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British Pound vs US Dollar

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GBPUSD.P trade ideas

gbpusdBelow is a step-by-step analysis of the GBP/USD chart you shared, applying the integrated strategy (Markttechnik structure, Heiken Ashi confirmation, liquidity sweeps, and inducement). --- 1. Higher-Time-Frame Context (If Available) Although the screenshot only shows a 15-minute (M15) view, the Markttechnik approach typically begins by checking a higher time frame (H1, H4, or Daily) to confirm the overall trend. Without that info, well focus on the visible structure in your screenshot and assume a relatively range-bound or chopn M15 From the screenshot, there are several labeled swing points (Point 1, Point 2, Point 3), indicating how price is moving between support and resistance levels: 1. Upward Swings to ~1.299 Price seems to push into the 1.299 - 1.3000 zone multiple times, forming potential liquidity above these highs. 2. Downward Swings to ~1.289 - 1.290 Each time price drops, it finds some support around 1.290, suggesting liquidity pockets or demand near that level. Overall, the chart looks like its oscillating between these swing highs and lows, creating a short-term range. --- 3. Heiken Ashi Candle Clues Heiken Ashi candles can smooth out noise: Bullish Phase: Consecutive green candles heading toward 1.299. Bearish Phase: Consecutive red candles after failing to break above 1.299 convincingly. From the screenshot, the most recent move seems bearish (red Heiken Ashi candles) after the pair failed to hold above 1.2951.296. --- 4. Liquidity and Inducement Analysis 1. Liquidity Above 1.299 Those highs near 1.2991.3000 represent a potential liquidity pool. Each time price approaches this area, sellers stop-losses (and buyer breakout orders) may cluster above. 2. Liquidity Below 1.290 Price has revisited ~1.2891.290. Any move below this area could trigger stops from buyers, offering a sweep scenario if price dips and reverses. 3. Inducement / False Breakouts Notice the wicks or brief pushes above ~1.299 that fail to continue higher. This can be an inducement to trap buyers expecting a breakout. After failing to push higher, price reverses and drops quickly. --- 5. Potential Trade Ideas Scenario A: Short After Liquidity Sweep Above 1.299 1. Setup Price attempts to break 1.299, forms a final push (liquidity grab), then produces a red Heiken Ashi candle that closes back below 1.299. 2. Entry Once a strong bearish Heiken Ashi candle closes below the high, indicating a false breakout, enter a short position. 3. Stop Loss Above the recent liquidity sweep (slightly above 1.3000). 4. Take Profit At or near the 1.290 support area (or even lower if you see momentum). Scenario B: Long After Liquidity Sweep Below 1.290 1. Setup If price breaks below ~1.290, you watch for a false breakdown. A quick rejection with a strong bullish Heiken Ashi close back above 1.290 can signal the sweep is complete. 2. Entry Go long when a bullish Heiken Ashi candle confirms a rebound above the liquidity zone. 3. Stop Loss Below the recent low (slightly under 1.289 or the lowest wick). 4. Take Profit Near the 1.299 resistance or previous swing highs for a 2:1 (or better) reward-to-risk ratio. --- 6. Markttechnik Point 1, 2, 3 Perspective Based on your labeling: Point 1 / Point 2 / Point 3 could mark successive swings (higher highs or lower highs/lows). Each Point 3 might be where the market turns after failing to break a prior level, or it could be your next decision zone. In a ranging environment, these points help you see the oscillation between support (demand) and resistance (supply). A trade signal would trigger when the market sweeps one of these points and then clearly reverses. --- 7. Putting It All Together 1. Identify Key Zones 1.290 (support & liquidity) 1.2991.300 (resistance & liquidity) 2. Look for Sweeps Watch for price to poke above/below these zones and then close back inside. 3. Heiken Ashi Confirmation Enter on a Heiken Ashi candle that confirms the reversal. Consecutive red for short, consecutive green for long. 4. Risk Management Stops outside the liquidity sweep, targets at least 2:1. 5. Execution Given the current screenshot, the market recently turned down from near 1.2951.296. You could wait to see if it sweeps below 1.290 for a potential buy, or if it returns to ~1.299 for a potential sell. --- Conclusion Short-Term Bias: Slightly bearish after failing to break above 1.2961.299. Potential Long Setup: If price dips below 1.290 and quickly reverses (false breakdown). Potential Short Setup: If price rallies again to 1.2991.300 and fails (false breakout). By monitoring liquidity sweeps around these key zones and confirming direction with Heiken Ashi candles, you can apply your combined strategy for entries, stops, and profit targets.
