GOLD trade ideas
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 5/8/2025Gold was rejected yesterday at 3430 and went down all the way to 3360. It will be interesting to see the close of the 4hrly and 8hrly candle. If we see a rejection from 3350-3360. We may have another bull run.
If 3350-3360 is held, I will buy toward 3430 or even 3500. Otherwise, I will wait for clearer direction.
WHAT DO YOU THINK ?Hello dears
Given the regular sinusoidal trend that gold is taking, it was expected to move to the specified numbers, but don't forget that we are at a price ceiling and a sharp upward movement at the end of the upward trend can be a trap...
In case of a drop, the specified ranges are good support.
*Trade safely with us*
Gold pullback continues to see bulls
In my first article today, I reminded everyone to be careful that gold will stand above the 3300 mark again.
And I also told you to rely on 3255-50 to do more, looking at the upper 3280 and 3300 positions.
Sure enough, after the opening of the European session, gold has made rapid progress, and the highest has reached above 3300 so far.
I also notified the real-time students to enter the market and do more near 3255 during the Asian session, and directly gave the target position of 3300.
At present, the target position of 3300 has been perfectly reached, and I also made a profit of more than 55 US dollars.
From the current 4-hour chart:
It can be found that gold is now completely above the trend line.
The only suppression position above is currently around 3350.
The support below is currently located at 3275-85.
If gold does not retreat, then the upper side will directly test the suppression near 3350.
On the contrary, if gold chooses to retreat next, then just focus on 3275-85.
As long as gold retreats and stabilizes in the 3275-85 range, you can directly enter the market and go long.
Continue to look at 3350 from above. If it breaks through and stabilizes above 3350 in the future, you will see the 3380-3420 range.
XAU/USD – Rejection from Supply Zone! Gold Bears Getting Ready?Timeframe: 15min | Setup: Supply & Demand + Price Action
Gold has just tested a significant supply zone around $3,256 and is showing rejection at the highs — right within the LuxAlgo supply range. This could be a short-term top if sellers take control.
Technical Breakdown:
Supply Zone (Resistance): $3,256–$3,257
Resistance Reaction: Multiple rejections and long upper wicks = seller dominance
Next Support Levels:
Intraday: $3,234
Strong Demand: $3,210
Price Action Insight:
Sellers are clearly defending the supply area, and the repeated failure to break higher increases the chance of a pullback. If price breaks below $3,234, expect a drop toward the $3,210 demand zone.
Bearish Plan (Scalp Idea):
Entry: Below $3,234
TP: $3,210
SL: Above $3,257
Use tight risk control as volatility may increase around news (marked icons on chart).
Bullish Invalidated Unless:
Gold breaks and closes above $3,257 with strong momentum — only then might we see continuation higher.
What to watch:
US news impact on dollar
Volume on breakout/rejection
5-min confirmations for early entry
Will gold dump from here or surprise breakout? Comment below!
Follow me for daily price action and S&D setups!
#XAUUSD #GoldTrading #PriceAction #SupplyAndDemand #LuxAlgo #Forex #Commodities #ScalpSetup #TradingView #GoldAnalysis #TechnicalSetup
GOLD (XAUUSD) Short Idea (Sell Limit)As we see in technicals, there is a major support which can became resistance (SBR) and there is a descending Trendline as well.
So For XAUUSD pair, my presumption is price going up to 3271-3276 level (may spike a little bit) then go down to the Previous day Low level at least.
let's see what GOLD shows us.
If price closes 1H over 3285, then the setup is failed.
GOOD LUCK!
This is a 4H chart of XAU/USD with multiple SMC annotations. 1. Chart Analysis Using Smart Money Concepts (SMC)
SMC Structure Identified:
• Major Break of Structure (BoS): Occurred above 3,240 → confirmed bullish intent.
• Major Change of Character (CHoCH): Happened around 3,320 (last demand broken), indicating bearish shift.
• FVG (Fair Value Gap): Marked just below the last day high — partially filled and then rejected.
• Liquidity: Equal highs and lows around 3,327 and 3,200 respectively — potential liquidity targets.
⸻
2. Marked Points in Chart
• Last Day High / Low and Day High / Low are marked.
• 50% Day Range at approx. 3,274 — currently acting as intraday resistance.
