.
Overall, my interpretation is that this breakout could lead to further upside. If Bitcoin holds above the 0.5 Fibonacci level and continues to trade above the moving averages, I’d expect more bullish momentum. On the other hand, if it fails to maintain this level, I’d watch for a possible retest of the breakout zone or lower Fibonacci levels for support.
That’s how I’m seeing it right now.
Bitcoin Long Term Weekly Chart Pattern - Ascending TriangleJust a view of Bitcoin price chart on a weekly basis. Ascending Triangle patterns are some of the most reliable patterns in technical analysis. They usually break out of the pattern at 2/3rd of the way through the pattern.
Not a recommendation to buy or sell Bitcoin. For tutorial purposes.
BTC UDS UpdateWe have incoming FA (fundamental analysis) with massive volume behind the price right now. Our stop-loss is still below the range low at 65,149, and we plan to start managing it after the first pullback. Let's see how far the price continues to move.
"BTCUSD Head and Shoulders Formation: Key Levels to Watch Title: "BTCUSD Head and Shoulders Formation: Key Levels to Watch for Potential Breakdown or Reversal"
---
Description of the Analysis:
This BTCUSD 4-hour chart showcases a **Head and Shoulders pattern**, a classic formation often signaling a potential trend reversal. As Bitcoin trades within this pattern, traders should closely monitor the neckline and key levels to identify possible breakdowns or reversals.
1. Pattern Overview:
- The **Head and Shoulders** structure consists of three peaks: the Left Shoulder, the Head (the highest peak), and the Right Shoulder. Typically, this pattern implies a bearish setup, as the price often drops after breaking below the neckline.
2. Key Resistance and Support Levels:
- **Weekly Resistance** levels at **69,019.12** and **68,548.42** indicate major overhead resistance. If the price attempts a move upward, these levels may act as a barrier.
- A **Fibonacci retracement** level at **70,193.36** aligns with the 0.618 level, adding additional resistance if the price retraces higher within the pattern.
- The **Daily Support** level at **66,566.10** aligns with the neckline. A break below this level would confirm the head and shoulders breakdown, suggesting further downside movement.
3. Indicators and Momentum:
- **RSI**: Currently near 39.38, approaching oversold territory, though not showing strong bullish divergence. If RSI forms higher lows while price trends lower, it may signal a bullish divergence.
4. Potential Scenarios:
- Bearish Breakdown: If BTCUSD breaks below the neckline at **66,566.10**, this would confirm the head and shoulders pattern. This could trigger further downside, with short opportunities targeting lower support levels.
- Bullish Reversal: If BTCUSD finds support above **66,566.10** and pushes past the **68,388.20** daily level, a reversal may be in play. A close above **70,193.36** (the Fibonacci level) would strengthen the bullish case, with resistance targets near **72,000**.
5. Risk Management and Entry Strategy:
- For a bearish breakdown, consider entering short positions below the neckline with a stop-loss just above it, scaling into the position as the price confirms the downtrend.
- For a bullish reversal, look for high volume and strong price action above resistance levels before entering, setting stops near the neckline or key support to manage risk effectively.
Summary:
In summary, this analysis identifies a key head and shoulders pattern on BTCUSD’s 4-hour chart, with potential for a bearish breakdown below the neckline or a bullish reversal if support holds and price reclaims resistance. Traders should closely observe the Fibonacci retracement level, weekly resistance, and daily support levels for entries and exits, supported by momentum indicators for confirmation.
#Bitcoin | Inducement Range As We Go Through ElectionsGiven the current uncertainty surrounding the elections, I anticipated a rejection off the open wick at the range's high, which could initiate a consolidation phase characterized by lower-time-frame inducement. This setup aims to engineer additional liquidity around the 73k high.
Analyzing the present market structure reveals two sharp impulsive moves, with price currently ranging above the sell-side liquidity pool. It appears rational to expect a manipulation leg down to the 63k - 64k range before we ultimately clear the highs and enter a phase of price discovery.
As we enter this price discovery phase, I believe it will trigger significant liquidations from short sellers, creating upward momentum that pushes the price even further. Following this expansion, I foresee a final consolidation forming at higher levels. This consolidation may be tight enough to catch traders off guard before the price breaks above the previous high, which I expect will lead us to the fifth wave of the fifth macro wave, effectively topping the current market cycle.
Bitcoin in the Zone: Major Levels to Watch! Bitcoin’s riding the edge with some serious levels coming up. On the downside, we’ve got key supports at $66,969, $66,054, and $65,000. If $65,000 breaks, a slide to $60,000 is very possible. On the upside, we’re eyeing $69,249 first, and if we break through, we could be aiming for $73,500 and beyond!"
Breakdown of Key Levels
Current Support Levels
First Support: $66,969
This level is Bitcoin’s first line of support. As long as it holds, BTC could stay in a good position to push higher.
Second Support: $66,054
If we drop below $66,969, the next stop to watch is $66,054. Losing this level could signal a stronger downside move.
