nvda buy alert it bounced to a low or new high at every vertical line and it finally found support at the last blue vertical line Longby EZtrad3s115
$NVDA downside? h&s?Hello, thinking another move to $110 in the next week. Head and shoulders formed here in a downside tape? WSLShortby wallstreetloser001114
$NVIDIA ─ Wyckoff Distribution #4 aka Rising Wedge PatternVANTAGE:NVIDIA ─ Wyckoff Distribution #4 aka Rising Wedge Pattern Although Rising wedge turning into more like Rising Channel distribution idea is still valid. #2 Long Trade TP1 Hit so far 🔥 ------------ ------------ Note: This is the most positive outcome possible. As always, my play is: ✅ 50% out at TP1 ✅ Move SL to entry ✅ Pre-set the rest of the position across remaining TPs It's important to take profits along the way and not turn a winning trade into a losing trade.Longby BulltroUpdated 11
Buying Opportunity Amid Correction?Technical Analysis: NVIDIA has completed a bullish Elliott Wave cycle, reaching a high of $153.13 (wave V). It is currently in a corrective phase, with a recent drop to $116.72. Key support levels to watch are $105.88 and $81.16, which could be attractive levels for a long-term entry. If the price drops to $81.16 (50% retracement), it could be a buying opportunity, as NVIDIA has historically bounced from important support levels. Longer-term, a new bullish cycle could take the price toward $183.20, but it must first complete this correction. Market Context: The market has experienced recent declines due to macroeconomic concerns, such as inflation and interest rates, along with an investor rotation toward defensive sectors. The technology sector, including NVIDIA, has been particularly affected by fears of weaker chip demand and elevated valuations. Fundamental Outlook: Despite the correction, NVIDIA remains a leader in AI, gaming, and data centers. Demand for its artificial intelligence GPUs remains strong, and its market position is solid. However, investors should be aware of macroeconomic risks and competition in the semiconductor sector. Recommendation: For long-term investors, the $105.88 and $81.16 levels could be attractive entry points, with a long-term target of $183.20. However, it is recommended to wait for confirmation of a rebound from these supports and monitor market conditions. For short-term traders, the current volatility could offer trading opportunities in both directions. #NVIDIA #NVDA #TechnicalAnalysis #Investment #StockMarket #ElliottWaves #Technology Conclusion NVIDIA is in a corrective phase after a significant rally, and recent market declines have amplified this correction. However, the support levels identified on the chart could offer buying opportunities for long-term investors, especially if the price drops to $81.16. Despite the macroeconomic challenges, NVIDIA's fundamentals remain strong, making it an attractive candidate for a long-term recovery. Shortby JAG_Trader2
3/20/25 - $nvda - Patient, but path to $10 tn (LONGER READ sry!)3/20/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:NVDA Patient, but path to $10 tn - as we reflect on this crack tape, i'd like to share a few thoughts here, hopefully keeping it a bit punchy and we can duke it out/ debate in the comments. - objectively, the level of HPC/ AI compute is accelerating up the S curve. - nvidia's customers are the most price inelastic buyers you could want in a recession. microsoft. tesla. amazon. nation states *cough*. these aren't BNPL customers ordering burritos and a side of GPU chips thru doordash. - NVIDIA's platform won. such that they don't screw the pooch and their 35k engineers all focused on a singular issue don't decide to go solve some unrelated market (/sarc bc we know Jensen's style), effectively there's no "rebuilding" NVIDIA. ASICs will eventually come, but they won't dominate. In the chip business, there's a reason each vertical tends toward 70... 80... 90% market share players. - the real issue here, when i run the math (and i've built out my own model tn to wrap my head around this all), is really *where* we are on this S-curve. the mkt is concerned about a few things, and actually, the macro/ risk assets and long-duration i.e. discount rate seem to be more important than fundamentals. that's a good thing, BUT, in the short-term it can really dislocate price. and price tells a story. and that story can distract. it can avert your attention. it can make you nervous (on the converse, fomo). so it's good to have a clear idea of what's going on here, which is why i underwent this exercise. - all-else equal, as beats, communication and sector dominance remain (and they don't need to be massive beats, just not misses that portend lower growth in the terminal), my estimates put NVDA's mkt cap close to 10 tn. - but at shy of $3 tn today, that 3x LIKELY will take 2-3 years to play out and will largely be driven by the short term climb of the S-curve, and more immediately driven by, again, terminal rates. - fair value today ex-beats but with lower terminal rates likely takes the