• OB Zone around 3,214–3,218 (a critical support zone that may act as re-entry or rejection point).
• FVG Zone near 3,284 — unmitigated imbalance that price could revisit.
⸻
3. Swing High & Low of the Day
• Swing High: ~3,327.72 (day/session high).
• Swing Low: ~3,214.31 (day/session low).
• These define the current internal liquidity pool.
⸻
4. Trade Direction
• 4H Trend: Bearish, post CHoCH and major OB break.
• Bias: Bearish, as price is below FVG and below 50% of the daily range. OB is being respected and lower highs are forming.
• Intra-Day Opportunity: Possible short setups unless price closes strongly above 3,284–3,287 zone.
⸻
5. Best Risk-Reward Setup (Swing/Intraday)
Scenario: Price retests FVG/OB at 3,284–3,287 and rejects.
• Entry: 3,284.00 (inside FVG)
• SL: 3,288.50 (above supply zone & equal highs)
• TP1: 3,214.00 (last day low)
• TP2: 3,200.00 (liquidity sweep & OB retest zone)
• RRR:
• To TP1: ~1:3
• To TP2: ~1:4.5
⸻
6. Trade Setups by Timeframe
5-Minute Setup:
• Look for CHoCH near 3,284.00 zone.
• Entry: On bearish engulfing or internal BOS.
• SL: Above 3,288.00.
• TP: 3,214.00 (previous low).
1-Hour Setup:
• Wait for 1H candle rejection at FVG or last day’s high.
• Entry: 3,284–3,287.
• SL: 3,290.
• TP1: 3,214.00.
• TP2: 3,200.00.
4-Hour Setup:
• Use higher timeframe OB for re-entry.
• Look for price closing below 3,214.00 → opens short continuation toward 3,160 or deeper (OB at 3,100).
• Swing Trade Setup: Short from 3,284.00 → SL 3,290 → TP 3,100–3,080 (RRR: ~1:6).
⸻
7. CRT Model Evaluation
• C – Context: HTF structure shifted bearish after CHoCH; price rejected FVG and supply zones.
* R – Retracement: Price retraced into OB and FVG in premium, providing a sell opportunity.
• T – Trend Continuation: If 3,214 breaks cleanly, expect continuation toward 3,160 and possibly 3,100.
⸻
Summary
• Bias: Bearish under 3,284–3,287 zone.
• Key Levels to Watch:
• Resistance: 3,284–3,287 (FVG + OB).
• Support: 3,214–3,200 (liquidity pool + OB).
• Best Trade: Short from FVG zone on confirmation with TP at day low and deeper OBs.
GOLD - WAVE 4 CORRECTION TO $2,800 (UPDATE)We've seen a nice continuation on Gold to the downside, creating a 'BOS' at $3,260. Now that this low has been broken, we got stronger confirmation that price will carry on lower towards $2,800.
Still looking for some form of 'Simple 3 Sub-Wave (A,B,C)' or 'Complex 5 Sub-Wave (A,B,C,D,E)' correction towards our longer term buying target at $2,800📈
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3344 and a gap below at 3306. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. EMA5 is lagging below 3306 so will need a close above and then below to confirm.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3344
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3344 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3367
POTENTIALLY 3390
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3390 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3428
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3428 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3458
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3458 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3478
POTENTIALLY
3503
BEARISH TARGETS
3306
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3306 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
3285
3259
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3259 WILL OPEN THE SWING RNGE
3233
3201
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3201 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3159 - 3112
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Fibonacci Confluence Fuels Gold’s Next Rally: Wave (Y) InsightThis 4-hour chart of XAU/USD is showcasing a WXY corrective pattern, a classic double zigzag (W)-(X)-(Y) correction after a strong impulsive move
Wave (W) has topped, marking the end of the first corrective leg.
A deep correction into the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level occurred with wave (X), forming a potential higher low within the red demand zone.
Now, wave (Y) is anticipated, which typically mirrors or slightly exceeds the length of wave (W) but in a more corrective format.
Target 1: 3291.460
Target 2: 3371.282
Stop loss: 3224.711
Gold is still in a weak phaseIn terms of news: international tensions have eased recently, the United States may reduce tariffs on Chinese goods, Russia-Ukraine peace talks have made progress, market demand for hedging has weakened, and funds have shifted from gold to risk assets. At the same time, the mining agreement between the United States and Ukraine boosted the U.S. dollar in a short period of time. The U.S. dollar index strengthened and broke through the 100 mark. The appreciation of the U.S. dollar caused the relative depreciation of gold and suppressed the price.
