NIO NEOWAVE ANALYSISExperimental analysis with the intention to follow back later on as I am still learning
The pattern is a flat
The B wave is considered a very strong B wave since it touches the 1.618 of wave A, which tells me that wave C will never break the low of wave A.
The pattern in wave C looks to be a symmetrical with only an I wave left to complete.
After the completion of the symmetrical pattern, we should see a move faster than wave F.
The flat wave can be part of a larger pattern or can be the first leg of a complex correction with an X wave.
NIO trade ideas
Will this be The Last Dance (with the Investors?)NYSE:NIO HKEX:9866
Take it as just my perspective.
NIO's December target of delivering 10,000 vehicles seems ( at least for me ) to be the final promise holding its credibility in the eyes of investors. After years of ambitious forecasts and unmet goals, this could mark the turning point for many who have supported NIO through a tumultuous journey—filled with hope, hype, and heartbreak.
I’ve come to think of NIO as a "toxic love affair" : an irresistible vision of premium EV dominance, paired with disappointing results.
The Promises of NIO
2018: Profitability Promise
Reality: New deadline 2026
2019: Sales and Expansion Goals
Forecasted rapid growth despite subsidy cuts in China.
Reality: While deliveries grew, they fell short of expectations.
2021: European Expansion Hype
Promised aggressive entry into Europe, including Norway and Germany, with a plan to lead globally.
Reality: Expansion was limited to small-scale markets with low impact on sales.
2022: 200,000 Vehicle Delivery Target
Reality: Delivered just 122,486 units, well below its own projections.
2023: Doubling Deliveries Again
CFO projected 250,000 deliveries for the year.
Reality: Revised this guidance down significantly, with 160,000 vehicles delivered, leaving investors disillusioned.
Margin Improvement Promises (2023)
Aimed to achieve 20% gross margins through efficiency gains.
Reality: Gross margins slid to 7.5%, as the company struggled with rising costs and price competition.
A Make-or-Break Moment
If NIO misses its 10,000 ONVO December target, it risks losing the trust of its core investors for good. After years of repeated letdowns, the allure of NIO's vision may no longer be enough to outweigh its consistent failure to execute.
December might well be the moment where dreams of its turnaround meet reality. Will NIO finally deliver, or is it time to walk away?
Your move, NIO.
Chinese stocks will rise again. NIO, Part 1. In my opinion, NIO is not going to hold local low $3.67 and will continue down. My proprietary fibs have been very accurate has confluence with a monthly untested level. I expect a move off this level. I will be going long and no stop loss. Just a cash position that I plan to hold for years. First PT would be the untested fib above which is also a monthly level. I expect BIDU and BABA to continue lower as well. My prediction is we will see Chinese Stock hype once again.
NIO pushing down with HnS patternNIO will keep pushing down till target under HnS pattern reach
target is around $3 and posible to fake out for get invalidation
Chinese liquidity still not as expected so downtrend of chinese stock still continue
$3 is make sense next month and shaking several times before take off
NIO Stock Analysis: A New Bullish Cycle UnveiledNIO, the prominent Chinese electric vehicle company, presents an exciting technical picture. After bottoming at $3.63, the stock rallied to $7.70 in a five-wave impulsive pattern. This rise spanned thirty-six bars (fifty-three days), gaining $4.07. Following this, a wave two correction brought the price down to $4.31 over thirty-seven bars (fifty-one days), shedding $3.39. The time-price symmetry between these phases strongly suggests a one-to-one market cycle, signalling the potential start of a bullish phase.
GANN Analysis:
From a GANN perspective, the upward move of $4.07, followed by a $3.39 drop, leaves a difference of $0.68. The square root of this figure, 8.25, aligns with significant GANN angles and Fibonacci principles, strengthening the bullish outlook. These technical confluences indicate that NIO may be gearing up for a new cycle, poised to break resistance levels and target higher price milestones.
Critical Invalidation Level:
It is crucial to note that retesting the $3.63 bottom would invalidate the bullish scenario. As such, this level should act as a stop-loss for the current outlook, ensuring disciplined risk management.
Stay tuned as NIO’s chart continues to evolve, potentially marking the beginning of a transformative new chapter.
$NIO Coming to terms with new primary elliot wave count..The weekly RSI on NIO and the structure of the HSI over the past few years have had me worried since the $7.78 top, and what we have seen since then supports this as my new primary count, unfortunately. I had been stubbornly holding on, but now I need to consider cutting some of the position after the approaching bounce on smaller timeframes. However, if I must hold all of it and go scuba diving, I will.
