USOIL, Daily
Oil prices rose slightly after recent losses, driven by a more positive market tone and a weaker dollar, though concerns over weak Chinese demand and a potential oil surplus in 2024 continued to weigh on the outlook. The market has been volatile due to ongoing tensions in the Middle East and Russia’s intensified strikes on Ukraine while the U.S. is considering easing restrictions on Ukraine’s use of American-made weapons, potentially escalating the conflict further. At the same time, China’s slowing economy is affecting demand, and higher supplies from the U.S. and OPEC+ contribute to expectations of an oversupply next year.
On the technical side, the price is currently trading at a major technical support area which consists of an area of price reaction in late September and late October around the $66.8 price area. The Stochastic oscillator is in the extreme oversold levels hinting that there might be a bullish correction coming up in the near short term while the Bollinger bands are starting to expand showing that volatility might be starting to tick up. These indications might be pointing to a bullish scenario in the upcoming sessions with the first area of possible resistance laying around the $70 area which consists of the psychological resistance of the round number as well as an area of price reaction in mid-late October.
