Up for gold!Hi traders,
Last week gold consolidated and dropped. It looks like the b-wave of the correction was a Triangle and now it's in the last Wave c (blue).
For next week we wait for the finish of the correction (Zigzag) into the Weekly FVG and after that we could trade longs again.
Let's see what price does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for the correction to finish and a change in orderflow to bullish to trade longs again.
If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity sweeps with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
GOLD trade ideas
GOLD: Bullish Continuation & Long Trade
GOLD
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long GOLD
Entry - 3219.9
Sl - 3207.5
Tp - 3246.2
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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Gold Trade Plan 01/05/2025Dear Traders,
The April monthly candle closed around 3285. Currently, the price has reacted to a previously identified zone and is now moving within a descending channel, with the channel's upper boundary at 3285. If the price gives a daily close above 3285, I expect it to rise toward 3370.
otherwise complex Correction will be continue and my Final Target is 3170
if you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza
Gold TechnicalsThis chart outlines a potential bullish breakout scenario for XAUUSD on the 1-hour timeframe. Price has been respecting a descending trendline, but recent upward momentum has brought it back to a key decision point near the trendline resistance. The circled area labeled "BOS" (Break of Structure) suggests a possible shift in market structure from bearish to bullish if price breaks and sustains above that zone. The main expectation is for price to push higher toward the upper resistance around 3,320 if the breakout confirms, offering a swing or intraday long opportunity. However, the alternative scenario (marked with a red arrow) highlights that failure to break the trendline could result in a rejection and continuation of the downtrend toward the 3,180–3,160 support zone. RSI near mid-levels supports the idea that price still has room to move in either direction, emphasizing the importance of watching price behavior at the breakout point.
0429 4H TRADING OPPORTUNITY FOR GOLDHello traders,
The seven major U.S. stock markets are no longer in the limelight, and the market is facing a major test
Even after the past week's rally, the Big Seven have had their worst first quarter since 2022!
Over the past two years, seven major tech companies--Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Nvidia and Tesla--have driven a strong rally that pulled stocks out of the 2022 bear market, setting dozens of all-time highs.
Today, even after the past week's rally, the seven major U.S. stocks have had their worst start to a year since 2022, according to Dow Jones Market Data. All seven stocks are down more than 6.5%, wiping out a total of $2.5 trillion in market value. [
1. Core earnings focus: Can tech giants continue their growth myth?
Earnings schedule and market expectations
Meta (after the close on April 30)
Microsoft (after the close of trading on May 1)
Apple (after the close on May 2)
Amazon (after the close of trading on May 3)
Risk warning signals
Nvidia showed weakness ahead of time: fell 2.1% on Monday.
Divergence in the Nasdaq: The Dow's fifth straight gain contrasts with a slight drop in the Nasdaq, which could trigger a broader sell-off if it falls below its 15,000 support level after earnings.
II. Interpretation of the latest market data
Changes in liquidity environment
US Treasury yields fell: The yield on the 10-year Treasury note fell to 4.213% (from 4.267%), a low interest rate environment is positive for tech valuations, but the US Treasury's new $514 billion borrowing program could drain liquidity from the market, so watch for changes in funding.
Dollar index weakens: The Wall Street Journal dollar index fell to 95.78 (from 96.34) and a weaker dollar is usually good for foreign earnings conversion for multinational companies, but if the debt ceiling crisis heats up, the dollar could rebound quickly.
Commodity market feedback
Gold rallied back: Spot gold closed at its third-highest level in history ($3,332.50 an ounce), as risk aversion rose. If earnings fall short of expectations, gold could test the $3,400 mark again.
Crude oil demand concerns: WTI crude fell to $62.05 / barrel, Brent to $65.86. Weak tech stocks could exacerbate the deterioration in economic expectations, further weighing on the outlook for crude oil demand.
3. Analysis of key linkage effects
Negative correlation between tech stocks and gold: If the earnings blow leads to a sharp drop in the Nasdaq, gold's safe-haven nature will be highlighted, and capital may accelerate into the precious metals market.
Crude oil as an economic barometer: Weak tech giant earnings-> Downgraded global economic outlook-> Dismal outlook for crude oil demand, WTI may test psychological support at $60.
Weekly circle prompt:
[At the beginning of this week, new warehouses entered to short gold, and need to wait for a new one-hour reversal signal in the European and American sessions before continuing to enter to short gold,
aim to do
TP1:3265
TP2: 3240
TP3:3225
TP4: 3205】
On Monday, during the European session of gold, there was a reversal signal at the support structure position on the 1-hour chart, and the long plan was put on hold.
Daily chart, gold has been trading above the EMA in a volatile market, and the bearish force is not strong enough to reverse the gold rally.
The data on Tuesday was light, so we changed our thinking and continued the upward direction on Monday to go long on gold. Using the FIBO calculation of last week's downtrend, the target for going long on gold is:
TP1: 3380
TP2: 3408
TP3: 3447
GOOD LUCK!
LESS IS MORE!
XAUUSD H4 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 3275.86, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit is set at 3222.63, an overlap support.
The stop loss is set at 3314.24, a swing high resistance.
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XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold Evening Star on WeeklyGold is working on its second consecutive red week which would be the first such occurrence in 2025. Interestingly, gold had only posted two red weeks in the prior 16, until the $3500 level came into play.
That high in gold syncs with a long-term spot of support in the US Dollar, and going into next week's FOMC meeting the two scenarios appear linked as a dovish Fed would likely be needed if we are to see another $3500 test, much less a break.
