Gold rises strongly and bulls restart!The 1-hour moving average of gold has begun to cross upward to form a golden cross, and the bulls have begun to exert their strength. After breaking through the 3300 line yesterday, for today's market, the opening of the morning session directly pulled up more than 40 US dollars. The bulls are strong and powerful. Now we are definitely not going to short, just follow the trend. The point of concern below is the low point of 3350. If gold continues to maintain its strength, it is impossible to fall below the 3350 line again, so we are looking for opportunities to go long above 3350 in the morning! The market is changing rapidly. Since the current gold bulls are more powerful, then continue to go long. After all, it is a callback in the bullish upward trend. It will be more repetitive when reflected on the short-term chart. The volatility base is large, and the operation should try to stick to the time point after the European session. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy of gold is recommended to go long on callbacks and short on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper short-term resistance of 3415-3420, and the short-term focus on the lower short-term support of 3330-3350.
GOLD trade ideas
Gold Daily Sniper Plan - XAUUSD May 5th ๐ฅ May 5 XAUUSD Sniper Plan โ "Bulls Bounce, Bears Breathe โ Who Takes the Next Shot?" ๐ฏ๐
Gold is caught in a battlefield. After a textbook bounce from 3204, price is pushing into premium zones โ but momentum is limping, and ISM Services PMI (4:00pm) could trigger the next major move.
Forget guessing. This is where levels speak louder than noise.
๐งญ Market Overview
HTF Bias (D1โH4): Bullish macro trend, but pullback in play after rejection from 3500 ATH
LTF Flow (H1โM15): Bullish relief structure, but losing steam below key supply at 3315+
EMA Confluence (H1): EMA5 climbing above EMA21, but flat near 3260 โ indecision zone
Liquidity: Sell-side liquidity rests below 3200. Buy stops are stacking above 3300.
๐ฅ Monday News Catalyst
๐ 4:00pm ISM Services PMI (USD)
Volatility expected. Strong data = dollar strength = possible Gold drop. Weak data = relief rally toward premium.
๐ฏ Sniper Entry Zones (With Logic)
๐ป Sell #1 โ 3315โ3325
๐ H1โH4 OB + FVG + equal highs above
๐ง Ideal for post-ISM spike rejection setup
๐ป Sell #2 โ 3345โ3355
๐ Final OB before last lower high + clean imbalance
๐ฏ SL: 3360 | TP1: 3315 | TP2: 3292 | TP3: 3268
๐ง Swing rejection setup if bulls overextend
๐ข Buy #1 โ 3210โ3220
๐ M15 OB + EQ + May 2 internal HL
๐ฏ SL: 3190 | TP1: 3244 | TP2: 3265 | TP3: 3290
๐ง Structure-based bounce zone with clean PA reaction
๐ข Buy #2 โ 3175โ3185
๐ LTF demand + FVG + RSI oversold sweep
๐ฏ SL: 3155 | TP1: 3210 | TP2: 3240 | TP3: 3268
๐ง Reactive area if NY flushes price before recovery
๐บ Key Levels to Watch
Level Meaning
3268โ3275 Internal resistance + imbalance zone
3292โ3300 Liquidity magnet pre-sell zone
3315โ3325 Major rejection area
3345โ3355 HTF supply & final trap
3210โ3220 Primary bounce zone
3175โ3185 Trap setup + liquidity sweep zone
3050โ3075 HTF OB โ swing buy only
๐โ๐จ Eyes On:
Rejection from 3315 = sniper short entry zone
Rejection from 3275 = continuation risk
Break below 3210 โ 3175โ3185 becomes critical
Weak ISM = gold spike toward 3300+ (fade setup)
๐ฌ Final Thought:
This isnโt โbuy now, sell nowโ nonsense. Itโs about structure, timing, and logic.
The cleanest setups come to those who wait โ not those who chase.
๐ Like this breakdown? Boost and follow us for sniper setups all week.
๐ Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
Maintain shock and short position before non-agricultural๐Fundamentals:
From the news perspective: the United States released a trade agreement and tariff reduction signal, the trade situation eased, resulting in a decline in market demand for safe-haven assets, triggering a sell-off in gold; the situation between Russia and Ukraine has eased, and the dawn of peace talks is approaching, which is a negative factor for gold; at the same time, the situation between India and Pakistan has heated up, which has supported the price of gold to a certain extent.
