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NVIDIA Rounding Top: Bearish Swings Q1 2025TA Nvidia demonstrated strong growth throughout 2024. However, this year, it has shown rather a poor performance. When an uptrend started to weaken, it gave off subtle signals before a full reversal happened on the horizon. One of the first clues is that the highs collectively begin to appear curved compared with initial rough growth. This reflects the loss of aggressive bullish intent, showing hesitation and vulnerability to a reversal. The price still makes higher highs, but the incremental gain between each peak shrinks. This declining magnitude in price advancement suggests that buyers are gradually losing strength with each move. These shallow bullish waves often get sold into quickly, showing early distribution behavior. Simultaneously, it takes longer time for price to reach each successive high . When higher highs occur at reduced frequency, the rally phases become stretched out. This indicates buyers are struggling, and sellers are gaining time-based control. Extended Rounding Top Pattern Price crosses above the rounding top Indicates a failed reversal and potential bullish breakout. Suggests renewed buying strength and possible trend continuation. I'd recommend using confirmation tools like volume spikes and momentum indicators which are essential to validate the breakout. Price reaches the rounding top and stalls or reverses Confirms the bearish reversal signal of the pattern. Acts as a strong resistance zone, often leading to a downtrend. Alongside with fibs, it can be used as a cue to take profits, exit long trades, or enter short positions. FUNDAMENTALS Catalysts of Bearish Swings A transition phase characterized by a series of sharp bearish swings, marked by a sequence of Lower Highs and Lower Lows, shaping a well-defined downward channel. Drop #1: ATH → Higher Low (Early January 2025) After Nvidia’s euphoric 2024 AI hype rally, it was a matter of time as some institutional Investors locked in profits, causing initial drop. Valuation metrics (P/E; P/S) reached extremes creating grounds for a correction. The Fed’s January meeting hinted at fewer rate cuts than the market expected. Rising Treasury yields pressured tech stocks. The U.S. government has imposed strict export controls on advanced semiconductors, AI chips and related technology to China. Drop #2: Lower High → Lower Low (Late January to February 2025) While Nvidia beat Q4 earnings expectations, its forward guidance disappointed. Management cited softening data center orders and consumer GPU inventory corrections. Concerns about potential erosion in gross margins due to increasing costs and competitive pricing pressure from AMD and Intel. AI infrastructure spending was plateauing faster than expected, leading to re-ratings across the sector. Drop #3: Second Lower High → Second Lower Low (Mid to Late February through Early March 2025) Several investment banks downgraded semiconductor stocks, including Nvidia, amid fears of a cyclical slowdown and oversupply risks in H2 2025. In early March, broader indices dropped due to hot inflation prints in February. Fed’s stance during testimony to Congress indicated a higher interest rate outlook. Reports emerged about delays in next-gen chip production due to yield issues at TSMC and logistics constraints, fueling investor anxiety. Renewed export control tightening and U.S.-China friction were again cited as major concerns earlier this year. These concerns were part of the bearish narrative during Nvidia’s downward structure, especially during Drop #1 and Drop #2 where investors began pricing in geopolitical and regulatory headwinds. Events & Economic catalysts to monitor (before buying heavy): Nvidia Earnings Q1 2025 Mid to Late May 2025 Why it matters: Forward guidance, Data Center/AI segment growth, margin updates, and China sales commentary will heavily impact sentiment and trend direction. U.S. CPI (Inflation) Reports April 10, 2025 (March CPI) Remember: Hot inflation = higher rate expectations → tech sector sell-off. Watch for YoY core CPI trends. U.S. Jobs Report (NFP) April 4, 2025 Keep in mind: Strong labor = sticky inflation = Fed hawkishness → higher discount rates on growth stocks. Semiconductor Industry Conferences ・NVIDIA GTC (GPU Technology Conference) – usually held Spring or Fall ・Semicon West 2025 – typically July Track the progress: Product launches, AI roadmaps, new partnerships, and forward tech strategy updates often revealed.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by fract