Major Support at $65,000
$65,000 is the critical level to keep an eye on. If Bitcoin slips below this, we’re likely looking at a bearish move, with $60,000 as the next realistic target.
Upside Targets
First Target: $69,249
On the upside, if BTC holds support and gains some momentum, $69,249 is our next target. We might see some resistance here, so it’s a spot to watch for a possible pullback.
Second Target: $73,500
If Bitcoin breaks $69,249 with strength, then $73,500 is the next big level in play. Breaking through this could mean BTC is primed for an even bigger push higher.
Higher Target: Beyond $73,500
If we reach and hold above $73,500, the path is open for BTC to go for new highs. We could see buyers step in even stronger, and BTC might be setting up for its next major move up.
Trading Tip
Stay flexible here! BTC’s got some clear levels to watch. If we hold support, we could be heading for a strong upside. But if we lose $65,000, the drop to $60,000 becomes a real possibility. Keep these levels in mind, and let the market show you where it wants to go.
if you like this analysis like , follow and boost our posts
Mindbloome Trading / Kris
Mindbloome Exchange
Zoom out: Bull Flag Pattern Points to Potential Upside TargetTechnical Overview
The COINBASE:BTCUSD weekly chart suggests a bullish setup, with a Bullish Flag pattern and Descending Broadening Triangle playing out. Current price action shows BTC retesting previous resistance as new support around $67,000.
Support and Resistance:
- Support: The zone at $67,000 serves as immediate support within the flag pattern.
- Resistance: Key resistance lies at Bullish Target 1 ($77,750), which aligns with the 0.786 Fibonacci level.
Outlook:
- Bullish: If BTC holds above $67,000 and breaks through $77,750, a rally towards Bullish Target 2 at $88,000 is plausible, with a long-term target of $112,993.
- Bearish: A breakdown below $67,000 may lead to a retracement toward $60,000 or lower.
Conclusion:
The weekly setup remains bullish if BTC can defend $67,000, with $77,750 and $88,000 as primary upside targets. A decisive breakout could confirm continuation to higher targets.
Bitcoin the bellwether to watch as US election results roll in Bitcoin trades lower this morning at $67,807 (-1.60%). In the early part of this week, the focus has been on the final set of US election polls, revealing that pro-crypto presidential candidate Trump's election lead has evaporated.
BTC appears to have picked up on that shift in sentiment in the middle of last week, as it heads for a sixth consecutive session of losses. This makes it a good bellwether to watch tomorrow as the vote counting commences.
Technically, Bitcoin needs to see a sustained break above resistance at $74,000 to confirm the uptrend has resumed towards $80,000. Aware that a sustained retreat below support at $65,000 signals that last week's break higher has failed and that Bitcoin has returned to the safety of its seven-month trend channel, viewed on the chart below.
2024-11-04 - priceactiontds - daily update - bitcoinGood Evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
Bitcoin - Neutral. Bears did good but I do think a pullback is imminent and could easily retest 70000-71500. This whole move is W1 of the next bear trend and any short with stop above 75000 is good. We will likely see 60000 in the next 1-2 weeks.
comment: Bulls could spike this up tomorrow due to news but otherwise, they are done. This move down is W1 of the new bear trend down below 50000 (which is also still inside the big trading range). A pullback is around the corner and I would not sell below 67000 for now. There is still an open bull gap to 65800, which will likely be closed tomorrow. My two legged correction down (drawn on the weekly update) to 65000 is still valid.
current market cycle: trading range on the weekly chart - new bear trend on the daily chart
key levels: 65000 - 70000
bull case: Bulls need to stop this above 65000 or we could see some panic selling. I do think a retest of 73000+ is already out of the question. Best they can hope for is some short squeeze to 70000/71000 before we get another leg down. If they close Wednesday above 72000 I am wrong.
Invalidation is below 65000.
bear case: Bears doing really good, much better than expected and that can only mean that bulls are running for the exits and want their profits secured. A measured move down from here brings us exactly to 60000. There. Are. No. Coincidences.
Invalidation is above 72000.
short term: Neutral. Want to see a pullback higher to short this into oblivion over the next months.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-11-03 : Mother of all double tops is what I expect to hold. So highs are likely in and we go down hard from here. 40000 is my target for the next 3-5 months.
current swing trade: Soon
trade of the day: Shorting 69000. Clear resistance and market tried 3 times and failed. Perfect head & shoulders pattern, measured move target down was 67000 and market reached it afterhours.
BTC Bitcoin 1hr divergence bounceBTC Bitcoin 1hr divergence bounce along with golden pocket could be a place for reversal to test the POC.
BTC inter-day trading 2 important levels BTC could drop to the below line and then bounce back to the above line.
Bitcoin Short H4 UPDATESell Stop Entry @ 58481.40
S/L @ 65210.40
T/P1 @ 52390.00
T/P2 @ 44820.00
R.R.R. @ 1/2
Pure Price Action analysis based on Breakout of target level.
