Get started

Euro vs US Dollar

No trades
See on Supercharts
Overview News
Ideas
Discussions Technicals Seasonals Economic Calendar

EURUSD.P trade ideas

EUR/USD Scalping Opportunity: Potential Long SetupEUR/USD exhibits a potential upside move, presenting a scalping opportunity for long positions. Confirmation is required, along with a rejection of the current zone, to validate the trade setup before execution. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Scalping and trading carry substantial risks, including the possibility of significant losses. Trade cautiously and responsibly.
Long
by Bilind-GeniusScalper
EURUSD retracement? I'm watching OANDA:EURUSD today. My bias is bullish and would like to see it swipe some liquidity and reach some buy zones. There's also an imbalance in the Daily timeframe. However being a US holiday today, I don't expect a lot of movement. So I'm also considering the retracement down to those levels, considering its distance from them. Observing and waiting for liquidity to be taken first before taking any trades. Maybe preserving capital is the right trade today?
by CinnamonErreDe
EURUSD Trade Execution Feb 17EURUSD Trade Execution Feb 17 After studying all weekend I came into today with a solid idea. I suspected that DXY would want to bull to the 50 level and FVG. Meaning that EU would bear. I also suspected that due to my sentiment of EU being in a bullish market it could bear first part of the week. And I also was wanting to stick to rule based positions with only trading the parent bias. I am not doing pre market analysis anymore to stay flexible. I let most of Asia play out only looking at the charts at 12:30. Once I saw that Asia made a high I suspected that London would make the low. Previous session Price was in a Premium leaning that it would want to take the equal lows and FVG to rebalance. At 2 my model lined up: Bear conditions for the session Price was in the MOG Price was at the OTE of .70 Price had clear targets to the down side Great delivery and great trade.
by LeanLena
- Looking for Long Opportunities on Euro Amidst Market Volatilit- Key Insights: The Euro exhibits potential for recovery against the USD, especially with the DXY showing bearish tendencies. Watch for fluctuations around 1.05, indicating pivotal trading opportunities. The European Union's commitment to free trade and the need for geopolitical collaboration create a landscape ripe for analysis, urging traders to consider long positions strategically. Price Targets: Next week targets: T1 = 1.0530, T2 = 1.0580. Stop levels: S1 = 1.0480, S2 = 1.0450. - Recent Performance: The Euro has been navigating a challenging environment, experiencing rebounds but largely trending down against the US Dollar. After briefly touching lower support levels, it has shown resilience at around 1.05, balancing near key resistance areas. - Expert Analysis: Analysts are bullish on potential long positions for EUR/USD and GBP/USD, as ongoing geopolitical pressures in Europe may juxtapose with longer-term bullish setups if resistance levels are broken. Expert sentiment suggests caution as they anticipate market volatility stemming from external factors, emphasizing the importance of monitoring key economic indicators. - News Impact: Ongoing geopolitical issues, especially concerning the Russia- Ukraine situation, along with scrutiny over U.S. trade policies impacting Europe, pose both risks and opportunities for the Euro. The push for investment-friendly policies and free trade within the EU remains a focal point for potential Euro strength.
Long
by CrowdWisdomTrading
Next Direction of EURUSD This WeekEUR/USD News: 🔆The US Dollar (USD) fluctuated in response to shifting market sentiment, initially rising on risk-aversion as US President Donald Trump signaled a new wave of tariffs before the market opened. On Tuesday, the White House implemented a 25% tariff on all steel and aluminum imports into the US, with no exemptions. 🔆This sparked concern across the FX market, boosting demand for the safe-haven Greenback. However, the USD's strength was short-lived as weaker US economic data and positive news headlines led to its decline against other currencies. 🔆Moreover, the lack of specifics and the postponement of the new tariffs maintained a positive outlook in financial markets, allowing EUR/USD to reach new highs. Meanwhile, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell reiterated the Fed's hawkish stance, while European Central Bank officials indicated the possibility of further rate cuts in the coming months. 🔆To end the week, the US reported a 0.9% drop in January Retail Sales, significantly worse than the expected -0.1%. Conversely, December's figure was revised upward to 0.7% from the initial estimate of 0.4%. This disappointing report added more pressure on the USD. Personal opinion: 🔆EURUSD will continue to increase gradually until there is a new fluctuation from the Fed and BOE's key list. And it is important to prioritize reviewing President Trump's tax policy to be able to grasp the market. Technical: 🔆Based on basic information about the US economy and tax policy with other countries 🔆Based on trend lines and lake support - Resistance to come up with suitable strategies Plan: 🔆Price Zone Setup: 👉Sell EURUSD 1.0600 – 1.0615 ❌SL: 1.0660 | ✅TP: 1.0550 – 1.0500– 1.0440 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Long
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
EUR/USD - Bullish Setup Building UpPatiently tracking the move — timing is everything. 4H: Bullish structure locked in, but no liquidity sweep or order block mitigation yet. Waiting for price to make its move. 30M: Bullish structure still intact, pushing toward liquidity and lining up for that order block mitigation. Clear direction, just needs that final touch. 5M: Once price hits that OB, I’ll refine my entry with a CHoCH flip and liquidity grab. Staying sharp for the perfect execution. Bless Trading!
