Virgin Galactic: Sky's the Limit for Space Tourism's TrailblazerVirgin Galactic is pioneering the emerging space tourism industry, with a successful test flight marking an important milestone. With a strong brand, visionary leadership, and a growing list of customers, the company is poised to capitalize on the high-end tourism market.
Moreover, Virgin Galactic has the potential to generate substantial revenue from jet propulsion sales, and its stock price has been volatile but overall bullish.
SPCE trade ideas
SPCE this penny stock could launch from the support area LONGSPCE has lots of potential but sometimes gets bogged down with "technical difficulties"
It is burning cash just less than the analysts have predicted. As such it is a risky trade. Best
probabilities for success on a long trade is to buy as low as possible and hope that is its
now putting in a reliable double bottom on a six month trend down. On the 30 minute chart
I have marked upside targets on the volume profile not shown . I am expecting 100-150% in this
swing long trade which may last 4-8 months.
SPCE Long entry here!Good day,
When VR is green its a strong buy signal when VR is blue its a buy signal. When VR is red its a strong sell signal, when VR is orange its a sell signal. Preferably, would have liked to see a green buy signal on the weekly before entering the trade- we got a blue signal. With all that's been going with Boeing selling shares to raise cash I do believe SPCE has bottomed. VR 4 HR chart looks good but I expect a pullback how reliable is VR ?
How VR works?
When VR is below 30, oversold. When VR above 70, overbought. A word of caution, when VR goes to 100 (red) or to 0 (green) price may still go up or down. However the next candle on the Heiken ashi that goes red in an uptrend is the top and vise versa. Note: I execute on 5 minute time frame.
IT IS TIME.The Golden Buy opportunity was april 23, 2024
SPCE has been slowly finding a bottom. from what I understand, Virgin Galactic has had a phenomenal year this year. The numbers have been looking better and better as they have been getting closer and closer to their full launching stage. They are projecting more trips into space as of next year. Buying shares now will put shareholders in a prime position over the next 10+ years. I am projecting a 5x share price growth over the next year.
Dynamic Moving Averages
I use Dynamic moving averages to show me goo entries and where potential bottoms would be. Using the averages I see that we are starting to trade higher than the 5-day moving average. This symbolizes an increased trade interest. While there is a big Bear still holding a massive, short position, it does appear the value of the short positions are steadily decreasing. Is this the time to start buying at a rapid scale? I do own position in SPCE. I have always advocated for SPCE I do feel like they are a prominent company and have a world changing product.
SPCE Virgin Galactic Holdings Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of SPCE Virgin Galactic Holdings prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 0.50usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-7-19,
for a premium of approximately $0.05.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
$SPCE Falling wedge since April 2022On weekly charts - Looks like a falling wedge for almost 2 years, bouncing off the descending trend lines relatively accurately.
Earnings report drops next week. I predict a pullback to around 1.70, followed by a rocket up to 2. What would be key is if SPCE can break and hold above 2 to begin the launch sequence back up to 3, 4, 30, 40, eventually. Otherwise, if 2 is rejected, simply based on the trendlines we can see it drop very low below a dollar. Hard support level is around 1.40ish where ATL is. If that breaks... well keep buying anyway.
I personally want to read their 10k as well, which should be coming out soon. I think a turnaround is brewing for SPCE - Bullish
SPCE - An Excellent Long Term Investment OpportunityTechnical Analysis
SPCE is starting to show some bullishness and strength here. I think SPCE will continue trending up, and my key price targets are $2.15 and $2.33 on this move up. A lot of stocks have experienced huge gains after earnings, if SPCE has a similar situation I can see a move up to the $3.07 to $3.47 resistance zone. I wouldn’t count on it, but that is the type of market that we are in right now.
Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc (NYSE:SPCE) has made significant strides in the commercial spaceflight domain, as evidenced by its 2023 financial results and operational achievements. With a notable increase in revenue and efforts to reduce losses, Virgin Galactic stands at a pivotal juncture in its quest for profitability and sustainable growth in the burgeoning space tourism sector. This blog provides a comprehensive analysis of SPCE’s financial performance, highlighting the company’s strengths and weaknesses as it navigates the complexities of the aerospace industry.
Financial Performance Highlights
Revenue Growth
In 2023, Virgin Galactic saw its annual revenue increase to $7 million, up from $2 million in 2022. This growth is primarily attributed to the commencement of commercial spaceflights and membership fees from future astronauts, signaling the company’s entry into operational commercialization.
