FTI future ASD top and bottom viewDaily movement of the FTI-future compared to 5-day and 21 day reference lines, split in top-down and bottom-up view.
Enjoy.
MFA1! trade ideas
AEX: A fun move is comingA long time ago that I posted something. I hope you all like it... :)
Shalom,
Im
Disclaimer: as always, search for the truth and do your own research.
AEX: the bottom came early!I expected a low per 7 August based on my turndates pointing to 10/11 August and other short term techniques pointing to 7 August. However, we got a 3 August low and a higher low per 7 August to the 38,2% Fibonacci level at the opening of the AEX around 09:00 o'clock. I considered this possible which can be read in one of the comments from 5 August in my previous article.
So, 3 August was also a bottom date (which I also said in my previous article) and after the fact, I know understand why it was THE LOW. To bad I didn't understand it earlier, but the cycle that gave me this date was more important than the other ones. Still, I see the 10/11 August date as a hard move and looking at what we are doing (we are building a base while America keeps grinding higher), it might be a hard move up and we top out... That is my thinking for now. This is also argumented for by my August 9 date (which falls in the weekend...) that points to a top and a drop afterwards.
So, in short, this is what I think for now, but as always, I let the signals lead me and based on that I trade:
- Upmove Monday 10/Tuesday 11
- Target 567,50 (61,8% retracement from the top on 21 July).
- Down afterwards. I have some dates for August, but nothing special that makes me say 'THIS IS IT'. September and October look more promissing. ;)
When I see this all happening , I will try an AEX P August option (atm or slightly otm) one more time. My previous option was in some nice profits, but in the end I sold it with a loss because the game changed and I had to change my plan. Stay fluid, don't let bias rule you. These are important lessons I have learned from the past! Going broke twice... These are humbling experiences I can guarantee you! ;)
If not, than I stay patient and we may be already underway in the search of a top according to my 'Editor's Pick' article in which September gives us the high and than a big drop. This still seems very possible.
I don't know if people are aware, but if somehow we see a totally different scenario and we continue to go UP UP UP even in september, than my alternative scenario goes in play: inflation which makes the stockmarket and gold/silver rocket UPUPUP. The crash will come later than in 2021. For now, I am happy I bought physical silver (coins) in 2017 and 2018. They are already at a 60% profit! I expect way higher silver prices, no doubt about it...
Enjoy!
Shalom, Im
PS: like and follow me if you think this is good content.
AEX: a short term bottom example!Hi Traders,
Just as an example to show time and price in balance... 26 July (so that means 24 Friday or 27 Monday) was a turndate for me (a hard move expected). Also, the signals from my system (which I hid under the chart) show a BUY. Next to this, two TTheory time hits, point to a reversal (bottom) now. And my target of 557 was almost reached (Fibonacci trick).
Let's see if we continue upwards in the short term! :) This is how I trade the markets on a daily basis. Through the 60/15 minutes charts with signals and time reversal points.
Remember, I am still expecting a bottom somewhere in the beginning-middle of Augustus. I have shown this in my last analysis (which became an Editor's Pick). So just some percentage retracement up now and than the last move down towards this date to see the target(s) as shown in my last analysis, is my best guess. As always, I just follow the signals and turndates and some other time/price techniques that help me to figure out 'the truth'... :)
Also fun to mention: I finally see silver doing what it should have done way earlier! But hey, I am not in control of time, Yehovah is! :)
Shalom,
Im
AEX: spike low completed! :)Hi traders,
This was the mid June spike low! My date was June 13 but I know it often comes a little earlier. Especially when the date falls in the weekend. ;)
So this morning at 536,50 I played a long position and just banked at 547. in 2,5 hours time. That is why time is so important, it makes me understand the moves way better and gives a huge edge in trading!
Now I am looking for a retrace of some sorts (mind the gap at 556,50 and the downward trendline). Later in June/at the beginning of July, I expect more downward action...
Shalom,
Im
Disclaimer: think for yourself and search the truth!
AEX: an example of the signalsystem at work!Hi traders,
This time I show you signals that came from my system (which I do not show in this chart). The blue ones are signals generated from the system (hard data) while the orange one is based on my own experience/feeling for the market.