NIO Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought NIO before the previous breakout:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of NIO prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 4usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-1-17,
for a premium of approximately $0.86.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
NIO Trendline Break PossibleGood evening traders,
After NIO's rapid growth Pre-Covid, the company has failed to make a comeback. In my opinion this was due to its rapid growth and impulse move back in 2020. My rule with impulse moves is the market will tend to retrace 100% of its initial move.
Following the fall of NIO for the past several years, it has clearly been bouncing from a descending trendline and so far it has touched 4 times. I expect NIO to continue to drop, the $3.00'ish price seems to be a good price to enter with a possibility of it reach the $1.00 area. I'm expecting a breakout soon followed by a retracement back to the trendline and bounce up until is reaches the $27 dollar area. This is just the technical aspect of this analysis. Hope this helps some of you with your investments.
Don't forget to like and follow for more trading ideas & trading opportunities. Happy Trading!
NIONIO has recently completed a classic 5-wave impulse structure, signaling the end of an upward trend phase. Currently, the stock is in a corrective phase, with waves A and B likely completed and wave C in progress.
Monitoring is essential as wave C concludes; once the correction finishes, we can anticipate a potential bullish reversal and the start of a new uptrend. If NIO holds above key support levels, it could be an opportune moment for entry.
Stay tuned for updates as we approach the completion of wave C, confirming the next movement in this cycle.
NIOThis is the chart against the Index.
On the left side of the chart you see the strong rally. If you are trying, like me, to catch the likely power trend with NIO, just keep patience. Has to break the key level and catch up the WMA5. If it goes, it should be easy, as the trend will bring you to the upside of the structure.
Will see.
Trade safe
NIO Performing HnS PatternNIO is one of famous Chinese stocks as EV car producer
With booming news about Chinese liquidity and news about EV car in China, this stock create massive upside. But now news is just not expect with trader and price down much then performing HnS
If support broken we will see $3 area
NIO Stock Outlook BullishNIO, a leading Chinese electric vehicle maker, is gaining attention with a recent surge in vehicle deliveries, up 35.4% year-over-year in September 2024. The company delivered 61,855 vehicles in Q3 2024, setting a new record. NIO has also launched its new mass-market SUV, the ONVO L60, and secured a major investment of RMB3.3 billion for its NIO China subsidiary. Despite these positive developments, the company still faces profitability challenges amid its revenue growth. Investors continue to see strong upside potential for NIO as it expands in the EV market.
Despite the recent pullback, as reflected on the chart, the price has stalled at a key support level. In my view, trading volumes remain elevated, signaling significant interest and suggesting that many investors may be viewing this as a favorable entry point while the stock is still perceived as undervalued. Overall, I maintain a bullish outlook on NIO. Please feel free to reach out if you require further information or assistance.
This is not financial advice.
Harami?I will check, whether it is a Harami building today. Probably it is not a Harami as the lower lunt ist to long. Nevrtheless it is not a confirming candle but a reversal one.
I am selling some NIO stocks now. The rise seems to have been to fast and the downward correction may still continue a bit longer.
NIO Inc Falls Hard! All Targets Hit in 15-Minute Short TradeTechnical Analysis: NIO Inc – 15-Minute Timeframe (Short Trade)
NIO Inc presented a strong short trade opportunity, with an entry at 6.76. The price has reached all profit targets, confirming the strength of the bearish trend.
Key Levels
Entry: 6.76 – The short trade was initiated at this level after a clear bearish signal.
Stop-Loss (SL): 6.83 – Positioned above resistance to guard against potential reversals.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 6.68 – The first target was reached, confirming the initial bearish momentum.
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 6.54 – Continued downside pressure pushed the price to this level.
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 6.41 – The bearish momentum carried the price to this target.
Take Profit 4 (TP4): 6.32 – The final profit target, marking a successful and complete trade.
Trend Analysis
The price remained well below the Risological Dotted trendline, affirming the strength of the bearish trend. The steady selling pressure helped achieve all targets, indicating strong downward momentum in favor of sellers.
The short trade on NIO Inc has concluded successfully, hitting all targets, with the final target at 6.32. The clear downtrend and guidance from the Risological Dotted trendline ensured a profitable trade.