๐Technical aspects:
In the past few days, we have been emphasizing that gold should be bearish, and warned that gold is likely to break and fall sharply.
Gold, the general trend is as described in the continuous analysis. This round of price has fallen from the historical high of 3500. The first round of selling to 3260 rebounded to repair 3370; after rebounding to 3358 during the week, it weakened again, and the Asian market quickly sold off and fell below 3260. The subsequent analysis emphasized that the short-selling pattern of each cycle is good, and the shock bearish trend continued before the non-agricultural, and the target was adjusted to the parallel attack and defense range of 3193-3168;
European and American markets fluctuated and were bearish, which is in line with expectations; short-term resistance 3221, 3226, strong resistance 3231-3235; short-term support 3212, strong support 3202;
๐ฏPractical strategy:
It is recommended to rebound and sell: short near 3220-3230, target 10-15 points
#XAUUSD: 676+ Pips Since Our Last Entry! Comment Your Views! As we explained in our previous chart, the price will retouch 3270$ and then continue the bullish movement. The price did exactly that, with a 674+ increase from our last idea. Itโs now on the way towards $3500 or beyond. Get ready for a big move on gold this week, but be extra cautious as the price can be volatile.
Good luck and trade safely!
Thank you for your unwavering support! ๐
If youโd like to contribute, here are a few ways you can help us:
- Like our ideas
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- Share our ideas
Team Setupsfx_
โค๏ธ๐
Gold Rally Continues (Bullish)XAUUSD (GOLD) 4H chart breaking out from Wave (4) with a clean Elliott Wave structureโจTargeting the 3,480+ zone for Wave (5) โ Fibonacci + EMA confluence + breakout confirmation all lining up!
Entry zone was right near the 0.5โ0.618 fib sweet spot ๐ฆโจNow we ride the wave
Current trade idea: Long biasโจ๐ฏ Target: $3,480โจ๐ Risk: Below $3,166โจ๐ Strategy: Wave theory + EMA trend confirmation + structure break
Let me know if you're in this move too โ and drop a ๐ฅ if you caught the setup!
DeGRAM | GOLD Broke the Rising Channel๐ Technical Analysis
โ Break below the rising channel and $3 290 support; failed retest inside the $3 320-3 260 supply creates a descending structureโtargets sit at $3 200, then $3 000.
โ 4-hour RSI bearish divergence and a sequence of lower highs confirm momentum has flipped to the downside.
๐ก Fundamental Analysis
โ Dollar Index rebounds (+0.27 %) on auto-tariff-relief headlines, boosting risk appetite and trimming haven demand.
โ Yahoo Finance reports gold sliding as a stronger USD and tariff reprieve trigger profit-taking.
โจ Summary
Channel break + USD strength favour a short XAU/USD view: objectives $3 200 โ $3 000; invalidation above $3 360.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Gold - All eyes on Wednesday 08 May - FED๐ก Gold Traders: Nothing Matters Until Wednesday! โณ๐ค
Hey traders! ๐
This week, all eyes are on Wednesday... and everything before that? Mostly noise.
Let me break it down for you. ๐
๐ Technical Outlook
Gold is chilling above a key resistance level right now.
Trendlines suggest we wonโt see any major moves before Wednesday unless big news drops. ๐ฐ
๐ Asian session is kicking things off above resistance.
If bulls show up there, we could break Trendline 1 (Image below) and head towards the $3300 ๐ฏ target.
๐ RSI across multiple timeframes? Pretty neutral.
If Asia trades flat or slightly bearish, gold might range between $3210โ$3250.
Break below $3201, and things could get shaky... but the European session might push us back above that support.
U.S. session on Monday? Likely a sideways snoozefest ๐ด (unless surprise news hits).
๐ฏ Trade Setup (MonโWed)
Iโm looking to play the range between:
$3261 (Trendline 2) ๐ผ and $3169 (Trendline 4) ๐ฝ
Thatโs a comfy $90 window Iโm aiming to trade before Wednesday's fireworks. ๐
๐ฎ After Wednesday โ The FED Factor ๐ฃ
Hereโs the real catalyst:
Wednesday, May 7 at 2:00 PM EST โ FOMC Rate Decision
If the FED cuts rates (not likely, but possible under pressure), gold could tank hard. ๐ฅ
Iโm talking a potential drop to $3150 or lower ๐ณ๏ธ๐
Thatโd be a -$90+ move easy.
