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MSTR trade ideas

$MSTR BULLTRAPThis chart highlights a significant move in MicroStrategy (MSTR) with key levels, patterns, and possible future price action. Here's a detailed analysis for TradingView: Technical Analysis: Historical Price Move (3 Months Ago): Price started at $100 three months ago and surged to a high of $543.60, marking an impressive 429.44% (379.39%) gain. Key Levels: High: $543.60 (marked as 1 on the Fibonacci retracement). Fibonacci Levels: 0.786: $453.87 (currently acting as a key resistance). 0.618: $383.43 (close to the current price; could act as support or resistance depending on price action). 0.5: $333.95 (next major support). 0.382: $284.47 (further downside support). 0.236: $223.25 (demand zone). Recent Events: On 21st November (Thursday), the price hit its peak and began a significant pullback. A Bull Trap occurred, catching buyers off guard as the price reversed sharply after the rally. Market Structure: Multiple BOS (Break of Structure) points indicate bullish momentum earlier, but the pullback suggests a shift in sentiment. Current price action shows consolidation near the 0.618 Fibonacci level, suggesting a decision point for the market. Demand Zones: Near $100: Strong demand zone where the rally initiated. Around $223-$284: Potential zones of interest for buyers if the price retraces further. Trade Ideas: Bullish Scenario: If the price holds above the 0.618 level ($383.43) and breaks above $453.87 (0.786 level), it could retest the highs near $543.60. Bearish Scenario: A breakdown below $383.43 could trigger a move towards $333.95 or even $284.47, aligning with the Fibonacci and previous demand zones. Key Considerations: Watch for volume spikes to confirm direction. Monitor macroeconomic events or Bitcoin movements (as MicroStrategy holds significant Bitcoin reserves).
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by ProWolfTrader_89
1
MSTR PL dot push and refreshThe essential element of the Drummond Geometry is the PL dot (Point and Line). This dot is a short term moving average that is calculated as the average of the last three candles averages of High, Low and Close. In Drumond Geometry, the open plays no role. PL dot = Avg(Avg(H1,L1,C1) + Avg(H2,L2,C2) + Avg(H3,L3,C3)) The key difference with other moving averages is the fact that in the Drummond Geometry, the result of the above calculation is shifted by one bar in the future, thus one knows in advance where the PL dot is for the upcoming bar. The PL dot is very responsive. When there is a trend, then the PL dot is sloping in the diretion of the trend (up or down) whereas if the PL dot is horizontal we have a congestion condition in the market. The PL dot offen sits at the top or the bottom of the bar, pushing the price up or down in a so called "PL dot push". In the MSTR weekly view, one can see how the PL dot was support since September and was pushing the price up until now. The trade one could have taken is to long around the PL dot and put a stop loss couple of point below. The target would be first the Envelope Top and if the PL dot had "sufficient strength" then the final target would have been in the Area 6 (Exhaust zone). One can see how the exhaust zone acted as resistance and made price go back to the PL dot for a "PL dot refresh". Thus when price strays away from the Pl dot, the second pattern to trade would be the "PL dot refresh". Imagine the dot as container of energy which waxes and wanes depending on the curcomstances. So when price travels away from the PL dot, it tends to "refresh" itself and confir wheter there is still energy for the move to continue.
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by JordanMT
MicroStrategy (MSTR) Stock OverviewTimeframes Observed: 4-Hour Chart (Left): The stock experienced a significant pullback after reaching a previous high of $543. Current price action is consolidating within the highlighted yellow liquidity zone between approximately $328 and $390. The Fibonacci retracement levels are clearly marked, with key levels at: 38.2% ($415): Indicates minor resistance. 50% ($439): A critical mid-level that could act as a pivot point. 61.8% ($463): A strong resistance zone if the stock retraces upwards. The stock is hovering near the 23.6% retracement level ($383), which suggests buyers are defending this area. 10-Day Chart (Right): The longer-term perspective shows a similar liquidity zone around $328 to $390, suggesting this area is critical for price stability and buyer accumulation. The previous high ($543) is marked as a key resistance level, with expectations of a potential retest if the bullish momentum returns. The Fibonacci extensions indicate upside targets, with a 1.618 extension at $667 and a 2.618 extension at $872, if bullish momentum sustains. Key Insights: Support Zones: The stock is currently trading within a strong liquidity zone, which aligns with both timeframes, suggesting a solid base of support. The $328 level is identified as a critical buy zone, as highlighted on the 10-day chart. Resistance Levels: The $383-$390 range (23.6% retracement) is being tested and could act as a pivot point for a potential upward move. If momentum picks up, the next resistance levels to watch are $415 (38.2%), $439 (50%), and $463 (61.8%). Market Behavior: On the 4-hour chart, the stock is consolidating, showing potential signs of accumulation for a move higher. On the 10-day chart, the stock is holding its bullish structure, indicating the recent pullback might be a healthy retracement within a larger upward trend. Outlook: Bullish Scenario: If the stock continues to build support in the current range and breaks above $390, it could target the higher Fibonacci levels, eventually leading to a retest of $543 and possibly new highs. Bearish Scenario: If the stock fails to hold the liquidity zone around $328-$390, a deeper correction could occur, with further downside risks.
