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VIX Analysis Extensive Analysis of the Volatility S&P 500 Index (VIX) Chart (1-hour timeframe) Overview The chart for the Volatility S&P 500 Index (VIX) on the 1-hour timeframe shows a significant downward movement, testing key support levels. The indicators used include Moving Averages, Bollinger Bands, Commodity Channel Index (CCI), MACD, and Support and Resistance levels. Key Observations 1. Moving Averages (200 MA and 50 MA): • 200 MA (Green Line): The price is currently below the 200 MA, indicating a bearish long-term trend. • 50 MA (Blue Line): The price is also below the 50 MA, reinforcing the short-term bearish sentiment. 2. Bollinger Bands: • The price is at the lower Bollinger Band, indicating oversold conditions in the short term. This often suggests a potential for a mean reversion back to the middle band (20 MA). 3. Commodity Channel Index (CCI): • The CCI is likely below -100, indicating oversold conditions. This suggests a potential for a short-term rebound or consolidation. 4. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): • The MACD line is below the signal line, and the histogram is showing increasing negative values, indicating strong bearish momentum. 5. Support and Resistance Levels: • Resistance Zones: Strong resistance is seen around 13.00, 13.50, and the strong high zone above. • Support Zones: The recent low at 12.00 is marked as a weak low, with further support around 11.50. Comprehensive Technical Analysis 1. Current Trend: • The overall trend is bearish, as confirmed by the price being below both the 50 MA and 200 MA. 2. Oversold Conditions: • The CCI below -100 and the price position at the lower Bollinger Band indicate that the market is currently oversold. This suggests a potential for a short-term rebound or consolidation. 3. Volume: • Increased volume during the sell-off indicates strong selling pressure, but this could also lead to short-term exhaustion, potentially triggering a rebound. 4. Key Support and Resistance Levels: • Resistance: Significant resistance levels start from 13.00 to 13.50 and above. • Support: The recent low at 12.00 is a critical support level, with further support around 11.50. 5. Momentum Analysis: • The MACD indicates strong bearish momentum, but the oversold conditions in the CCI suggest this might not last long without a correction. Best Trade Opportunity Given the current market conditions, the best trade opportunity appears to be a short-term buy trade to take advantage of the oversold conditions and potential for a rebound. Trade Setup: • Buy Level: Around 12.24 (current level near the weak low) • Stop Loss: Below 12.00 (to account for potential further downside) • Take Profit: • First target: 13.00 (near the first resistance level) • Second target: 13.50 (middle resistance level) • Extended target: 14.00 (upper resistance level) Trade Rationale: • Oversold Indicators: Both the CCI and the price at the lower Bollinger Band suggest that the market is oversold and due for a potential rebound. • Risk-Reward Ratio: Entering a buy position near 12.24 offers a favorable risk-reward ratio, especially with a tight stop loss just below the recent low. • Volume Consideration: Increased volume during the recent sell-off indicates potential exhaustion, which might lead to a short-term rebound. Summary • Buy Opportunity: Enter at 12.24 with a stop loss below 12.00. • Targets: 13.00 (first target), 13.50 (second target), and 14.00 (extended target). • Rationale: The market is currently oversold, and the potential for a rebound is high given the CCI and Bollinger Bands indicators.
TVC:VIX
by KironKavanagh
VIX Remains Rangebound ....for nowThe VIX remains rangebound and in very good territory all things considering geopolitically and globally. No one can predict the future with 100% certainty but as long as there isn’t any earth-shattering news, fear will probably remain low, given the exception of U.S. election shenanigans coming up. Be aware here that my prediction is that at the last second (and really when it is far too late) they will pull Biden out of the race. Many will not be expecting this (though, I am astounded at how they will not) and it will cause massive volatility in our markets again before settling down. But we have all summer and into the fall before we begin to see some of this occur.
