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GBP/USD Mini

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GBPUSD.1.MINI trade ideas

UPDATE ON GBP/USD TRADEGBP/USD 1H - Morning people, I hope you are all okay. As you can see price has played out again very well during the Asian session. I believe we will see our TP achieved by the end of todays NY. With price setting new highs and lows above our entry I believe we safe to move our SL to breakeven to avoid taking any losses from this position. A reversal here would mean longer term bearishness anyways. This trade is currently running + 152 pips. (+ 6.4%) 6.4RR A big well done to those of you who jumped in on this trade, if you have any questions with regards to the analysis or the position itself then please drop me a message or comment below and I will get back to you as soon as possible. Ensure you are managing your trades correctly. I have gone ahead and moved my SL to Entry and I have also taken another partial to bank profits and remove any unwanted risk.
Long
by Lukegforex
GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D16 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D16 Y25 Thoughts- It's not if, it's WHEN ! All longs are null until the weekly order block has been breached or price drops considerably. In the here and now the short seems to be closing in. It is as always important to stack confluences in favour of the short prior risking capital. 15' break of structure is an absolute requirement as this point of price action. Within the higher time frame order block- looking for a lower time frame order block is not enough to short from therefore scrolling back months to find is pointless in our opinion. We will let price show us, we will reaction with price. What are your thoughts... Are we dropping today? FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D15 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D15 Y25 Morning Traders! Let's await price action to tap into the weekly order block! From then on, eyes open for 15' breaks of structure. Ensure that key higher low areas and double doubles for potential longs are broken before looking to short a fairly strong looking pound! We simply await the pull back into s 15' order block that should be created post bearish move we have spoken of above. Upon the turn around in price action, we can be satisfied the bullish trend has exhaust somewhat. Let's await the setup. No positions on GBPUSD until the above. FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
4
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 14, 2025 GBPUSDThe initial market reaction to US President Donald Trump's decision last week to suspend sweeping reciprocal tariffs for 90 days was short-lived amid heightened fears of a US recession amid an escalating trade war between the US and China. China's 84 per cent tariffs on US goods went into effect on Thursday, and Trump raised duties on Chinese imports to an unprecedented 145 per cent. Given that the US still imports a number of hard-to-replace materials from China, these developments have weakened confidence in the US economy. Meanwhile, data released last week showed that the US consumer price index (CPI) declined 0.1% in March, while core CPI rose +2.8% year-on-year, below consensus forecasts. In fact, markets are now pricing in the likelihood of a 90 basis point rate cut before the end of this year. Conversely, investors believe the likelihood of a Bank of England (BoE) interest rate cut next month is slightly less likely. The aforementioned favourable fundamental backdrop supports a positive outlook for spot prices in the near term, although bulls seem reluctant to make aggressive bets and prefer to wait for important UK macro releases. Tuesday will see the release of the all-important monthly employment report, followed by the latest consumer inflation data on Wednesday. In addition, this week investors will be keeping an eye on the release of monthly US retail sales data and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's speech, which will play a key role in influencing dollar price action. This, in turn, should give a significant impetus to the GBP/USD pair in the second half of the week. Trading recommendation: BUY 1.3130, SL 1.3010, TP 1.3310
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
GBPUSD, still going long. Analysis 4/16 10:06pm I entered long at 1.32274, and as of April 16, 2025, at 10:00 PM, GBP/USD is trading at 1.32150, meaning I’m currently down 12.4 pips. Trade Analysis GBP/USD broke below 1.3225, which was acting as a support level earlier. Bearish momentum has increased, but the next key support at 1.3205 might offer buyers a chance to defend the price. The pair failed to push above 1.3245 resistance, meaning sellers are still in control at this stage. Technical Indicators RSI is near 31.90, suggesting the pair is close to oversold conditions and might attempt a bounce. Stochastic RSI at 15.29 confirms that downward pressure is slowing, but no clear reversal is seen yet. MACD remains negative, reinforcing weak momentum unless buyers step in soon. Upcoming Market Events Tomorrow’s U.S. Jobless Claims & Housing Data at 8:30 AM could impact GBP/USD significantly. If jobless claims rise and housing numbers disappoint, USD may weaken, helping my trade recover. If jobless claims remain low and housing holds up, USD could strengthen, pushing GBP/USD lower. Trade Decision: Hold or Close? Reasons to Hold: GBP/USD is near key support at 1.3205, which could trigger a bounce. Indicators show oversold conditions, meaning buyers might step in soon. A recovery above 1.3225 could bring price back toward 1.3245–1.3265. Reasons to Close: Breaking below 1.3205 could lead to further downside, possibly toward 1.3173. Momentum still favors USD, which could keep GBP/USD pressured. Failure to reclaim 1.3225 soon may signal continued weakness. Final Thoughts I’m closely watching 1.3205—if GBP/USD finds support there, I may hold the trade. If price keeps dropping, I’ll consider exiting to minimize losses. The next 10 hours will be critical with major U.S. economic data coming up, so I’ll adjust my strategy accordingly.
