Tesla short on earningthe chart says it needs to reach $320-$300 zone. risky but less risky for short
TSLA trade ideas
Shorting Teslathis is what my roadmap looks like. 5 more % green this week. sell order close to Sl (the lines)
2 scenarios as you see. I will update you later in the comments
TSLA at a Pivotal Zone! Key Trade Setups for Tomorrow Feb. 20Technical Analysis (TA) Overview
TSLA is currently consolidating near 360-363, following a strong breakout from a descending wedge pattern. The price is now testing a key volume profile resistance zone, indicating that the next move will depend on whether buyers can maintain strength or if sellers step in.
📌 Key Support & Resistance Levels:
* Resistance: 363.81 (Volume Profile High), 367-370 (major resistance and call wall)
* Support: 360, 352.50, 350 (major put support)
📌 Indicators:
* MACD: Momentum is slightly bullish, but histogram shows signs of weakness.
* Stoch RSI: Near mid-levels, indicating room for both upside and downside—not overbought yet.
* Volume Profile: High trading activity around 360-363, suggesting price could stall or reject here before another move.
Gamma Exposure (GEX) & Options Sentiment
🔹 Call Walls (Resistance):
* 370: First major resistance level.
* 380: Strong call resistance, likely a tough breakout without significant volume.
🔹 Put Walls (Support):
* 350: Heavy put support—this level is crucial for maintaining bullish momentum.
* 340-330: If 350 breaks, bears could push lower toward these levels.
🔹 Options Sentiment:
* IVR: 35.3 (moderate volatility—could see larger moves).
* Call Open Interest: 47.7% – Mixed sentiment, but slightly leaning bearish.
Trade Scenarios for Tomorrow
✅ Bullish Setup:
* If TSLA breaks above 364 and holds, we could see a move toward 367-370.
* Ideal entry: Above 364, stop-loss below 360.
* Profit targets: 367, 370, 380 (extension if momentum continues).
❌ Bearish Setup:
* If TSLA fails to hold 360, sellers could push it down toward 352.50-350.
* Ideal entry: Below 360, stop-loss above 363.
* Profit targets: 355, 352.50, 350 (major support level).
Probability Estimate for TSLA’s Next Move: Bullish Move Above 364 (Targets 367-370)
Scenario Probability (%): 50%
Reasoning: TSLA broke out of a descending wedge, signaling bullish intent.
• Needs sustained volume to clear 363-364 resistance zone.
* If buyers push above 364, expect a move toward 367-370. | | Choppy/Sideways (Range 360-364) | 30% | - Volume profile shows heavy activity in this zone, meaning TSLA could stall here.
* MACD is showing weak momentum, suggesting consolidation could occur. | | Bearish Breakdown Below 360 (Targets 355-350) | 20% | - If TSLA loses 360, sellers could quickly test 355-352.50.
* 350 is a strong put wall, so bears need significant momentum to push lower. |
Final Thoughts
* TSLA needs to break 364-365 for further upside. If it does, 370 is the key breakout target.
* Failure to hold 360 could bring selling pressure, targeting 355-350.
* Overall, I lean slightly bullish (50%) but expect some consolidation unless a strong catalyst appears.
🔹 Best Trading Plan:
* Bullish Play: Watch for a breakout above 364 → target 367-370.
* Bearish Play: Look for rejection near 363-364 or a break below 360 → target 355-350.
🚨 TSLA is at a critical resistance zone, so expect either a strong breakout or a rejection back to support.
*
Would you like a more detailed intraday game plan for trade execution? ✅🚀
Tesla scalping + forecast 2-19🔥 Market Overview (Tesla - TSLA)
Trend: Recovery phase after a strong downtrend; facing key resistance.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $368-$370 (200 EMA, key rejection zone)
Support: $353-$355 (Supertrend and recent demand zone)
Indicators:
EMA 9: $361.37 (Price slightly above, indicating short-term bullish bias)
EMA 200: $368.39 (Critical resistance; price needs a breakout for further upside)
Supertrend: $353.84 (Support level for continuation)
MACD: Weak bullish crossover, but limited momentum.