Long
by Juicemannn
EURUSD InsightWelcome, Subscribers! Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe! Key Points - U.S. Vice President Vance and Ukrainian President Zelensky discussed a possible ceasefire in Munich, Germany. Some major news outlets report that a trilateral meeting between the U.S., Russia, and Ukraine may take place in Saudi Arabia within a few days to discuss ending the war. - U.S. January retail sales declined by 0.9%, while core retail sales fell by 0.4%. The market is now reassessing the likelihood of a 50bp rate cut by the Federal Reserve this year. - US President Trump announced plans for various tariffs but stated that they would be implemented with a preparation period rather than immediately, leaving room for negotiations. This provided some relief to the market. This Week’s Key Economic Events + February 18: Reserve Bank of Australia interest rate decision, Canada January CPI + February 19: U.K. January CPI + February 20: FOMC meeting minutes EURUSD Chart Analysis Last week, EURUSD showed a strong upward trend, reaching the 1.05000 resistance level. There is a possibility of a pullback from this level, but if the resistance is broken, further gains toward 1.06000 can be expected. The next movement will depend on whether EURUSD can break through the 1.06000 level. Given the current trend, an upward move toward 1.06000 is anticipated this week. On the downside, if EURUSD faces resistance at 1.05000 and pulls back, it could retreat to 1.03500. If the downward trend continues, a further decline to 1.00500 is possible. However, given the current market conditions, there is insufficient bearish momentum, making this scenario less likely.
Long
by shawntime_academy
EURUSDFundamental Analysis of EUR/USD (February 2025) This analysis includes updated macroeconomic indicators, geopolitical factors, data from the Commitment of Traders (COT) report, possible scenarios, and a favorable scenario based on existing economic data. 1. Macroeconomic Indicators and Monetary Policy Eurozone • GDP and Economic Growth: • According to ECB projections, the Eurozone GDP is expected to grow by 0.7% in 2024, 1.1% in 2025, and 1.4% in 2026. • Inflation: • The Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) inflation is projected at 2.4% in 2024, 2.1% in 2025, and 1.9% in 2026. • ECB Monetary Policy: • The ECB maintains a cautious approach, signaling the potential to keep interest rates high for an extended period while not ruling out gradual cuts if inflation declines as expected. • Unemployment and Labor Market: • The Eurozone unemployment rate stands at 6.1% and is expected to continue decreasing through 2027. United States • GDP and Economic Growth: • The US economy continues to expand at a solid pace, supported by strong consumer spending and a robust labor market. • Inflation: • US inflation remains above the 2% target, making the Fed hesitant to cut interest rates in the short term. • Fed Monetary Policy: • In its latest FOMC meeting, the Fed maintained the interest rate at 4.25% - 4.50%, signaling a cautious stance on inflation dynamics. • Unemployment and Labor Market: • The US unemployment rate remains low, reflecting a strong job market. 2. Geopolitical Factors • Russia-Ukraine Conflict: • Continues to impact energy prices and economic stability in the Eurozone. • US-China Trade Relations: • Potential additional tariffs on Chinese imports may introduce volatility in financial markets. • Fiscal Policies: • High budget deficits in the US could put long-term pressure on the dollar. 3. Commitment of Traders (COT) Report - February 4, 2025 Non-Commercial Traders (Large Speculators): • Long Positions: 211,000 • Short Positions: 219,900 • Net Position: -8,900 (short on EUR) • Indicates a bearish sentiment for the euro, with large speculators expecting its depreciation. Commercial Traders (Hedgers): • Long Positions: 350,500 • Short Positions: 342,000 • Net Position: +8,500 (long on EUR) • Suggests that major institutions and corporations anticipate a long-term appreciation of the euro. Small Traders (Non-Reportable): • Long Positions: 45,300 • Short Positions: 45,900 • Net Position: -600 (relatively balanced between long and short positions) Interpretation: • Large speculators are net short on the euro, suggesting expectations of depreciation. • Commercial traders (usually hedgers) are net long, indicating a possible bullish correction for the euro in the long term. 4. Possible Scenarios for EUR/USD Scenario 1: USD Appreciation (Bearish for EUR/USD) • Triggers: • The Fed maintains high interest rates. • The US economy remains strong. • The ECB adopts a cautious (dovish) tone. • Outcome: • EUR/USD may fall below 1.05. Scenario 2: Consolidation (Sideways Movement) • Triggers: • Mixed economic data from both economies. • The ECB and Fed adopt a wait-and-see approach. • Outcome: • EUR/USD remains between 1.07 and 1.10. Scenario 3: EUR Appreciation (Bullish for EUR/USD) • Triggers: • The ECB maintains high interest rates. • The US economy slows down, forcing the Fed to signal rate cuts. • Reduced geopolitical tensions in Europe. • Outcome: • EUR/USD may rise above 1.12 - 1.15. 