XAUUSD UPDATE : NFP hi everyone
I hope you were able to ride the market based on the previous trade idea.
Gold has broken below the daily support level, and the current upward movement is likely just a retracement. Therefore, both my Plan A and Plan B focus on short positions. For a stronger bullish move, the price needs to form a lower low—at least on the H1 timeframe.
good luck all
**My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal**
Thanks a lot for your support
GOLD trade ideas
Try going long gold in small batchesFundamentals:
Focus on US economic data and Fed dynamics;
Technical aspects:
Gold continues to fall and is currently testing the 3200 mark. It is undeniable that gold is currently in a clear bearish trend, and the foreseeable area below is the 3185-3175 area, which is a strong support in the short term. However, the long and short sides are currently wrestling at the 3200 mark, and I think there will still be repetitions in the short term. So gold should rebound before falling to the 3185-3175 area.
Trading strategy:
Consider trying to go long on gold in small batches in the 3210-3200 area, TP: 3220-3230.
Please note: In order to protect the security of the account, as gold rebounds, you can consider gradually moving up the SL to ensure profits.
GOLD The Target Is DOWN! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for GOLD is below:
The market is trading on 3377.8 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 3357.7
Recommended Stop Loss - 3387.7
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
XAUUSD:The bullish forces make a strong comeback.Yesterday, the gold market soared with an impressive rally. It started rising during the Asian trading session, continued the upward trend in the European session, and witnessed a further surge in the American session. Eventually, it closed at a high level, fully demonstrating the strong comeback of the bullish forces, which is by no means a short-term rebound. In the early trading session of today, we precisely seized the opportunity and placed two long positions near $3,325. Currently, we have successfully locked in the profits after the price reached a peak.
In the following period, we will focus on the price correction and pullback. Once the price stabilizes after the pullback, we will maintain a bullish outlook. If the price moves steadily during the European trading session, we can temporarily adopt a wait-and-see attitude. If the upward trend continues, the pullback before the American trading session will be an excellent opportunity to follow up. Overall, based on the judgment that the Asian, European, and American trading sessions will maintain a continuous upward trend in tandem, we will keep seizing opportunities to go long.
In the future, we will continue to monitor the market changes and update the trading strategies in real time.
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
Start shorting gold and seize the opportunity to make a profit!!Fundamentals:
Focus on Trump and the Fed
Technical aspects:
Gold fell back to around 3253 and then rebounded, and continued to rise to around 3318. The upward momentum in the short term looks particularly strong. According to the current structure, as gold gradually rebounds, off-market buying funds gradually enter the market, pushing gold further up. However, when facing the previous turning point position area of 3325-3335, the market is cautious and it is difficult to break through this area in a short period of time. Therefore, when gold gradually approaches the 3325-3335 area, gold may usher in a wave of retracement in the short term; obviously, the retracement area we can foresee is the 3295-3285 area first.
Trading strategy:
Consider shorting gold in the 3315-3325 area, TP: 3295-3285
GOLD DAILY UPDATE MAY 1ST 2025Chart Is very clear in numbers ,
Expected to continue correcting to the level of 3160 3170, from there must jump to a very high levels, but except real breaking 3160 with confirmation candles on 4 hours timeframe, will take us to more correction down to 3040 max. not really expected but nothing impossible in market.
good luck for all traders.
Gold Hits Key Resistance – Will It Break Out or Pull Back? Gold has been moving in a downtrend, and there's a clear descending trendline marked in red. The price has just reached that trendline right around the 3316 level, which also aligns with a horizontal resistance at 3329 — making this a very strong resistance zone.
The price surged from the support area near 3224, breaking through minor resistances until it reached the current level. But what we need to keep an eye on is that momentum indicators like MACD and Stochastic below the chart are starting to show overbought signals, which could mean the price might pull back or at least slow down.
🎯 Expected scenario now:
If the price fails to break above 3329 and can't push through the trendline, we might see a corrective drop toward 3269, and possibly down to 3224 again.
However, if the price breaks above this zone with strong volume and holds above it, we could see a continued bullish move toward 3352 — which looks like an ideal selling zone.
4-hour chart for XAUUSD (Gold Spot vs US Dollar)This is a 4-hour chart for XAUUSD (Gold Spot vs US Dollar) showing a technical analysis setup:
1. Current Price:
Sell: 3,238.70
Buy: 3,239.00
2. Marked Levels:
There's a red shaded area labeled "ENTRY ZONE" between 3,272.81 and 3,273.79.
