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EUR/JPY Mini

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EURJPY.100.MINI trade ideas

EUR/JPY Bearish Setup: Rejection from 200 EMAEUR/JPY 1H Analysis 📉📊 Bias: Bearish 🔻 This EUR/JPY 1-hour chart suggests a bearish setup with potential downside movement. Here’s a breakdown of key elements: 🔍 Key Observations: 200 EMA Resistance 🚨 Price is struggling below the 200 EMA (158.383), a strong dynamic resistance. Bears are defending this area, preventing further upside. Supply Zone (158.319 - 158.383) 🟥 Price recently rejected from this key resistance zone. Sellers stepped in aggressively, pushing price lower. Bearish Market Structure 📉 Lower highs and lower lows are forming, confirming the downtrend. A potential retest of resistance before another drop. RSI Indicating Weakness ⚠️ RSI (51.59) is below overbought levels and sloping downward. The 56.02 resistance on RSI suggests limited buying strength. 📍 Trade Setup Idea: Entry: Around 157.70 - 158.00 (Possible retest zone) Target: 156.25 - 156.00 (Major support area) 🎯 Stop Loss: Above 158.40 to avoid fakeouts ❌ 📌 Summary: Bearish Bias 🚨 as long as price remains under 200 EMA. Expect a pullback before continuation to the downside. 156.00 Target looks achievable if sellers maintain pressure. ⚡ Trade cautiously & manage risk properly! 🚀 Let me know if you need more details! 🔥
Short
by MrStellanSight
Bearish drop?EUR/JPY has broken out of the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support. Pivot: 157.19 1st Support: 155.60 1st Resistance: 158.37 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
EUR/JPY – High-Probability Short Setup 1️⃣ Market Overview – Bearish Bias Confirmation EUR/JPY remains in a strong downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows. Currently, the price is retracing into a critical Fibonacci resistance zone, making this a prime opportunity to short the pair in line with institutional sentiment and seasonality trends. 2️⃣ Fibonacci Levels – Identifying Key Resistance The Fibonacci retracement is drawn from the most recent bearish impulse. Resistance Zone: 0.5 (156.888) to 0.786 (157.107) – a high-probability rejection area. If price fails to break above this zone, a continuation to the downside is expected. Prime Seasonality Insights – Historical Data Supports the Short Bias 📊 Seasonality trends over 15 years indicate that EUR/JPY historically declines in late February and early March. 🔻 February seasonality performance: -0.7% average return 🔻 Next 3-5 day forecast: Bearish probabilities (-0.06% to -0.21%) 🔻 Seasonality prediction candles show a short-term retracement, followed by downside continuation. 💡 This aligns with the technical setup, reinforcing a short bias. 4️⃣ Retail Sentiment – Smart Money Edge 🚨 79% of retail traders are LONG on EUR/JPY – a contrarian signal for a short trade. 🔻 Institutions (Smart Money) are aggressively shorting EUR/JPY, as seen in COT data. 🔻 Commitment of Traders (COT) Report shows increased institutional short positioning. 🔻 Retail traders trapped in longs will likely get stopped out, fueling further downside. 5️⃣ Technical Confirmation – Trendline & Indicators ✅ Price is below all major EMAs (6, 24, 72, 288) on the 4-hour chart. ✅ Supertrend remains bearish on the 4-hour timeframe. ✅ A downward sloping trendline aligns with the Fibonacci resistance zone. 💡 I will wait for confirmation (rejection wick, bearish engulfing candle) before entering a short position. 6️⃣ Conclusion – Trade Plan for EUR/JPY 🔹 Bias: Bearish due to downtrend, Fibonacci resistance, seasonality, and institutional short positioning. 🔹 Trade Setup: Sell EUR/JPY at 156.88 - 157.10 (Upon rejection) Stop Loss: Above 157.26 Take Profit Targets: 156.30, 156.04, 156.00 🔹 Key Confirmation: Retail traders are trapped in longs, seasonality supports further downside, and institutions are short. 🚀 This is a prime example of how combining Seasonality, Smart Money Positioning, and Technicals can create a powerful trade setup. 📌 What’s your outlook on EUR/JPY? Let’s discuss in the comments!