RSI: 62.26 – Approaching overbought zone, suggesting a potential pullback.
🔥 Scalping Strategy
🩸 Range Scalping (Preferred Strategy)
Buy near: $353-$355, targeting $365.
Sell near: $365-$368, targeting $355.
Stop-loss: Below $350.
🩸 Breakout Scalping (If $370 Breaks)
Buy above: $370, targeting $380-$385.
Stop-loss: Below $365.
🩸 Momentum Scalping (For Quick Trades)
Short near: $368-$370, targeting $355.
Buy near: $353-$355, targeting $365.
🔥 Mid-Term Trend Forecast (1-3 Weeks)
Tesla needs a strong close above $368 to confirm bullish continuation.
If $370 breaks, expect a move to $385.
If rejected from $368-$370, a retest of $353-$355 is likely.
🔥 News & Market Context
Tesla has been under pressure due to EV market slowdown and earnings concerns.
Investors watching for catalysts to drive sustained upside.
Market-wide sentiment remains cautious, which could affect Tesla’s next move.
🔥 Decision:
🩸 Short-term: Scalp buy at $355, targeting $365.
🩸 Mid-term: Watch price action at $368-$370.
🩸 Ideal Play: Short $368-$370 if rejected; buy above $370 if confirmed breakout.
👑 Final Verdict:
Tesla faces a critical resistance zone at $368-$370. Breakout could fuel further upside, but failure may lead to another pullback.
🔥 LucanInvestor's Quote:
"The market rewards patience, but punishes hesitation." 👑
TSLA TradingI get the point why TSLA became bullish in the past few days. RSI reset and people's expectation on AI and FSD technology. However, Tesla also needs to convince investors with growing revenue and earnings.
With its sales tanking globally and its brand name becoming trashy due to Elon's strong far-right political position, I really don't see any upside for this stock in the next few months. I believe its uptrend is temporary, which was mainly caused by the need of RSI reset. Its long term potential is too far to see. I strongly doubt Robotaxi will be successful at this time, when FSD technology is far from being safe and reliable. Many Tesla car crashes have been reported that were caused by FSD.
Check out the four lower highs it has made since December. And two lower lows that formed on January 2 and February 12. I think these LHs and LLs have confirmed the midterm trend of this stock. I highly doubt the current uptrend will make a HH. In other words, I doubt it will go above 420. I believe it will make another LL in March, around 275, before its next disappointing earnings report. With the current uptrend, 390 is at an area of confluence and a good LH to 420.
Thanks for reading and I would love to hear your feedback.
2
TSLA: Continuity of the uptrendTSLA, high probability of a continuation of the upward trend with this break of the resistance line by buyers as you can see on the graph....
TESLA ($TSLA) "Long" -$600-Tesla (TSLA) on the 4-hour chart.
First thing to mention: Weekly Close in 2days about might print a 2nd Doji.
Key Support and Resistance Levels :
The price is currently testing a crucial support level around $350.
Orange Block, 15min unfilled gap. If we take it out and don't lose Cyan trendline I might even add to the trade.
Dotted Cyan lines, 4h resistances
Price might go to $470 or even new high then do retracement to stop out late Longs.
At $620, Projection of past price. I'll be 90% out before this.
If the price breaks above the cyan trend line and holds above $385 it could signal a bullish reversal.
Conversely, if the price fails to hold above these levels and drops below $350, it may continue its downward trend.
Keep an eye on volume during any breakout attempts. Higher volume can confirm the strength of the move.
Monitor key psychological levels like $400 and $500 for further confirmation.
$TSLA poised for an EASY rise to $400 and beyond.BUY NASDAQ:TSLA NOW
A falling wedge is a chart pattern suggesting a probable rise in a stock's price. This bullish pattern emerges during a downtrend, as the price range tightens and the trend lines converge.