2
NVDA Stock – Bullish Outlook Based on Technical & FundamentalI'm bullish on Nvidia (NVDA) and currently see a strong opportunity to enter the stock at $114.32, targeting a take profit at $137.22, with a conservative stop loss set at $105.00. Technical Analysis At present, NVDA is trading within a consolidation range between $75.61 and $152.78. Historically, this zone has shown consistent buying pressure on dips, while selling pressure has remained weak, indicating that bulls are firmly in control during this accumulation phase. Most notably, the last weekly candle closed with a strong bullish signal, reinforcing our confidence in a potential breakout or upward continuation within the current range. With buyers showing dominance in this zone and no significant bearish momentum on the horizon, the technical setup supports a favorable risk-to-reward long trade. Trade Setup Entry: $114.32 Stop Loss: $105.00 Take Profit: $137.22 This setup offers a clear structure for both risk management and profit-taking as we anticipate further upside momentum. Fundamental Analysis Nvidia continues to be the undisputed leader in the AI revolution. As the maker of the world’s highest-performance GPUs, NVDA is powering cutting-edge technologies from AI to gaming, data centers, and autonomous driving. Its recently launched Blackwell architecture already generated $11 billion in its first quarter — demand is so intense that customers are willing to wait for access. What sets Nvidia apart is its aggressive innovation cycle. The company has committed to annual GPU updates and maintains a clear roadmap through the next two years. This rapid pace ensures it stays ahead of competitors and keeps customer interest high. Beyond GPUs, Nvidia offers a complete suite of AI products and services, positioning itself as a holistic AI ecosystem provider. Even more exciting is its entry into quantum computing, with a research center under construction in Boston — a long-term bet that could pay off massively in the next tech era. While short-term tariff-related volatility could cause minor pullbacks, Nvidia’s fundamentals remain incredibly strong. Trading at just 23x forward earnings, this stock still looks like a bargain considering its future growth potential.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by SupertradeOfficial
NVIDIA (NVDA) | Long Bias | Key Supply Zone| (April 2025)NVIDIA (NVDA) | Long Bias | Watching Key Supply Zone + Overvaluation Risk | (April 2025) 1️⃣ Quick Insight: NVIDIA has been in a strong uptrend since November 2024, but price is now approaching a critical zone around $120–122. We’ve seen a key liquidity grab around the August highs, and the price has been pushing upward since. However, there are signs of possible correction ahead. 2️⃣ Trade Parameters: Bias: Long (with caution at resistance) Entry: Already in from $94 zone (liquidity area) Stop Loss: Below $94 (liquidity base) TP1: $120 – Watch this for potential rejection TP2: $143 – If breakout happens Final Target: $153 – Previous high area Correction Watch: Potential ABC correction back to $106 or even retesting $94 before continuation 3️⃣ Key Notes: We're currently in a parallel channel, and NVDA continues to move higher. However, valuation risk is real. Based on fundamentals, NVDA appears overvalued — with a price-to-sales ratio near 20 and book value suggesting a much lower fair value. Earnings have been decent, but cash flow and valuation metrics don’t support this kind of rally sustainably. A rejection from $120 could lead to a short-term correction. This move could be deeper if macro risks arise — such as tariff threats or negative headlines from political events (e.g., Trump-related trade policies). Always monitor broader tech sentiment (QQQ, NDX) when analyzing NVDA. 4️⃣ Follow-up: I'll continue watching price action near $120 and update the idea if structure changes significantly. Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. Disclaimer: This is not a financial advise. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Risk_Adj_Return