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by MoNi_MoN
Lower low on RSI with higher price and retracement to golden fibLooks to me like MSTR is going up from here, retraced to golden fib, RSI has a lower low (White line on RSI) with an inverted price showing a higher high (Orange Line in same time frame on chart, building a wedge). The RSI is also about to turn and other indicators show bullish moment coming in strong. From a macro perspective BTC is about to run and their BTC per share is more attractive now then it has been in weeks. MSTR to escape velocity once it breaks out of this wedge
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by mph1981
MSTR is Back To Dotcom Boom Levels...Finally. But At What Cost?Self-explanatory chart. I called a major top for Bitcoin and Microstrategy back in 2022, detailing the possibility of much lower prices for both. This ended up being correct, but only in the short term. Since then, both BTC and Microstrategy have surprised me to the upside. It's incredible that only now has MSTR reached a valuation it has not seen since the year 2000. Look at that volume! Mania levels. Microstrategy now owns 386,700 Bitcoin, almost 2% of the entire 21 Million maximum supply. This is triple the supply ownership from 2022, when it was just over 100,000. That's triple the risk. What could go wrong? It's impossible to know when this could all go up in flames, but I'm certainly ready to watch when it happens. These kinds of price moves and buying behavior are not sustainable. It is also starting to rub more and more Bitcoiners the wrong way - "this is not how it was meant to be!" Meanwhile, Saylor continues to enrichen himself and shareholders. Not to mention, there is now at least one leveraged MSTR ETF. Again, what could go wrong? Some people have made a killing on this though. Congrats to them. Now it's time to take at least some profit. On the above chart, a breakdown from that orange trendline should indicate a top. Let's see how it all unfolds. If price manages to hold up here, perhaps there will be at least one more leg up. As always, this is meant for speculative purposes only. As shown throughout my work on this site, it's really easy to be wrong. I just find the guesswork part of the fun. Thanks for reading! -Victor Cobra
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by VictorCobra
An Intriguing Bitcoin PlayRecent Performance: MicroStrategy (MSTR) has experienced a dynamic trading environment tied closely to the volatility of Bitcoin. The company's recent price of 421.88 reflects investor sentiment influenced by macroeconomic trends and Bitcoin's trading patterns. As MSTR focuses on its Bitcoin acquisition strategy, its market performance is inherently linked to the digital currency's fluctuations, drawing both potential investors and skeptics. - Key Insights: Investors should note that MSTR's aggressive Bitcoin investment strategy creates a unique opportunity but also significant risk. The relationship between Bitcoin's price movements and MSTR's equity performance is crucial for trading decisions. A potential upside exists if Bitcoin trends positively, especially if it approaches critical psychological levels. Investors should consider their risk tolerance and market conditions before acting. - Expert Analysis: Experts suggest that MSTR's Bitcoin-centric model is a pioneering move that could redefine corporate asset management. Market sentiment is leaning cautiously optimistic, given the potential for high returns in a bullish Bitcoin environment. However, the consensus remains that the volatility of cryptocurrency poses serious risks, which must be factored into any investment decision. - Price Targets: - Next week targets: T1: 462.00, T2: 475.00 - Stop levels: S1: 374.40, S2: 369.90 - News Impact: Recent developments regarding regulatory frameworks affecting cryptocurrencies could significantly influence MSTR's market dynamics. Ongoing conversations around corporate investments in digital assets reflect a shifting landscape that may provide further opportunities for MSTR. Investor sentiment may become positively skewed as analysts and stakeholders monitor Bitcoin's trajectory and regulatory impacts closely, creating a conducive environment for MSTR to thrive if managed prudently.
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
MSTR Explosion IncomingI've been talking about my change to being bullish on BTC a lot lately and I've been looking at some ways to get long exposure. MSTR owns a lot of Bitcoin and plan to keep buying it. The company will continue to increase in value as BTC rises based on that alone, not to mention all the other revenue channels. I don't know if I'd call this a cup handle, but it does have a lot of the characteristics. Large rounding bottom followed by a downtrend/bull flag after. It's currently near ATH and I expect it to break above soon. The problem is that it's already fairly overextended, however if it does break ATH it will most likely lead to another explosive leg up. It's a risky proposition at the moment, it could end up with a double top at ATH, but trade comes without risk.
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by AdvancedPlays
1
MSTR - BUYProbability for MSTR Returning to $453: in the current environment, MSTR can return to its previous highs if Bitcoin continues its upward trajectory and macro conditions remain favorable. However, the stock remains highly speculative, and traders should watch Bitcoin closely as the primary driver. 1-2 Weeks: ~50% — Needs Bitcoin above $40k. Resistance likely. 1-3 Months: ~70% — Bitcoin rally continuation and institutional interest help. 6-12 Months: ~80% — Long-term crypto bullishness increases chances.
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by NZ_Shareman