VIPS trade ideas
Vipshop Recent OutlookBig retrace recently. But not too good to buy the dip yet. $21.5 - $22.5 will be good entry levels, and it shouldn’t be a big problem for it to rebound to $30ish.
$VIPS with a slight bullish outlook after earnings #StocksThe PEAD projected a slight bullish outlook for $VIPS after a positive over reaction following its earnings release placing the stock in drift B
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VIPS with a double upgrade by MS, PT of $33By Morgan Stanley:
Growth of online apparel sales accelerated in 4Q20, and we project such trend to sustain thanks to consumption spending shifting to discretionary products.
We expect VIPS to sustain strong active user growth momentum, thanks to its improving user engagement amid more brand partners, effective marketing, and integrated online and offline solutions.
Potential regulatory risk from the ongoing anti-trust investigation is still overhanging, but we see limited impact for now.
Our PT of US$33 implies 19x 2021e P/E, which is not demanding, given our projected 24% earnings CAGR in 2020-23e, vs. the average 2021e P/E at >20x for global peers with only single-digit earnings growth.
Bull Case: $50/share
VIPSRetail is going up,
VIPS just passed ATH, no limit above.
MACD+RSI on montly looks really good, so as volume.
Let's see what comes with this one.
VIPS BullishVIPS has been consistently bullish and respecting it's trend line. It attempted to fill a gap downwards, but failed - signalling that it will travel upwards next. VIPS is an e commerce stock and rated a "buy" by trading view.
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VIPS | This moment will probably define the rest of JanVIPS has been on an absolute tear since March lows, even more so since its Earnings dip in late October, and has followed a strong uptrend support (orange trend line) since mid November to date.
The stock failed to test its ATHs (which dates back to April 2015, fyi), dropping steeply back and now beneath the multi-month uptrend support.
This is worrying for a few reasons:
- We are sitting on first support range ~$26 in premarket trading
- Next support range is around $24, after that it's a free-fall down to about $20
However, a few considerations why I am not panic selling just yet:
1. This 7% premarket dump doesn't seem to have much news guiding it, and rather just looks like a relief dump from bag holders who have been eagerly waiting for this moment since 2015;
2. If we were to drop to ~$24, RSI would be sporting a strong Oversold
3. I am giving VIPS the rest of today to regain that uptrend support - if it succeeds, that would be a HUGE sign of strength in the stock for a retest of ATHs in the coming weeks. I would add to my position significantly in this case.
Any thoughts?
Thanks and Happy Trading!
(*This is not financial advice, for sake of discussion and illustrative purposes only*)
$VIPS #Breatkout SetupVery strong close this past Wed. $30+ is all time highs and looks like VipShop wants to make a run for it.
VIPS in playI'm long WIPS from 17
Internet retail sector is strong now. A lot of internet retailers make the same pattern, on high volume
It looks like buyers become positive before earnings
VIPS has another possible runTBH I don't know what VIPS is or why it's running, but I think it is setting up for a new run. I would like to see this continue it's consolidation in this purple area while the Bollinger bands tighten, and eventually pinch it to run up to my higher PT at 21
VIPS enters Downtrend as Momentum drops below 0 level on09/19/20This indicator may be signaling that VIPS's price has further to drop, since it fell below its price logged 14 days ago. Traders may consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options. Tickeron A.I.dvisor backtested 71 similar cases where VIPS's Momentum Indicator fell below the 0 level, and 57 of them led to a successful outcome. Odds of Success: 80%. Current price $17.05 crossed the resistance line at $16.95 and is trading between $17.59 resistance and $16.95 resistance lines. Throughout the month of 08/18/20 - 09/18/20, the price experienced a -30% Downtrend, while the week of 09/11/20 - 09/18/20 shows a +2% Uptrend.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 18, 2020. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on VIPS as a result. Tickeron AI detected that in 57 of 71 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.
VIPS moved below its 50-day Moving Average on August 19, 2020 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day Moving Average for VIPS crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on August 24, 2020. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. Tickeron AI detected that in 9 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 75%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where Apple declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.
VIPS: Potential Return to $24, Eventually?This stock has been beaten up over the past several days. It's bouncing off the 200 SMA within overall bullish context. It also appears to be forming an ascending triangle (reversal pattern?), and hoping we can fill previous gaps. A bit conservative with the entry/stop loss given the recent market volatility. Fingers crossed...
long opportunity 19 dollarslong opportunity 19 dollars
TP 19.6
VIPS supported 3 times 18.27, 18.20 and 18.35
potential reversal, bounce, if volume comes it could be a big strong break out higher
Long with VIPSThe price bounced recently from the 20 EMA and the upward trendline. Expecting a nice low-risk swing trade going long.
Best of luck to all!
VIPS breakoutBreaking out today. Also breakout from long term high is shown on weekly chart back to February 2018. IBD rating of 96.
Long @19.38