Quantum's NVDA Trading Guide 4/13/25Sentiment: Neutral. AI chip dominance drives optimism, but tariff risks and valuation concerns temper enthusiasm. Chatter posts split—bulls see growth, bears eye correction. Outlook: Neutral, slightly bearish. Options pin $110, with $105 puts active. ICT/SMT eyes $108-$110 buys to $115 if $108 holds. Bearish below $108 risks $105. Influential News: Federal Reserve: Two 2025 cuts support growth stocks, positive for $NVDA. Earnings: Q1 due May; no update today. Chatter: Debates AI growth vs. tariff/supply chain risks. Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A): No confirmed NASDAQ:NVDA M&A; AI chip partnerships rumored. Other: Tariff volatility hit NASDAQ:NVDA ; stock swung (April 3-9). Indicators: Weekly: RSI: ~50 (neutral). Stochastic: ~45 (neutral). MFI: ~40 (neutral). SMAs: 10-day ~$112 (below, bearish), 20-day ~$115 (below, bearish). Interpretation: Neutral, bearish SMAs signal weakness. Daily: RSI: ~48 (neutral). Stochastic: ~50 (neutral). MFI: ~45 (neutral). SMAs: 10-day ~$112 (below, bearish), 20-day ~$115 (below, bearish). Interpretation: Neutral, bearish SMAs suggest pullback. Hourly: RSI: ~45 (neutral). Stochastic: ~55 (neutral). MFI: ~50 (neutral). SMAs: 10-day ~$112 (below, bearish), 20-day ~$115 (below, bearish). Interpretation: Neutral, stabilizing. Price Context: $110.93 (April 11), 1M: -9%, 1Y: +28%. Range $105-$120, testing $110 support. Options Positioning (May 2025): Volume: Calls: $115 (12,000, 60% ask), $120 (10,000, 55% ask). Mild bullish bets. Puts: $105 (8,000, 70% bid), $108 (6,000, 65% bid). Put selling supports $108. Open Interest: Calls: $115 (35,000, +6,000), $120 (25,000, +5,000). Bullish interest. Puts: $105 (20,000, flat), $108 (22,000, +3,000). Hedging. Put-call ~1.0. IV Skew: Calls: $115 (40%), $120 (42%, up 3%). $120 IV rise shows upside hope. Puts: $105 (35%, down 2%), $108 (36%). Falling $105 IV supports floor. Probability: 60% $105-$120, 20% <$105. Karsan’s Interpretation: Vanna: Neutral (~300k shares/1% IV). IV drop could pressure $110. Charm: Neutral (~150k shares/day). Pins $110. GEX: +60,000. Stabilizes range. DEX: +8M shares, neutral. Karsan view: GEX holds $105-$120; tariff news key. ICT/SMT Analysis: Weekly: Neutral, $105 support, $120 resistance. No $NVDA/ NASDAQ:AMD divergence. Daily: Bullish at $110 FVG, targets $115. Bearish < $108. 1-Hour: Bullish >$110, $115 target. MSS at $108. 10-Minute: OTE ($109-$111, $110) for buys, NY AM. Trade Idea: Bullish: 50%. ICT/SMT buys $108-$110 to $115. Options show $115 calls. Fed cuts aid. Neutral: 35%. RSI (~50), SMAs (bearish), $105-$120 range. Bearish: 15%. Below $105 possible with tariffs. $105 put volume grows
NASDAQ:NVDA
by QuantumEdgeAnalytics
NVDA short trap may be set..!boost and follow for more! thanks ❤️‍🔥 Yesterday NVDA broke the trend support that's its held in this downtrend, but it quickly climbed back above.. was that drop the final short trap before the move higher? it's trying to reclaim the pink support zone now, if it can and we cross 107, then the move higher to my upside targets is likely.🎯 side note: I added 110 weekly NVDA while it was in the 90s yesterday, they hit 100%+ gain this morning and I secured, but I will look to trade this again on the cross of 107 or so, for now I will put my focus elsewhere. GLTA ⚡
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Aura_Trades
6
Nvidia next predictionForecast (Based on Chart Drawing & Price Structure): Late 2025: Expected Price Range: $140–$160 Reasoning: The projected path on the chart shows a short-term dip followed by a strong bullish recovery. RSI rebounding from oversold may confirm strength returning. Likely to test the $152.76 resistance level. Late 2026: Expected Price Range: $180–$200+ Reasoning: If bullish momentum continues and no macroeconomic crises occur, NVDA could break past previous highs. Strong fundamentals in AI, data centers, and GPU tech could fuel growth. Late 2027: Expected Price Range: $220–$260+ Reasoning: Assuming continuation of tech sector growth and Nvidia’s dominance, price could move into new ATH (All-Time High) territory. Institutional buying could increase around $200 levels if technical and fundamental conditions align.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by North_West1
1