5. Favorable Scenario Based on Current Data Given macroeconomic data, COT positioning, and geopolitical factors, the medium-term favorable scenario for EUR/USD is one of consolidation, with potential euro appreciation. • Reasons: • Large speculators are short on the euro, but hedgers are long, which may indicate a potential reversal. • The Eurozone economy is showing gradual improvement. • The Fed may adopt a less aggressive stance if the US economy shows signs of slowing down. • Target: • EUR/USD may test 1.10 - 1.12 in the coming months. 6. Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. The Forex market is volatile, and trading decisions should be based on individual research and analysis. Any losses resulting from the use of this analysis are the sole responsibility of the investor.
by SkylimitBreakPoint
EurusdLooking at the EUR/USD daily chart, we observe a pattern of higher highs and higher lows, indicating that price is respecting the trendline. Our key focus is on 1.054, a strong resistance level. We wait for a clear breakout before considering an entry. If the price pulls back instead, our first buying zone is at 1.042 to 1.040. Why? ✅ The 50 EMA aligns as a strong support ✅ It coincides with a weekly support level ✅ The trendline support adds further confluence By waiting for confirmations at these levels, we position ourselves for high-probability trades!
Long
by Sharpshane
Eurousd Looking at the EUR/USD daily chart, we observe a pattern of higher highs and higher lows, indicating that price is respecting the trendline. Our key focus is on 1.054, a strong resistance level. We wait for a clear breakout before considering an entry. If the price pulls back instead, our first buying zone is at 1.042 to 1.040. Why? ✅ The 50 EMA aligns as a strong support ✅ It coincides with a weekly support level ✅ The trendline support adds further confluence By waiting for confirmations at these levels, we position ourselves for high-probability trades!
Long
by Sharpshane
EURUSDEntry Point (Bearish): If the EUR/USD has recently experienced a strong downtrend, you could consider entering a short position at a resistance level or retracement level after a pullback. For example, a rally to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level might provide a selling opportunity if the overall trend remains bearish. Take Profit at 38.2% Retracement: This level often serves as the first point for a retracement or bounce in the market. It can be a good first take-profit level for a bearish trade, especially if the price starts reversing after hitting this zone. Take Profit at 61.8% Retracement: The 61.8% level is often seen as a stronger level for potential reversals in a trend. If the EUR/USD continues its downward movement, you might look to exit your trade here for a bigger move down. This is a deeper retracement level and could signal more significant continuation of the bearish trend. Stop Loss: Placing a stop-loss above the 61.8% retracement level would make sense, as it would protect your position in case the market reverses and goes against your bearish outlook.
Short
by Disco-Dave
EUR/USD - Weekly OutlookHi all. Weekly Outlook on EUR/USD Top down Analysis Daily - Currently showing consolidation moves which could potentially be the finishing wave. Breaking this supply zone will determine long term bullish PA. Lots of Buy side External Liquidity to show and fill. 4H - Aiming to return to the OTE zone for Fibonacci, sell side Liquidity has been swept and Imbalance has also been filled from previous market volume gap. So far this run of price is on its 3rd move according to Elliot's wave. Looking to potentially look for more buys if we break out of this Supply. Only will return to look for sells if the 30 Min view disrespects the Swing H/L 1H - 1st Demand zone has been filled, Change of Character was followed suit followed by the rally of price. Still aiming to fill the Liquidity pool. 30M/Entry's - We are long term in a supply zone or close to a supply zone buy into this area is risky but still potentially very profitable if we do long term finish this Consolidation stage by Elliot's wave. Potentially could look for short term buy setups in the next demand zone. Once we clear the Liquidity pool we may be getting a sharp reversal to the external Liquidity or we will continue to rally up Trade this area carefully
by jamesibartram