Technical aspects: From the current market, gold is in a downward trend in the short term. In the short term, we should first pay attention to the suppression of 3260 US dollars on the top. Pay attention to the gains and losses of 3200 yesterday on the bottom. If it falls below 3200, it may further go to 3167.
Trading ideas: Short gold near 3260, stop loss 3270, target 3240
Non-agriculture ended perfectly, Today’s closing is key!📌Fundamentals:
The US April non-farm payrolls data (177,000 new jobs) exceeded expectations, reinforcing the Fed's expectations of a smaller rate cut. The market's expectations for rate cuts this year have been lowered from 90 basis points to 85 basis points, and the strengthening of the US dollar has suppressed gold prices.
📊Technical aspects:
From the 4-hour analysis, gold fell after the negative news of non-farm payrolls today, but gold bottomed out and rebounded, and continued to fluctuate. It feels that non-farm payrolls have gradually lost its charm, and the market is not as good as usual. However, today's closing is very critical, and it is also the key to whether gold will turn around. The non-farm payrolls market has basically finished, and the upper side continues to pay attention to the suppression of 3260-68, focusing on the suppression of 3290-95 above, and the short-term support near 3235-3240 below.
🎯Practical strategies:
1. Go short when gold rebounds at 3260-65, cover short positions at 3378-85, and target 3240-3245.
Gold is once again experiencing its extreme take-off trend!📌Fundamentals:
1. There are signs of escalation in the India-Pakistan conflict
2. The Fed's interest rate decision dominates this week's market
3. The international trade situation disturbs market sentiment
4. Market sentiment and capital flows
📊Technical aspects:
The 4-hour cycle still needs a wave of strength, and it needs to go out of a wave of big rises before it can open the Bollinger upper track to form an absolute unilateral strength. Therefore, although it is temporarily bullish, there is also a certain possibility of adjustment. The current 4-hour cycle support is around 3310, and the small cycle performance support is around 3350, so don't chase more.
🎯Practical strategy:
Gold pulls back to around 3365-3375 to go long, and the target is around 3400-3420.
Gold range shock , Both long and short have a chance!📌Fundamentals:
1. There are signs of escalation in the India-Pakistan conflict
2. The US-Houthi ceasefire agreement
3. The Fed's interest rate decision dominates this week's market
4. The international trade situation disturbs market sentiment
5. Market sentiment and capital flows
📊Technical aspects:
The market came out in the Asian session. It stalled again later. We are used to seeing fluctuations of hundreds of points. A fluctuation of more than ten or twenty points a day is the same as no fluctuation. At present, the market is temporarily maintained in the range of 3400-3360, and there is not much fluctuation. At present, let's see where the market breaks through. If it retreats to around 3360, follow up with long orders. If it rebounds to around 3400, follow up with short orders.
Analysis of Gold's Trend and Trading Suggestions for Next WeekAfter the release of the non-farm payrolls data, the market reacted quickly but showed a divergent trend, bringing a short-term boost to market confidence. However, the downward revision of historical data and external uncertainties still keep investors cautious. In the short term, risky assets may still have some room for growth, but in the medium to long term, downward risks are gradually accumulating.
From a technical perspective, in the 1-hour K-line chart of gold, the moving average system shows an obvious bearish arrangement with a death cross pointing downward, and each moving average continues to diverge downward, indicating that the short-term bearish force is dominant. Currently, the gold price is falling back under the pressure at the level of 3,270. Judging from the subsequent trend, around 3,270 will become a key turning point in the battle between bulls and bears for gold next week.
Although there has been a rebound in the price of gold, the rebound range is relatively limited compared to the previous decline, which further shows that the bullish force has not fully taken the upper hand. If the gold price continues to be under pressure at the level of 3,270 and fails to break through effectively next week, the market is likely to continue in a range-bound pattern. In the short term, it will be difficult for the bulls in the gold market to achieve a trend reversal. Investors need to pay close attention to the breakthrough situation of this key price level and the changes in trading volume to grasp the subsequent market trend.