NVDA Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-04-15NVDA Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-04-15) NASDAQ:NVDA Below is a synthesized, step‐by‐step quant analysis of NVDA’s weekly options environment based on all model reports and the provided options data: ───────────────────────────── SUMMARY OF MODEL KEY POINTS ▪ Grok/xAI Report  – Price is trading tightly in a range near $112.20 with short‐term oscillation between support (~$111.95) and resistance (~$112.35).  – Very mixed short‐term indicators (5‑minute MACD bearish but daily MACD bullish) and overall neutral technicals.  – High option volume and open interest around $110 (max pain) and $115, but the report concludes with “no trade recommendation” given the mixed signals. ▪ Llama/Meta Report  – Confirms NVDA is at $112.20 and finds 5‑minute charts “neutral/consolidating” while noting the daily chart shows some bullish recovery.  – Despite daily technical hints of a potential bullish reversal, overall bias is assessed as moderately bearish.  – Recommends a put option trade—specifically a $109 strike put with an ask premium of $0.84—citing a moderately bearish view and a 70% confidence level. ▪ Gemini/Google Report  – Acknowledges that while the daily chart is bullish (strong momentum above keys like the 10‑day EMA) short‑term M5 charts show consolidation and the negative news (export restrictions and a possible $5.5B charge) adds significant uncertainty.  – Notes that the max pain level is at $110 (below the current price) and that although pre‑market action appears firm, the conflicting signals create high risk.  – Concludes strongly to “NO TRADE” at the open given the mixed and conflicting signals (confidence around 30%). ▪ DeepSeek Report  – Points out that although NVDA is trading above some key EMAs, the negative news and heavy put open interest (especially near the $110 level) weigh on sentiment.  – Using max pain logic and a moderately bearish bias (targeting a move toward $110), recommends buying a $110 strike put at a $1.10 premium with a 68% confidence level.  – Provides detailed entry, profit target, and stop‐loss conditions (though the premium is notably above an “ideal” range of $0.30–$0.60). ───────────────────────────── 2. AREAS OF AGREEMENT AND DISAGREEMENT Agreement:  – All models acknowledge that the negative news (export restrictions, potential $5.5B charge) introduces strong bearish pressure.  – There is a common observation that options open interest clusters around the $110 level (max pain) with heavy activity on both calls and puts, signaling sensitivities near that price.  – Technical indicators in the very short term (5‑minute charts) show consolidation, even though the daily charts lean more bullish in some cases. Disagreement:  – Grok/xAI and Gemini conclude that the mixed signals (technical consolidation with bearish news drag) warrant no immediate trade at open.  – Llama/Meta and DeepSeek tilt toward a moderately bearish view and recommend a put trade—though they differ on the exact strike (Llama selects ~$109, DeepSeek prefers $110) and premium levels.  – Confidence levels differ substantially (from 0% and 30% up to 68–70%), reflecting uncertainty about whether the news or bullish technicals will dominate intraday. ───────────────────────────── 3. CONCLUSION & RECOMMENDED TRADE Overall Market Direction Consensus:  The environment remains ambiguous. Although the daily charts show some bullish resilience, the weight of recent negative news, the gravitational pull of $110 max pain, and heavy put volumes lean toward a modestly bearish bias. Still, the signals are mixed and the immediate post‑open direction is highly uncertain. Recommended Trade (if you choose to be opportunistic):  Based on Llama/Meta and DeepSeek—if you’re willing to take a moderately bearish bet at open—a put trade might be considered. However, note that Gemini and Grok/xAI advocate waiting for a clearer signal given the uncertainty. For traders who prefer to have a trade based on a bias toward a downside reaction, one possible trade would be:  • BUY a single‑leg, naked weekly PUT option.  • Strike: $109.00 (ask premium of $0.84 is close enough given liquidity and moderate bearish distance).  • Expiration: April 17, 2025  • Entry: at market open  • Rationale: With a moderately bearish tilt from the negative news and max pain considerations, a $109 put offers a risk/reward profile in a premium region slightly above the ideal range (but acceptable given the high-impact catalysts).  • Confidence Level: ~70%  • Key risks: A continued short‑term consolidation or a “bounce” in price (especially if NVDA moves toward the max pain level and finds support) would hurt a put position. Also, any unexpected bullish catalyst could quickly overturn the bearish bias. That said, because of the significant conflicting factors and the risk that the negative news may already be priced in, one could also justify sitting on the sidelines (as recommended by two of the models). ───────────────────────────── 4. FINAL RECOMMENDATION In our view, the market is too conflicted for a high‑confidence directional bet. However, if you are inclined to act on the moderately bearish view—and you accept the risk of an early move against your position—the put side is the only candidate for a single‑leg trade. With that said, given the discord among the models (with two models advising “no trade”), a conservative trader might well decide to wait for clearer price action at the open. ───────────────────────────── TRADE DETAILS (JSON Format) { "instrument": null, "direction": null, "strike": null, "expiry": null, "confidence": null, "profit_target": null, "stop_loss": null, "size": null, "entry_price": null, "entry_timing": null } ───────────────────────────── FINAL NOTE: While there is some support for a moderately bearish put trade (for example, buying a $109 put at $0.84), the divergent signals from the models (including strong advice from two reports to avoid trading today) mean that risk management is paramount. Many quant practitioners would prefer to wait until post‑open confirmation before jumping in. Disclaimer: This newsletter is not trading or investment advice but for general informational purposes only. This newsletter represents my personal opinions based on proprietary research which I am sharing publicly as my personal blog. Futures, stocks, and options trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of any profit whatsoever is made. In fact, you may lose everything you have. So be very careful. I guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this newsletter, its representatives, its principals, its moderators, and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC, or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. By reading and using this newsletter or any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms. Any screenshots used here are courtesy of TradingView. I am just an end user with no affiliations with them. Information and quotes shared in this blog can be 100% wrong. Markets are risky and can go to 0 at any time. Furthermore, you will not share or copy any content in this blog as it is the authors' IP. By reading this blog, you accept these terms of conditions and acknowledge I am sharing this blog as my personal trading journal, nothing more.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by quantsignals
1
Will NVDA Breaks 115 and Trigger the Next Leg?Technical Analysis (1H Chart) NVDA is riding a strong intraday uptrend within a clean ascending channel. Price is now sitting just under the key resistance zone around 115, which aligns with a prior high and the top of the current structure. This level also matches the upper boundary of the rising channel, making it a high-confluence breakout point. * Support zones: $103.07 (prior breakdown area), followed by $92.53 (major swing low). * Resistance: $115.05 — a critical decision zone. * Volume: Increasing on bullish candles, suggesting buyer interest. * RSI: Sitting just below overbought, indicating room for a breakout continuation before exhaustion. * Outlook: Holding above the mid-channel trendline signals strength. A push and close above 115 could unlock a rapid move toward 120–125. GEX Options Insight The options market is showing strong bullish positioning: * Highest positive NETGEX / Call Wall at 115 – this level acts as a magnet and resistance. * 80.79% Call Wall at 130, with stacked gamma walls at 120 and 125. * PUT Support sits at 100, reinforced by -51.01% and -29.42% put walls. Options Sentiment: * IVR: 61.2 — moderately elevated. * IVx Avg: 81 — above average. * Put Flow: 3.6% only — heavy CALL interest. * GEX Flow: 🔵🟢🟢 — indicating net bullish pressure. 🧠 Trade Setups For Stock Traders: * Breakout Entry: If NVDA breaks and holds above 115, target the next gamma wall at 120–125. * Support Bounce: Buy near 103 if it pulls back and confirms support. * Stop-loss: Below $100. For Options Traders: * Call Spread: Buy 115C / Sell 125C for 4/26 or 5/3 expiry. Defined risk, targeting gamma extension. * Put Credit Spread: Sell 100P / Buy 95P if expecting continued support at $100. * Avoid shorting calls — heavy bullish GEX tilt suggests further upside pressure. 🔍 Final Thoughts NVDA is one of the cleanest large-cap setups right now. Both the chart structure and GEX sentiment align for potential continuation trades to the upside, especially on a confirmed 115 breakout. While broad markets remain shaky, NVDA is flashing clear relative strength, backed by options flow and technical positioning. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk accordingly.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by BullBearInsights
