Breakout in long term but pullback short termMultiple bearish divs forming on short term long term big breakout, needs to retest and validate this move expecting pullback today.by Csr_1138110
ETH 2317 Long. The coin came to the upper levelEntry Level: Monitor ETH at the current level of 2306.52. Add it to your watchlist and look for a familiar trading pattern or entry signal. Targets: 1st Target: 2396 2nd Target: 2565 Leverage: Use a leverage range of 20-50X for this trade. Stop Short: This suggests having a plan for exiting the position, especially if the price action doesn't move as expected. Make sure to manage risk carefully, especially with high leverage, and adjust your stop-loss according to your risk tolerance. Happy trading, and keep an eye on the market movements!Longby BuySellStyle_englUpdated 10
Z-Score & Smart Money Management to Reduce LossesHow to Use Z-Score for Smarter Trading Strategies In trading, success often depends on your ability to predict market movements and manage your capital efficiently. One of the tools that can give traders an edge is the Z-score, a statistical measure that helps identify patterns in win and loss streaks. This article breaks down what the Z-score is, how it works in trading, and how you can use it to optimize your strategies. What is Z-Score in Trading? In simple terms, Z-score measures the distance between an observed outcome (like a win or loss) and the average result in a set of data. In the context of trading, this data set typically represents your wins and losses over time. The Z-score is most commonly found in the range of -3 to +3, with higher scores indicating a greater probability of consecutive wins followed by losses, and lower scores representing more random, unpredictable outcomes. A high Z-score suggests that your trading strategy is likely to go through a series of wins, followed by a series of losses . This information can help you adjust your capital allocation and manage risk better. Conversely, a low Z-score points to a more chaotic trading environment where wins and losses alternate with little predictability. How Z-Score Can Improve Your Trading Decisions 1 • Understanding Random vs. Strategic Trading Traders who act without a strategy tend to experience unpredictable results — one win here, one loss there. This type of trading is driven by randomness and typically has a low Z-score, meaning there is no clear pattern of consecutive wins or losses. On the other hand, traders who use strategic approaches — like the ones developed by SOFEX —tend to see more predictable outcomes. These strategies often have a higher Z-score, signaling that you can expect a string of wins, followed by a string of losses. 2 • Capital Management Based on Z-Score The Z-score provides crucial insights into when to adjust your capital. The general rule of thumb is: • After a streak of wins, reduce your capital. The Z-score indicates that a loss is likely to follow after a series of wins. • After a loss or streak of losses, increase your capital, as a win is statistically more likely to follow. For example, if you start with $1,000 and win multiple times in a row, your first instinct might be to increase your capital to $2,000 or even $3,000. However, this is where most traders make a critical mistake . Based on the Z-score model, it's better to decrease your capital after consecutive wins, as losses are statistically imminent. Conversely, increase your capital after a loss to benefit from the upcoming win streak. 3 • Avoid Overconfidence After Wins Traders often fall into the trap of increasing their stake after a series of wins, assuming that the market will continue to favor them. However, the Z-score suggests that after 3-5 wins, you should lower your risk and decrease the amount you're trading. By doing so, you protect your profits from the losses that typically follow a winning streak. 4 • How to Apply This in Practice Let’s walk through a typical trading scenario: You start with $1,000. You win multiple trades, so you might be tempted to increase your capital. However, if you understand the Z-score, you’ll know that after several wins, a loss is likely coming soon . Instead of increasing capital, reduce your stake, say, to $500 or $800. When the inevitable loss comes, you’ve minimized your risk. After this loss, you can now increase your capital back to $1,500 or $2,000, as the Z-score suggests that a win streak is more probable after a loss. By following this approach, you avoid major losses after a win streak, and you’re well-positioned to capitalize on the next string of wins. Key Takeaways for Traders • Z-score predicts patterns in trading, with high Z-scores indicating win streaks followed by losses, and low Z-scores indicating a more random, unpredictable pattern. • After consecutive wins, lower your capital to protect your profits, as losses are statistically likely to follow. • After consecutive losses, increase your capital to take advantage of the upcoming win streak. Managing your capital based on Z-score predictions allows you to minimize losses and maximize profits, even during market