FED has been holding the line ๐ช, resisting pressure (especially from Trump back in the day), but if the economy flashes red, that rate cut might come sooner than expected.
๐ง Final Thoughts
FED paused hikes, but left the door open for 3 rate cuts this year.
Until we get more clarity, no strong bullish signals on gold.
My bias stays: Bearish unless proven otherwise. ๐ป๐ฌ
Stay sharp out there, and watch those sessions. Wednesdayโs the real deal! ๐ผ๐
And last but not least, look at this and let us know what you think about please:
Some would say its impossible but as we know, gold can do everything!
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This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! ๐ข Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks โ only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! ๐๐
Gold is expected to rebound to the 3270-3275 areaFundamentals:
Focus on today's NFP market;
Technical aspects:
Gold stopped falling near 3200 and gradually rebounded, and has now rebounded to around 3240. As for this round of rebound, I have actually made it clear in my previous opinion that the bulls and bears are wrestling at the 3200 mark, and there will still be repeated in the short term, and after the downward trend slows down, some trapped bulls must have self-rescue behaviors, so it is not surprising that gold has rebounded.
From the current structure, gold has not shown a clear bottoming signal, so the gold rebound is only temporary, and gold will continue to fall after the rebound. From the perspective of frequent switching of intervals, since gold has broken through the area near 3235 during the rebound, the rebound may continue, and is expected to continue to the area near 3270-3275. After breaking through this area, it is even expected to continue to around 3290. This is the position area where we must focus on entering the short position.
Trading strategy:
1. Consider buying gold in the 3235-3230 area, TP: 3245-3255; pay attention to setting protection.
2. Consider selling gold in batches after gold rebounds to the 3270-3275 area, TP: 3240-3230
Interest rates, will gold prices fall sharply today?โญ๏ธGOLDEN INFORMATION:
However, US Dollar bulls appear cautious, holding back from making bold moves as they await clearer signals regarding the Federal Reserveโs (Fed) future rate-cut trajectory. This wait-and-see stance, combined with ongoing geopolitical tensionsโparticularly the prolonged Russia-Ukraine conflict and unrest in the Middle Eastโcontinues to bolster demand for safe-haven assets like gold. As such, investors are likely to remain on the sidelines until the conclusion of the closely watched two-day FOMC policy meeting on Wednesday.
โญ๏ธPersonal comments NOVA:
Gold price awaits today's interest rate result, there was a good recovery above 3400 but then fell immediately after, showing that the market is not ready for the first interest rate cut if any, gold price may face strong selling pressure today
โญ๏ธSET UP GOLD PRICE:
๐ฅSELL GOLD zone : 3438- 3440 SL 3445
TP1: $3425
TP2: $3410
TP3: $3395
๐ฅSELL GOLD zone : 3396- 3398 SL 3402 scalping
TP1: $3390
TP2: $3380
TP3: $3365
๐ฅBUY GOLD zone: $3308 - $3306 SL $3301
TP1: $3315
TP2: $3330
TP3: $3345
โญ๏ธTechnical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable sell order.
โญ๏ธNOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold Eyes Recovery as Price Targets $3,260 ResistanceGold is showing signs of a potential rebound on the 15-minute chart. After finding support around the $3215โ$3225 zone, price action is starting to climb again. If this upward momentum continues, we could see gold make a push toward the $3260 resistance level. Keep an eye on price behavior near supportโany strong bounce could be a signal for further upside.
Gold fluctuates and tests new high again!Gold surged and then fell back, and the pattern needs to be sorted out; the stochastic indicator crosses at a high level, and runs downward, the indicator and the pattern resonate and adjust; the top and bottom conversion below, the support point of the sideways rise is in the range of 3380-3370; if it falls back and keeps going down, then the main trend is to pierce the trend and fall back to the range of 3390-3200; the range span is relatively large! In terms of short-term operation ideas, according to the suppression near 3440, the short-term correction is expected; the support position below is near 3290 and 3205; there are many short-term cards; deal with it according to the range;
Goldโs Got Its Groove Back: Morning Star Lights the Way to $3500Gold delivered a powerful signal pointing to a resumption of the bullish trend, completing a morning star pattern that saw it break out of the falling wedge it had been trading over the past fortnight. It would have been nice to catch the initial move, but all is not lost after the price broke above $3367 on Tuesday.