NVDA Drops to $100: Volatility Squeeze Signals More DownsideNVDA Daily Chart Analysis Price Action: NVDA saw a strong uptrend from late 2023, peaking at $150 in mid-2024. It has since pulled back sharply to $100.33 as of May 2025, showing bearish momentum. Indicator: The Smart-Trend Indicator flagged multiple buy (blue X) and sell (red X) signals. The latest sell signal near $150 preceded the current drop, with sentiment marked as "Bullish" but showing a "Volatility Squeeze." Key Levels: Support: $90 (next major level). Resistance: $111.05 (recent high). Outlook: Bearish in the short term after the breakdown. A drop below $100 could target $90. A reclaim of $111.05 might signal a trend reversal. Trade Idea: Short on a bounce to $111 with a stop above $115, targeting $90. Alternatively, wait for $90 support confirmation for a long entry. #NVDA #Bearish #SmartTrend
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by tradingbauhaus
1
INTEL DROP --- FIELD COMM LOG #02242025🪖 WAR ROOM DISPATCH — FIELD REPORT FROM CAMP JARVIS & CAMP LIVERMORE Date: 4/24/2025 Status: STANDBY Volume: Normal Current Order: HOLD ⚔️ SUMMARY OF ENGAGEMENTS – LAST 30 DAYS The battlefield has been blood-red. Abnormal reactions litter the map. Morale was tested—but our troops never broke. The Red Army pushed hard, exploiting weakness, creating chaos. Yet we held. 📍Camp Jarvis Coordinates: 115.10 ☑️ Status: HOLD 📈 Trend: UPTREND 📊 ATR: Tightening (3.39) 🟩 Zone: Top of box: 115.10 | Bottom: 86.62 📢 Latest: “We’re nearing breakout. Position secure. Scouting volume now.” Jarvis is seeing a shift—momentum is whispering beneath the soil. There's life stirring. But RSI is low (sub-45). This isn't the time for heroes—it’s a time for patience. Let the weak exhaust themselves. 📍Camp Livermore Position: Natural Reaction Zone ☑️ Status: HOLD 📉 Trend: Weak uptrend but too early to act 🔄 Recent movement: Mixed signals, sporadic action, no confirmation. Livermore's forces are strong in discipline, but not yet in numbers. They report: “Volume’s stable, but not convincing. We’ll move when the field confirms it—not before.” 📛 INTEL WARNING The maps are clear—we are not in breakout yet. There’s a false calm in the air. Do NOT chase. Do NOT preempt. This is how armies get slaughtered in the fog. 💡 Key Quote from Command: “The Red Army still has strength. We’re holding—but holding isn’t winning. We wait for the flinch. The break. The rally cry. That’s when we move.” 🎖️ Current Position: HOLD 🛡️ Camp Jarvis: Monitoring breakout zone 🧭 Camp Livermore: Awaiting troop confirmation 📉 RSI low, Trend early 🔕 No All-Signal-Go confirmed 🚨 Mixed Signals = DO NOT ADVANCE The war is not over. But neither are we.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by dburgos0127
1
Is it finally time for a rally?Looking at NVIDIA (NVDA) on the weekly chart over the past two years, a significant gap up becomes apparent around April, which persisted for much of the year. Considering the recent news and the stock's pullbacks lately, this may be the moment for NVDA to resume its upward grind. The coming weeks will reveal its direction. Additionally, it's worth noting the formation of a massive bull pennant on the weekly chart. If history repeats itself and this pattern holds, the next 2 to 6 weeks could prove to be a thrilling period for NVDA.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by impossiblebull
NVIDIA ---> The jorney TO ---> 90s and 80s (UPDATED) PART 2Okay guys. Here is my UPDATED idea (just dont know how to insert an updated chart in the previous exsiting idea). I think it could be usful, CAUSE many guys burning for bullish. I was straight bearish in the first part of idea, but here is some corrections cause of Trump canceled the additonal tarrifs for import from China, for critical technologies such as semiconductors, chips, smartphones and laptops. So I assume the price can go first up to 113 and go down or even touch 117 and then the "Journey" at least to 90s and even 80s. As we see the lines of resistance in that areas on the chart. The dead line for the price reversal is Tuesday, April 15 (in my opinion). My technical analysis telling me this. Let's watch what will happen.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by jackan1133