Short
by LDForex_
EURJPY 2H SHORTEURJPY 2H Fundamentals: •Eurozone 10Y Bonds broke a key ascending trendline to the downside and have now retested it before continuing lower. This suggests that the EUR is overvalued and that investors are losing confidence in the Eurozone. •Conversely, Japanese 10Y Bonds have been in a strong uptrend for a while now. •The Non-Weighted Currency Index also shows that the Yen is strong, as it recently broke a descending trendline, retested it, and then surged higher. •Meanwhile, the Non-Weighted Currency Index of the Euro shows the opposite pattern. A bearish flag is forming on the daily timeframe, which could indicate a potential decline. •Lastly, we have the monetary policy divergence between the ECB and the BoJ. The BoJ is expected to hold rates, while the ECB is expected to cut. •The only concern is risk sentiment, which could weigh negatively on the Yen. Technical Analysis •On the daily timeframe, there is a strong uptrend, but a bearish triangle has formed. •On the 8H timeframe, we can see a 61% Fibonacci rejection, forming a clear double top, signaling strong selling pressure, followed by a break of a key support level. •On the H4 timeframe, another double top confirms the sellers’ strength, further validated by the break of the 50-SMA, which had previously acted as a dynamic support. •I am expecting a rejection at 50% Fibonacci at 156.180, which will be my entry price. •Stop-loss at 159.400, slightly above the previous support-turned-resistance. •Target: 149.000, a psychological level and a round number. •Retail traders are mostly long (80%), confirming that a short position would be a valid opportunity.
Short
by Marco-kh
EURJPY Wave Analysis – 24 February 2025 - EURJPY reversed from support zone - Likely to rise to resistance level 158.00 EURJPY currency pair recently reversed up from the support zone between the multi-month support level 156.00 (which has been reversing the pair rom last August) and the lower daily Bollinger Band. The upward reversal from this support zone is likely to form the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Piercing Line – if the pair closes today near the current levels. Given the strength of the support level 156.00 and the bullish euro sentiment seen today, EURJPY currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 158.00.
Long
by FxProGlobal
EUR/JPY - Bullish Rejection from Key Support📈 Trade Idea: Long EUR/JPY Analysis: Price aggressively rejected the downside with a long wick, indicating strong buyer interest at a key support level. This suggests a liquidity grab, where price swept lows before pushing back up. A potential bullish reversal could be in play, targeting the next resistance zone. Trade Plan (Based on Chart Setup): 🔹 Entry: 156.991 (Rejection from support) 🔹 Stop Loss: 156.846 (Below recent low, invalidates bullish bias) 🔹 Take Profit: 157.281 (Fixed at 2R) Risk/Reward: ✅ Stop Loss: ~15 pips ✅ Take Profit: ~30 pips ✅ Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 Why this trade? ✔️ Liquidity grab below previous lows ✔️ Strong bullish rejection at key demand zone ✔️ Potential reversal targeting previous resistance 📌 Looking for price to maintain above 156.50 to sustain bullish momentum.
Long
by riojulianprt62512
Expecting bullish volatility from this bearish contractionSupported by the daily rejection block, we're looking for bullish opportunities because we have cleared the immediate swing high at 158.000. This sentiment indicates a strong bullish market. Anticipating this corrective movement to reduce further and mitigate the breaker block at 157.350 to activate buyers for a volatile bullish move. - Entry: 157.350 - Stop Loss: 156.550 (80 pips risk) - Target: 161.350 (400 pips potential gain) This trade setup suggests a bullish opportunity with a risk-reward ratio of 1:5.
by tokelohomi