stock toward $5 tn (and i'd expect this to be a reasonably year-end target) or a stock of $200. let's call that move 2/3 "macro" and 1/3 "fundamental" - and the remainder of the move toward doubling likely happens over the following 2 years because more data will need to be collected by the market to assess this dominance, cash generation etc. etc. - okay this isn't a punchy write up... at this pt. excuse me! - so what's the downside? again, there's a lot we can and should duke out in comments to shorten the conclusion here, but i'd suggest something closer to $2 tn for a variety of reasons. that's nearly 30% downside or a stock in the $80s. do we get there? no clue. but in this environment, we've seen how deepseek headlines, blackwell overheating rumors (which btw remain), asic announcements, chinese "competition" etc. etc. all affect the bid. and i'd suggest that a 30% downside for a potential 70% upside into year-end remains a great risk-reward here at $120 today. - my guess would be that long-term buyers accumulate at these levels and we probably get taken closer to the $130s... even $140s before this becomes more of a complicated equation. - that being said, it's a clear buy, IMO, at this price, in a YE context and especially in a multi-year context given downside to upside potential and the work i've put in here. truly a one-of-a-kind asset that has actually held it's own against BTC in the last 10 years (THE ONLY of any real market cap) TL;DR - still a great buy at $120 - downside below $100 and it's obvious. buying that fear, possibly on leverage in the $80s. - not using leverage ST in this environment - YE target of $200 - unfortunately more of a macro punching bag ST but fundamentals remain the meat of the 2-3 year move and so far, don't see any flaws. lmk what u think. VLongby VROCKSTAR9
$NVDA and Elliott Wave.My reasoning; Wave 2 of the Wave was a Zigzag from the weekly time frame, and as per the rules, Zigzags must be followed by Flats in any correction-- meaning our Wave 4 must be a Flat. Indeed, Wave 4 is a Flat, seen clearly in the daily time frame and it begins after Wave 3(in Black), with a three wave move that is not deep enough to be a correction. This is normal for Wave A in any Flat and is labelled in Dark Blue. After Wave A was completed, we would expect a Wave B and as per the rules, Wave B must go beyond Wave 3's ending. This can be clearly seen in both the daily and weekly time frames. Back to the daily time frame and we can take a closer look at Wave B that is still unfolding. Elliott rules dictate that B must be a three Wave move with two impulses and one corrective wave. The first impulse was formed and the second(corrective) was a Flat which is a corrective structure. Now all that is left is the third wave which will be the second impulse that will complete the Wave B(Dark Blue). Upon completion of this Wave B we could expect a Wave 4 to the downside. All these Waves have been measured by the Fibonacci Retracement tool. by machariavictor0174
NVDA: Continuation of the upward trendOn NVDA we would have a high probability of having a continuity of the upward trend given the different configurations on the chart.Longby PAZINI198
Nvdia has a new Aggressor.The boxes you are observing are the Larger scale supply and demand zones. These areas map out the current large liquidity. This includes the newest Player (collective players). This new player has been aggressively on the 17th and 18th. Why does identifying a new aggressor matter? New aggressors shape the way we view previous areas of supply and demand. Some look at the price getting to their target, without giving any thought to HOW it gets there. In this instance: Previous supply and demand have been established (we do not know how big they are or who is stronger). Some clues we do have is how it approaches these areas, and new aggressors can give us the clues we need... Will it bounce off demand? or fulfill it and continue lower? New aggressors can put more pressure on these Demand or supply zones simply because they are becoming more aggressive closer to these areas. Prediction Scenario 1 Rolling over, and touching the 106 demand zone. Get's bought up, and new aggressors presents themself (bringing more demand). Price Target = 123. If there is continued demand through this area, a case can be made for a 138 target before a correction/ reversal. Scenario 2 New demand chews up this new aggressor. We should then have a bullish run to 131. 131 would present itself as a great short-term options (short). Scenario 3 Rolling over with NEW (short) aggressors. This will put tons of pressure on the 106 players, and hopefully the 96's hang on (not charted). Please feel free to share you input, thank you for taking the time. Happy Trading! by thecafetraderUpdated 4
Bear flag or bull flag?Could this be a bear flag or bull flag on 1hr chart. If we are truly in a bear market this could be very well be a bear flag. Specially with the death cross imminent.Shortby Stockdiddler24330
