VIX TO REPEAT 2016-STYLE CALMNESS THROUGH 2023History does not repeat but ryhmes.
The example below is VIX today vs VIX 2016.
See any similarity? We believe equities will go higher!
-Signalwyse Team
VIX trade ideas
Long VIXI know many do not like to do any TA on VIX. This is just my observation. Its getting tight and we should see a big move ether up or down. Considering the current macro environment ...you guess it right!!
Anyway, if you look at the chart, VIX has been steadily going higher since 2018.
Using $VIX to measure Volatility in $SPY I'm sure many of you already know TVC:VIX (Volatility Index of the S&P 500) correlates to AMEX:SPY (the S&P 500 micro index). For those who don't and those who do, this is my up to date VIX chart. Please comment what you think! But the general idea is that...
When TVC:VIX goes up, AMEX:SPY goes down
When TVC:VIX goes down, AMEX:SPY goes up
This is just one of the many comparisons I take into account when trying to gain a sense of market structure. Never use just one indication or signal to determine a trade. I also like to look at AMEX:SPY vs TVC:DXY (US Dollar). The general idea is that...
When TVC:DXY goes up, AMEX:SPY / stocks go down
When TVC:DXY goes down, AMEX:SPY / stocks go up
Again, its important to have multiple things indicating the SAME signal offering high conviction trade ideas. And these "ideas" should be thought of in a way of PROBABILITIES not PREDICTIONS with a predetermined set stop-loss and profit target.
Pay attention to market events and released data, especially the TIME those data reports come out. I honestly look at AMEX:SPY and TVC:VIX multiple times throughout the week, I do not have them side-by-side during my active trading as they don't perfectly mirror each other on any time frame. It's meant more for a larger timeframe (1H or higher) outlook and trying to gain a broader sense of sentiment in the market.
On that note..
Happy Trading !!
- E
TVC:VIX AMEX:SPY TVC:DXY
VIX BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello,Friends!
VIX is making a bullish rebound on the 1D TF and is nearing the resistance line above while we are generally bearish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following short a good option for us with the target being the 12.64 level.
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VIX Short ScenarioMost likely scenario, VIX daily tends to move in channels unless there are external events.
Thanks,
VIX Long Scenariothe daily structure today may be following the daily structure in March (denoted by the yellow lines). If this is true, we may be looking at another short term spike in VIX.
Thanks.
VIX: Minor 1Recently heard an interview with Mark Newton where he predicted a 30-52% rise in the VIX in August. These targets are Red and Green. I think it could get higher, but agree that this target range is solid bet.
Best, CUZ
VIX BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello,Friends!
The BB upper band is nearby so VIX is in the overbought territory. Thus, despite the uptrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bearish reaction from the resistance line above and a move down towards the target at around 14.08.
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Volatility S & P 500 Index Next MovePair : Volatility S & P 500 Index
Description :
Completed " 123 " Impulsive Wave
C & H
Bullish Channel in Short Time Frame as an Correction
Fibonacci Level - 78.60% / 100%
Demand Zone
VIX will reverse - Rejection from trendlineThe VIX has hit a major resistance line dating back Nov 2017! It will be impossible to breach IMO.
Volatility is about to go back down in a major way.
Time Makes Fools Of Us All...This statement is especially true if you look at the leftover Chinese
food in my refridgerator.
Looking to go long around 08/14 to 08/16 - it may fill that open gap below
at $14.15 before it resumes it's moon journey.
Eyeballing the 09/20 $14.50 to $15 calls - depending where we are at on the
aforementioned days. Remember 08/16 is FOMC.
Really no clear signal at the moment and I am not trusting this market right
now. Just like how I do not trust eating that Kung Pow chicken in my fridge.
GLTA
Volatility to the roof?It's a clear W pattern, if volatility keeps rising we have high probability of spike up.
This may not be tradable for most, like me, but is an indicator of possible breakdown for the indexes like the S&P and Nasdaq.
Keep an eye on it and trade reactive and not predictive.
Go Vix Go!Stalin said that imposing Communism on Roman Catholic Poland was as absurd as putting a saddle on a cow.
Can't stop thinking about Black Sea blockade
Can't stop thinking about Poland and Lithuania amassing at the border
Can't stop thinking about Ukraine/Russia war escalation
Can't stop thinking about Hunter Biden's huge penis
Loaded - 08/16 $14 calls
VIX BREAKOUT LONGVIX broke out of the narrowing bullish wedge so we are now bullish biased and after the pullback and retest we are likely to see a further move up.
VIX Strong Breakout! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
VIX made a bullish
Breakout and the breakout
Is confirmed so I think
That it will go further up
Buy!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
Should I watch Oppenheimer or Barbie?F*ck that - gonna watch the Vix buy signal on the weekly.
Usually lasts for 2 to 4 weeks. Lets see what happens by Friday.
Fitch downgraded US Credit because of Jan 6th Riots?
Theres like a 100 more things on top of that incident
that I can think of that warrants a downgrade.....
✅VIX BULLISH BREAKOUT BREAKOUT|LONG🚀
✅VIX broke out of the
Narrowing bullish wedge
So we are now bullish biased
And after the pullback and
Retest we are likely to
See a further move up
LONG🚀
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Until the VIX breaks this level, it remains range-boundA quick look at our VIX chart shows us that we are range-bound since June. Exactly, as I expected and have stated numerous times in past posts. But now, with the U.S. credit rating downgrade, fear has spiked. Will we break this range and move up? We could, yes. But to do so, we need the VIX to move above that 15.94 level with confirmation. As of today, the VIX can still be technically classified as range-bound at all time 2-year lows. Of course, when the VIX remains low, the market will remain relatively positive. This is bullish.
Stay tuned for further updates here.
Stew
Swing to the downside for 2-3 weeksVIX in the process of creating its local rounded bottom. Could be a nice opportunity to breakdown late longs and leverage, revisit trendline or (at worst?) yearly open.
VIXUsing vix to detect cycles. Vix enters periods of bull cycles where it grinds up consistently at lower volatility levels, at mid range theres a long swings/sideways actions punctuated by black crashes that spike volatility.
Given where we are today I think grinding up is likely to continue.
