CELUSD Analysis June 21, 2022We are currently getting Bullish signals on Celsius Network, CEL , but these past few weeks have us a little bit hesitant placing a trade with Celsius. This is the most important difference and benefit between the Algorithmic Engineer that we use and the other crypto bots, we can sometimes decide to hold off on a trade if we are NOT fundamentally ready. We have the Buy indicators from the Engineer but are below the Daily and Weekly Downtrend Lines, we remain fundamentally and psychologically Bearish on CEL for the time being. The value was down over 90% since the Sell signals in April and over 95% since the All Time High. Even with the current turbulence at Celsius, those price levels were gobbled up!
We continue to keep a close eye on Celsius and hope that they #unbank themselves sooner than later. Not Financial Advice...Trade with Confidence and Control.
CELPERP trade ideas
Celsius Token Showing Bullish Bias. Potential 90% Gains Celsius Token is getting an infusion. It seems the powers that be are smiling upon it and don't want it to die. It has come out of an Adam & Eve double-bottom reversal and has consolidated into a classic neckline retest after killing a battery of shorts poised to see it go belly up. If it marks up, we can expect a 90-100% (1.618-2 Fib) propulsion to bring the PA back up to dollar territory.
Why Celsius Crashed 98.83% from ATH? | #btc #web3 #crypto #defi Celsius Network - A Liquidity Crisis:
The CEL | Celsius token is affiliated with the lending platform Celsius Network.
A liquidity crisis at cryptocurrency lending firm Celsius may cause a broader contagion that could bring down other major players in the market.
Celsius Network halted withdrawals and transfers, amid an apparent liquidity crisis, as the price of Bitcoin plunged to pre-pandemic levels.
Celsius promises high-yield returns on customer deposits, appears to be the latest crypto company to buckle under tightening financial conditions - One month after the collapse of the Terra-Luna stablecoin network.
CEO Alex Mashinsky said: "This is a difficult moment; your patience and support mean the world to us."
" One user who responded to Maskinsky's post had a simple message:
Don't let me down.
Henry wrote:
"I had 45 ETH which I was saving for my new house. I'm crying and praying to God that I will be able to get that money out. It took four years and me working 100 hours every week to save. Can't sleep."
My heart goes to everyone who are current denied access to their crypto assets on Celsius Network.
Analysis:
The Celsius cryptocurrency has lost Celsius 98.83% from ATH of its value amid a major collapse that has wiped billion of dollars from the crypto market.
Caution:
Celsius token is currently high risk!
Noteworthy:
Do not forget the historical wise saying, "Never invest more than you can afford to lose."
Not a financial advise, I suggest using this only as a guide - Do your own research.
If you have any questions, kindly write in comments below - I will answer them.
Kindly support this idea with your like and comment, thank you.
Celsius Price Analysis — June 13CEL tumbled by over 82% over the past 24 hours, falling from the $0.500 top to the $0.090 low yesterday. The lending protocol crypto has now tapped its lowest point on record. The emerging developments triggered a market-wide liquidation, with the total crypto market valuation shedding over 12% in the last 24 hours.
Notably, trading conditions are still not in overheated conditions, posing the possibility of a gap close to the $0.090 in the coming hours. However, Celsius could see heavy accumulation at this level as traders pick it up at a discount. With the broader market sentiment steeped in bearish territory, a meaningful bullish rebound appears out of reach in the meantime.
Meanwhile, my resistance levels are at $0.250, $0.350, and $0.500, and my support levels are at $0.150, $0.100, and $0.090.
Total Market Capitalization: $969.9 billion
Celsius Market Capitalization: $47 billion
Market Rank: #359
Celsius (CEL) - broken market structure - bear marketOn the above 10-day chart price action has appreciated 15000% in the last 22 months. Had thought there was more, however a significant break of market structure says otherwise, we can’t ignore that.
Beyond the break of market structure the 21-week EMA (yellow line has just crossed down the 50-week EMA (blue line), this is extraordinarily bearish. The same was true in reverse when they crossed up, look left.
Lastly the Gaussian channel on the 4-day chart (below). Price action just fell out the bottom of the channel following a change to bearish colour, red. Nothing ever good will happen when price action falls out the bottom of the channel on this time frame.
Is it possible price action continue to move up? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
A sell from $3.50 is amazing but super risky.
Targets? $2 for starters once the head and shoulders neckline was broken. Beyond that 47 cents is the next level to offer support.
Good luck!
WW
4-day chart - Price action falls out of Gaussian channel bottom.
Celsius (CEL) Short Predicted! With all of the recent Celsius drama going on (their insolvency and halting withdrawals), I'm going to cover some TA that predicted this short and could've saved you some money.
Looking at the 3D chart we can see a few things. First, I have the Whales buy-sell indicator and the VMC Cipher B. We can see CEL is clearly in a downtrend by the teal line I drew that's being respected as resistance every step of the way. Secondly, the purple lines are weekly support that are continuously being broken.