Net Loss Improvement
The company’s net loss showed a marginal improvement, narrowing to $502 million in 2023 from $500 million in 2022. This slight reduction in net loss reflects Virgin Galactic’s ongoing efforts to streamline operations and manage costs effectively.
Operating Expenses And Adjusted EBITDA
Virgin Galactic succeeded in decreasing its GAAP total operating expenses to $538 million in 2023 from $502 million in 2022, demonstrating a focus on operational efficiency. Additionally, adjusted EBITDA improved slightly to $(427) million in 2023 from $(431) million in 2022, indicating a cautious optimization of earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization.
Strong Cash Position
A pivotal strength for Virgin Galactic is its robust cash position, with cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities totaling $982 million as of December 31, 2023. This financial cushion is essential for the company’s sustainability and future growth ambitions.
Strengths
Virgin Galactic’s progress in 2023 underscores its capability to increase revenue streams through its innovative space tourism services. The successful conduct of six human spaceflights within six months is a testament to the company’s operational excellence and commitment to delivering exceptional experiences to its customers. Moreover, the strong cash position enables Virgin Galactic to continue investing in research, development, and expansion, positioning it for long-term success in the space industry.
Weaknesses
Despite the positive developments, Virgin Galactic faces several challenges. The net cash used in operating activities and negative free cash flow highlight the capital-intensive nature of the aerospace industry and the significant investments required to maintain competitive edge and innovation. Furthermore, the marginal improvement in net loss and adjusted EBITDA suggests that while the company is moving in the right direction, achieving profitability remains a challenging endeavor that requires strategic focus and operational efficiency.
Future Outlook
Looking ahead, Virgin Galactic is focusing on the completion of its spaceship factory and the assembly of the initial Delta ships, with commercial service expected to commence in 2026. This forward-looking approach is crucial as the company aims to scale its operations and meet the growing demand for commercial space travel.
Conclusion
Virgin Galactic’s 2023 financial results reflect a company at the cusp of significant growth, armed with the strengths of increased revenue, operational achievements, and a solid cash position. However, the path to profitability is fraught with challenges, including managing high operational costs and achieving financial efficiency. As Virgin Galactic continues to pioneer the space tourism sector, its ability to navigate these challenges while capitalizing on its strengths will be key to its long-term success and profitability.
$SPCE bottom, upward trend entering sideways movement. NYSE:SPCE Bottom was confirmed at $1.38. There is a clear short-term upward trend that can be identified based on the higher highs and higher lows.
For this trade, we assume NYSE:SPCE enters a consolidation phase with sideways movement.
Short at $2.72
Long at $2.35
SPCE continues to move upThis is a continued update of SPCE since I dont know how to add charts to updates this will have to do for now. The next targets in red are areas of interest and will act as magnets. They could also serve as areas of support and resistance. Chikcou span is in the cloud and could suggest price may be gaining momentum.
Virgin Galactic New All Time Lows & Price Decline TargetsHi Guys! This is a Technical Analysis on Virgin Galactic Holdings (SPCE) on the 3 Day Timeframe.
We have been on a continual PRICE DECLINE since our MAJOR REJECTION, June 22, 2023.
Its depicted by the Massive ENGULFING BEAR Candle.
This area was also a Major RESISTANCE area with convergence of the RED and PURPLE lines.
Note that Previous times we've had touch points on the PURPLE Upper Trendline of the Channel we've had massive PRICE DECLINES.
1st one = 53%
2nd one = 60%
3rd one = 54%
At the time of my previous posted Idea, we had closed below the BLACK SUPPORT trendline. But i mentioned we needed "Confirmation". Well its absolutely CONFIRMED, and thus continual price decline. (Check out my previous idea on SPCE BELOW for more context.)
We have also reached 2 of our 3 TARGETS mentioned on my previous idea, with continual BEARISH momentum therefore the update.
We are Currently in the process of printing a New Lower Low for SPCE, with the break of our MAJOR SUPPORT RED Dashed line.
Note also: Since this is a 3 day chart, we close the candle on the 17th of August. We also would need atleast 1 more candle after that if not more, that confirms the BREAK of SUPPORT.
With our current momentum i believe we may have further DECLINE.
1st Target = BLUE Support Trendline
2nd Target = PURPLE Lower Support Trendline of Channel
For Awareness -> It is possible we bounce from the BLUE line, a potential retracement being the BLACK trendline we initially broke out of. Keep an eye for Confirmation of Support.
