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EUR/USD_TOM - EUR/USD

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EURUSD_TOM trade ideas

Euro / U.S. Dollar Hello Dear Traders Euro Analysis Based on the DXY analysis, which is bullish, I present to you the updated analysis for the Euro. I have identified the suitable selling area on the 1-hour timeframe. We are in a downward structure on the 4-hour timeframe, while the minor 1-hour chart is bullish. By obtaining confirmation from the 1-hour chart—validated by breaking the CHoCH—we can utilize this area of the Secret Order Block (1H) for entering a sell position. Again, in the selling area, a 5-minute confirmation can help us optimize our entry into the trade. First Support: 1.04494 1-Hour Liquidity: 1.03731 Potential Suitable Buying Area: 1.02720, which I will update once the price reaches this level. Thank you for your support and companionship, dear friends. Wishing you all success! Fereydoon Bahrami A retail trader in the Wall Street Trading Centre (Forex) Risk Disclosure: Trading in the Forex market is risky due to high price volatility. This analysis is solely my personal opinion and should not be considered financial advice. Please do your own research. You are responsible for any profits or losses resulting from this analysis.
Short
by fereydoon1199
EUR/USD Breakout PotentialIt's been a grinding month of February so far but the big takeaway at this point for EUR/USD has been deductive in nature, and that's the fact that sellers haven't been able to break any fresh ground below the January low. Early-Feb saw the threat of tariffs drive a spike-low in the pair, but that held above 1.0200, and then as the tariff threat seemed to recede a bit, EUR/USD pushed up to 1.0500 for two different tests of the big figure. At this point bulls haven't exactly taken over matters, but the slow build of 'less bearish' can then lead into bullish breakouts. In EUR/USD, the Fibonacci retracements produced by the 2021-2022 sell-off, and then the 61.8% bounce from that sell-off, continue to highlight important levels. The 1.0200 level is confluent with the 23.6% retracement of the longer-term move and the 61.8% retracement of the shorter-term move plotting within a single pip of each other. The 50% mark of the shorter-term move from the 2022 low to the 2023 high (which was the 61.8% retracement of the longer-term move) is what helped to hold support last week, after showing as resistance the week before. And sitting overhead is the 1.0611 level, which is confluent as this is the 38.2% retracement of the shorter-term move as well as the 38.2% retracement of the 2022-2023 move. If EUR/USD can push a breakout, that's the next major level of interest. - js
by FOREXcom
EURUSD Will Collapse! SELL! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below: The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.0497 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 1.0474 About Used Indicators: Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
EURUSD selling zone 1. Resistance Area Weakness The resistance zone is marked as a strong rejection area, but there's a possibility that instead of reversing, price could break through. A break above could indicate bullish momentum rather than a reversal. Instead of assuming a rejection, watch for liquidity grabs above the weak high. 2. Support Area Strength Overestimation The support zone is considered a strong level for reversal, but if the market is in a strong bearish trend, the support may fail. Instead of assuming a bounce, consider the possibility of a breakout below support, leading to a further drop 3. Market Structure Bias The analysis focuses on a bearish move from the resistance area, but the recent rally before resistance suggests that buyers were strong. A "Change of Character" (ChoCH) may not always lead to a reversal; sometimes it can be a trap before continuing higher. 4. Alternative Scenarios Instead of the expected drop, price could range between resistance and support before a bigger breakout. Liquidity could be built up near the resistance zone, causing a fakeout before an actual move.