The Whales buy-sell indicator is great for predicting trends and is something I used in conjunction with the trendline resistance. You can see that multiple times whenever we came up to the trendline resistance, we also received a "Sell" signal. This caused me to enter shorts along the way and ignore any bullish signals I received. It's also more powerful when you receive a red dot on the VMC indicator AND a "Sell" signal at the same time (as highlighted near the beginning of 2022). This price action reminds me of LUNA and I'm not longing CEL at all, especially since I believe the coin will go to 0 soon because of their issues.
Both indicators, combined with my TA of trendline resistance and horizontal S/R helped keep me in my short positions and save money.
If you have any questions on the indicators I used or my TA, please leave a comment below or send me a DM :)
CONSIDER THE PLAYERS AND THE TIMELINES AND DECIDE FOR YOURSELF WAS CELSIUS overleveraged ?
Why stETH and ETH "peg" breaking should cause you to worry.
2/x - stETH is a form of Lido Staked ETH. Upon the merge happening, if nothing goes wrong - it should be redeemable for ETH with some amount of staking yield included.
3/x Hence, stETH in a post merge era can be priced like a short dated forward. However, prior to the merge, it is more like an illiquid vault of ETH
4/x There are already many threads out there talking about the mechanics of stETH/ETH. What i will expound further is the mechanics of the players in this stETH/ETH trades
5/x Enter the delta-neutral traders. A few months back, one of the most popular trades was to borrow ETH at ~2% and conduct recursive farming or to do some form of stETH. This is because stETH was generating ~4% of yields and on a giant loan book, stETH was one of the few ways
6/x - to efficiently "generate" yield on ETH. There were few other real opportunities to utilize ETH. As such, behemoths like Celsius went tits long into this trade. But not only celsius. Take a good hard look at any big entities with loan books.
7/x In doing so, these entities have created a gigantic asset-liability mismatch. Luna and UST was a situation of solvency. stETH/ETH is a situation of liquidity. That does not mean that the stETH/ETH situation is any less serious than the LUNA collapse
8/x - given that in 2008, what we had was also a crisis of liquidity and confidence. The stETH is there, but the asset/liability mismatch in these lenders have created a situation where they are forced to sell - just like LFG in LUNA
9/x - these lenders are long illiquid ETH and owe liquid ETH that can be withdrawn at any time. Should they stop withdrawals, they risk sparking a greater crisis of confidence and a bank run. Given the giant loan books that these entities run -
10/x - stETH/ETH going to 0.9 will create serious pain. This is because assets just got marked down by 10% while liabilities stay the same. Lenders naturally have "thin" equity cushions vs the assets they run.. - this is how a crisis of illiquidity becomes a crisis of solvency.
11/x why should we care? This is because there is a few bn of stETH out there. There is not enough demand for stETH or illiquid ETH. Look at the discounts in GBTC and ETHE. There will be mark to market losses inflicted on players. He who panics first, panics best.
12/x ultimately, panic selling in stETH will lead to selling in ETH and drag down the broader crypto complex. We already have macro headwinds, these structural selling flows will exacerbate the crisis. In my opinion we will see a repeat of march 2020.
13/x - When lenders like Celsius collapse - they trigger contagion in the ecosystem as they have a complicated web of transactions with other players. Counter party risk becomes real. Credit shrinks - loans have to be repaid and assets have to be sold for dollars.
14/x the ultimate impact if celsius goes under is indeterminate...but crypto prices will definitely be much lower as the flow of money exits the system. Stay safe.
15/x - Also Celsius is probably insolvent. Lets run the numbers together. Celsius has an asset base of ~5bn. Typical borrower lenders have an equity cushion of 5%. That brings Celsius to 125m in equity.
16/x - Celsius has about 700k in stETH. At 0.95, that's a hit of 56m in mtm value. If stETH/ETH goes to 0.9, Celsius will have gone from a crisis of illiquidity to insolvency.
17/x - He who panics first, panics best. There is no upside in holding any assets with celsius. Get out if you can.
twitter.com
Desperately defending the USD 2 levelSome are desperately trying to defend the USD 2 support.
Despite the weekly burn of tokens, the price vs USD continues to decline. The amount of outstanding tokens simply is way too large vs the amount of tokens burnt even if the company would grow tenfold.
The 6 amigos elected by the company have yet to make an impact - come up with a new service benefiting the token. The new C-levels haven't made any impact yet neither.
During yesterday's AMA they elaborated how difficult and time consuming it is to launch a credit card, spending extensive time on the design. When in fact people are interested in its features. And even Litecoin, with just a handful of volunteers, has a credit card out for more than a year, linking the Litecoin wallet with Visa.
Once the SEC fine or settlement is announced / public, CEL most likely will tank to USD 0.43 or even lower. BlockFi paid USD 100 mln for their non-registered investment account. Celsius had an unregistered investment rewards account AND unregistered security. Realistically the fine shall be much higher and possibly fining the founders as well.
this type af alts r looking tempting... not yet not yetnow that Cel is back Down from the clouds with the rest of mortal she is looking tempting. lets see how this week n weekend shake out. Buy ops in bound AAVE SOL MATIC DOT ALGO ADA ALGO YFI yearnprojects from pickle to fantom CRV MKR COSMOS ETH ETH ETH BTC BTC SUSHI UNISWAP ZKS 1INCH SAND ENJ MANA n more
Celsius Ready Sooni always liked Celsius project as loan platform. The waves are regular in uptrend and also in Downtrend. CEL Token seems to not have been manipulated at all.