TVC:VIX
by stewdamus
VIX soars after hitting levels unseen since November 2019After returning to a level unseen since November 2019, the Volatility S&P 500 Index (VIX) soared nearly 30% within a matter of seven days. In the process, it broke above the resistance indicated by the lower bound of the fan pattern that we have been observing since late December 2023. On top of that, yesterday, VIX formed an opening gap, and today another one. Illustration 1.01 Above is the daily graph of the Volatility S&P 500 Index (VIX). The yellow arrow indicates a breakout through the lower bound of the fan pattern, acting previously as resistance and now as support. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:VIX
by Tradersweekly
2
I don't want to be pessimistic, but caution would be good!The Volatility Index of the S&P 500 (VIX) is a very good indicator of reversals in the S&P. - If the red trend line is broken, the trend can change. - The VIX has reached a new all-time low since 2019. - On the 3-line indicator, the mid-trend and long-trend lines crossed bullish, which means the VIX can go up and will send the S&P down (orange line). - It shows a rare bullish signal on the chart, which is bearish for the S&P. If the VIX reverses, we could see a situation similar to December 2021. I don't want to be pessimistic, but caution is advisable.
TVC:VIXLong
by ValerianK
Schiff show: VIX gap filled.Volatility is near record lows. Low VIX is often associated with market tops. 0day options have been pushing VIX down further than normal though. Judging from the many solid candles on the monthly chart, the month often closes near tops and bottoms. So there should be plenty of time. The writing is on the wall. But it would not be surprising to see stock prices remain elevated, with correspondingly low VIX, until June 3 or later. Caption: Using the auto pitchfork indicator and choosing Schiff pitchfork reveals alignment with the gap.
TVC:VIX
by Hellork
4
VIX to $17 Soon for another key trend line resistance test!Ensure you hedge your trades and know your maximum loss and profit, especially if you have limited funds to dollar cost average or are trading options. For informational and educational purposes only, I prefer buying laddered call options on UVIX (1.5x), VXX (1x), and UVXY (2x) at sub-$13 levels over 2-4 weeks that align with my long "risk on" call expirations. This way, I can sell the pops and use the proceeds to add to my most committed "risk on" positions. Good luck! @candlestickninjatv
TVC:VIXLong
by candlestickninja
VIX back to $20?With economists celebrating the "goldilocks economy" and VIX breaking below the lower bound of the pattern, the big question lingers: "Is this another fakeout before resurgence to $20?" Illustration 1.01 The yellow arrow indicates a breakout below the lower bound of the pattern we have been observing since its early formation. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:VIXLong
by Tradersweekly
6
Market Cycles Buy and Sell Zones Benner's Prophecies on Volatil Benner's Prophecies on Volatility The chart you've shared uses a combination of historical data and predictive models, specifically focusing on Benner's prophecies, to suggest when to buy and sell in the market. Here's a simplified explanation based on what your chart illustrates: Buy Zones Buy zones are indicated by the green shaded areas. These are periods where the historical data or predictive models suggest that market volatility is low and prices may be at a trough or more stable, making it potentially a good time to purchase assets. According to your chart, upcoming buy zones are highlighted with phrases like "YES YES BUY ZONE," suggesting a strong endorsement for buying during these periods. Sell Zones Sell zones are shown in red shaded areas. These suggest times when the market is potentially at a peak or there's high volatility, indicating that it might be a wise decision to sell your holdings to either take profits or avoid a downturn. The chart marks specific years like 2019, 2035, and other highlighted points with "SELL" to denote these periods. Benner’s Prophecies Benner's prophecies are a historical predictive model that uses past market cycles to forecast future ups and downs. Samuel Benner was a farmer turned market forecaster who, after experiencing financial loss in the 1870s, developed a cyclical theory based on pig iron production cycles. His broader application to financial markets aims to predict high and low years based largely on economic cycles. According to Benner’s cycles, markets would experience a patterned recurrence in peaks and troughs, which are used in your chart to predict future market movements. How to Use This Chart for Trading Decisions: Identify the Zones: Look at the current year and compare it to the chart to see if it falls within a green or red zone. Consider Market Conditions: Even though the chart provides years labeled as buy or sell, always consider current market conditions, news, and other analyses before making a decision. Plan Accordingly: If you are nearing a red zone, plan to review your investments and possibly take profits or reduce exposure. Conversely, in a green zone, you might look for undervalued investments to acquire. Monitor Regularly: Market conditions can change rapidly, and while historical models provide a guide, they are not infallible. Regular monitoring and adjustment of your strategies are crucial. By understanding these elements, you can use the chart to make more informed decisions about when to buy and sell based on historical patterns and predicted future market behavior.
CBOE:VIX
by SoaringWave