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GBPJPY.100.CSM trade ideas

GBP/JPY Analysis BUYCurrently observing a potential bullish reversal on GBP/JPY. After a recent downtrend, the pair seems to be approaching key Fibonacci levels that could act as support zones for a bullish rebound. The recent price action shows a descending wedge formation, often indicative of an impending breakout. Key support levels are noted around the 38.2% and 50% Fibonacci retracement zones, which align with previous structural support levels. If the price manages to hold above these areas, we could anticipate a bullish impulse towards the 197.750 - 198.500 zone. I've also identified a potential double-bottom pattern in this area, suggesting increased buyer interest. A break above the 198.080 resistance could lead to further upside movement, with targets around the 198.903 and possibly beyond. Monitoring for a breakout confirmation before entering a long position. Stay tuned for updates!
Long
by AEL_Education
1
GBPJPY BEARISH FOR 140PIPSEntry Point: Look for an entry around a resistance level on a 4H or daily chart. A retest of broken support could also be an ideal entry area. Stop Loss and Take Profit: Position a stop loss just above a recent swing high to minimize risk, with a profit target aligned to key support zones that give the potential for a 1,140-pip move. Trailing Stop: Since this target is large, using a trailing stop can lock in profits while allowing the trade to capitalize on prolonged trends.
Short
by LORDOFTHETRADERS
GBPJPY LONG SETUP Smart Money Play for GBPJPY With GBPJPY showing signs of support in the current range, the smart play would involve waiting for confirmation of continued strength before entering long, or positioning for a minor pullback in line with the recent shift in momentum. 1. Identify Key Support Zone • Price is currently testing the 100 SMA on the 4-hour chart and is positioned near two previous significant turning points. This level could act as a pivotal support if buyers re-enter the market here, as it has been a strong level in the past. • The presence of the 4-hour Ichimoku cloud just below price suggests that any break lower could see further downside, but above it, we may be primed for a continuation to the upside. 2. Volume and Trend Alignment on the Daily • With the ADL, CMF, and CMO still positive, underlying buying pressure remains intact. The positive daily Ichimoku cloud further confirms a bullish trend, especially since price is above the cloud and the lagging span is supportive above price. • Daily RSI being above 50 also supports a bullish outlook, though the recent fall indicates a need for confirmation that buyers are indeed stepping in at this level. 3. Monitor Lower Timeframes for Pullback Confirmation or Reversal • 4-Hour Chart: Wait for bullish confirmation to resume on the 4-hour MACD or RSI. If the RSI and MACD indicators start to show signs of upward momentum, it could signal that buyers are actively defending this level, supporting a bullish entry. • 2-Hour MACD: The MACD remains dark red, signaling current downside momentum. For a higher-probability entry, wait until MACD shifts lighter or flips entirely, indicating a possible end to the pullback. 4. Confluence with Bollinger Bands and Divergence on Lower Timeframes • The price recently touched the upper band of the daily Bollinger Bands, indicating a high point, and is now testing the 20 SMA. This setup suggests we are at a consolidation or retracement phase. • On the 15-minute chart, RSI divergence (price making higher lows while RSI makes lower lows) could hint at a potential bullish reversal at this support zone, but higher timeframe confirmation is needed. Trade Idea Given these signals, there are two potential smart-money plays: 1. Long Continuation: • Wait for the 4-hour indicators (MACD and RSI) to confirm a bullish reversal. Enter long if RSI begins to rise again and MACD shows green momentum, ideally with a close above the 100 SMA on the 4-hour as confirmation of strength. • Place stop-loss below the 4-hour Ichimoku cloud or recent support levels, aiming for an initial target near 199 or the upper Bollinger Band on the daily. 2. Short Pullback Trade (if price breaks 4-hour support): • If price breaks and closes below the 100 SMA and the lower edge of the 4-hour Ichimoku cloud, consider a short entry targeting the daily 20 SMA or the 197 level as interim support. • Monitor CMF and ADL for signs of waning buying pressure, as well as confirmation from MACD on lower timeframes turning darker again, supporting a continued down move. Summary of Smart Money Play 1. Trend Bias: Overall bullish on the daily, but cautious of the pullback on the 4-hour and lower timeframes. 2. Setup: Wait for pullback completion or a break of support for bearish continuation. 3. Entry Trigger: Use 4-hour MACD and RSI as signals to confirm reversal to the upside or continued weakness. 4. Risk Management: Place stops below significant support zones, targeting recent highs or lower support levels in line with the trend.
Long
by EliteMarketAnalysis
GBP/JPY H1 | Potential bullish reversalGBP/JPY is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 198.04 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 196.95 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level. Take profit is at 199.51 which is a pullback resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
GBP/JPY Analysis: Shorterm BuyThe GBP/JPY pair currently shows a retracement from recent highs, and we can observe key levels of support and resistance based on Fibonacci retracement levels and trend lines. Trendline Support: A rising trendline from previous lows suggests continued bullish momentum as long as the price respects this trendline. The recent test of this trendline indicates a possible continuation to the upside if buyers maintain control. Fibonacci Retracement Levels: Key retracement levels are marked: The 23.6% retracement near 198.97 serves as the first potential resistance area. A break above this level could lead the price towards the next resistance. 38.2% (198.61) and 50% (198.33) levels provide additional zones where the price might face resistance before potentially moving higher. Key Support Levels: The 198.00 level acts as a psychological and technical support, with further support down to 197.50. If the price breaks below these support levels, it may signal a reversal or deeper correction. Potential Scenarios: Bullish Scenario: If the price respects the trendline and moves above 198.97, we might see an attempt to test the recent highs around 199.50 - 199.70. Bearish Scenario: Failure to hold above the trendline and a breakdown below 197.50 could initiate a deeper pullback, possibly targeting support levels around 196.50 or lower. Conclusion: The bias remains bullish as long as the trendline support holds. However, key resistance levels around 198.97 - 199.50 need to be watched closely, as they could signal either a breakout to new highs or a potential reversal if selling pressure intensifies.
Long
by AEL_Education