As you can see in the chart Celsius Went up for 134 Days, and now we are near 134 Days Down.
As traders we always have to wait the good momentums to buy and no rush, no fomo, just have patience. We buy the Dip or We wait for Breakout.
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Trading Parts :
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Buy Zone : 6.05 ( Wait for a Breakout )
TP1 : 7.9$ (ATH)
TP2 : 9.9$ ( at 10$ Celsius will unlock more tokens to distribute to the team, so... drop before 10$! )
STOP : 4.9$
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Stay Safe play wisely, and follow TheKing moves.
Happy Tr4Ding !
Celsius / USD - Hanging manFollowing a 14,000% rally and overbought condition (green column) price action is now indicating a strong reversal is about to occur. Why?
1) Stochastic RSI crossing down 80 on the above 3-day chart. The Stochastic RSI is also crossing down on the weekly (not shown here).
2) Hanging man candle. This reversal candle is confirmed by:
a) A rally
b) Sellers close price action lower into exhausted buyers.
c) Following candle closes lower as sellers move in.
3) Money Flow Index (MFI) (the bottom oscillator) has become resistance following months of support. Time to get out.
The 21-weekly moving average (bull market support) is at $2.50 at this moment in time.
1st target is $2.50
Celsius (CEL) to $12On the above 1-day chart price action breaks out of resistance following a 40% correction that began in early June. A number of reasons now exist to be bullish. They include:
1) RSI resistance becomes support following the ‘Incredible buy’ signals. Those signals indicate there is a high degree of probability of an upside move.
2) Price action prints a higher low on the 0.618 golden ratio.
3) The more exciting bullish case is on the 10-day chart (below). Price action has been struggling since the start of the year at $5.62. Something significant occurred in the last month.
3a) Price action came down to the annual EMA (green line) and confirmed as support.
3b) A Dragonfly fly DOJI / hammer candle was printed. On the 10-day chart. This shows support for this level is very strong. This candle was printed on the other side of resistance!!
3c) Stochastic RSI crosses up 20 following an extended period since the 80 cross down. Excellent.
1st target $7.60
2nd target $12
3rd target - working on it…
Good luck!
WW
The 10-day chart.
Celsius / Ethereum - Bullish divergenceOn the above daily chart price action has corrected 50% with a ‘incredible buy’ opportunity illuminated. Now is time to be bullish. Why?
1) Price action breaks out of resistance with a ‘W’ in price action forming.
2) Bullish divergence. Price action prints lower lows while the oscillators print higher lows. In fact 9 oscillators are now showing positive divergence with price action, look left!
On the 4-day chart below:
3) Price action prints a Dragonfly DOJI candle. Fantastic.
4) Stochastic RSI crosses up 20.
Is it possible price action falls further? Sure.
Is it probable? Very unlikely.
A buy from 0.0015 ETH is fantastic.
Good luck!
WW
PS: Have moved the decennial point to the right two extra points to allow display of the full Ethereum fraction, i.e. 0.16180 instead of 0.0016.
4-day chart - Dragonfly DOJI
cel pops with rest of market and the fudd bag hold narritive is great spot to begin n take some profits. with cel n prob in general ya all
this narrative is def something that is feeling could be in a few weeks or tomorrow. either way the bag hold is in progress as institutional money wips retail money into a fomo must have crypto frenzy
the best defi n dex alts will be attacked thro weird stories that get way more play then they normaly would but in this case this will put pressure on uniswap to kyc which would literally kill the whole idea of uniswap. they can transition and ask for kyc even insentivise but force wont happen cant happen or death of uni. (i personally trade on zks L2 dex but thats me with some L2 v3 uni 1inch etc beincrypto.com
just be ready ya all cuz they wants to play they wants our defi esp crypto
even cell wants to run as the market lop sides towards eth eth 5.85ish up 6 is where this one will give u trouble but a clean break with most cel leveraged against that could be its up for grabs after bUT if she dont go cel is on a bit of a cliff n i loveeeeee this hodl
General crypto Market info_
coinpare.io coinmarketcap.com www.coingecko.com
news aggregator/crypto news feed n more_
cryptopanic.com
all things crypto market announcements etc calendar_
coinmarketcal.com
wallet tracker_
app.zerion.io
Eth wei_gas tracker_
txstreet.com
dex’s we use:
app.1inch.io
uniswap.org
zks.app
1inch snx uniswap
zks
matic
fantom/ YFI aave mkr aave comp defi in general u cant miss
Voyager vgx
Bch e cash
Thore chain n rune token
Ada occ launch pad n more
sushi 1inch snx uni yfi DYOR n TAKE PROFITS