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GBPUSD.1.MINI trade ideas

GBP/USD – 15M Short Setup (NY Session)Took a short position after a clear rejection from a key supply zone right at the New York Open, following a strong bullish push during London. 🧠 Trade Idea & Confluences: • Supply Zone: Price tapped into a 15M supply area, showing multiple rejections with wicks and bearish momentum. • Structure Shift: Break of minor bullish structure – signaling a possible reversal. • NY Open Volatility: Leveraging high volume for a strong move away from supply. • EMA Confluence: Price losing the 20 EMA, now acting as dynamic resistance. • Risk-to-Reward: Solid R:R (~3R), targeting an untapped demand zone and imbalance fill below. 🎯 Trade Setup: • Entry: After bearish engulfing on rejection from supply • Stop Loss: Above the recent high • Take Profit: Into 15M demand zone, near previous Asian session highs ⸻ If you want, I can also add a few hashtags for better visibility: #GBPUSD #SmartMoney #SupplyDemand #DayTrading #ForexStrategy #NYSession #PriceAction #15MChart #TradeSetup
Short
by MGXTRADE
2
GBPUSD My analysis for 4/10 8:55am. I’ve analyzed all the information—the price action, indicators, candlestick patterns, and the fresh fundamental news—and here’s why I believe this trade is compelling: Overextension and Price Structure: Right now, the price is at 1.29490, which is significantly higher than the recent consolidation range of 1.281–1.285. This tells me that the market has pushed far beyond its comfort zone—a classic setup for a reversal pullback. I recognize this overextension as a warning sign that the rally might be overdone, especially when I consider the intraday price structure. Candlestick Patterns and Timeframe Confluence: On the 1‑hour and 15‑minute charts, I’m seeing strong bearish candlestick formations like bearish marubozu and long-line bearish candles. These patterns show that sellers have been in control, and they typically indicate a clean, unimpeded move to the downside when a reversal begins. Even though there are some mixed signals on the weekly charts (with dojis and uncertain high waves suggesting indecision), the microstructure on the shorter timeframes tells me there's immediate selling pressure that I can exploit. Indicator Confirmation: I’m also paying close attention to my indicators. The RSI on the 1‑hour chart is around 71, pushing into overbought territory, which signals that the upward momentum has likely peaked. Directional indicators, including the PLUS_DI versus MINUS_DI, further support a bias toward a corrective move downward. The ATR of approximately 0.00538 gives me a concrete measure of volatility, which I can use to set a well-defined stop-loss. Fundamental Catalyst: The market’s recent surge has been partly driven by fresh fundamental news—contrasting tariff policies where the U.S. has relaxed tariffs while China hikes them. This divergence has spurred a burst of volatility and risk-off behavior. I see this fundamental news as amplifying the current overextension; the initial rally was impulsive, and now the fundamentals back the idea that the move isn’t sustainable. Trade Setup and Risk Management: Based on this confluence, I plan to wait for a clear reversal signal on the lower timeframes—a bearish engulfing candle or a pin bar, ideally forming around 1.292–1.290. That’s when I would enter a short position. I’d set my stop-loss just above the recent highs (around 1.296–1.297) to accommodate normal volatility, as indicated by my ATR. For my profit target, I’m aiming for the support level around 1.278–1.281, which provides me with a favorable risk/reward ratio. In summary, I believe this trade is attractive because the current price is clearly overextended relative to a recent consolidation, and the technical indicators (including bearish candlestick patterns and an overbought RSI) confirm that sellers have the upper hand in the short term. Coupled with the fundamental catalyst driving uncertainty, it makes sense for me to target a reversal pullback. Waiting for that confirmation around 1.292–1.290 with tight risk controls gives me confidence that I’m entering a high-confluence trade with strong downside potential.
Short
by Sel_Ali
GBPUSD Technical Analysis! SELL! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for GBPUSD below: The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.2924 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 1.2858 About Used Indicators: Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
GBPUSD INTRADAY bullish continuation above 1.2765 support GBP/USD maintains a bullish bias, with the broader trend and structure supporting upside continuation. The recent intraday move appears to be a corrective pullback toward a key prior consolidation area. Key Support: 1.2765 – aligns with the previous consolidation zone and potential bullish inflection point. Upside Targets: 1.2935 – initial resistance level 1.2985 and 1.3026 – medium to long-term bullish targets If price finds support at 1.2765 and forms a bullish reversal, it would confirm the continuation of the uptrend toward the mentioned resistance levels. However, a break and daily close below 1.2765 would invalidate the bullish scenario, suggesting deeper retracement toward 1.2688, with further support at 1.2632 and 1.2600. Conclusion GBP/USD remains bullish above 1.2765. Look for a bounce from this level to confirm upside continuation. A daily close below 1.2765 would turn the outlook bearish, exposing lower support levels. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
GBPUSD H4 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 1.2885, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibo retracement. Our take profit is set at 1.2721, an overlap support. The stop loss is set at 1.3009, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibo retracement. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
GBPUSD Long?... not for long! Technical Analysis Summary (Multi-Timeframe View) Price Structure & Patterns Higher lows since April 8th = bullish market structure Several bullish candles (belt-hold, closing marubozu, doji on higher TF) suggest momentum shift upward The bearish harami on the 30-min adds caution — likely short-term consolidation, not reversal Support & Resistance Zones Support: 1.2785–1.2800 (prior rejection zone + buyer defense) Current minor resistance: 1.2845–1.2855 (hit twice recently — strong short-term cap) Next real resistance: 1.2890–1.2915 (April 7–8 highs) Major resistance: 1.2935–1.2950 (where sellers aggressively capped rallies on April 7) Indicators of Note RSI on 1H = 72.56 → approaching overbought, which aligns with current resistance MACD on 4H is positive = bullish momentum, though 1H MACD is nearly flat → move is maturing ADX 1H = 44 → Strong trend ATR 1H = 0.00358 (≈ 36 pips) → Expect that kind of volatility range Fundamentals April 9 FOMC Minutes: Hawkish USD strength likely to return soon, but it hasn't crushed GBP yet. April 10 CPI (coming up soon): Expectations are slightly soft: CPI 2.6% vs previous 2.8%, Core CPI flat If CPI misses → dollar weakens, GBP/USD rallies to next resistance If CPI beats → USD strengthens, GBP/USD pullback likely April 11 UK GDP and Trade GDP expected positive (from -0.17% to +0.1%) → could support GBP Option 1: Conservative TP (Safe Profit Lock-In) TP1: 1.2860 = Just under current resistance It's been tested a few times and could act as a double top if CPI hits strong. Option 2: Moderate-Aggressive TP (Event Risk Carry) TP2: 1.2870–1.2915 = Next resistance zone, April 7–8 top Bullish structure + current momentum could extend if CPI is dollar-negative (inflation soft). Good night everyone!
Long
by Sel_Ali
GBPUSD — Eyes on FOMC | Key Levels & Bearish Continuation SetupGBPUSD 4H Analysis Technical Outlook — April 9, 2025 Currently trading around 1.2775, GBPUSD is showing signs of bearish momentum after breaking below the 200 EMA on the 4H timeframe. Key Technical Highlights: Price is currently stuck between resistance at 1.2800 - 1.2850 and support at 1.2700 - 1.2650. Fib Cloud and moving averages are turning bearish. Stochastic indicator is in the neutral zone but could provide momentum confirmation on breakdowns. Immediate bearish targets are 1.2700 followed by 1.2600 and 1.2450 levels. Possible Scenarios: A pullback towards 1.2800 - 1.2850 resistance zone could attract sellers for the next leg down. Clean break below 1.2700 could open doors for 1.2600 and 1.2450 support levels. Important Note: FOMC Rate Decision is scheduled for today — expect heightened volatility across USD pairs. Be cautious with risk management during the news event. If you found this analysis valuable, kindly consider boosting and following for more updates. Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Short
by MarketsPOV
Ok i closed my sell for GBPUSD After my analysis this morning I decided to close my sell trade with very minimal profits. The trade was placed too early and I'd rather go along with the current trend instead of the overall trend. This will give me better positions. Key Observations Trend and Directional Indicators: EMA (1.31338), DEMA (1.31573), and KAMA (1.31361) are positioned above the current price level, suggesting that the broader market remains bearish, or at least indecisive with downward pressure. Aroon Oscillator (71.43) indicates a strengthening trend, which may confirm the continuation of the current movement. The Directional Movement Index (DX ~18.31) suggests a relatively weak trend strength, but PLUS_DI (20.91) outweighing MINUS_DI (14.44) hints at potential bullish momentum building. Momentum Indicators: RSI (53.42) reflects neutral territory, which indicates neither overbought nor oversold conditions. It aligns with the notion of waiting for clearer signals. MACD (0.00353) shows mild bullish divergence, suggesting potential upward momentum in the near term. Chande Momentum Oscillator (6.85) supports modest bullish movement, but it’s not extreme. Volatility and Price Action: ATR (0.00422) and Standard Deviation (0.00303) suggest low volatility, providing an opportunity for tighter risk management (closer stop-loss and smaller targets). Commodity Channel Index (CCI -67.63) indicates price trading near the lower end of typical levels, signaling potential support or stabilization. Oscillators and Reversals: Williams %R (-69.67) reflects a mildly oversold condition but not yet extreme—suggesting price may consolidate before a decisive move. Ultimate Oscillator (64.66) aligns with balanced market sentiment, potentially pointing toward continuation rather than a reversal.
