FAS trade ideas
TRADE IDEA: FAS AUG 18TH 18/28.5 SHORT STRANGLETruth be told, I'm not a huge of fan of leveraged instruments, but when a $23 underlying has the potential to yield a $100 or more worth of credit, I'll briefly overlook the warts these instruments have as an "investment" tool ... .
Here are the metrics for the play:
Probability of Profit: 77%
P50: 81%
Max Profit: $127/contract at the mid (this is off hours pricing; we'll have to see whether that's possible at NY open)
Max Loss/Buying Power Effect: Undefined/$232/contract (estimated/off hours)
Break Evens: 16.73/29.77
Notes: I'll look to get a fill for anything north of $100/contract, given the price of the underlying. As usual, I'll look to take this off at 50% max profit.
$FAS Bears Eye 7.83; Put On Summer Power Shorts | #ETFSYNOPSIS :
1 - Major bearish strength coming into play
2 - Immediate major support resides at the 15.54 handle
3 - Limited reactive rally expected at 15.54
4 - Ultimate bearish target at 7.83
Best,
David Alcindor, CMT Affiliate #227974
- Alias: 4xForecaster (Twitter)
FAS weekly bull put spread / possible condor. 117/116 weekly bull put spread .09 limit
I will only look at this spread if we closed below 120 on the hourly.
Look to leg into a 129/130 bear call spread. IF you do both legs together, .15 limit on the condor expiring this week. I would not look at bear call spread unless FAS closes above 127 on the hourly.
Could consider buying a shorter term call if FAS breaks 125.11 resistance.
AB=CD pattern just became bad news for the bullsThe AB=CD pattern mentioned in this week's Weekly Markets Analysis newsletter (marketzone.tumblr.com) just may became a serious warning signal for the financial bulls.
The lower border of the Trading channel we've been monitoring in the Market Zone for while, just got breached.
If this situation will stay till the end of the trading day, it is a great development to my bearish setup.
$FAS below 103 means bad news for financialsThe daily AB=CD pattern started working last week with a nice reversal in the PRZ.
The stock is trading inside a small descending Triangle and we see sellers pressure pushing the price lower and lower inside the tight range.
Break of the Triangle will probably lead to the support zone (structure and trend line).
It will be a buying opportunity for the bulls among you.. I'm more interested in what goes on below 103.
Multiple bearish signs in the weekly and the daily chart. Monitor closely.
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