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EURUSD.P trade ideas

EURUSD 23/2/25Starting this week with a bearish bias on the euro. This shifts our stance from last week, and now we’re looking to follow price down into the low we’ve highlighted. This low is our target for the first few sessions of the week. If our bias changes, we will adjust accordingly, always considering our daily structure. As it stands, we’re looking for the highest point price runs before the low is reached. If the low is met and our bias shifts to bullish, we will then look for long opportunities. However, at the moment, we see no signs of our bias shifting—only indications that price may want to go long. This aligns with our expectations of potential US dollar strength. And, of course, Orion is confirming our bearish bias, so we follow. If price runs the highs, look for potential setups to take it down into the low. If we don’t reach the high and simply trade lower, then, as mentioned, watch for a potential bias shift to go long from the low itself. Trade safe, follow your rules, and let Orion guide you.
by PipSurfingSociety
DeGRAM | EURUSD broke the downward structureEURUSD is above the descending channel between the trend lines. The price is moving from the dynamic support and has already consolidated above the upper boundary of the channel. The chart has broken the descending structure and has already approached the past top. We expect the pair to continue rising after consolidating above the 1.04327 level. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
15
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG resistance area 1.05281 (Wave 3).Colleagues, price has traveled a long distance and this could mean that price is moving in impulse. This means that the price is in wave “1” and now a correction is expected in wave ‘2’ (50% Fibonacci level 1.03264) and then I expect the upward movement to continue in wave “3” which will reach the resistance area 1.05281. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Long
by Hellena_Trade
2
Harmonic Pattern Trading: Ultimate Guide for 2025Harmonic trading is a powerful price action-based strategy that uses Fibonacci ratios to identify high-probability reversal zones. These patterns fall under XABCD structure, meaning they have five key points (X, A, B, C, and D) and rely on Fibonacci retracements and extensions. By mastering harmonic trading, you can identify trend reversals early and achieve higher win rates compared to traditional technical analysis methods. 🔹 Key Principles of Harmonic Trading 1️⃣ Structure of Harmonic Patterns (XABCD) All harmonic patterns follow the same five-point structure: X → A: The initial move. A → B: The first retracement. B → C: A counter move. C → D: The final leg, forming the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ). 2️⃣ Fibonacci Ratios in Harmonic Patterns Harmonic trading is Fibonacci-driven, meaning each pattern is defined by specific retracement and extension levels: Common Fibonacci Retracements: 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, 78.6%, 88.6% Common Fibonacci Extensions: 127.2%, 141.4%, 161.8%, 200%, 224%, 261.8% 3️⃣ Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) The D-point of the pattern is where price is expected to reverse. This PRZ zone is validated by Fibonacci confluence, support/resistance, and other confirmation signals (RSI, MACD, divergence, etc.). Entry: Around D-point reversal confirmation Stop Loss: Beyond the PRZ invalidation zone Take Profit: Based on Fibonacci extension levels (often 61.8%, 100%, or 161.8% retracements). 🔷 Primary Harmonic Patterns & Their Structure 1️⃣ Gartley Pattern 🦋 ✅ Most popular & reliable harmonic pattern ✅ Predicts trend continuation or reversal ✅ Respects 61.8% Fibonacci retracement from XA Gartley Pattern Structure: AB = 61.8% retracement of XA BC = 38.2% or 88.6% retracement of AB CD = 78.6% retracement of XA D-point PRZ → Strong reversal expected 🚀 Trading Tip: Look for confluence with trendlines, supply-demand zones, and RSI/MACD divergence. 2️⃣ Bat Pattern 🦇 ✅ High-probability reversal setup ✅ Stronger deep retracement of XA compared to Gartley ✅ Ideal for trend continuation & reversal trades Bat Pattern Structure: AB = 38.2% or 50% retracement of XA BC = 38.2% or 88.6% retracement of AB CD = 88.6% retracement of XA D-point PRZ → Expect strong reversal 🚀 Trading Tip: Bat patterns often provide low-risk entries with tight stop losses due to their deep XA retracement. 