Not bad and as I have told you, a low will come in mid June. I did not expect the AEX to go this high in the beginning of June, but after my trade got stopped out, I waited for this uptrend to be done because I know, based on my BOTTOM turn dates, we need to see some down action! :)
Trade what you see, not what you think!
Shalom,
Im
Disclaimer: as always, think for yourself and search for the truth!
AEX: this first bearmarket rally is insane!Hi traders,
As you all know, I believe the bearmarket has finally started since February 17 2020.
I have been thinking, for a few weeks, about the wave down of July 16 to Augustus 16 and the following wave up to October 12 2007. I really feel we will get a similar kind of follow up in the coming 2-3 years into 2022.
Timewise, the top should be very close. Our February 17 to March 18 2020 can be compared to the wave down in 2007. The big difference is that in 2020 we saw a decline of about 246 points while we 'only' went down 82 points in 2007. The strange thing is that 3 x 82 = 246...
After the wave down, the market went up for almost 2 months (just 2 tradingdays short). If I count 18 march + almost 2 months, I get to May 14 2020. So somehow, timewise we are 'off' now compared to the move because we are at June 5 2020. Is this a problem? I think not looking at my knowledge of Harmonic patterns ...
By the way, June 5 (today) we have a lunar eclipse and full moon . Something special is going to happen soon looking at my bible and looking at the market! June 21 a solar eclipse and to conclude the eclipse period, July 5 a lunar eclipse again…
I keep tracking this 'fractal' and also my trading system (monitoring the 60 and 15 minutes charts). When I see the top, I will short it.
I wish you all a good weekend and shabbat shalom!
Shalom,
Im
Disclaimer: think for yourself and search the truth!
AEX: the (up) trend is your friend!Hi traders,
I still remain bearish for June, but we are still in the beginning of the month. I tried one short position that failed and since than I am just analyzing and waiting for a big signal that will accompany my bearish view.
For now, a big uptrend is in progress with a few positive reversals already (see the orange lines). These reversals come from the RSI14 and let us calculate a minimum target.
We see above a gap at 574,15 that is still open from the downmove of Feb/Mar this year. Maybe that is the final target for now, or maybe not. But mid June for a low and the beginning of July for a low are getting closer and closer each day...
Shalom,
Im
Disclaimer: think for yourself and search for the truth.
AEX futures - Impulse wave pattern
AEX futures is in 3rd extended wave of C of ABC zigzag wave pattern started from major low on chart in 60 min time frame. The steepness confirms the trend. In weekly time frame, it has completed impulse sequence up and thereafter correcting the move. From latest bottom on daily the new up cycle started.
AEX: the top is near!Hi to my fellow Dutch stockmarket 'liefhebbers' and others from around the world!
I have been tracing this Bearish Butterfly for more than a week now. This might very well point to the top of the bearmarket rally from March. A sidenote: Harmonics are valid WHEN THEY ARE VALID... Until that time, it is a pattern that seems to be in progress but proof is always NEEDED! I learned this the hard way. ;) Hard data is what makes money for me in the market, not what I think...
I expect a bearish June with a 'nice' bottom in the beginning of July. I have some good cycles pointing to mid June and the beginning of July for bottoms. I won't give exact dates, I learned my lesson from past efforts of sharing knowledge for free. :)
Besides the stockmarket, bad things will start to happen very soon in the world. For me 'the sword' (war) is around the corner. Daniel speaks about this as well as Leviticus 26 (the curses).
I can testify this: when I started to know Yeshua (Jesus Christ), and begged/prayed for help in my life (in all aspects of it) and I starting reading the bible (I was in so much pain physically and in the end always lost in the market), He was there. He blesses who seek Him and follow Him (believe in Him, testify of Him and keep his Torah, John 14 verses 15/21/23/24).
I wrote this for you to think about when you see things happening and have no hope in difficult times ahead. There is hope, always! His name is Yeshua (salvastion)!
Questions or comments? Feel free to post them!
Shalom,
Im
Disclaimer: always think for yourself and search for the truth.
About to top out. Might be as soon as march 2020!Aex is topping likely this year. Might be as soon as march! Better gtfo around the top!
AEX: small small steps. Waiting game.A day/week/month/year approximation for the AEX-index, an hour/day/week/month approximation for the FTI1!-future.