The price has run hard, so Iโm reluctant to chase the move. But if we see a pullback and bounce from $3367, it would generate a bullish setup where longs could be established above the level with a stop beneath for protection. The obvious trade target would be the record high of $3500 set in April.
If the price were to reverse below $3367 and stay there, the setup would be invalidated.
Good luck!
DS
GOLD recovers to initial target, confirmation point continuesOANDA:XAUUSD surged in the first half of trading on Monday (May 5), briefly surpassing the $3,270/ounce mark and marking a daily gain of more than $30. as uncertainty over U.S. tariffs spurred safe-haven flows, supporting gold prices. The Federal Reserveโs interest rate cut in June is also boosting the appeal of non-yielding gold.
Bloomberg reported on Monday that US President Donald Trump plans to impose a 100% tariff on all foreign-made films, which is not a huge deal, but it does escalate the trade war. "I am authorizing the Department of Commerce and the United States Trade Representative to immediately begin proceedings to impose a 100% tariff on all foreign-made films imported into the United States," Trump wrote on his Truth Social social media platform. "We want our movies made in the USA again!"
Gold prices have risen nearly 25% this year, hitting a record high above $3,500 an ounce in April, but have retreated in recent weeks. Bloomberg notes that factors driving goldโs recent rally include safe-haven buying fueled by Trumpโs destructive trade and geopolitical policies, as well as speculative demand from China and buying by global central banks.
According to CME's "Federal Reserve Watch" on May 5: The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in May is 96.8%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 3.2%.
The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until June is 63.3%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 35.6%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 1.1%.
Technical outlook analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold is still bullish as the price action remains above the important support EMA21. At the same time, the price channel that is noted as the main long-term trend channel remains stable.
On the other hand, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also showing signs of weakness as it falls to approach the 50 level, which is noted as the closest support in terms of momentum.
Going forward, if gold rebounds above $3,245, it could rebound to the short-term target of $3,267, more than the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level, and then the full price point of $3,300.
As long as gold remains within the price channel, its long-term trend remains bullish, but the risk of a deeper correction is when the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level is broken below, once this level is broken below gold is at risk of further selling to $3,163 in the short term. This also means that technically gold is in an ideal support area for bullish expectations, long positions should be protected below the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level.
In the coming period, gold has technical conditions that favor a bullish recovery, and the notable points will be listed as follows.
Support: 3,245 โ 3,228USD
Resistance: 3,267 โ 3,270 โ 3,292USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3304 - 3302โก๏ธ
โ โ Stop Loss 3310
โTake Profit 1 3296
โจ
โTake Profit 2 3290
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3173 - 3175โก๏ธ
โ โ Stop Loss 3169
โTake Profit 1 3181
โจ
โTake Profit 2 3187
Gold trading ideas after key data releaseOn the news front, the US April ISM manufacturing PMI was higher than expected, which led to the US Treasury bonds giving up their gains. From a technical analysis point of view, after the gold price fell out of the strong support of 3260 in the shock range, this position turned into the short-term resistance level for our short-term reference, followed by the position of multiple entity K-lines at the hourly level of 3275. There is a possibility of breaking through 3260 in the later period, so 3275 can also be treated as a defensive position.
Although the price of gold has been hovering around 3220, our main bearish direction remains unchanged in the short term. The trading strategy given in the afternoon is still a reference. For rebound, first focus on the 3240-3250 first-line resistance, and further look at the top-bottom transition position of 3260-3270. You can participate in transactions in small batches. Below, focus on the 3210-3200 support, and if it falls below, look for the 3193 first-line.
TVC:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Trend Analysis and Trading Tips for the Gold MarketThe market is deeply trapped in the tariff issue. US stocks and the US dollar are in urgent need of economic data to boost their performance. If the April NFP data is poor, it will trigger a selling spree in the market, and the risk of economic recession in the United States will increase. On the contrary, the significance of good NFP data far exceeds the data itself.
From a technical perspective, when the data is bearish, the upward pressure on the gold price doubles. Overall, it is highly likely that the April NFP data will be bearish for the gold price and drive it down. The fact that the gold price hit a low of nearly 3,220 yesterday also confirms this expectation. In addition, good data reduces the market's expectation of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut. Since an interest rate cut by the Fed is bullish for the gold price, and vice versa.