3️⃣ Butterfly Pattern 🦋 ✅ Predicts deep trend reversals ✅ Used for aggressive counter-trend trades Butterfly Pattern Structure: AB = 78.6% retracement of XA BC = 38.2% or 88.6% retracement of AB CD = 127.2% or 161.8% extension of XA D-point PRZ → Strong trend reversal expected 🚀 Trading Tip: Butterfly PRZ zones are more extended, so look for price exhaustion & divergence before entering. 4️⃣ Crab Pattern 🦀 ✅ The most extended harmonic pattern ✅ Strong 161.8% XA extension creates powerful reversals Crab Pattern Structure: AB = 38.2% or 61.8% retracement of XA BC = 38.2% or 88.6% retracement of AB CD = 161.8% extension of XA D-point PRZ → Extreme overextension, likely strong reversal 🚀 Trading Tip: Use confluence with key support/resistance levels & volume analysis to confirm reversals. 5️⃣ Deep Crab Pattern 🦀 ✅ More reliable version of the Crab Pattern ✅ D-point extends further for deeper pullbacks Deep Crab Pattern Structure: AB = 38.2% or 61.8% retracement of XA BC = 38.2% or 88.6% retracement of AB CD = 224% - 261.8% extension of XA D-point PRZ → Strong reversal expected 🚀 Trading Tip: Similar to the Crab, but requires stronger confirmation signals before entry. 6️⃣ Cypher Pattern 💠 ✅ High accuracy harmonic pattern ✅ Faster entries compared to other patterns Cypher Pattern Structure: AB = 38.2% to 61.8% retracement of XA BC = 127.2% to 141.4% extension of AB CD = 78.6% retracement of XA D-point PRZ → Price reversal likely 🚀 Trading Tip: Look for RSI/MACD divergence at the D-point for added confirmation. 7️⃣ Shark Pattern 🦈 ✅ Newer harmonic pattern variation ✅ Similar to Crab but uses different Fibonacci rules Shark Pattern Structure: AB = 113% - 161.8% extension of XA BC = 113% - 161.8% extension of AB CD = 88.6% retracement of XA D-point PRZ → Strong reversal expected 🚀 Trading Tip: Shark patterns often appear before larger trend reversals, so they work well for early trend detection. 🔷 Advanced Harmonic Patterns Overview 📌 3-Drives Pattern Predicts the end of trends using 3 equal price movements Each drive follows Fibonacci retracements/extensions Strong reversal happens after the 3rd drive completes 📌 Alternate Bat Pattern Similar to Bat but has a deeper B-point retracement (50% of XA instead of 38.2%) More accurate for identifying trend continuation trades 📌 White Swan & Black Swan Developed by harmonic trading expert Scott Carney Similar to the Crab, but focuses on psychological market structure 🚀 How to Trade Harmonic Patterns Successfully Step 1: Identify the Pattern & PRZ Use harmonic pattern scanners or manual Fibonacci tools. Step 2: Wait for Reversal Confirmation Look for candlestick patterns (pin bars, engulfing candles). Check RSI, MACD, and volume divergence. Step 3: Place Your Trade Entry: Once price reacts at PRZ. Stop Loss: Beyond PRZ invalidation level. Take Profit: Fibonacci retracement levels (38.2%, 61.8%, 100%, 161.8%). 🔥 Summary – Why Harmonic Trading Works ✅ High accuracy when Fibonacci ratios are respected ✅ Works across all timeframes (forex, stocks, crypto, indices) ✅ Combines price action, Fibonacci, and confluence factors If you master these harmonic patterns, you'll consistently spot reversals early, maximize profits, and minimize risks! 🚀📈
Education
by ProjectSyndicate
17
EUR/USD: A Small Bearish Bias Emerges at the 1.0464 ZoneDespite the Euro recent appreciation since February 11—gaining more than 2% —a new bearish bias has appeared, triggering a minor downside correction. The temporary strengthening of the U.S. dollar is occurring as markets await the release of the Federal Reserve meeting minutes scheduled for tomorrow. Possible New Trend Formation The recent upward movement in favor of the euro has created progressively higher lows since mid-January and early February. These higher lows suggest the potential formation of a new short-term uptrend. However, the price is currently testing a key resistance zone. Until a new higher high is confirmed, it is too early to validate a sustained bullish bias in EUR/USD. RSI Indicator The RSI remains above the 50 level, indicating some bullish momentum. However, its slope has started to decline as the price approaches resistance. If this trend continues, bearish pressure from the last session may gain more relevance. ADX Indicator The ADX line remains below 20, signaling neutrality in most recent price movements. This lack of a clear trend makes it difficult for EUR/USD to sustain the short-term uptrend. If the ADX remains neutral in the coming sessions, price action is likely to remain sideways rather than forming a strong directional move. Key Levels to Watch: 1.02373 – Distant Support: Lowest level in the past two months. Persistent bearish pressure at this level could invalidate the developing bullish formation in the short term. 1.04646 – Current Resistance: Aligns with January’s high and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. A break above this zone could confirm a continuation of the new uptrend forming in recent sessions. 