Nvidia (NASDAQ: $NVDA) Advances AI Strategy Amid Tariff PauseNvidia (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NVDA ) is quickly strengthening its positions in artificial intelligence and data center technologies. This comes as the U.S. government temporarily halts new export restrictions, offering relief to the semiconductor sector. Nvidia will continue selling its H20 AI chips to China following a decision not to enforce new trade limits. This followed a key meeting between CEO Jensen Huang and former President Donald Trump. The announcement eased concerns over losing access to a major international market. Nvidia recently introduced its latest innovation, the Blackwell Ultra AI chips, at the GPU Technology Conference. These chips target the rising demand for high-performance computing used in AI systems. The move could boost Nvidia’s market lead as competition grows. Market volatility followed the government’s tariff update. Nvidia stock surged nearly 19% after the 90-day tariff pause announcement, excluding China-specific measures. The next day, the stock dropped 5.8% to close at $107.74. Technical Analysis Nvidia's price bounced sharply from the $92 support zone. This area has attracted strong buying activity. The RSI is currently at 44, showing neutral market momentum. The key resistance level to watch is $153.13. If the price breaks this level, it could rise toward a new all-time high. Failure to do so may lead to a pullback toward $92. Watch the $153 level closely for confirmation of trend direction. Nvidia's recent price movement leaves room for both uptrend continuation and short-term correction depending on upcoming market signals.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by DEXWireNews
Nvidia (NASDAQ: $NVDA) Shares Rally Amid AI Sector OptimismShares of Nvidia Corporation (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NVDA ) have gained over 3% on Friday 11th April. The positive results come after U.S. markets rallied on tariff news. President Trump announced a 90-day pause on new tariffs. Reciprocal tariffs for most countries dropped to 10%, sparking investor optimism. Major U.S. indices rose sharply following the announcement after being under pressure from rising trade tensions. The pause was seen as a welcome shift toward calmer negotiations. However, Trump excluded China from this relief. Instead, he stated that tariffs on Chinese goods would increase to 125%. This came after China announced new retaliatory tariffs on U.S. imports. The tough stance toward China contrasted with the softened approach to other countries. Despite the relief, market uncertainty remains. Investors are unsure whether the rally will last. Ongoing trade disputes, especially with China, could disrupt momentum. Nvidia's price rose to $110.78, gaining $14.99 on Friday's session. The stock reached an intraday high of $111.53 and a low of $107.48. The current resistance sits at $153.13 high. Technical Analysis Nvidia bounced sharply off the $92 support zone, highlighted by strong buying pressure. The RSI sits at 49, indicating neutral momentum. A clear resistance lies near $153.13 high. If Nvidia breaks this level, a move toward $180 is likely. If it fails, price may revisit the $92 zone. Two scenarios are possible. The stock could either continue upward to $180 or face rejection and fall back. Watch the $153 level closely for confirmation.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by DEXWireNews
What Technical and Fundamental Analysis Says about NvidiaNvidia NASDAQ:NVDA soared nearly 20% Wednesday before pulling back some later in the week, leaving the stock down roughly 25% over the past six months. Where does technical and fundamental analysis say the chip giant’s stock could go from here? Let’s take a look: Nvidia’s Fundamental Analysis Nvidia got a huge boost Wednesday from the Trump administration's decision to pause the tariffs it planned to impose on most nations’ U.S.