NVIDIA Rounding Top: Bearish Swings Q1 2025TA Nvidia demonstrated strong growth throughout 2024. However, this year, it has shown rather a poor performance. When an uptrend started to weaken, it gave off subtle signals before a full reversal happened on the horizon. One of the first clues is that the highs collectively begin to appear curved compared with initial rough growth. This reflects the loss of aggressive bullish intent, showing hesitation and vulnerability to a reversal. The price still makes higher highs, but the incremental gain between each peak shrinks. This declining magnitude in price advancement suggests that buyers are gradually losing strength with each move. These shallow bullish waves often get sold into quickly, showing early distribution behavior. Simultaneously, it takes longer time for price to reach each successive high . When higher highs occur at reduced frequency, the rally phases become stretched out. This indicates buyers are struggling, and sellers are gaining time-based control. Extended Rounding Top Pattern Price crosses above the rounding top Indicates a failed reversal and potential bullish breakout. Suggests renewed buying strength and possible trend continuation. I'd recommend using confirmation tools like volume spikes and momentum indicators which are essential to validate the breakout. Price reaches the rounding top and stalls or reverses Confirms the bearish reversal signal of the pattern. Acts as a strong resistance zone, often leading to a downtrend. Alongside with fibs, it can be used as a cue to take profits, exit long trades, or enter short positions. FUNDAMENTALS Catalysts of Bearish Swings A transition phase characterized by a series of sharp bearish swings, marked by a sequence of Lower Highs and Lower Lows, shaping a well-defined downward channel. Drop #1: ATH → Higher Low (Early January 2025) After Nvidia’s euphoric 2024 AI hype rally, it was a matter of time as some institutional Investors locked in profits, causing initial drop. Valuation metrics (P/E; P/S) reached extremes creating grounds for a correction. The Fed’s January meeting hinted at fewer rate cuts than the market expected. Rising Treasury yields pressured tech stocks. The U.S. government has imposed strict export controls on advanced semiconductors, AI chips and related technology to China. Drop #2: Lower High → Lower Low (Late January to February 2025) While Nvidia beat Q4 earnings expectations, its forward guidance disappointed. Management cited softening data center orders and consumer GPU inventory corrections. Concerns about potential erosion in gross margins due to increasing costs and competitive pricing pressure from AMD and Intel. AI infrastructure spending was plateauing faster than expected, leading to re-ratings across the sector. Drop #3: Second Lower High → Second Lower Low (Mid to Late February through Early March 2025) Several investment banks downgraded semiconductor stocks, including Nvidia, amid fears of a cyclical slowdown and oversupply risks in H2 2025. In early March, broader indices dropped due to hot inflation prints in February. Fed’s stance during testimony to Congress indicated a higher interest rate outlook. Reports emerged about delays in next-gen chip production due to yield issues at TSMC and logistics constraints, fueling investor anxiety. Renewed export control tightening and U.S.-China friction were again cited as major concerns earlier this year. These concerns were part of the bearish narrative during Nvidia’s downward structure, especially during Drop #1 and Drop #2 where investors began pricing in geopolitical and regulatory headwinds. Events & Economic catalysts to monitor (before buying heavy): Nvidia Earnings Q1 2025 Mid to Late May 2025 Why it matters: Forward guidance, Data Center/AI segment growth, margin updates, and China sales commentary will heavily impact sentiment and trend direction. U.S. CPI (Inflation) Reports April 10, 2025 (March CPI) Remember: Hot inflation = higher rate expectations → tech sector sell-off. Watch for YoY core CPI trends. U.S. Jobs Report (NFP) April 4, 2025 Keep in mind: Strong labor = sticky inflation = Fed hawkishness → higher discount rates on growth stocks. Semiconductor Industry Conferences ・NVIDIA GTC (GPU Technology Conference) – usually held Spring or Fall ・Semicon West 2025 – typically July Track the progress: Product launches, AI roadmaps, new partnerships, and forward tech strategy updates often revealed. by fract2218
NVDA’s Final Act: A Breakout Waiting to HappenNVDA appears to be nearing the completion of its corrective phase, setting the stage for a potential move to new highs. The current pattern resembles a falling wedge, indicative of an ending diagonal formation, which often signals a reversal and the start of an upward trend. The structure of the corrective channel, along with the termination of the diagonal pattern, suggests a high likelihood of a running flat formation. Buyers are likely to intensify demand pressure as the price approaches the lower boundary of the trendline. A trend reversal may occur if there is a decisive breakout above the Wave 4 level of the ending diagonal. Buying opportunity with minimal stop is possible after the reversal from lower side of the channel. Targets can be 112 - 120 - 132 - 140. I'll be sharing more details shortly. by Money_Dictators4