1.05994 – Key Resistance: Coincides with the 100-period moving average and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. If the bullish momentum pushes price toward this level, it would confirm a much stronger uptrend in EUR/USD. By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
by FOREXcom
EUR to push higher Let's start with the daily TF: We've been in a downward channel for a while now and price seem to try and break out of it to the upside now. Adding to that we also have some equal highs above that haven't been touched for a while now and you can expect that liquidity to be grabbed. Note how that level correspond exactly to the weekly R1 pivot point as well. You can expect some resistance once we reach that level. 4h: Here we can see the price delivery has been very efficient on the way up, leaving but one small imbalance We have a clear bullish hidden divergence on RSI as well and equal highs sitting just above the previous swing high. We're about to enter a previous support/resistance zone which coincide perfectly with the imbalance left yesterday during the push up which looks like the perfect long setup entry to play the continuation long. (which correspond to the 50% retracement from the previous swing low) 5min for entry: Following the HTF analysis and looking at the 5min for entry, we can see that yesterday's R1 pivot correspond to the 79% retracement from the last low before the big push up that didn't give any proper pullback since. It's also at the S/R seen on HTF Entry at that level would be ideal with a SL below S1 pivot and targeting at least the low hanging fruit at the equal highs for a first TP. As always make sure you only trade what you CAN lose and use proper stop loss to avoid any big losses. Nothing is never certain, it's just a game of stacking probability in your favor.
Long
by Nordic_Wings
EUR/USD Poised for a Breakout – Real Move or Fakeout?EUR/USD continues its sprint within an ascending channel, fluctuating between support at 1.0403 and resistance at 1.0596. While buyers are trying to maintain control, the 1.0532 resistance remains a tough barrier to break. The upcoming Manufacturing PMI data will be the key catalyst for the next move. If the report exceeds expectations, the euro could surge toward 1.0600. On the other hand, a weak reading may trigger a pullback toward lower support levels. Trading Strategy: Buy Setup: Wait for a retest of 1.0403, enter long on confirmation, targeting 1.0532 – 1.0596, with a stop-loss at 1.0380. Sell Setup: If price fails to break 1.0596, consider short positions targeting 1.0532 – 1.0403, with a stop-loss at 1.0620. Breakout Play: A strong breakout above 1.0596 could open the door for a rally toward 1.0650 – 1.0700. Note: The PMI data release could be the trigger for EUR/USD's next explosive move – stay alert!
by Zanka_
EUR/USD forex trading chart showing a bullish market analysis.This is a EUR/USD forex trading chart showing a bullish market analysis with projected upward movement. Key Points: • Support Levels: 1.04130 - 1.04294 (potential strong buy zone). • Resistance Levels: 1.05908, 1.07833, and 1.08000 (key targets for buyers). • Expected Movement: • Price may stay around 1.045 - 1.059 before pushing towards 1.078. • A bullish channel is forming, indicating an uptrend continuation. This analysis suggests long (buy) trade opportunities, especially around 1.045, targeting 1.078 - 1.080 as the next resistance zone.
by Blue_Pills
EUR/USD – Breakout or Fakeout? Key Levels to Watch!Hello again EUR/USD has been pushing higher, testing a key resistance zone. The question is will it break through or get rejected? 📌 Here’s what I’m watching: 1.0541 is the key level price is hovering around. A clean break could push us towards 1.0644 & 1.0747. If it fails to hold, we might see a retest of 1.0450 and 1.0427. 👀 My Take: If price stays above 1.0541, we could see bullish continuation. But if we drop below 1.0450, then this might have just been a fakeout before heading lower.
Long
by QuantumFusion
2