RSI: 35.02 as of 02/10/2025
NASDAQ:TSLA 's price began 2025 at $403.84. As of today, it stands at $350.73, reflecting a -13% decrease since the start of the year. By the end of 2025, it's projected to reach $692 , a year-to-year increase of +71%. This marks a +97% rise from today’s price. Mid-2025 predictions place Tesla at $477 . In the first half of 2026, the price is expected to climb to $805, and by year-end, add another $163 to close at $968, which is +176% from the current price.
-Month Low $350.51
Low $350.51
Pivot Point 1st Support Point $346.59
Pivot Point 2nd Support Point $342.46
Price 1 Standard Deviation Support $334.84
Pivot Point 3rd Support Point $334.40
Thank you
TSLA Stock Analysis & GEX Options Insights – Feb. 18Technical Analysis (TA) for TSLA
* Current Price Action: TSLA has bounced from a recent downtrend, now consolidating near $354. The stock is testing a key resistance zone, and a breakout could fuel more upside.
* Support & Resistance Levels:
* Immediate Resistance: $356 – TSLA is testing this level, a breakout could push price higher.
* Next Resistance: $380 – Aligns with the 3rd Call Wall from GEX data.
* Major Resistance: $400 – Strong resistance and potential Gamma Wall.
* First Support: $350 – If TSLA fails to hold, a drop to lower levels is possible.
* Major Support: $340 – A breakdown here could trigger a strong downside move.
* Critical Breakdown Level: $330 – Significant Put Wall and breakdown level.
* Indicators:
* MACD: Trending toward bullish, but near the zero line, showing weak momentum.
* Stochastic RSI: Rebounding from oversold, suggesting a possible short-term bounce.
Options Flow & GEX Analysis
* GEX (Gamma Exposure):
* Highest Positive NetGEX / Call Resistance: $400 – The major resistance zone.
* 71.64% Call Wall: $380 – Another resistance where price may slow down.
* 83.37% Call Wall: $360 – TSLA is close to this level, a rejection is possible.
* Put Wall Support: $340 – The strongest downside support from options positioning.
* 3rd Put Wall: $330 – Significant bearish momentum possible if this level breaks.
* IV & Sentiment:
* IV Rank (IVR): 38.1 → Moderate implied volatility, making options reasonably priced.
* IVx Avg: 69.1 → Slightly elevated, indicating some uncertainty.
* Options Sentiment: Calls = 56.6% → Bullish positioning in the options market.
Trade Setups
📈 Bullish Scenario (Breakout Play):
* Entry: Above $356 with strong volume.
* Target: $360, then $380 (Gamma Squeeze Potential).
* Stop Loss: Below $350.
📉 Bearish Scenario (Breakdown Play):
* Entry: Below $350.
* Target: $340 or $330 (Put Support).
* Stop Loss: Above $356.
Final Thoughts
* TSLA is showing early signs of strength, but resistance at $356-$360 could cause rejection.
* A breakout above $360 could lead to a strong rally toward $380-$400.
* A failure to hold $350 might trigger a slide toward $340 and below.
* Best Trade Approach: Watch for confirmation of a breakout above $356 or breakdown below $350 before committing to a trade.
🚨 This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade responsibly and manage risk! 🚨
20.4.2025 What should we expect? Will Elon's magic number play a role in the change in market direction? 4. 20.
What should we expect?
Tesla 2-17 (scalping + forecast) 🔥 Market Overview:
Trend: Tesla (TSLA) has been in a downtrend but is showing signs of short-term recovery. The price is testing a key resistance zone.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $376 (major resistance zone, EMA 200).
Support: $340–$343 (Supertrend and local support).
Indicators:
EMA 9: $352.98 (price hovering around this level, signaling indecision).
EMA 200: $381.27 (major resistance, potential bearish pressure).
Supertrend: $340.83 (acting as a mid-term support zone).
MACD: Weak bullish crossover, but still recovering from oversold conditions.
RSI: 55.87 (neutral, with room for upside but not yet overbought).
🔥 Scalping Strategy:
🩸 1. Momentum Scalping:
Buy near: $350–$352 if momentum continues.
Target: $360–$365.
Stop-loss below: $343 to limit downside risk.
🩸 2. Breakout Scalping:
Long if price breaks above: $360, targeting $376.
Short if price rejects $360, targeting $350.
🩸 3. Range Scalping:
Sell near: $360–$365 resistance.
Target: $350–$343.
Stop-loss: $366 if breakout occurs.
🔥 Mid-Term Trend Forecast (1-3 Weeks):
If TSLA breaks $360, it could rally toward $376.
A rejection at $360 would push the price back toward $343.
MACD and RSI suggest cautious optimism, but major resistance remains overhead.
🔥 News & Market Context:
EV Market Pressure: Tesla faces increasing competition in the EV sector.
Macroeconomic Factors: Rate decisions and economic data could impact tech stocks.
Earnings Impact: Previous earnings created volatility; traders should watch for new catalysts.
🔥 Decision:
🩸 Short-term: Look for a breakout above $360 or a rejection for shorting opportunities.
🩸 Mid-term: Slightly bullish, but major resistance at $376 must be cleared.
🩸 Ideal Play: Enter long on strength above $360, or short if price struggles at resistance.
👑 Final Verdict: Tesla is in a recovery phase but faces strong resistance. Bulls need to clear $360 to confirm a move toward $376. Traders should watch for volume confirmation before committing.
🔥 LucanInvestor's Quote: "The market tests your patience before rewarding conviction."
Price is never random! TSLA Tesla nice bounce. Did you eat?✅Nice bounce off Tesla. 👌
ℹ️Remember PRICE is just one point and in my opinion always second to TIME.
🟢When the WHERE (price) matches the WHEN (time) that is when it all comes together and the magic happens.
TSLA Entry Strategy391: Analyze sales behavior at this level.
Market Entry: Execute your first purchase at the current market price.
341: Consider a second entry if the price retraces.
312 & 297: Additional entries may be used to improve your average entry during deeper corrections.
Profit Target: 473
Remember to use proper risk management, including stop-loss orders and maintaining a favorable risk/reward ratio.
Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trade responsibly.
TSLA Week Feb 17th PlanDaily chart looks very bearish to me still.
We closed the the week with a perfect hammer candle. Same for the daily chart. Hammers are great fro trapping newbies. I will be looking to short (Buy TSLQ) when TSLA breaks the 362 area. Keep buying until we reach the 370 - 375 area with a stop around 380. By the time we reach the 370 area, I will sell a collar to protect my position
Maximize Returns: Consider a Long Position on TSLA Next Week
- Key Insights: Tesla's current support levels around 340.80 to 344.44 are
crucial for maintaining investor confidence in the face of declining sales.
The anticipation of autonomous driving features and Optimus robot
developments creates potential growth catalysts that could positively impact
stock performance in the near term.
- Price Targets: Next week targets are T1=375, T2=387.
Stop levels are S1=340, S2=338.
Following price level rules for a long position, these targets
provide a strategic entry and exit point that aligns with the technical
analysis and market sentiment.
- Recent Performance: TSLA's stock is experiencing heightened volatility, with a
significant recent sales decline in major markets including a 15% drop in
China and a 59% decline in Germany. Despite these challenges, the stock
appears to be supported above the critical low 340s, suggesting potential
for recovery.
- Expert Analysis: Analysts' sentiments regarding TSLA are mixed, reflecting
caution due to recent sales drops yet maintaining optimism about product
innovations. The potential for a rebound in stock performance exists,
especially if the anticipated launches materialize successfully. Predictions
indicate a possible stock price trajectory toward the lower 500s by year-end
if positive momentum is sustained.
- News Impact: Tesla’s strategic responses to competitive pressures, including
price adjustments affecting margins, remain a focal point for investors. The
company is closely monitored for advancements in autonomous technologies,
and upcoming earnings reports are expected to create further volatility as
analysts assess financial performance and broader operational strategies
within the evolving electric vehicle market.