fluctuations. Final Thoughts Trading is as much about managing risk as it is about making profits. The Z-score strategy can help traders anticipate win and loss streaks, allowing them to adjust their capital allocation more effectively. By following this model, you can protect yourself from large losses and make smarter decisions about when to scale up or down your trades. In summary, to optimize your trading: • Lower capital after multiple wins to avoid large losses. • Increase capital after losses to take advantage of win streaks. Implementing these strategies based on the Z-score will not only improve your trading outcomes but also help you build long-term, sustainable profitability. So the next time you're riding a win streak, remember: it's not the time to increase your stake—it's time to strategically lower it and lock in your profits. View our video on the subject here . Thank you for reading. Read our article on the Kelly Criterion in the Related Ideas section! Z-Score diagram taken from EarnForex .Educationby sofex4
Eth Look Like Bullish move incomingETH is fomring a bullish structure look like Eth is bullish for Q4 so go for it according to you risk and i have placed my buystop orderLongby Crypto_Byte9Updated 3
ETHUSDTWhat will happen in couple off days with these 'positive' rate cut? Don't open before confirmation for uptrend! NFALongby Winniecash118
ETH Gameplan for the week Continuation protocol On a daily basis, I'm working with a bearish BIAS. I’d like to see a run to the high from Friday the 6th. Maybe tomorrow with CPI, to take buy stops and then distribute in the direction of the HTF bias. Shortby NarcotikTUpdated 226
Ethereum longEthereum bounced off the ascending trendline and bounced off the support level. Bullish movement to resistance level at 2385 is expected to happen.Longby Cryptobees_buzz3
2024-09-18 ETHUSDT The current market trend is still downward, pay attention to the opportunity to continue short selling in the evening correction Shortby adolphs1
Ethereum (ETH): Good Rejection Happened So FarEthereum made a nice rejection from our resistance, where a re-test of it can be considered a successful one. We are now looking for further pressure towards our lower target zone! Swallow Team Shortby SwallowPremium115
Ethereum (ETH): Sellers Are Slowly Taking Control Near SupportSellers are back at pressuring the support zone, where we are slowly entering the phase of breaking this zone. We are still waiting for a full breakdown but we are pretty optimistic about the break that should happen so keep your full attention in the current zone! Swallow Team Shortby SwallowPremium113
Still holding the short grid future bot in order Still holding the short BINANCE:ETHUSDT grid future bot in order 381 tardes made target remains the same Shortby Dutch_Crypto_King19820
ETHUSDT.1DIn my current analysis of the Ethereum/USDT daily chart, I observe several technical indicators and chart patterns that influence my trading strategy. As of the latest data, Ethereum is trading at approximately $2,351.80, reflecting a positive change of 2.44% on the day. The chart reveals Ethereum is navigating within a downward trend channel, highlighted by the consecutive lower highs and lower lows, which suggests a prevailing bearish sentiment in the market. This is further supported by the descending red trendline, marking a significant resistance point that Ethereum has struggled to overcome. Focusing on the support (S1) and resistance levels (R2, R3, R4), it's evident that Ethereum has recently tested and failed to breach the resistance at $3,019.87 (R2). If Ethereum attempts to recover, the next critical resistance level to watch is $4,082.68 (R4), which aligns with previous highs. The Fibonacci retracement levels, drawn from the high in May to the recent low, indicate that the 0.618 retracement level at $3,019.87 (R2) has served as a significant barrier. A sustained move above this level could signal a potential reversal of the downtrend, whereas failure to break above could see Ethereum retesting the support at $2,080.64 (S1). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) presents a divergent view, with the MACD line approaching the signal line for a potential bullish crossover. This suggests that upward momentum might be building, despite the prevailing downtrend. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 39.99, which is near the oversold territory. This might indicate a possible strengthening or reversal in Ethereum's price action, as sellers could exhaust, paving the way for buyers to step in. In conclusion, while the short-term outlook for Ethereum appears bearish within the context of the trend channel, there are emerging signs of a potential reversal. Key resistance and support levels will guide my trading decisions. Should Ethereum breach the $3,019.87 resistance convincingly, it may open up the path towards higher resistances. Conversely, a break below the $2,080.64 support could exacerbate the bearish pressure, targeting lower price levels.Longby MarsSignals4416