BTCUSD TRADE SETUPIf the marker retrace or fullback and then BULL run structure create from our demand zone then take a trade otherwise skip the position
BTCUSD TRADE SETUPPair Name: BTCUSD
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects pullback from demand zone
SUGGESTED TRADE: BTCUSD is holding continuous up trend so after market retracement I can take buy entry . If your analysis matches it take a trade otherwise skip the trade.
Swing Trade
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
❤Please, support our work with like & comment!❤
BTCUSDIf the analysis aligns with the market's actual direction, and the currency pair moves in the anticipated direction (up for a buy trade or down for a sell trade), the trade will likely yield a profit. The magnitude of the profit will depend on the size of the price movement, position size, and leverage used.
BEARISH CASE ANALYSIS FOR BTCBullish or Bearish, it's always a good idea to see below the surface and trade cautiously managing risks. BTC has a bullish sentiment overall, however structural analysis is painting a cautious sign to be too over optimistic. The cup and handle pattern formed is still not confirmed and can fail. I have seen these many times in my trading experience.
On the chart we have weak RSI (just above 60) heading into new all time high attempt, a shooting star candle on the weekly chart, a failed new high zone forming a double tops pattern. These don't support a strong bullish case. There is also a daily RSI and MACD divergence which has propelled the pullback since this publication. I am watching for when this divergence is played out completely to assess a bulls case structure.
Of course I agree with the bulls on the touch of the daily Bollinger band and if support is found at the 21 EMA or $68300 price level then we're off to another bulls run. I just want to share my thoughts on BTC price structure. Cheers !
Bitcoin - How will Bitcoin react to the results of the election?Bitcoin is located between the EMA50 and EMA200 in the 4H timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. Risk on sentiment in the US stock market or investing in Bitcoin ETF funds will lead to its continued upward movement. We will look for Bitcoin resale positions within the specified supply zone.
Capital withdrawals from Bitcoin ETFs or risk OFF sentiment in the US stock market will pave the way for Bitcoin to decline. Bitcoin buying positions can be looked for in the two specified demand zones.
It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important
New surveys by “ABC News/Ipsos” indicate a close race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump as the 2024 U.S. election approaches. These surveys reveal that 74% of voters are dissatisfied with the state of the country and also discontent with the current presidential candidates. Harris is slightly ahead with 49% support compared to Trump’s 46%. In the final days, Harris’s campaign has been more active in connecting with voters, gaining more support among Latinos, African Americans, and young women, whereas Trump holds greater support among white men and those without a college degree.
Donald Trump, the Republican candidate, has not only positioned himself as a pro-crypto figure but his tariff-raising policies could lead to inflation and increased geopolitical tensions. Trump, who previously opposed cryptocurrencies, has shifted to strong support for the industry this year. Decrypt previously reported that Trump aims to have all Bitcoin mining conducted in the U.S. and has launched a decentralized finance (DeFi) project running on Ethereum, with plans to issue his own stablecoin.
On the other hand, MicroStrategy, led by Michael Saylor, announced plans to raise $42 billion over the next three years to buy more Bitcoin. The company’s “21/21 Plan” aims to gather $21 billion through equity and $21 billion through debt. The company has stated that this additional capital will be used to acquire more Bitcoin as a treasury asset.
Their latest purchase in mid-September added 7,420 Bitcoin valued at $458.2 million, bringing their total holdings to 252,220 Bitcoin.
Performance of ETFs with the highest trading volume on Friday:
Total: - GETTEX:55M
BlackRock: $0M
Fidelity: - GETTEX:26M
Grayscale: -$5M
Bitcoin mining revenue and profit fell for the fourth consecutive month in October. JPMorgan reported that the average weekly hashrate of the Bitcoin network reached a record high. The bank estimated that Bitcoin miners earned an average of $41,800 per exahash per second, a 1% decrease from September. Additionally, daily gross profit reached a new low. Bitcoin mining difficulty hit an all-time high in October; however, transaction fees significantly increased, reaching 60% of the block reward by the end of the month. The monthly hashrate for the Bitcoin network increased to 702 EH/s in October, 9% higher than the previous month.
The latest update of the crypto market’s Fear and Greed Index shows that it remains in the greed zone, although it dropped by 4 points compared to the previous day.
Possibility of correction It is expected that after some fluctuation and correction, the continuation of the upward trend will be formed up to the previous ceiling range. Then a trend change is expected. If the support trend line is broken, the continuation of the downward trend will be possible
Take A Guess What Happens Next....Almost every time Bitcoin breaks its HTF trendline, a solid move in the opposite direction occurs. Let's be cautious and use proper risk management to minimize losses and maximize gains.
Maybe the 7th trendline break will be different.....
Calculate Your Risk/Reward so you don't lose more than 1% of your account per trade.
Every day the charts provide new information. You have to adjust or get REKT.
Love it or hate it, hit that thumbs up and share your thoughts below!
This is not financial advice. This is for educational purposes only.
BTCUSDT LONGI will long this trade only if it comes and takes down the liquidity of the marked zone or retest the marked zone with proper risk management.