The tariff issue is likely to cool down soon. Although it doesn't mean the end, it will still suppress the gold price. Recently, we have accurately grasped the gold market, attaching equal importance to fundamental and technical analysis. In the following period, the market will still fluctuate around fundamental news such as the tariff issue. If the NFP data exceeds expectations and the tariff issue takes a turn for the better, the risk aversion sentiment will fade away, and the gold price is highly likely to retrace. It is recommended not to rush to buy at a higher price next week.
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
XAU/USD: Strategic Analysis on ThursdayThe interest rate decision of the Federal Reserve is in line with market expectations and does not go beyond the scope of the widespread market anticipation before.
In terms of gold, the price of $3,350 serves as a crucial dividing line at present. If the gold price can successfully stop falling and stabilize near this price level, forming an effective support, it indicates that the bullish forces still dominate, and the upward market trend in the future is expected to continue. Conversely, once this price level is broken, the bearish sentiment in the market will rapidly heat up, and the price is likely to further decline, seeking a new support level below $3,320.
The geopolitical situation continues to deteriorate. The most intense military conflict in nearly a decade has broken out between India and Pakistan, and the civil war in Sudan is also escalating. These conflicts not only pose a serious threat to the regional and global peace and stability but will also have a significant impact on the commodity market. As a traditional safe-haven asset, the safe-haven attribute of gold will be further stimulated, and its price is expected to receive strong support. At the same time, the war may lead to uncertainties in energy supply, thus driving up the prices of energy sources such as crude oil.
XAUUSD
buy@3350-3360
tp:3390-3400
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
Hanzo | Gold 15 min 3315 โ Next is bearish Move๐ Gold โ Hanzoโs Strike Setup
๐ฅ Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M)
โโโโโโ
๐ฏ Main Focus: Bearish Reversal at 3317
We are watching this zone closely. Expecting Reversal
โโโ
Analysis
๐ Market Signs (15M TF):
โข Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 3265
โข Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 3318
โข Strong Rejections seen at:
โ 3270 โ Major support / Key level
โ 3325 โ Proven resistance
๐ฉธ Key Zones to Watch:
โข 3272 โ ๐ฅ Bullish breakout level X 7 Swing Retest
โข 3325 โ Strong resistance (tested 5 times)
โข 3270 โ Equal lows
โข 3328 โ Equal highs
XAUUSD:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyAll the trading signals today have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!๐๐๐
On Tuesday, gold witnessed a surging rally. It perfectly achieved the feat of "killing both bulls and bears" within the day. Here is the latest trading strategy.
After a significant rally on Monday, gold continued its upward momentum on Tuesday, with the increase approaching the 3,400 mark. The bullish sentiment was extremely high. Leo issued a single trade prompt for VIPs to go short, and suggested going long during the European session when the price pulled back. Both the short and long trades successfully reached the take-profit targets. Currently, judging from the trend, it still remains in a bullish pattern. In the US session, continue to go long at a low level following the trend. Pay attention to the support in the 3,370 area below.
Trading Strategy:
buy@3370-3380
TP:3390-3400
The signals in the Signature have brought about continuous profits, and accurate signals are shared every day. Hurry up and click to get them!
๐ ๐ ๐ Obtain signals๐๐๐
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
We wanted this to test that high and give us the short which worked well and gave us a good start to the week. While price came into the lower range level our indicators kept suggesting this was going up so we said we would protect and manage, and the those who wanted to trade the red boxes
Now we're at crucial resistance, and because the daily range is so large it's a zone of 3348-58. That turns support into the 3325-30 which will need to hold in order for price to go up! That double bottom was concerning as mentioned in the KOG Report, however, we did want lower to come back up here, unfortunately, that swing turned into scalping.
We'll stick with the chart as it is, break above and we'll look for higher, otherwise, this is the region to keep an eye on!
RED BOXES INDI LEVELS:
Break above 3320 for 3327โ
, 3330 โ
, 3335โ
, 3345โ
, 3347โ
and above that 3362 in extension of the move
Break below 3310, for 3306โ
, 3297โ
, 3295โ
, 3280โ
, 3266 and 3255 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG