GBP/USD M15 – Breakout AlertGBP/USD M15 – Breakout Alert
The GBP/USD pair on the 15-minute timeframe is showing a potential buying opportunity following the breakout of a consolidation pattern. This breakout indicates a possible shift in momentum to the upside, increasing the likelihood of continued bullish movement in the near term.
Trade Idea – Long Setup:
Entry: Consider entering around the trendline zone of the breakout pattern (approx. 1.32200–1.32300).
Target 1: 1.33214
Target 2: 1.33600
Stop Loss: Below recent structure low or Ichimoku cloud support.
This setup is backed by momentum indicators and breakout structure. Keep an eye on volume and price action near the entry zone for confirmation.
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JAMES_GOLD_MASTER_MQL5
GBPUSD.1.MINI trade ideas
GBPUSD today should buy or sell?GBP/USD continues to build on its bullish momentum, reclaiming the 1.3100 level on Monday morning. The ongoing weakness of the U.S. dollar suggests that the path of least resistance for this pair remains to the upside.
The key monthly employment report is set to be released on Tuesday, followed by the latest consumer inflation data on Wednesday. In addition, investors this week will also face the release of U.S. monthly Retail Sales figures and pay close attention to a speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell — a speech that could play a crucial role in shaping the USD’s price dynamics. These events are expected to provide meaningful catalysts for the GBP/USD pair in the latter part of the week.
Elliott Wave Confirms That GBPUSD Has Resumed Its Upward MoveGBPUSD has recently broken above its April 3, 2025 peak of 1.3207, which we identified as wave (1) in the chart. This breakout signals a bullish trend starting from the January 13, 2025 low of 1.2705, suggesting more upward movement ahead. The rally from this low follows a five-wave Elliott Wave pattern. This is a common structure in technical analysis indicating a strong trend.
Starting from the January 13 low, the first wave or wave (1) reached 1.3207.,A pullback in wave (2) then followed which ended at 1.2705. This pullback formed a zigzag pattern. Wave A dropped to 1.2823, wave B rose to 1.2934, and wave C fell to 1.2705, completing wave (2).
The pair has now moved higher into wave (3). From the wave (2) low, the first sub-wave (wave ((i))) peaked at 1.2864, followed by a dip in wave ((ii)) to 1.274. The third sub-wave (wave ((iii))) climbed to 1.314, and the fourth (wave ((iv))) dipped to 1.3027. The fifth sub-wave (wave ((v))) is expected to finish soon, completing wave 1 of a larger pattern.
After this, the pair is likely to pull back in wave 2, correcting the upward move from the April 8, 2025 low. This correction could unfold in 3, 7, or 11 smaller swings before the pair resumes its upward trend. In the short term, as long as the 1.27 low holds, any dips should attract buyers in 3, 7, or 11 swings, supporting further gains.
GBPUSD 4HRSCentral Bank Heads and Policy Influence
Bank of England (BoE) – Governor Andrew Bailey
Policy Stance: Andrew Bailey has emphasized caution on rate cuts, noting that UK inflation pressures are falling only gradually. The BoE has kept its main rate at 4.5% and signaled that it needs more evidence before easing policy. However, market expectations are shifting, with investors now pricing in two rate cuts in 2024 and a 50/50 chance of a first cut as early as June or August.
Impact: The BoE’s cautious approach has supported GBP recently, but dovish signals and the likelihood of rate cuts later in 2025 are weighing on the pound’s medium-term outlook. Bailey’s leadership is seen as steady but data-dependent, and his upcoming role as Chair of the Financial Stability Board may enhance his international influence.
US Federal Reserve – Chair Jerome Powell
Policy Stance: Jerome Powell has reiterated the need for patience and caution before making any changes to US rates, stressing the importance of more clarity on economic and inflation trends. The Fed’s benchmark rate remains at 4.25%–4.50%, and Powell’s recent comments suggest the Fed is in no rush to cut, especially with inflation still above target and new uncertainties from US tariff policies.