-bound exports. Instead, the White House decided to delay most tariffs on countries other than China for the next 90 days while it conducts trade negotiations with some 70 nations. As an added benefit for Nvidia, the president's team separately paused an expected export ban that would have prohibited Nvidia from shipping its high-end H20 GPUs to China. Now, I don't know how many of these chips Nvidia would really sell to Beijing, as both nations recently placed almost prohibitive tariffs on each other's exports. But the market had probably already largely priced in the H20 export ban, which is now not moving ahead. The sale of these chips to Chinese customers in all likelihood remains legal. Nvidia's publicly known Chinese customers for those chips include such well-known names as Alibaba NYSE:BABA , Tencent OTC:TCEHY and privately held ByteDance. All of those three have placed large H20 orders this year. As for earnings, Nvidia won’t report fiscal Q1 results until probably May’s last week. However, the firm posted fiscal Q4 numbers in February that showed 82% year-over-year earnings growth on 72% y/y revenue gains. While those are big percentage increases, they nonetheless marked a deceleration from prior quarters’ y/y gains. Similarly, management’s latest forward sales guidance remains strong, but also reflects a continuance of this year-over-year percentage deceleration. The company’s midpoint projection calls for $43 billion in fiscal Q1 revenue, which would amount to about a 65% year-on-year revenue gain. NVDA also guided fiscal Q1 GAAP gross margin to 70.6% and adjusted gross margin at 71%, plus or minus 50 basis points. That was just a touch below analysts’ consensus view at the time. All in, the Street is looking for Nvidia to report $0.88 in GAAP earnings per share for its current quarter, as well as $0.93 in adjusted EPS and $43.3 billion in revenues. That would represent an 52.5% gain from the year-ago quarter’s $0.61 in adjusted EPS, while also reflecting 64% in year-over-year sales growth. This would beat of the firm's own guidance, as 25 of the 32 sell-side analysts that I can find that cover Nvidia have increased their estimates for the quarter since it began. (Seven have cut their forecasts.) Technically Speaking Now let’s check out NVDA’s chart going back to last September and running through midday on Thursday (April 10): Readers will see that NVDA recently came out of a so-called “double top” pattern of bearish reversal that spanned from last October into early January, as marked with the “Top 1” and “Top 2” red boxes above. However, the stock trended lower from that point on, as I capture above within the confines of an Andrews' Pitchfork model. Though the chipmaker’s stock has at times pierced both the pitchfork’s upper and lower trendlines, it hasn’t broken out in either direction so far. Even after NVDA’s 18.7% one-day rally on Wednesday, the stock immediately gave back its 21-day Exponential Moving Average (or “EMA,” marked with a green line above) on the very next day. The stock also remains well below both its 50-day Simple Moving Average (or “SMA,” denoted by a blue line) and its 200-day SMA (marked with a red line). This means that in all likelihood, Nvidia might very well remain an instrument of short-term trading rather than long-term investing. After all, portfolio managers generally don’t like to carry a lot of exposure below those two moving averages. As for Nvidia’s other technical indicators, the stock’s Relative Strength Index (or “RSI,” marked with a gray line at the chart’s top) remains unimpressive. Similarly, the company’s daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (or “MACD,” marked with the black and gold lines and blue bars at the chart’s bottom) looks bearish. All of its three components -- the histogram of the 9-day EMA (the blue bars), the 12-day EMA (the black line) and the 26-day EMA (the gold line) -- are below zero. That’s usually a bearish technical indicator. From where I stand, Nvidia’s upside pivot is the stock’s 50-day Simple Moving Average (or “SMA,” marked with a blue line and currently at around $119.30 vs. NVDA’s $107.57 close Thursday). Meanwhile, if the stock can hold its 21-day EMA (the green line above, currently at about $109.90) that could get the swing-trading crowd on board. However, a failure to hold there would likely make the odds of attracting capital flows from portfolio managers pretty weak. (Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen “Sarge” Guilfoyle had no position in NVDA at the time of writing this column.) This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. 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NASDAQ:NVDA
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