This zone likely acts as a resistance or pullback area where a sell entry is being considered.
3. Market Structure:
Price previously moved up strongly (bullish), but now it’s forming lower highs and lower lows, indicating a bearish trend.
A projected path is drawn showing that price might go back up into the entry zone and then drop further — with a potential target near 3,009.75.
4. Bias:
The overall bias shown in the chart is bearish.
It suggests a sell opportunity in the entry zone, expecting price to fall after a short-term pullback.
If you want, I can help you build a full trade plan (entry, stop loss, and take profit) based on this chart too. Just let me know!
XAUUSD 15M This chart displays a 15-minute candlestick chart of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) with a clearly marked trade setup. Here's a quick breakdown of what it illustrates:
Buy Zone: Marked in the orange shaded area around the price of $3,372.194 to $3,364.121.
Entry Point: Near the lower edge of the buy zone.
Target: Around $3,393.363, marked as "target successful".
Risk-to-Reward Setup: The green area represents the profit target; the red area below is the stop-loss zone.
Arrow Path: Indicates the anticipated price movement from the buy zone up to the target level.
This is a classic bullish reversal setup after a price drop, aiming for a retracement or continuation upward.
Would you like help analyzing this trade setup or suggestions for improving the strategy?
XAUUSD NEXT MOVE Over-Reliance on Double Top Projection
• The chart assumes a price move straight up to form a “double top” around 3,540–3,550 without acknowledging possible market hesitation or intervening resistance zones.
• A double top pattern requires a confirmation of rejection at the same level; assuming it prematurely can be misleading.
2. Support Zone Might Not Be Strong Enough
• The “Strong Support and Bullish Area” is drawn around 3,200–3,230, but the bounce shown in the chart is still not well-established. A break below this would invalidate the bullish thesis.
• There is no confirmation of higher lows, which is critical for a trend reversal.
3. Overlooked Bearish Pressure
• The previous high (around 3,540) led to a sharp selloff, indicating strong supply. This area could be a distribution zone rather than just resistance.
• Market sentiment might still be bearish unless a higher high is confirmed.
4. Resistance Area Is Vague
• The “Resistance” zone between 3,340–3,360 is too narrow and lacks confluence with indicators like moving averages or volume spikes.
• A pullback from this zone is plausible, and it should be treated as a decision area, not just a step before price rallies.
5. Economic Events Are Ignored
• There is an icon showing a U.S. economic event, but the chart doesn’t factor in fundamental catalysts, which could disrupt technical patterns significantly.
WILL GOLD PUMP IN FOMC ATH ALERT!
📉 Market Update – Consolidation Mode ON 📈
Hey Traders! 👋
After that sharp morning red candle dropping 💥 600+ pips, the market has been moving sideways, stuck in a tight range. 😴
But don’t get it twisted—the bullish bias is still strong 💪🐂
🔑 Key Level to Watch: 3400
👉 If the price breaks and closes above 3400 on the M30 candle, we’re likely to see momentum kick in and the market may head to new ATHs (All-Time Highs)! 🚀📈
🎯 Bullish Target Zones:
✅ 3500 – First push
✅ 3700 – Major move, potential for a huge bull run! 🐂🔥
🛑 Always Follow Risk Management!
Protect your capital, use SL wisely, and never over-leverage. ⚠️💼
📊 Stay sharp, stay disciplined. Let’s ride the trend! 💸
Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis – 1H🏛 1. Current Market Structure
📉 Gold is currently consolidating and compressing between a Supply Zone below and a 4H FVG above.
🔎 This setup reflects market indecision, typical ahead of a major event like the FOMC.
🌍 2. Bigger Picture Outlook
⚠️ Powell's speech is scheduled in 2 hours, with very low probability of a rate cut.
💰 This would generally benefit gold, but keep in mind that some of this expectation might have already been priced in yesterday.
🔍 3. Key Technical Observations
🟩 4H FVG: Liquidity zone just above the current price, potential target if the price breaks upward.
🟫 Supply Zone: Key structural support, tested multiple times in the past hours.
📐 Classic compression pattern, often leading to a major breakout, but no clear direction confirmed yet.
🎯 4. Short-Term Expectations
📉 Bearish Scenario:
Rejection from the 4H FVG
Drop back to the Supply Zone
Potential liquidity sweep below $3,350
📈 Bullish Scenario:
Clear break above the 4H FVG
Potential rally towards $3,500 if the FED surprises or stop-losses get hunted.