XAUUSD
sell@3255-3265
tp:3240-3220
Investment itself is not risky; it is only when investment is out of control that risks occur. When trading, always remember not to act on impulse. I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate without any mistakes for a whole month. No matter what gains or losses you've had in the past, with my help, you have the hope of achieving a breakthrough in your investment.
The latest gold strategy analysis and operation guidance📌Fundamentals:
This week, the US economic data was released intensively, and ADP employment, unemployment benefits, GDP and PCE price index were all bullish, but some data showed signs of weakness after Trump's tariff policy. The unemployment rate remained the same as the previous value of 4.2%, while the expected new employment of 130,000 was significantly lower than the previous value of 228,000. The market's concerns about the cooling of the economy provided support for the gold price.
📊Technical side:
Although the 1-hour moving average is still in a dead cross short arrangement, there are signs of turning around. At the same time, after the rebound, gold began to consolidate at a high level instead of continuing to fall, so the momentum of the bears was weakened. So today's closing is critical. Today, gold fell back to around 3230 under pressure from 3270. In the short term, this is a balance range. You can see the shock in this range at night. If gold finally closes above 3270, then gold will most likely continue to rise next week. If it closes below 3240, then gold bears still have a great chance. If you want to operate in the short term, then don't chase it for the time being. Since it is a shock, you can go short first at a high level. If it breaks through 3270, then wait until next week. On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold suggests that the rebound is mainly short, and the callback is supplemented by long. The top short-term focus is on the first-line resistance of 3265-3270, and the bottom short-term focus is on the first-line support of 3200-3197.
🎯Practical strategies:
Strategy 1: Go short when gold rebounds around 3263-3266, with a target around 3230-3210.
Strategy 2: Go long when gold pulls back around 3197-3200, with a target around 3220-3230.
XAUUSD DAILY PLAN & MARKET UPDATE — APRIL 30, 2025Not predictions. Structure. Logic. Execution.
📍 What Happened:
🔻 3315–3325 SELL → Perfect rejection → Drop of 200+ pips
🔁 Retest at 3314 → Confirmed OB rejection zone
❌ 3284–3288 BUY → Invalidated, BOS clean
✅ 3260–3270 BUY → Real reaction zone. OB + FVG + full discount → Delivered bounce
👁🗨 Eyes On (Into NY Session & May 1):
3315–3325 = Decision zone
→ Break = bullish reversal
→ Rejection = new short trigger
3260–3270 = Key support. If holds = bounce continuation
3252–3244 = Next strong buy zone if 3260 fails
3350 / 3385 = Targets only if bullish breakout occurs post-news
🧠 Current Bias:
🔸 HTF Trend: Consolidation under ATH → bearish-leaning
🔹 LTF Flow: Bearish structure unless 3315 flips
🎯 Bias: Neutral-bearish → shifting bullish only above 3325
📊 KEY LEVELS TO WATCH:
Zone Type Level(s) Commentary
🔻 Resistance 3385 HTF FVG zone / reversal risk
🔻 Resistance 3350 Clean target above breakout
🔻 Resistance 3325 Final barrier before shift
🔻 Flip Zone 3315–3320 Must flip to validate bulls
🔁 Retest 3308–3312 Last OB rejection
⚖️ Mid Zone 3286–3292 Retest structure, weak
✅ Support 3260–3270 Confirmed bounce zone
🟩 Demand 3252–3244 Next high-conviction buy zone
🟢 Discount 3220–3235 Long-term OB zone
🟢 Discount 3192–3205 Extreme discount + FVG
🗓️ MACRO FOR MAY 1:
🗣️ 15:30 Trump Speech
📉 15:30 Unemployment Claims (forecast: 224K)
🏭 15:45 Final Manufacturing PMI
🏭 17:00 ISM Manufacturing PMI + Prices
⚠️ Expect high volatility. Prepare for breakout setups only after structure confirms — not before.
🎯 Final Note:
If 3315–3325 breaks cleanly → we’re heading to 3350 / 3385.
If it holds → we hunt reentry shorts with sniper precision.
This is not a place to guess. It’s where real traders wait.
—
📌 Like plans built on logic, not luck?
Drop a 🧠 if this structure helped you.
🔥 Follow if you're done with signal-chasing and ready to trade like a sniper.