Long
by Fx_Oliviaa
1
EURUSD ShortEURUSD Analysis (H4, Short Position): 1. Current Context: As of the last update (presumably before February 2025), EURUSD was in a downtrend on higher timeframes (e.g., D1), which could influence the H4. Let’s assume the pair recently hit a local high and is showing signs of a downward reversal, aligning with your request for a short-position analysis. 2. Support and Resistance Levels: Resistance: Suppose the nearest significant resistance on H4 is around 1.0500–1.0514 (a psychological level and a zone often mentioned in X posts and TradingView analyses). This could be confirmed by the 50-period EMA or a Supply Zone. Support: The nearest support might be around 1.0400 or slightly lower at 1.0370, where price previously found demand (Demand Zone). 3. Technical Indicators: Moving Averages (EMA): If the 50 EMA crossed below the 200 EMA (bearish cross) or the price bounced off the 50 EMA downward, this strengthens the sell signal. RSI (14): If RSI on H4 is in the overbought zone (above 70) and starts declining, it confirms weakening bullish momentum. Volume: An increase in volume during a downward break of the resistance level could indicate bearish strength. 4. Patterns: On H4, a reversal pattern might be forming, such as a "Double Top" near 1.0514 or a "Head and Shoulders" if the price has already started pulling back from resistance. Alternatively, a break below an ascending channel with a retest of the upper channel line could serve as an entry point for a short. 5. Short Position Scenario: Entry Point: If the price tests 1.0500–1.0514 and shows a bearish rejection (e.g., a pin bar or engulfing pattern), this is an ideal moment to enter a short. Stop-Loss: Place the stop just above resistance, e.g., at 1.0530, to account for potential false breakouts. Take-Profit: First target at 1.0400 (about 100–140 pips profit), second target at 1.0370 if bearish momentum persists. Risk/Reward Ratio: With a 20–30 pip stop and a first target of 100 pips, you get at least a 1:3 ratio, which is acceptable for the strategy. 6. Fundamental Factors: While this is a technical analysis, note that EURUSD is heavily influenced by U.S. data (e.g., NFP, Fed interest rates) and Eurozone events (ECB decisions). If strong dollar-supportive data is expected soon, it could reinforce the bearish scenario.
Short
by Trade_Hive_Signals
UPDATE ON EUR/USDEUR/USD 1H - As you can see price clearly didn't need the Supply to the upside in order to carry on this journey correcting price lower. This isn't an issue for us it just means we wait for the right buy opportunity now to present itself. I want to see price come to clear the Demand Zone below and from there offer us the chance to get involved in this market in some long positions. In order for us to deem a valid entry we will need to see price clear the zone and break structure to the upside. A break in structure to the upside will confirm the end of the correction and the start of the next wave trading this market higher, once we have that fractal break to the upside we can then prepare for the long position. When we look to place the long position we will stick our SL below the zone we get involved from and our TP will be set just below the last higher timeframe high thats been set in the market.
Long
by Lukegforex
Trading Signans for EUR/USD sell below 1.05280The upcoming week is filled with important fundamental events, which puts the EUR/USD pair at a critical juncture -it could either move toward the 5th figure range or descend to the 3rd figure range. Last week, the EUR/USD recorded a high of 1.0507 and a low of 1.0401, closing on Friday at 1.0461, which is essentially in the middle of this price range. This outcome reflects the indecision among both buyers and sellers in the EUR/USD market.
Short
by CEO-PREMIUM-ANALYSIS
1
I'm buying EURUSDYesterday's buy closed at BE. The market was slow so I moved SL to BE. Trading with confluence really helps a lot as a trader. I bought EUR, and then after analyzing GBPUSD, I found out it should go lower before continuing higher if it is really in an uptrend; and it did that today. My only hesitation to this trade is time, I dont like trading EUR during asian session. Be that as it may, the trade will hit TP 1 @ 1.0510 before weekend. Now, if there is a run below my stop loss and I'm not around to post again, enter once more if you see any bullish confirmation. I dont think it will go below again, but I want you to be ready if it did. I want you to make money...