Long
by Sel_Ali
Riding the GBP/USD Bull: Can This Rally Hold? 4/16 1:16pmI entered long at 1.32274, and as of now, GBP/USD is trading at 1.32280, meaning I’m slightly in profit. Based on price action, the pair is consolidating, but the overall trend bias still suggests a bullish continuation. Technical Outlook Support Levels: 1.3225 – This level is very close to my entry and is acting as immediate support. If price holds above this zone, my trade remains valid. 1.3205 – This is a stronger support level where previous buying interest emerged. If GBP/USD dips here, I’ll watch for a potential bounce. Resistance Levels: 1.3265 – This level has been tested today, and price has struggled to break above it, making it a key short-term barrier. If GBP/USD clears it, bullish momentum could accelerate. 1.3295 – A more significant resistance level where selling pressure has emerged previously. If price reaches this zone, I’ll consider adjusting my position accordingly. Technical Indicators Confirming Price Action Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily timeframe is hovering around 62, indicating bullish momentum but not extreme overbought conditions. Moving Averages (like the 20-day EMA) continue to trend upward, supporting the bullish bias. Stochastic RSI on the 1-hour chart has cooled off slightly, suggesting a potential consolidation phase before another push higher. Fundamental Considerations UK Inflation came in weaker than expected (2.6%), which could limit GBP upside. US Retail Sales beat expectations across the board, signaling strong consumer demand and reinforcing USD strength. Powell’s speech in a few minutes is a major event—if he is hawkish, USD could gain strength and put downward pressure on GBP/USD. Trade Strategy Holding the long position: As long as GBP/USD holds above 1.3225, I’m comfortable keeping the trade open. A breakout above 1.3265 could signal the next bullish wave toward 1.3295. Final Thoughts Right now, my trade is still in a reasonable position, but the next few hours will be critical, especially with Powell’s speech approaching. If GBP/USD holds 1.3225 and clears 1.3265, my long position could continue to perform well.
Long
by Sel_Ali
The Day Ahead Key Economic Data Releases 🇺🇸 U.S. • March Retail Sales – Consumer spending trend, high market impact. • Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization – Signals strength of the manufacturing sector. • April NY Fed Services Index – Regional business activity snapshot. • NAHB Housing Market Index – Homebuilder sentiment. • Feb Business Inventories – Impacts GDP revisions. • Total Net TIC Flows – Foreign capital flows into U.S. assets. 🇨🇳 China • Q1 GDP – Key for global growth outlook. • March Industrial Production, Retail Sales, Home Prices, Property Investment – Domestic demand & real estate health. 🇬🇧 UK • March CPI & RPI, Feb House Price Index – Inflation indicators ahead of BoE moves. 🇯🇵 Japan • Feb Core Machine Orders – Business capex proxy. 🇮🇹 Italy / 🇪🇺 Eurozone • Feb Current Account Balances – External demand & capital flow indicators. 🇳🇿 New Zealand • Q1 CPI – Inflation print crucial for RBNZ rate expectations. ________________________________________ Central Banks • 🇨🇦 Bank of Canada Rate Decision – Watch for policy tone amid inflation shifts. • 🇺🇸 Fed Speakers: Powell, Cook, Hammack – Any hints on rate cuts or economic outlook closely watched. ________________________________________ Earnings to Watch • Tech & Industrials: ASML, Sandvik, Sartorius • Healthcare: Abbott Laboratories • Transport & Real Estate: Prologis, CSX • Financials: US Bancorp, Nordea • Consumer: Heineken • Materials: Alcoa High-impact guidance or surprises could trigger sector moves. ________________________________________ Bond Auctions • 🇺🇸 US 20-Year Bond Auction – Monitor for demand; impacts yields and USD. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation