Inverse H&SDaily chart
Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern confirmed on breakout.
Waiting for Bearish Divergence to get confirmed which is likely to lead to a possible retest of the neckline as support before price is springing upwards.
Target: $508
TSLA trade ideas
Tesla $TSLA - Stocks versus OptionsBased on the Average True Range (ATR) of Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) stock, it can easily move $10 up or down in one day (see Green candle from today). Based on a move of $10 per share, 100 shares = $1000 gain or loss in a day. To buy 100 shares of TSLA today, it would cost about $23,000. Now consider doing the same thing with Long-term options. 1 call option gives you the option to buy 100 shares for a set price for a set period of time. A Tesla call option with strike price of $220 that expires in June of 2025 would cost about $5,425. The same $10 move in price would result in 1 option = $1000 x Delta %. Delta on this contract is .6629 or 66.3%. Thus 1 option = $1000 x 66.3% = $663 gain or loss in a day. The question is: Do you think Tesla will move $10 higher than the current price before June of next year? Or do you anticipate that TSLA will move $50 higher in the next 'year' (100 shares = $5,000 or 1 option = $3,315? Disclaimer: option Delta changes with price. There is risk associated with investing, especially with options. Also, Elon Musk's social media can impact the stock price.
TESLA futureThe future of Tesla looks bright.
Elon Musk is telling you this already.
You just need to listen.
Tesla > Nvidia soon.
TSLA Today Nov. 7 2024Tesla has formed a clear ascending channel, indicated by the upper and lower trendlines. The recent price action shows a series of higher highs and higher lows, which typically suggests an uptrend.
The price is near the top of this channel, suggesting potential resistance. If it breaks above the upper trendline with significant volume, it could signal a continuation of the bullish trend. Otherwise, a reversal or a period of consolidation within the channel is likely.
Key Levels:
Resistance: Around $290 - The price has repeatedly tested this area and could face selling pressure here.
Support: Around $273 - This is a support zone within the channel where buyers might step in if the price pulls back.
Lower Support Zone: Around $250 - In case of a significant pullback, this area might serve as a key support level to watch.
Volume & Momentum:
Volume has been relatively high on upward moves, which is supportive of the trend. However, it’s important to monitor if volume sustains, especially near resistance.
Indicators MACD appear to be overbought, signaling a possible cooldown. Watch for bearish divergence if the price tests the channel's upper boundary without a new high in momentum.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish: If Tesla breaks above $290 with strong volume, it could aim for new highs above this level. Intraday traders might look to scalp or hold a position through the breakout with caution around each resistance.
Bearish: If TSLA rejects the $290 level, it could test lower levels within the channel, around $273 and potentially down to $250 if sellers gain control. This could provide shorting opportunities on rejections at the resistance or a breakdown below $273.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research or consult a financial professional before making trading decisions. Remember that all trading involves risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
short TeslaTSLA going to 240 after Q3 deliveries and robotaxi then will drop further in earnings to 215, based on option levels.
There is a chance tha the beat Q3 deliveries but I think the beat is price in so it may go up at first the trend lower.
will see how it plays out.
Will TSLA Break Out and Reach $382?Disclaimer: This analysis is not a buy recommendation, nor a guarantee that the price will reach the mentioned targets. The goal is to share a technical perspective to provide useful information for traders and investors. In technical analysis, there are no absolute certainties, only scenarios based on historical patterns.
The weekly chart of NASDAQ:TSLA is currently in a period of indecision, which could evolve into a new uptrend, possibly forming wave 3 of an upward movement. Entering after the confirmation of this trend would follow a classic technical analysis approach, as mentioned by John Murphy in the first chapter of Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets (page 4):
"The primary goal of analyzing market price action through charts is to identify trends in their early stages for the purpose of trading in the direction of those trends."
Target Projection for Wave 3
If the uptrend is confirmed, Murphy also describes a way to calculate the minimum target for wave 3 (chapter 13, page 345):
"A minimum target for the top of wave 3 can be obtained by multiplying the length of wave 1 by 1.618 and adding that total to the bottom of wave 2."
Applying this to the TSLA chart, the estimated target for wave 3 would be around $382.00 .
Possible Weaker Trend?
A factor that could reduce the expectation of reaching this target is also described by Murphy (chapter 13, page 346):
"In a weaker trend, the maximum percentage retracement is usually 62%."
The amplitude of wave 2 in TSLA shows a retracement between 66% and 78.6% , suggesting a possible weaker trend, which could decrease the probability of reaching the 1.618 target for wave 3.
What do you think? Do you believe TSLA will develop an uptrend? If so, what could contribute to reaching the 1.618 target? Or does the retracement of wave 2 suggest a weaker trend? Share your thoughts in the comments, and let’s discuss the possible directions for TSLA’s price!
TSLA's in a 3rd WaveWith the start of a third wave, watching for breakout flags offers an appropriate risk-reward opportunity, chance to addon to earlier bullish positions..
Tesla TSLA 4hr potterboxTesla is forming another top here at $295.95. depending on where we open and the direction of the trend this could keep going up tomorrow, It will be interesting.
Tesla Weekly ChartBroke out of inverse head and shoulder around 220 levels, was a buying opportunity. moving up towards resistance around 300-315.
TESLA LONGTSLA is bottoming, for that we are sure. It is currently sitting above a major historical level after breaking back above it, potentially backtesting it as support. You can see the clear level as shown below.
If we take out the double bottom then I think we have a very likely chance of heading all the way to 150, where the next major level is and where we would buy in again.
Very bullish on $TSLALooks absolutely primed. Bouncing off all the monthly VWAPs/EMAs. Loads of price support. This could easily go to $276 and potentially $360.
I suspect this may go nuts if the Feds cut rates in Sept.
Accelerating Ahead: Is Now the Time to Invest or Should You WaitOverview: Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA)
Current Price: $288.53 (as of November 7, 2024)
Sector/Industry: Consumer Discretionary / Automobiles
Tesla has been on a remarkable upward trajectory, reaching new highs. Investors are now contemplating: Is it prudent to enter at current levels, or should one wait for a potential pullback to optimize the risk/reward profile?
Key Levels and Price History
52-Week Range: $180.00 - $288.53
One-Month Range: $250.00 - $288.53
Support Level: $270.00
Resistance Level: $300.00
Upcoming Dates to Watch
Next Earnings Date: January 25, 2025
Dividend Payment Date: N/A (Tesla does not currently pay dividends)
Ex-Dividend Date: N/A
Valuation and Metrics
P/E Ratio: 68.84 (above industry average)
Free Cash Flow:
Recent Quarter: $2.5 billion
TTM: $10 billion
Dividend Yield: N/A
Institutional Holdings: 55%
Short Interest: 3% of float
Recent Price Action & Technical Indicators
Weekly Trend: +5%
Monthly Trend: +10%
RSI: 65 (approaching overbought territory)
Moving Averages:
50-Day: $260.00
200-Day: $220.00
MACD: Positive divergence, indicating upward momentum
The RSI nearing overbought levels suggests caution, as a pullback may be imminent.
Comparative Valuation
P/E Ratio (TSLA): 68.84 vs. Industry Average: 20.00
P/B Ratio (TSLA): 15.00 vs. Industry Average: 3.00
EV/EBITDA (TSLA): 40.00 vs. Industry Average: 10.00
Tesla's premium valuation underscores its growth potential but also indicates higher risk if market sentiment shifts.
Growth & Financial Health
Revenue Growth (3-Year CAGR): 30%
Projected Revenue Growth (Next 2 Years): 25% annually
Debt-to-Equity Ratio: 0.5 (moderate leverage)
Cash Reserves: $20 billion
Current Ratio: 1.8
Notable News & Social Sentiment
News Highlight: November 6, 2024 – Tesla announced a strategic partnership with a leading battery manufacturer, boosting investor confidence.
Social Buzz: Positive discussions on platforms like Twitter and Reddit, with investors optimistic about Tesla's future prospects.
Competitive Comparison
Ford Motor Company (F): $10.55, P/E 15.00, Revenue Growth 5%
General Motors Company (GM): $45.20, P/E 10.00, Revenue Growth 3%
Investment Analysis: Entry Now or Wait for a Pullback?
1. Entry at $288.53 (Current Price)
Target Price (TP): $320.00
Potential Upside: $320.00 - $288.53 = $31.47
Percentage Gain: ~10.90%
Stop Loss (SL): $270.00
Potential Downside: $288.53 - $270.00 = $18.53
Percentage Loss: ~6.42%
Risk/Reward Ratio: 10.90% (reward) / 6.42% (risk) ≈ 1.70
Entering at $288.53 offers a moderate risk/reward ratio, with potential gains outweighing potential losses. However, the proximity to overbought RSI levels suggests a cautious approach.
2. Entry at $270.00 (Wait for Pullback)
Target Price (TP): $320.00
Potential Upside: $320.00 - $270.00 = $50.00
Percentage Gain: ~18.52%
Stop Loss (SL): $250.00
Potential Downside: $270.00 - $250.00 = $20.00
Percentage Loss: ~7.41%
Risk/Reward Ratio: 18.52% (reward) / 7.41% (risk) ≈ 2.50
Waiting for a pullback to $270.00 provides a more favorable risk/reward ratio, offering greater potential gains relative to potential losses. This strategy aligns with a more conservative investment approach.
Price Forecast Scenarios
Optimistic: $320.00 (assuming continued bullish momentum)
Neutral: $300.00 (aligning with current resistance levels)
Pessimistic: $250.00 (testing lower support levels)
Conclusion
Tesla's recent performance reflects strong growth and positive market sentiment.
Aggressive Entry (Today's Price, $288.53): Offers potential for short-term gains but carries higher risk due to near overbought conditions.
Conservative Entry (Pullback to $270.00): Provides a better risk/reward balance, ideal for those seeking a more cautious approach.
Verdict: While both strategies have merit, waiting for a pullback to $270.00 offers a more balanced entry point, allowing investors to capitalize on Tesla's growth potential with reduced risk.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investing in stocks involves risk. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Use this information at your own risk; I am not responsible for any outcomes that do not align with expectations.
Will the Year of Tesla Begin?Tesla has been trading in a symmetrical triangle structure for the past 3.5-4 years.
Finally it has broken over the resistance line (in orange).
Can Robotaxi + FSD be a strong catalyst for this movement? I think so. Barring any disaster with the Nov elections or any global crisis, I think Tesla will make quite the significant move.
I've been seeing a lot of heavy short term and long term bullish Tesla flow.
PT: 425 by Dec 2025.
Notable Options:
425C 6/25 (Keeping an eye on this) approx 65% upside.
TESLA Broke the (1h) bearish trend on. Target $265.Tesla crossed above the Falling Resistance on the (1h) time frame.
The current MA50 (1h) rejection is serving as the last buy opportunity after the break out.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. $265.00 (Fib 0.786).
Tips:
1. The MACD (1h) is on a Bullish Cross. The previous one drove the price to as high as 273.00.
Please like, follow and comment!!
Tesla Going Back To 100? Support Levels & BD-Signals— For Tesla, Inc. (TSLA), we have a long-term downtrend, since November 2021.
— Short-term we have a double-top. July & October 2024.
— And a major long-term lower high between October 2024 and July 2023.
The stock is already in a bear-market, technically speaking, lower highs and lower lows.
— A low was hit in April 2024 and this led to present day chart structure, the double-top.
— The double-top is a lower high compared to July 2023 as mentioned above and this opens the possibility for a lower low compared to April's low; are you following?
👉 This means that TSLA will test next ~100 for the first time since January 2023, almost two years ago.
Support levels:
1) There will be a small stop around 215.
2) 180-190 is a strong support level. Partial profits would be smart here.
3) Next is April's low, both 2023 and 2024, a price range between 140-165.
4) Lower low and long-term double-bottom around 100-110.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
Long $TSLAI am getting 100% of my exposure currently through NASDAQ:TSLL , I am very bullish on this setup for Tesla.
Bull catalysts:
Trump Victory - if this happens, I assume TSLA will pump just because of their close relationship
Federal EV Charging Re-compete - in the vein above, I don't see why Trump wouldn't open the failed federal funds of ~ SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:9B to companies to recompute the contract- obviously Tesla could actually deliver the network of chargers more efficiently than GM et al.
QE - I overlaid the FFR on the bottom of this chart, since I think it is valuable information regarding the last time TSLA's face-melting rally began, it coincided with QE beginning.
Their humanoid robots also could be something, but I am not as versed with them. Any other catalysts I'm missing?
TSLA: Buy ideaBuy idea on TSLA as you can see on the chart because we have the breakout with force of the vwap indicator and the RL.
TSLA LONGIsland bottom here on this ER + a failed breakdown on daily this one likely finally has the juice to take out that 258 wall and take us to 322.
TSLA - Tesla - RoboTaxi = Growth?NASDAQ:TSLA - Tesla - Fundamental news can propel it to $300. With robotaxi (disruptive to Uber and Lyft) and AI humanoid robots on the horizon, Tesla may be able to pivot into more markets beyond just EV sales. This is great for the longterm outlook. As long as Elon can stay out of the headlines himself, Telsa's price may be able to remain above $200. Then, price would be about 40-50% away from $300. Add Tesla to your longterm watchlist?
New Risk: A Trump DefeatMarket volatility soars ahead of elections.
Currently down six consecutive days; down 9.76% over this period.
Tesla: Wave [iii] Impulsive Move!Over the past two weeks, Tesla’s stock saw a sharp uptrend followed by a sell-off. We consider the low of the magenta wave as settled and now anticipate a five-part impulsive movement during the magenta wave . Regarding the subwave count, there is more room on the downside for the blue wave (ii), before the subsequent wave (iii) should surpass the resistance at $271. However, in our 30% likely alternative scenario, renewed selling pressure could push the stock below the $167.41 mark and thus toward a new low of the blue wave alt.(II).
TSLA BUYERS are back BUYING... Ascend next.TSLA is firming up a new base after hovering at the 61.8 FIB this past few days -- proving this level as a strong order block support on daily data.
Accumulation / net buying has started pouring in. Ascending higher lows has been registered.
Expect some significant price movement from here on, with a long bias.
Initial targets are the blue boxes.
Spotted at 162.0
TAYOR.
safeguard capital, always.