ETH About To Bounce And Breakout From The Trend Line👉The Ethereum Price Sitting Above The Crucial Trend Line And Also There Is a Important Resistance Area At 2400$ 📈Expect a Bounce From Here And Breakout The 2400$ PRZ Toward a 2675$ And 2800$ Target Areas Longby Bullish_Traders3319
time for ETH to fly 🐺 Hello dear KIUCOIN community 🐺 I hope you doing well ; in this idea I want to give you a very good and exciting news about ETH and also I would try to make this idea brief but very useful 🔥👇 : As you can see on the chart, ETH is forming a large ascending triangle , which is considered a bullish pattern . However, this pattern is on the weekly chart. The good news is that when this pattern breaks, we could anticipate a significant ETH and altcoin season, which I believe would be a life-changing opportunity for you all. Now let's analyze the daily chart to identify potential entry points for long or short positions. Who knows, we might find a great opportunity! As you can see in the chart above, if ETH breaks through the orange resistance line , we could consider entering a long trade with a risk/reward ratio of around 1.5 , which I believe is an acceptable level for initiating a trade . 🙏🔥 Don't forget to follow me on X. You can find the links in my bio and below this idea 🙏🔥 and also always remember : 👇 🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable , But almost always profitable 🐺 . Longby Kiu_Coin224
Ethereum (ETH): After Breaking Sharp Trend - Slowly RecoveringEthereum has a nice breakdown movement but did not last for long. Price is showing a nice recovery for now and we are soon approaching the upper resistance zone for a small re-test. We want to see a rejection there and then a further movement to lower zones so eyes on that resistance now! Swallow Team Shortby SwallowPremium1
Ethereum (ETH): Small Bounce From SupportEthereum has again touched our support zone, where we had a small bounce so far. We are still looking for further break of structure here and a movement to lower zones but we need to wait out for perfect break of structure here so eyes on the support zone! Swallow Team Shortby SwallowPremium1
ETHUSDBullish chuvashov fork.. My expected path.. Ema cluster above present approximate targets White dotted trendline has held since lunas crash a few years ago.. Its the line linking the luna crash to the ftx crash months later so its held up for a while..Longby olliecoughland0
Eth shortBtc short now Friends, good morning to everyone ☀️ I'm starting to look for a deal for you! Wake up and get ready for trading! The more fire 🔥 ➡️If you are ready to trade from the morning Shortby SUQchart0
ETH Daily and Weekly Analysis: Key Levels to WatchDaily Chart: Ethereum is forming a descending triangle, a pattern that historically offers a 70% probability of a breakout to the upside and a 30% chance of breaking downward. Traders should keep an eye on price movements near the triangle's boundaries for a potential breakout. Weekly Chart: Ethereum/USDT recently touched a major support level and is approaching the 200-week EMA. Additionally, the RSI is at oversold levels, indicating a potential reversal or bounce in price as selling momentum weakens. These technical signals suggest that Ethereum could be gearing up for a significant move soon. If you found this analysis helpful, please SUBSCRIBE ✍️ and SHARE🙏 Good look! 🚀Longby crypt0AP0
ETHUSDT | Potential Rally And Drop 2200ETHUSDT H3 has the potential to move up to 3K–3,274 areas and drop again to 2400–2200 for a bias of 1,597 with one price target of 1831.91. Longs are high-risk at this moment due to the strong bearish momentum maintained by the 3K area. Close monitoring will be required. Happy Trading, K.by KhiweUpdated 335
Eth dump again to $2200Just now opened eth short Target $2200 That's a little bit below daily support level. Anticipating an aggressive impulse drop soon. Potential early tp 75% at $2225 area. Shortby Filnft4
$ETHUSDTIn my openion ETH making a W Pattern which is bullish right now eth is consolidating and take a bounce from this levelLongby zubi91663
Ethereum's Path to Potential Upside: A Bullish OutlookOn the daily chart for ETH/USDT, we can observe a clear corrective pattern unfolding, with a likely formation of an extended WXYXZ correction. Currently, the price is showing signs of completing wave (Y), and we may soon see a final leg down towards the completion of wave (Z). Based on the projection of the 1.618 Fibonacci extension, the critical support level lies near $1,920, which also coincides with previous demand zones. If this key level holds, we could expect a reversal from this region, potentially igniting a strong upward momentum. The 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level around $1,750 serves as another critical confluence point, suggesting that this area could provide a robust foundation for a bullish reversal. Should ETH respect these support zones, it could mark the beginning of a new impulsive structure, leading to higher highs in the upcoming months. While the near-term trend remains bearish, the long-term perspective offers a promising opportunity for buyers if key support levels are respected. Longby AmirHossein.J1