For now, support is at the psychological level of $3200 and for next week, that becomes lower-high resistance potential for breakdown scenarios. - js
gold on sell#XAUUSD have corrected back above 3267 which formation have decline from there.
Now the expected entry to sell is at 3267 which have broken now we expect the H1 to close between the rectangle to have a clear bearish range. Stop loss at 3278 target 3236
Bullish can overtake by fundamental news.
Has the trend of gold's high dive turned bearish?Technical analysis of gold: Breaking news, China and the United States are preparing for tariff talks, which is a major negative. Gold plunged more than $60 from the 3438 USD line in the early trading, and it should have reached the top within the day; if there is no major positive push, the early high of 3438 should not be broken again, otherwise once it breaks through 3500, it will definitely break, but it is unclear how far it will go above 3500. Gold started to retrace from the 3438 position in the early trading. It is currently expected to stop falling at the 3350 support area in the early trading. In the short term, it is necessary to pay attention to whether the gold weekly line will form an evening star pattern. Once the evening star structure is formed, gold will most likely confirm that it has peaked in stages, and will experience a large-scale retracement in conjunction with the weekly top divergence! However, the daily trend is relatively repeated, so we still need to focus on the impact of news on the trend!
The most important golden strategy📌Fundamentals:
Focus on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision
📊Technological aspects:
From the golden hour chart, the Asian market is in line with a wave of continued gains and the subsequent adjustment to the 10 moving average of 3350 has stabilized. The European market has slowly moved higher and is approaching the Asian market high. This pattern is still very strong, and there is a high probability of a second rise tonight; The 10 EMA is above 3370 as the primary support and continues to be bullish. As each line closes, the moving support will slowly move up. As long as it does not effectively break, the short squeeze will continue. A breakthrough of 3410 will also happen at any time. If it breaks through, it will be easy to continue to storm above 3420. If it rushes higher and falls back in the evening and falls below the 10 EMA, then If it adjusts to the middle track for the first time, there will still be good support, just continue to be bullish; comprehensively speaking, today's short-term gold operation ideas suggest that the callback is mainly long, and the rebound is supplementary.
🎯 Practical Strategy:
Short strategy: short gold when it rebounds around 3425-3430, target around 3400-3380.
Long strategy: long gold when it pulls back around 3365-3370, target around 3400-3420.
Gold is stimulated to rise stronglyGold has risen strongly as a safe haven, breaking the shock of last week. The current 3328 line is under strong pressure again, and it is recommended to short. Gold has risen and reached the key resistance level in the previous period. Gold has broken through upward without falling back, which means there is no opportunity to go long. First look at the short side to see if it will fall back and adjust. Gold operation is recommended to short on rebound and go long on pullback. Focus on the resistance level of 3330 and the support level of 3260.
XAUUSD BuyHello traders!
There’s an ideal buying opportunity on XAUUSD right now. I’ve activated a Buy position to take advantage of this setup.
The TP target is **3262.58** and the SL level is **3242.65**.
Make sure to adjust your lot size and risk according to your trading plan, and enter the trade with discipline.
🔔 I post detailed trade ideas and daily market analysis like this every day on my TradingView profile.
👉 Follow me to get notified and read the full breakdowns.
Will gold prices rise again this week?As the US dollar is approaching the key middle track of the daily line, it is not far away. In the next two days, it is expected to end the rebound correction and continue to start a weak trend decline. Therefore, gold may also have a short-term bottom at any time in the next two days. The next step is to wait for a wave of pullback. At least the bottom low point of the previous convergence triangle of 3260-3270 will be tested and confirmed. After the test, if it cannot stand under pressure, there may be a second bottom test, a secondary low point or a double bottom, and then finally start a unilateral rise all the way; of course, if 3200 is not the low point of tonight, and the lower shadow of the daily closing is short, then it may be necessary to test the last 3175 position before determining the short-term bottom;
NFP market, looking for opportunities to short goldFundamentals:
Mainly focus on today's NFP market;
Technical aspects:
Gold rebounded near 3200 and has gradually rebounded to around 3265. This wave of rebound is not surprising. After all, I have been insisting on short-term long gold since yesterday, and I have also gained a good profit. As gold falls and breaks through many key supports, my expectations for the magnitude of this rebound are not high. In the short term, it will first face resistance in the 3270-3275 area, and secondly, it will face resistance in the 3285-3295 area.
Moreover, the rebound and rise of gold before the NFP market is very confusing in itself. It is not ruled out that it is to pave the way for the sharp drop in the NFP market. Once gold falls again, it is likely to fall below 3200 and continue to around 3180.
Trading strategy:
1. Consider shorting gold when it rebounds to 3270-3280, TP: 3240-3230;
2. Consider continuing to short gold when it rebounds to 3280-3290, TP is the same as above.
Gold continued to rise at the opening and broke upward!The current 4-hour chart of gold has formed an upward breakout trend, and it will continue to strengthen next! In the intraday, we focus on the 3200-line long-short watershed. Before gold falls further, gold will maintain a bullish trend. If gold wants to move out of a steady upward trend, it will not fall below the 3222 line during the day. In the short term, we refer to the points above 3222 to arrange long positions! In terms of operation, it is recommended to adjust the thinking, go long on the decline to 3240-3245 or directly chase the rise after breaking through 3270. At present, it is already long at 3243, and there is no more decline to continue long! Identify the long position during the day! On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold is recommended to focus on callbacks and short on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3300-3310 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3222-3245 support.
Gold is about to experience a pullback!XAU/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 23.6% and the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 3,275.29
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that line sup with the 23.6% and the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 3,350.60
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 3,168.44
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.