Political Pressure: President Trump has publicly criticized Powell for not cutting rates and has threatened his removal, but Powell remains committed to his term and the Fed’s independence. This political tension adds uncertainty but, for now, the Fed’s stance remains steady and data-driven.
Impact: The Fed’s reluctance to cut rates supports the dollar, especially as the BoE moves closer to easing. This policy divergence is a key factor in the current and expected bias for GBP/USD.
Summary Table: Central Bank Influence on GBP/USD
Central Bank Head Current Stance Expected Policy Move Impact on GBP/USD Directional Bias
Andrew Bailey (BoE) Cautious, data-driven Rate cuts likely in 2024 Weighs on GBP medium-term, limits upside
Jerome Powell (Fed) Patient, hawkish-leaning Rate cuts delayed Supports USD, adds downside risk to GBP/USD
Conclusion
Near-term: GBP/USD retains a bullish bias above supplyroof , but the upside may be capped as markets anticipate BoE rate cuts while the Fed remains on hold.
Medium-term: Policy divergence—BoE turning dovish and Fed staying cautious—suggests a bearish tilt for GBP/USD as 2025 progresses, unless US economic data weakens sharply or the Fed pivots sooner than expected.
Central Bank Heads: The leadership and communication styles of Andrew Bailey and Jerome Powell are central to market expectations, with Bailey’s caution and Powell’s patience both shaping the pair’s directional bias.
#SHVAYFXHUB
Price will arrive POI soon Volume, Liquidity, and Reaction – Price Mechanism
Volume is a way to observe the raw price activity in the market. It is the first thing to look out for before searching for money or liquidity.
For example, if I want to sell or buy something, I would rather go to a place where there are plenty of people who can potentially buy it, or to a place where the item is sold in bulk. That’s volume.
Liquidity: Topic for another day.
Reaction: refers to how the price behaves around your levels. Is the price reacting to your level?
GBPUSD H4 | Bullish Bounce Off 23.6% FiboBased on the H4 chart analysis, the price is approaching our buy entry level at 1.3163, a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 1.3348, aligning with the 127.2% Fibo extension
The stop loss is placed at 1.3015, a pullback support that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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GBP/USD upcoming shorts from 1.33600 back down to demandMy focus this week for GU is around a key daily supply zone that price is currently approaching. As we near this level, I expect price to slow down and begin distributing, potentially leading to a deeper retracement. I anticipate the short setup to form around Tuesday, depending on how price reacts.
If price does retrace, I’ll be watching the 2-hour and 17-hour demand zones, where we could see a bullish reaction and a potential rally from those levels. Since GU has been overall bullish, this would be a counter-trend short, followed by a possible continuation to the upside.
Confluences for GBP/USD Shorts:
- Price is overbought, indicating a potential correction to clear liquidity and fill imbalances.
- Plenty of downside liquidity and imbalances that price could target.
- Approaching a strong daily supply zone, which could act as a key reversal point.
- Unmitigated demand zones below, which may need to be tapped before price continues higher.
P.S. If price doesn’t reach the daily supply zone, I’ll remain patient and look for a buy opportunity to ride price up toward that supply level.
Wishing everyone a great trading week ahead!
“GBP/USD Long Setup: Demand Zone Bounce Toward 1.35000 Target ”🔍 Trade Setup
🟦 Entry Point: 1.32171
➤ Price is near the 7 EMA – good for a possible bounce.
🟩 Demand Zone: 1.31761 - 1.31500
➤ This is where buyers previously stepped in.
➤ Strong support area – watch for bullish reversal candles here.
🔻 Stop Loss: 1.31141
➤ Below the demand zone to protect against a fakeout.
🎯 Target Point: 1.35000
➤ Big upside target – aiming for a strong rally.
⚖️ Risk to Reward
❌ Risk: 1.32171 → 1.31141 = ~103 pips
✅ Reward: 1.32171 → 1.35000 = ~283 pips
⚖️ R:R Ratio: ≈ 1:2.75 – very favorable!
✅ Summary
🔸 Trend is bullish with strong momentum
🔸 EMA is acting as dynamic support
🔸 Demand zone is clearly respected
🔸 Great R:R setup for a long trade
GBP/USD 4H Chart Analysis – Bullish Reversal from Demand ZoneGBP/USD 4H Chart Analysis
Current Price: 1.27883
Timeframe: 4H (OANDA)
Key Zones:
🟦 Demand Zone (Support Area):
📍 Between 1.26873 (🔻 Stop Loss) and current price
This is where buyers are expected to step in and push the price higher.
🚀 Expected Move: The price is consolidating in the demand zone and might breakout upward.
➡️ Possible path:
1. Small pullback within demand zone
2. 📈 Breakout up to 1.29162 (🔵 First Resistance)
3. 📈 Continuation up to 1.31083 (🎯 Target Point)
Important Levels:
🔻 Stop Loss: 1.26873
(If price drops below this, setup is invalid)
🛑 Mid-Resistance Level: 1.29162
(Might face temporary selling pressure here)
🎯 Target Point: 1.31083
(Take-profit zone)
Conclusion:
📉 If price breaks below 1.26873 → trade invalid ❌
📈 If price holds and breaks above resistance → bullish potential ✅
Risk/Reward setup looks favorable from demand zone to target
GBPUSD: So the highest high would break soon?So strong bullish that keeps everyone out of the trade except the big sharks :) 2 scenarios ready for entry, but I'm skeptical if the sharks would let me tag along...
by the way congrats to anyone catch that big bullish move. look at the volume and I'm so jealous :D
UPDATE ON GBP/USD TRADEGBP/USD 15M - How we getting on people I hope you are all okay, as you can see price has played out very well for us overnight and we are seeing price really take off.
I have gone ahead and taken another partial here just to bank some profits from the trade which as a result removes risk from the market as well.
This trade is currently running + 100 pips. (+ 4.3%) 4.3RR
A big well done to all of you who jumped in on this position, if you have any questions with regards to the analysis or the trade itself then please drop me a message or comment below.
Its so important that you manage your trade correctly and you take partials throughout the position. As I have mentioned I have taken a partial here for 50% of my position.
GU-Fri-18/04/25 TDA-Let GU cool off, be ready for next week!Analysis done directly on the chart
If you don't know where to start, just
start focusing on yourself. Treat well yourself,
stay in shape, understand yourself before
others, build up your confidence, let go the
ego (you don't want to be your own enemy).
What you're doing outside of trading can
affect your trading performance as well.
Have you ever thought about it?
Share your experiences in the comment!
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
DeGRAM | GBPUSD Strengthening Pound📊 Technical Analysis
- Uptrending channel
The GBP/USD pair is moving steadily within the ascending channel, having recently tested key support levels (“break and retest”).
- Key Resistance
Immediate resistance at $1.32; a break of this level means further strengthening of bullish sentiment.
- Predicted Scenario
A confirmed break above $1.32 opens the way to 1.33.
Fundamental Analysis 💡
Strong UK wage growth (5.9%) and GDP growth (0.5%) support GBP strength. A weaker USD amid easing trade tensions also favors GBP/USD.
✨ Summary
Positive fundamentals complement a clear bullish technical situation. Keep a close eye on a break above $1.32 to confirm the continuation of GBP/USD upside!
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
GBP/USD ANALYSISGBP/USD 15M - As you can see price has traded down and into the Demand Zone we have marked out above, this is after price has cleared and absorbed a level of Supply in the market.
This tells me that there is more Demand in the market than there is Supply and price is still showing clear signs of bullish structure with it not breaking any protected lows.
This trade is currently running + 17 pips. (+ 0.77%) 0.77RR
Based on this I have gone ahead and placed a long position with my SL below the zone I have gone ahead and got involved from and my TP is set at a higher timeframe area of Supply where I feel it may shake price once it trades in.
Well done to those of you who jumped in on this trade, if you have any questions with regards to the analysis or the trade itself drop me a message or comment below!
GBP/USD: The Bear's Ride Down the TrendAs I assess the GBP/USD market today, I see that the current price is 1.32466, and I’ve taken a sell position at 1.32480, which is moving well. Based on recent fundamentals, technical indicators, and historical weekly data, here’s my full market breakdown:
Fundamentals & Economic Outlook
Recent US economic data has provided mixed signals for the dollar:
Initial & 4-Week Jobless Claims: Came in lower than expected, signaling a stronger labor market, which supports USD strength.
Continuing Jobless Claims: Higher than expected, showing some lingering unemployment pressure.
Housing Starts: Significantly below expectations, hinting at weakness in real estate.
Building Permits: Surpassed expectations, suggesting future construction remains strong.
Looking ahead to next week, key events will shape price action:
UK S&P Global PMIs: If manufacturing and services figures improve, GBP may gain traction.
US PMIs & Home Sales: Expected to trend lower, possibly weakening USD momentum.
UK Retail Sales (Friday): Anticipated to drop significantly, which could weigh on GBP.
US Michigan Consumer Sentiment: Forecasted to decline, potentially putting USD under pressure.
With these fundamental factors, GBP/USD faces mixed conditions—potential volatility ahead.
Momentum readings show caution for bulls:
Short-term (1-minute to 15-minute) indicators suggest mild consolidation.
The 1-hour and daily charts indicate GBP/USD is overextended compared to historical averages.
Weekly and monthly averages are much lower (~1.27047 and 1.23141), signaling the risk of mean reversion.
Trading Strategy & Considerations
Since I’m already in a sell position, I’m watching support levels closely for profit-taking zones.
If price dips near 1.3100, I might secure partial profits before assessing further downside potential.
I’ll keep an eye on daily EMA (~1.25176) as a deeper support that might act as a turning point.
Technical divergences (such as the Accumulation Distribution Oscillator) hint at distribution pressure, reinforcing my bearish bias.
With all this being said, i'm looking for a new pair to dive deep into. What do you recommend and why? Im all ears! also dont hesitate to reach out id love to talk about forex! :) im in the works of creating a youtube page and maybe a X account. Hope to reach some of you there as well.
p.s i love this shit!
GBPUSD is in the Buying Direction after Testing SupportHello Traders
In This Chart GBPUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today GBPUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GBPUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GBPUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
GBPUSD: Continue to riseFor GBP/USD, we still mainly choose to go long during the pullback and go short as a supplement.
GBPUSD trading strategy
buy @:1.31900-1.32100
sl 1.31000
tp 1.32750-1.32850
Today, the trend of GBPUSD basically coincides with what I predicted yesterday. You can click on my personal profile to view the previously published content.
GBP/USD Pullback PotentialIt took awhile for Cable to finally mount a rally above the 1.3000 handle. That price was resistance multiple times in March, but it wasn't until the next month that prices were able to finally sustain a push above the big figure. It wasn't exactly a clean trend, especially considering the sell-off on April 4th, which broke through a number of supports; but the response that was intense as GBP/USD jumped back-above 1.3000 and ran all the way into 1.3250.
Which presents us with the current scenario...
Wednesday brought an indecision candle right at that psychological level and so far today on Thursday, there's more indecision showing. This doesn't necessarily portend reversal but it does highlight that bulls may want to try to be patient here and look for a pullback.
For support, both the Fibonacci level at 1.3105 and the psychological level at 1.3000 were resistance on the way up but have yet to show support after the breakout. Bulls holding higher-lows at either of those spots keeps the door open for continuation into longer-term resistance around Fibonacci levels at 1.3328 and 1.3414. - js