Oct 2023 Anchored VwapNvdia was the only stock that i could find that did not touch the Oct 2023 anchored vwap. I think before the market sees a turnaround, Nvdia should touch the vwap at about $95 before it reverses. But we all know, anything can happen.by dburgos01270
ES Draw for next weekExpect onesided meltdown on ES. Upcoming week is going to be massively liquid. Try to position less compare to your original postitionsShort05:35by Tra3er_NeXuS0
NVDA has been trading in channel /range from 05/2024 to present.With only a few short breaks of the channel NVDA has been trading in range for 10 months. by Crismo990
NVIDIA Support Breakdown, Targeting Lower LevelsFrom a technical perspective, the chart shows a break of daily support at 126.86 and 129.51. This could lead to a long squeeze and increased selling pressure, targeting levels of 109.9, 100.44, and 90.56. A sell position between 135.05 and 129.51 might be considered, but a stop loss at 148.95 is crucial.Shortby ChessCryptoUpdated 6
NVDA pullbackNVDA's monthly candle suggests it's time for a pullback. A retracement could go as low as $50–$40. Let's see how it plays out in the coming months.Shortby CaptainMilo0
NVDA at a decision point, same area as September 2024Price as of my analysis: $113.76 NVDA is sitting at a major horizontal support zone around $113.50. This level acted as strong support in June 2024 and again in September 2024, where it launched a 34% rally toward the $152 range. Price is now testing that same level again — this is a key decision point. If this support breaks, my first downside target is $104.70, followed by $100.96. The $100 level is also psychological support and could attract buyers if tested. At the same time, NVDA is also pressing against a downtrend line that began in mid-February 2025, starting from the ~$143 level. Price rejected off this trendline again on Monday, confirming sellers are defending it. The 10 EMA and 20 EMA on the daily chart sit around $119. For any upside to unfold, NVDA must reclaim these levels. Above that, we’re looking at resistance between $125–130, which is a confluence zone: Downward-sloping 50 SMA Flat 200 SMA The prior uptrend line from May 2023, now acting as potential resistance If the bounce begins here at $113.50, reclaiming the EMAs would be the first bullish signal. Clearing the $125–130 area could open the path back to $141, which was the breakdown candle from February. On the weekly chart, the same $113.50 level shows as significant. The weekly EMAs are starting to turn down, and this week’s candle is showing signs of indecision — suggesting a potential reversal or further breakdown is brewing. Watching how this week closes will be key. Summary: Holding $113.50 = potential bounce toward $119 → $125–130 → $141 Losing $113.50 = likely flush to $104.70 → $100.96 $100 = psychological support and probable strong demand zone Currently at the intersection of major support and downtrend resistance = high-stakes decision zoneby emanuelaelias0
NVDA) Approaching Critical Resistance – Breakout or Rejection?Technical Analysis & Options Outlook 📌 Current Price: $118.79 📌 Trend: Reversal in Progress with Key Resistance Ahead 📌 Timeframe: 1-Hour Price Action & Market Structure 1. Bullish Reversal Underway – NVDA bounced strongly from the $115 demand zone, forming a higher low structure. 2. Break of Structure (BOS) Confirmed – Buyers took control, pushing above recent resistance. 3. Change of Character (ChoCh) Detected – Indicating a shift from bearish to bullish momentum. 4. Key Trendline Test – NVDA is now pressing against the upper trendline resistance, a crucial level for either breakout or rejection. 5. MACD & Stoch RSI – Showing bullish momentum, but approaching overbought conditions, signaling possible short-term consolidation. Key Reversal Detection & Trendline Details to Watch * Reversal Zone Detection – The red box indicates the prior liquidity grab area, where sellers were exhausted, leading to the current reversal. * Trendline Resistance – The current uptrend is testing the diagonal resistance level. If NVDA clears $120–$122, it may lead to an acceleration toward $125–$130. * Trendline Support – If rejected at $120, expect support retests at $115, followed by $110 PUT Wall support if selling pressure returns. Key Levels to Watch 📍 Immediate Resistance: 🔹 $120 – $122 (Trendline & Minor Resistance) 🔹 $125 – $130 (CALL Resistance Zone) 🔹 $135 – Major Gamma Target Level 📍 Immediate Support: 🔻 $115 – 2nd PUT Wall Support 🔻 $110 – Highest PUT Support & Major Reversal Zone 🔻 $104.77 – Critical Downside Risk Level Options Flow & GEX Sentiment * IVR: 24.5 (Low Implied Volatility, favoring directional moves) * IVx: 50.5 (-6.71%) (Declining volatility) * GEX (Gamma Exposure): Bearish