by Sel_Ali
GBPUSD - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short TermH1 - Strong bearish momentum No opposite signs Expecting bearish continuation until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by VladimirRibakov
The Day Ahead Wednesday, April 9 – Market Highlights Economic Data: US February Wholesale Trade Sales – Insight into inventory and business spending; may impact GDP outlook. Japan March Consumer Confidence – Indicator of consumer sentiment; could influence JPY and equities. Japan Machine Tool Orders – Key for industrial activity; relevant for JPY and manufacturing stocks. Central Banks: FOMC Meeting Minutes – Closely watched for clues on Fed’s rate path; could move Treasuries, USD, and equities. Fed’s Barkin Speaks – May offer fresh policy signals. BoJ Governor Ueda Speaks – Comments could affect JPY and Japanese bonds. ECB’s Knot and Cipollone Speak – Potential impact on EUR if policy views are signaled. RBNZ Rate Decision – Markets expect a hold; tone of statement may move NZD. Earnings: Seven & i Holdings – Insight into Japanese retail and consumer spending. Delta Air Lines – Early look at travel demand and input costs; relevant for transport and consumer sectors. Constellation Brands – Watch for trends in consumer demand and margins. Auctions: US 10-Year Note Auction – Key for rate sentiment; demand could impact yields and broader market tone. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
GBP/USD Today - Maintaining Uptrend🔔🔔🔔 GBP/USD news: ➡️ The British Pound (GBP) extended its previous day’s rebound, rising toward 1.2850 against the U.S. Dollar (USD) during Wednesday’s European session. The GBP/USD pair gained as the U.S. dollar remains under selling pressure amid growing concerns that the United States may enter a recession this year. TheU.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the greenback against a basket of six major currencies, dropped sharply toward the 102.00 level. ➡️ A renewed escalation in the U.S.-China trade conflict has heightened fears of a U.S. trade conflict. recession. recession. On Tuesday, President Donald Trump signed an order raising tariffs on Chinese goods to 104% after Beijing responded with retaliatory measures. Trump also accused China of currency manipulation to offset the impact of higher tariffs. Personal opinion: ➡️ The US-China trade war is getting hotter, which will be detrimental to the USD, supporting the GBP/USD currency pair. Therefore, GBP/USD remains within the uptrend line. ➡️ Analysis based on important resistance - support and Fibonacci levels combined with trend lines to come up with a suitable strategy Plan: 🔆Price Zone Setup: 👉Buy GBP/USD 1.2815 – 1.2800 ❌SL: 1.2760 | ✅TP: 1.2865 – 1.2900 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Long
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
GBPUSD(20250409)Today's AnalysisMarket news: The U.S. Customs and Border Protection Agency reiterated that the specific tax rates for each country will be announced at 12:01 a.m. on April 9. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 1.2764 Support and resistance levels: 1.2862 1.2825 1.2802 1.2726 1.2702 1.2666 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 1.2802, consider buying, the first target price is 1.2825 If the price breaks through 1.2764, consider selling, the first target price is 1.2726
by BraveTigercat