Long
by UGBOR
EUR/USD – Bullish Outlook for Next Week🔹 Higher Timeframe Structure: The daily timeframe structure remains bullish, with clear signs of institutional order flow supporting further upside. Last week's price action confirmed a shift in momentum, respecting key bullish levels. 🔹 Key Technical Levels: ✅ Daily FVG (Fair Value Gap) Support: Acting as a strong demand zone, buyers are expected to step in from this area. ✅ Next Bullish Target: 1.06600 – This level aligns with previous liquidity pools and imbalance fill zones. ✅ Market Structure: Higher highs (HH) & higher lows (HL) indicate continued bullish pressure. 🔹 Institutional Confluence: 🔸 Liquidity has been built below recent lows, creating a potential liquidity grab before a strong bullish expansion. 🔸 SMC Concepts: Price is trading within an unmitigated Order Block (OB), adding confirmation for a bullish reaction. 🔸 Volume Profile: Increasing institutional volume suggests accumulation in the current zone. 📌 Plan for Next Week: As long as price holds within the Daily FVG, we anticipate bullish continuation towards 1.06600. If we get confirmation from the lower timeframes (H4/M15), we will look for long entries with high R:R setups. 💡 Follow for more high-accuracy analysis & real-time trade updates! 🚀 #EURUSD #Forex #SmartMoney #ICT #SMC #Liquidity #ForexTrading
Long
by twb1122
EURUSD - The downtrend is expected to resume!The EURUSD pair unsuccessfully attempts to recover and break upwards from its last high at 1.0533. The recent failure below the oblique resistance H4 shows that the upward movement is potentially over and that sellers are slowly regaining control. In other words, it is difficult to bet on the asset rising with lower and lower highs. A rise in the US dollar in the coming days is possible with why not a return to areas located around 1.0400 or even 1.0300-1.0250 with the help of Donald Trump if he takes decisions favorable to the dollar. Furthermore, the results of the elections in Germany this weekend could have a downward impact on the euro, which would support my scenario.
Short
by Traderscope
EUR/USD H4 Descending Triangle: Short Setup w/ 1:4RRThe EUR/USD is currently trading at 1.04306, showing a slight decline of -0.14% (-0.00148). The pair is forming a descending triangle pattern, which is typically a continuation pattern in a downward trend. Key Technical Levels: - Resistance: 1.04659 (Key resistance level) - Support: 1.03197 (Current support level/PWL) - Value Area: Marked on the chart showing price consolidation Pattern Analysis: The price action has formed a clear descending triangle with: - A flat bottom around 1.03197 - Declining tops, creating a downward sloping resistance line - Decreasing volume during consolidation (visible in the volume bars below) Indicator Analysis: 1. Volume Profile shows: - Major value area between 1.04475 and 1.03197 - Point of Control (POC) appears to be around 1.04423 - Decreasing volume suggesting potential breakout incoming Price Structure: - Currently trading below the PWH (Previous Week High) - Trading within the value area - Showing signs of bearish momentum with lower highs Short-term Outlook: Given the descending triangle formation and the position of key technical levels, the setup appears bearish. The following factors support this view: 1. Price is testing the lower boundary of the value area 2. Declining volume during consolidation 3. Unable to break above 1.04659 resistance 4. Formation of lower highs Trade Setup Parameters: - Entry Price: 1.04379 - Stop Loss: 1.04659 (280 ticks) - Take Profit: 1.03197 (1182 ticks) - Risk: 1.00% - Position Size: 0.5 lots - Account Size: 100,000 Risk/Reward Ratio: The setup offers approximately a 1:4.2 risk-to-reward ratio, which is favorable for a technical setup. Key Levels to Watch: - Break below 1.03197 could accelerate selling pressure - Break above 1.04659 would invalidate the bearish setup - SSL levels at 1.03198 and 1.04225 acting as additional reference points Caution: Traders should be aware of: - Potential weekend gaps as we're near market close - Any fundamental catalysts that could affect EUR/USD - The need for proper position sizing as indicated in the setup This analysis suggests a bearish bias with clear invalidation levels and a favorable risk-reward ratio. However, proper risk management and confirmation of breakout direction are essential before entering any position.
Short
by FXCapitalClub