Bias, but improving * CALL Walls: $125 & $130 (Potential take-profit zones) * PUT Walls: $115 & $110 (High liquidity zones where buyers may step in) 📌 Options Insight: * Above $120, NVDA could see a momentum breakout toward $125+, forcing dealers to hedge by buying shares. * Below $115, risk increases for a test of $110 PUT Wall, where liquidity is concentrated. My Thoughts & Trade Recommendation 🚀 Bullish Case: A breakout above $120 could accelerate NVDA into $125–$130 due to CALL gamma buildup. ⚠️ Bearish Case: If NVDA fails at $120 and loses $115, expect a retest of $110, which aligns with major PUT support. Trade Idea (For Educational Purposes) 📌 Bullish Play: 🔹 Entry: Above $120 Breakout 🔹 Target: $125–$130 🔹 Stop Loss: Below $115 📌 Bearish Play (Hedge Idea): 🔻 Entry: Rejection at $120 🔻 Target: $115 – $110 🔻 Stop Loss: Above $122 Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own research and manage risk accordingly. Final Thoughts NVDA is in a critical breakout zone. A strong move above $120 could lead to a sharp rally, while failure could send it back toward $115–$110 for a potential retest. Stay patient and watch for confirmation before entering a position. by BullBearInsights0
NVIDIA - AFTER FED-positive inflation expectation - more rate cuts expected - bearish US market >same retracement target Shortby bullishnr13
NVidia Long Lurking. 93% Win Rate.This morning I finished back testing NVidia from 1999. I used 25k as the start up capital but that is besides the point. The Point is that indicators are pointing out that the next long around is "around the corner". Similar to TESLA but NVidia has bigger. When can we expect this to happen? So on average from when the indicators start whispering that a long position might be coming up is an average of 60 days. But following simply this methodology is risky on its own as some signals are produced 15 days and some at 160 days. There is also another approach that intrigues me. A handful of the signals are almost back to back which is great for multiple entries when you measure just these the average is about 240 days. This coincides with Crypto's ETH which has given its heads up signal, which is an average 241.5 days. This all speculation at the end of the day and the signal will come when it does. So why post this if it could be that far ahead? I thought I would let people know that indicators are whispering. Here are some other indicators to take note of: The higher timeframes are a bit more clearer at the moment. The snapshot as of now indicates some sort of move downwards. This could be 96-98 region in the shorter term especially if we are expecting 60 days before a buy signal is produced. The back testing did also reveal that no signal was produced from 2011 to about 2018. It did catch the massive moves up but the exit signal did cut the party short in a few trades. The last signal was in October 2022 which was the Covid Rally. So it could indicate something big is coming globally but let me put my tinfoil hat down. Stay adaptable and Open minded. Longby Thundercat131Updated 4412
BUBBLE RUN of global marketsTheory! I just like to visualize similar global market events. NASDAQ:NVDA now vs. Cisco from 1991-2002 — it looks almost identical. The years 2026-27 could mark the final stage of the current “bubble run”: > an enormous number of crypto ETFs (even for worthless shitcoins) > overleveraged funds, from small players to industry leaders > AI projects with minimal revenue but insanely high infrastructure costs > soaring Gold prices alongside a decade-long decline in the U.S. manufacturing index, all while the stock market remains expensive > OpenAI, crypto exchanges, and AI companies with no real revenue planning IPOs in 2026+ I believe we are currently in a Bubble Run! This could be great for Bitcoin, because historically, Gold (over the past 100 years) has reached all-time highs during the final phase of a stock market bubble and continued rising until the market’s final dip. Then, smart money starts a new bull cycle — selling gold to buy cheap stocks.Longby sholi_software5526
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Nvidia Partners With General Motors to Build Self-driving CarsNVIDIA Corporation, a computing infrastructure company, provides graphics and compute and networking solutions in the United States, Singapore, Taiwan, China, Hong Kong, and internationally Partners With General Motors to Build Self-driving Cars. Also in another news, IBM Taps NVIDIA AI Data Platform Technologies to Accelerate AI at Scale. Apparently, shares of Nvidia (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NVDA ) is undeterred by all this news presently down 3.43% trading with a weak RSI of 44. The 78.6% Fibonacci retracement point is acting as support point for shares of NVidia a break below that pivot could lead to a dip to the 1-month axis. Similarly, a breakout above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement point could catalyse a bullish renaissance for $NVDA. Longby DEXWireNews449