But I still do think its PROBABLE we touch the PURPLE Channel as our Final Target, and potential BOTTOM. Whether right away or after the bounce play mentioned above, hard to tell currently.
I like this area because it would Strengthen the BULLISH DIVERGENCE currently forming. (Provided the signs of BULLISH DIvergence remain in our indicators).
I see this as a necessary capitulatory move, flushing out weak hands and setting out a Bottom Base.
At the end of each PRICE DECLINE, when we interact with the PURPLE Lower Trendline of the Channel.
It leads to a significant bounce back up to the Upper Trendline of Channel.
I won't highlight the % gains. I want you to Measure them for yourself but there MASSIVE gains. Keep that in mind.
On the RSI, we've been REJECTED.
Now we are moving towards the lower Support line that coincides with the BULLISH DIVERGENCE Play.
We need to maintain SUPPORT here.
Furthermore, for our BULLISH DIVERGENCE to play out we need to BREAK ABOVE Rejection zone.
STOCH RSI is currently Below the 20 level.
We don't want to be here for too long.
We need to see a BULLISH cross above the 20 level.
It moving towards the direction of the 80 level.
The BULLISH cross should occur after touching one of the 2 TARGETS. Just keep in mind, if we are going to go to the PURPLE line, we may be staying down here for weeks to couple months. Keep an eye
Notice also our VOLUME -> Our volume has been picking up since RJECTION. Which validates this Downtrend. Was giving us some hints before New Lows.
Just food for thought: As a trader always have your options open and be flexible. We do not have crystal balls of what price will do. Being unpredictable, markets do what they want based on human psychology so never fixate on one target. Keep an open mind to different possibilities.
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Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again.
***Read my Previous Analysis BELOW From 08/06/23 For More Context!
Stay tuned for more updates on SPCEin the near future.
If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again.
DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
My Virgin Galactic (SPCE) Exit StrategyMy SPCE trade has been going horribly wrong to say the least, but I’m still optimistic about exiting near breakeven or profit.
I was bullish for SPCE’s August launch, which marked a key milestone for Virgin Galactic since they finally delivered on their long-term promise to send customers on a unique space flight.
August turned out to be a bearish month for the stock market with a 3-week correction, which sent SPCE below the buy zone. I was okay with being in a temporary loss, but SPCE continued to bleed week after week as I continued to wait for an uptrend to exit.
Yellow Trendline
This yellow trend line is a key trendline that SPCE has been following on this move down.
SPCE had a breakout above this yellow trendline at $2.50 (marked by the white circle)
However, SPCE’s breakout flopped and SPCE drop back down to retest the yellow trendline as support at $1.85 (marked by the green arrow)
Exit Plan
As traders and investors we have to live by our trading decisions. I chose to DCA down to $2.75 instead of putting a stop loss or manually exiting the trade. SPCE has dropped even further, which resulted in a steep loss.
I placed one last buy order at $1.90 and I will patiently wait for the next uptrend
As marked by the white arrows, SPCE has downswings and upswings. SPCE’s recent downswing has lasted for 6 weeks, and I believe that there will be some upside sooner rather than later.
Key Price Targets
- The first price target is the buy zone between $3 and $3.50, which is likely to act as an area of resistance on the way up.
- My other two key price targets above the buy zone are $4.43 and $5.71.
Technical Analysis
Technical analysis tools are providing several bullish signals for SPCE at $1.90.
The RSI is oversold on the 1-day time frame and trending up
SPCE formed a bullish bounce off the yellow support line
SPCE dropped below the lower range of the Bollinger Band ($2.10), which signifies a discounted buy opportunity on this drop.
The lower range of the EMA ribbon is sitting around $3.33 on the weekly time frame, which is ideal for opening a long at current price levels.
SPCE - Flight pathAre we at the bottom or is there more downside to come ?
currently sitting at $3.24 which is very near the all-time low of $3
This level has acted as a horizontaol support several times
a decending curved support line appears to be levelling out.
The daily RSI is in the oversold mark which has historically acted as a catalyst for an uptick
For the past year the price has dropped in waves by around 25% then gone up - could that repeat
Possible outcomes:
A: Ready for Lauch we see some positive news come out that shows a clear(er) path to profit and we have a new impulse taking us up to $11 over the space of a year
B: Landing Gear Out The downward pressure and burn rate is still too much for people to stand and the price continues to decline and ranges between $2-3 for a while.
Personally keen for a swing trade on this.