CHINA WILL DOMINATE AI AND EVs (at some point)The Strategic Imperative of AI and China's Leading Role
Artificial Intelligence (AI) is an undeniable force shaping the future of technology. Whether one embraces it or not, AI is here to stay and will continue to evolve. In the global landscape, while the United States might attempt to decelerate technological progress and the European Union may impose stringent regulations on AI, China emerges as a frontrunner in the AI and electric vehicle (EV) sectors. China's strategic focus and regulatory environment provide fertile ground for these advancements.
Valuation Insights: Alibaba's Undervalued Potential
Currently, Alibaba's market valuation is strikingly low, a fact that has not gone unnoticed by prominent investors such as Michael Burry and other value investment icons. A detailed examination of Alibaba's financial statements reveals a strong underlying value proposition, making it an attractive investment.
Addressing Perceptions and Market Skepticism
Concerns about the reliability of China's economic data and the governance of its companies are often cited by skeptics, particularly those influenced by Western narratives. It’s important to approach these concerns with a nuanced understanding. China is a vast and diverse nation, with a significant portion of its population embracing elements of capitalism and democratic ideals. Although historical complexities and geopolitical tensions may create a veil of mistrust, investors should consider China's substantial economic growth and technological advancements.
Global Liquidity Trends and China's Focused Growth
Global liquidity is on the rise, bolstering economic activity worldwide. China, with its considerable economic momentum and focus on technological innovation, remains a formidable player on the global stage. The nation's unified commitment to progress, unencumbered by distractions that often preoccupy Western societies, positions it well for future technological leadership. The vision of widespread AI integration, from household robots to advanced automation, is rapidly becoming a reality in China.
Investment Strategy: Balancing Risk and Opportunity
In light of these dynamics, it is prudent to consider investments in key Chinese tech giants like Tencent and Alibaba. These companies represent different facets of China's tech industry and offer substantial growth potential. However, it’s essential to maintain a balanced approach. Given the inherent risks associated with investing in emerging technologies, such positions should constitute no more than 10-30% of a diversified portfolio.
Despite short-term market decouplings from indices like the S&P 500, correlations are likely to realign over time. Patience and strategic positioning are crucial, particularly in light of potential geopolitical shifts post-elections and the eventual easing of global tensions. As an investor, being attuned to these broader narratives and maintaining a calculated exposure to high-growth sectors can yield significant rewards.
BABA trade ideas
Alibaba - Back to bearish (not)?Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Alibaba .
--------
Explanation of my video analysis:
After Alibaba broke below the major support trendline in 2021 we saw a massive correction of -75% towards the downside. Alibaba was then retesting another major level, this time a previous support area which is at $60. So far Alibaba stock is still respecting the bearish trendline, but it is just a matter of time until we will see a bullish trading opportunity on this stock.
--------
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Alibaba Long Term Analysis. 1st Target 134, 2nd Target 308This is my Long Term Analysis _ "Alibaba".
Downtrend is Breakout in monthly time frame and retested. So, from now on, the market will move to a Bullish Trend. And 1st Target is 0.5 Fibonacci Retracement (134), 2nd Target is (308).
I want to help people to Make Profit all over the "World".
Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 25 - BABA - (8th June 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis using ICT's Concepts in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions.
A couple of things to note:
- I cannot see news events.
- I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range.
- I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks
In this session I will be analyzing Alibaba (BABA), starting from the 6-Month chart.
If you want to learn more, check out my other videos on TradingView or on YT.
If you are interested in private coaching, feel free to get in touch via one of my socials.
BABA - A potential setup for a swing tradeRemain vigilant for daily reversal candles occurring near the support area. In the event of a daily closing breach of the support levels (red lines), there is a possibility of further downward movement, emphasizing the importance of implementing risk management strategies.
Alibaba - Don't forget chinese stocks!Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Alibaba.
--------
Explanation of my video analysis:
Back in 2020 Alibaba stock created a textbook breakout of an ascending triangle formation which was followed by more continuation towards the upside. Then Alibaba stock topped out in 2021 and we saw a massive decline of -80% from the previous highs. At the moment Alibaba is still in a very bearish market but there is a chance that we will see a reversal in the near future.
--------
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
BABA : Added 2 positions summing upto about 1.25% of the capitalFundamentals:
The stock appears deeply undervalued, with promising growth prospects driven by a substantial population of middle-aged individuals in China who could potentially become Alibaba's customer base. Notably, within China, Alibaba enjoys a monopoly, and although there is a decline in revenue, the increasing cash flow is viewed as a positive sign. This positive trend in cash flow, as opposed to declining revenue, is reassuring.
While trade tensions between the US and China persist, particularly given global circumstances, the expectation is that these tensions will gradually settle. It's crucial to note that Alibaba's primary focus is on the Chinese market rather than the rest of the world. Notably, the involvement of notable investors such as Michael Burry and Charlie Munger adds credibility to the stock's potential.
Charlie Munger, despite acknowledging a relatively high purchase price, believes that the risk is justified by the potential reward, especially if acquired at a fair valuation. Presently, the stock price is significantly lower than when Charlie initiated his positions. Despite risks associated with geopolitical tensions, issues involving Jack Ma and the Chinese Communist Party, and the potential for delisting, the overall upward potential, both fundamentally and technically, is deemed to outweigh the risks.
Technicals:
Having made two entries at various levels, the total position size currently represents approximately 1.25% of the total capital. There's a consideration to increase the position if the price falls to the all-time low levels indicated within the chart. Anticipating a minimum upward movement of about 60% from the current average levels, the technical analysis supports a favorable outlook for the stock.
Alibaba also seems severely undervaluedAlibaba looks to be a severely undervalued stock, however I am aware of the risks and the Chinese govenrment.
I think that the risk is worth the potential returns.
Everything I see in stores in Europe comes from Alibaba. More and more people I know are importing via AliBaba.
Alibaba - Trading opportunity is finally there!Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Alibaba .
--------
Explanation of my video analysis:
Almost a decade ago Alibaba stock retested a strong support at the psychological $60 level and reversed significantly towards the upside. Just a couple of months ago Alibaba stock once again retested this support and created an anticipated reversal. If Alibaba stock actually manages to break above the current resistance trendline, we could maybe see a similar rally like we saw in 2015 and the following years.
--------
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
BABA: Set for a Bullish Reversal, Potential Gains Exceed 50%?Hi Realistic Traders, let's delve into the technical analysis of NYSE:BABA !
On the weekly chart, BABA is making some exciting moves! It's broken out of a falling wedge pattern, forming a bullish candlestick with a long wick right on the EMA 34 line. But what really caught our eye? The significant volume spike, more than double the average. Now, why does this matter? Well, it's a clear sign of increased buying interest and strong market conviction behind the price movement. And wait, there's more good news: the MACD indicator is showing a bullish divergence, hinting at a potential reversal. So, what's the forecast? We're looking at a potential upward swing to close the gap near our first target at $117.89. After that, we might see a slight dip to the yellow zone before it continues its rally towards our second target at $165.
It is essential to note that the analysis will no longer hold validity once the target/support area is reached.
Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Alibaba Group Holdings Ltd."
Please support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below