TESLA is ready to push back upFor TESLA we will be monitoring the moves, price action and will try to buy once our setups gets triggered.
TSLA 4H Update
The continued grind to the downside led me to a count change. I'm now considering we're in green IV, and still expect a new ATH before any major reversal.
TSLA FALLING WEDGE LT TARGETFalling wedge's target coincides with 1.414 fib extension level considering we have already reached the lowest point in tesla's recent dip.
Are we going to see this play out during 2025 ?
That is the million dollar question !
Scalping & Mid-Term Analysis for TeslaMarket Overview:
Trend: Tesla is in a corrective phase after a strong rally, attempting a rebound.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $365 - $375
Support: $340 - $343 (weak), $333 (stronger)
Indicators:
MACD: Weak bullish crossover, suggesting a potential short-term recovery.
EMA: TSLA is below the 200 EMA ($376.98), signaling bearish pressure.
RSI: At 55.87, showing neutral momentum with room for further upside.
🔥 Scalping Strategy:
🩸 1. Range Scalping (Short-Term Play)
Why? Price is consolidating below resistance but showing recovery signs.
How?
Buy near $350 - $352, aiming for a scalp to $365 - $370.
Sell near $370, as resistance remains strong.
Stop-loss below $348, in case of a breakdown.
🩸 2. Breakout Scalping (If Momentum Increases)
Trigger: A breakout above $375 or breakdown below $343.
Execution:
If TSLA breaks $375, scalp long targeting $385 - $390.
If TSLA drops below $343, scalp short to $333 - $325.
🩸 3. EMA Scalping
Why? TSLA is testing the 9 EMA ($352), meaning a breakout could provide a short-term push.
Execution:
Buy on EMA bounce (~$350 - $352) for a quick move higher.
Short if price rejects resistance (~$370 - $375).
🔥 Mid-Term Trend Forecast (1-3 Weeks)
Bias: Neutral → Slightly Bullish
Why?
Recovery attempt underway, but must reclaim $375+ to confirm bullish continuation.
MACD turning positive, suggesting momentum is shifting in favor of buyers.
If TSLA fails to reclaim $375, expect a pullback to $343 - $333 before another move up.
Only a break above $385 confirms further bullish extension.
🔥 News & Market Context:
Tech stocks showing strength, supporting TSLA’s recovery.
EV demand trends remain a key factor in mid-term direction.
Watch overall Nasdaq sentiment, as TSLA often moves in sync with market risk appetite.
🔥 Decision: Enter or Stay Out?
🩸 Short-term: Scalping is viable, but watch resistance at $365 - $375.
🩸 Mid-term: Bullish unless TSLA fails to hold above $343.
🩸 Ideal Play: Scalp long on dips but lock profits near resistance.
👑 Final Verdict:
Tesla is recovering, but a pullback to $343 - $333 is possible before a breakout. Above $375, expect $385+ next. 🔥
Are you a TESLA bull? If so check this out!NASDAQ:TSLA
and just like that Tesla has most likely bottomed...
- Bull Flag
- Volume shelf with GAP
- Wr% downtrend breakout
A bullish cross and green H5 indicator means we will more than likely breakout and head higher!
Short term we retest $400 🎯
Breakout = 🎯$488 🎯 $581
Not financial advice
Wait wait so you are trying to tell me….…that a car company led by absolute best genius of the world who
created the bigest digital money transfer payment, most efficient EV ever, most efficient internet satelite worldwide network, Neuralink, most efficient new rockets, most free speech social platform and government cleanup from fraudulent tax eating politics… you are saying that company will crash ? The company first ever to introduce self driving car and robots who will work 24/7? Will crash? You either took more pills that needed or stoped taking your pills. Just stay hydrated and do reality checks more often.
Tsla super bullish.
TESLA looks ready on the daily. Still some risk that it's a trapTesla looks good on the Daily, great on the weekly and monthly
Stochastic Momentum Index just triggered a buy
Trend Trader still shows bearish momentum, yet Trend Trader is bullish on the Weekly, which matters even more
Great that this week was just a huge wick