🔥 5. Upcoming Catalysts
🕰 FOMC in 2 hours: Main short-term risk factor.
💸 Powell + Rates: If rates remain unchanged with a cautious tone, gold could break out to the upside.
🔎 Immediate volume and reaction will be critical to confirm a true breakout.
✅ Conclusion
👉 Caution is advised ahead of the FOMC. The market seems ready for a sharp move in either direction, but the outcome will heavily depend on Powell's tone.
📍 Key levels to watch:
4H FVG (~$3,420)
Supply Zone (~$3,370)
Psychological $3,500 level if a bullish surprise unfolds.
Gold 100% Profit SignalGold rose strongly again today as a safe-haven, breaking the volatility and rising to the highest point of 3328. However, gold has basically not pulled back, so it is very likely that the safe-haven sentiment will be released directly, and then gold will start to adjust again. Therefore, it is not suitable to chase it at this position now. It is better to wait patiently for the opportunity to fall back. Gold may rise and fall at any time. Go short directly at 3328 in the US market!
The 4-hour moving average of gold began to turn, so the unilateral decline of gold temporarily came to an end. However, the rise of gold has reached the key resistance area in the early stage, which is the starting point of the early stage near 3330. It is obviously not appropriate to chase more at this position, so the short-term may begin to adjust, and the gold US market will be shorted near 3300. The market is changing rapidly. If gold breaks upward and does not step back, there is no opportunity to go long, so there is no need to chase more gold, and it is better to go short first to see the decline and adjustment.
Gold strategy: Suggest short at 3325-28, stop loss at 3337, target at 3308-3295-3280
GOLD SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,270.07
Target Level: 3,197.87
Stop Loss: 3,317.86
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 2h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
The bulls return strongly and continue to buy after the retracemCurrently, gold is fluctuating around 3360. Wait patiently for the opportunity to go long when it falls back. Below, we continue to pay attention to the short-term support at 3350-54, and focus on the important support at 3336-40. In terms of operation, we mainly go long on pullbacks. Be a prudent trader and take profits within your cognition. I have been waiting for your participation. If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate with me!
From the 4-hour analysis, gold bulls are making another strong impact. On the top, we pay attention to the short-term suppression of 3385-90 and the suppression of 3400. On the bottom, we pay attention to the short-term support of 3350 and the important support of 3336-40. In terms of operation, we mainly buy when the price falls back. In the middle position, we should watch more and do less, and follow orders cautiously, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Gold operation strategy:
Gold falls back to 3350-53 and buys more when it falls back to 3336-40. Stop loss 3327, target 3380-3385, and continue to hold if it breaks;
GOLD - Near to CUT n REVERSE Area? what's next??#GOLD. market perfectly bounced from our area and now market just above his current suportinga area that is around 3382-87
keep close if market holds then further bounce on table.
NOTE: we will go for cut n reverse below our region.
good luck
trade wisely
Gold 3386 is under pressure, don't worry
Gold rose rapidly today. At present, the price of gold has reached the 3386 line. There will be pressure to fill the gap and choose to bear the pressure.
Now that gold is adjusting and falling at 3386, don't rush to gamble and enter the market. Wait for time + point + harmonious position. The market will find support in an effective time. Now the effective support point of gold is about 3346/36. The price fluctuates violently. It is recommended to take a stop loss in time after entering the market to avoid a sudden accident in the market and cause unnecessary losses. Today's rising cycle can be seen in the 3400/3420 range. On the downside today, if the market changes and recovers the opening price, just wait and see. This kind of market is unlikely to occur, but if it occurs, you have to wait and see and don't be stubborn in your thoughts.
Market contradictions and potential risks:
Fed policy expectations: The market's probability of a rate cut in June has dropped to 37%. If the Fed releases hawkish signals this week, it may suppress gold prices.
ETF holdings diverge: Despite the rise in gold prices, the world's largest gold ETF (SPDR) holdings decreased by 4.87 tons, reflecting that some institutions sold off their holdings at high prices.
Geopolitical variables:
Middle East conflict escalates: If the friction between Iran and Israel intensifies, gold may hit $3,450; on the contrary, if the situation eases, the gold price may fall back to $3,300
Bank Holiday Set up🚨 High Risk Alert!
Seeing unusual volume today — already 50 pips in play from this zone. 👀
Targeting that bullish order block for a potential full reversal into higher highs & premium sell zone. 🌀
Waiting on extra confluences before pulling the trigger on a buy setup.
Let’s see what the New York open brings! 🗽📈
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