Short
by Nashvillera
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 1, 2025 GBPUSDOn Monday, the GBP/USD pair was traversing the charts in familiar territory, passing a familiar accumulation zone as investors awaited the latest iteration of US President Donald Trump's tariff threats. The Trump administration intends to enact a broad catalog of tariffs against virtually all US trading partners starting April 2. Specific details of the Trump administration's tariff plans this week remain vague and elusive, but the main tariff threats remain “retaliatory” tariffs on all countries that have their own tariffs on imports of U.S. goods, regardless of the economic context. Retaliatory tariffs on Canada and the European Union are also expected, as well as additional flat tariffs on copper and automobiles. The UK economic data release schedule remains loose this week, however, fresh US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) employment data is due out later this week. The release of NFP could be an important factor for the markets as the US economy transitions into a post-tariff economic environment, and the March labor data will serve as an “indicator” of the impact of the Trump team's tariff plans. Trading recommendation: SELL 1.29250, SL 1.30000, TP 1.28650
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
GBP/USD Technical & Fundamental AnalysisThis chart presents a long (buy) trade setup on GBP/USD (British Pound to US Dollar) 30-minute timeframe. Technical Analysis 1. Entry & Stop Loss (SL) 🛑 Entry Zone: 1.29050 - 1.29100 (Purple Support Area) Stop Loss: Below 1.28850 (Red Box) 2. Target Zones 🎯 Target 1: 1.29300 – Minor resistance, suitable for first take-profit (TP1). Target 2: 1.29500 – Stronger resistance level. Target 3: 1.29700 – Major resistance area, final take-profit (TP3). 3. Market Structure & Price Action 📈 The price reacted to the entry zone, a support level. A retest of previous demand zones before potential bullish continuation. Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR): Favorable, as upside potential is greater than downside risk. Bullish Confirmation: If price holds above the 1.29050 zone, an upward move is likely. Recent Fundamental Factors Affecting GBP/USD 1. UK Economic Data 🇬🇧 UK GDP Growth: Slower growth than expected, but still in positive territory. Bank of England (BoE) Policy: No immediate rate cuts, keeping GBP stable. UK Inflation: Still above target, supporting a stronger GBP. 2. US Economic Data 🇺🇸 Federal Reserve (Fed) Policy: Mixed signals from the Fed—some officials hint at rate cuts later this year. If the Fed pauses or cuts rates, GBP/USD could rise. US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) Data: Expected to show job market resilience. A strong NFP could push USD higher, pressuring GBP/USD. US GDP Data: Slower-than-expected growth could weaken USD, helping GBP. 3. Market Sentiment 🌍 Risk-On vs. Risk-Off: If investors shift to risk-on sentiment (buying stocks, GBP), GBP/USD could move higher. If risk-off sentiment dominates (buying USD as a safe haven), GBP/USD may struggle. Conclusion & Trading Plan ✅ Buy near 1.29050 - 1.29100 with SL below 1.28850. ✅ Take Profits: TP1 (1.29300), TP2 (1.29500), TP3 (1.29700). ✅ Monitor: US economic data, Fed rate expectations, and risk sentiment.
Long
by xxChartWhizxx
New Update Of GBPUSD 1 H Time frameHere’s an advanced technical insight: --- 1. Structure Analysis The chart demonstrates a bullish structure in the GBP/USD 1-hour timeframe, characterized by: Higher Highs and Higher Lows: The price is respecting an ascending channel, indicating sustained bullish momentum. The Support 1 level (~1.2600) has transitioned from resistance to support, confirming a breakout and potential continuation of the uptrend. --- 2. Supertrend Confirmation (10, 3) The Supertrend indicator aligns with the bullish bias as the price is above the green Supertrend line. Supertrend crossover (red to green) indicates a potential reversal in momentum, which occurred earlier in the demand zone. --- 3. Demand and Support Levels Support 1 (~1.2600): A critical intraday level, likely to act as a short-term pivot point for bulls. If retested, it could provide an opportunity for re-entry. Demand Zone (1.2400–1.2500): A broader accumulation zone based on historical price reactions and the swing low, providing stronger support in case of a deeper correction. --- 4. Price Action within the Ascending Channel The pair is trading in a tight ascending channel, with clear upper and lower boundaries. The midline of the channel can act as dynamic support/resistance. The dashed arrow projection suggests that bulls may target the channel’s upper resistance (~1.2700). --- 5. Probable Scenarios Bullish Scenario: If the price sustains above Support 1 and remains inside the ascending channel, expect continuation toward: Short-Term Target: 1.2650 (minor resistance). Mid-Term Target: 1.2700 (channel resistance). Bearish Scenario: A break below the ascending channel’s lower boundary (~1.2600) could invalidate the bullish bias. Potential downside levels: 1.2550 (local horizontal support). 1.2500–1.2400 (Demand Zone). --- 6. Trade Ideas Long Setup Entry: Wait for a pullback to Support 1 (~1.2600) or channel lower boundary. Target: 1.2650, 1.2700. Stop Loss: Below 1.2580 (to avoid being caught in a false breakout). Short Setup (Countertrend): Entry: If price breaks below the channel (~1.2600). Target: 1.2550, then 1.2500. Stop Loss: Above 1.2635 (to account for a false breakout). --- 7. Risk Management Use proper risk-to-reward ratios (minimum 1:2). Position sizing is critical; align trades with your account's risk tolerance.
by mrsagarfx
GBPUSD Bullish breakout retestThe GBPUSD currency pair price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action appears to be a sideways consolidation towards the previous resistance. The key trading level is at 1.2940 level, the previous consolidation price range. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 1.2940 level could target the upside resistance at 1.2994 followed by the 1.3070 and 1.3123 levels over the longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 1.2940 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 1.2866 support level followed by 1.2813 and 1.2740. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
The Day Ahead Key Economic Data & Events – March 31 US: Chicago PMI, Dallas Fed manufacturing index China: Official PMIs (Manufacturing & Services) UK: Lloyds Business Barometer, Consumer Credit, M4 (Money Supply) Japan: Industrial Production, Retail Sales, Housing Starts Germany: CPI, Retail Sales, Import Prices Italy: CPI Central Banks: ECB’s Panetta & Villeroy speak Relevance to Trading: US, China, and Germany data impact equities, bonds, and FX (USD, CNY, EUR). Inflation data (CPI) from Germany & Italy could influence ECB policy expectations. PMI & industrial production data provide insights into global economic health. ECB speakers may signal policy direction, affecting EUR volatility.
by TradeNation
GBP/USD Trade Setup: Targeting Wave 5 Extension to 1.3292Hey traders! GBP/USD is showing a beautiful impulsive structure, and it looks like we’re in the early stages of Wave 5. Based on the current Elliott Wave count, we have a clear setup with defined risk and a compelling reward. Setup Breakdown: Wave 1 and Wave 3 have completed. Price is now pushing out of a consolidation that likely marks Wave 4. The projected target for Wave 5, based on the 5 vs 1+3 Fibonacci extension, is sitting at 1.3292. Trade Idea: Entry: Current price (around 1.2907–1.2942 range). Stop Loss: Below the previous Wave 4 low (a safe invalidation level). Take Profit: 1.3292 (61.8% extension of Wave 1 + Wave 3). Why This Trade Makes Sense: Elliott Wave structure is clean and impulsive. Alternation is respected: Wave 2 and Wave 4 differ in form. Fib extension confluence adds extra conviction. Defined entry and stop make risk management straightforward. Risk Management Tip: Always risk only a small percentage of your account—structure the position size so your stop loss aligns with your risk tolerance. If price starts pushing impulsively, especially with higher volume, that could be the confirmation that Wave 5 is in motion. Stay sharp, manage your risk, and let the waves guide your trade!
Long
by TheSignalService
GBP/USD Today - News Supports Short-Term Uptrend💢💢💢 GBP/USD news : ➡️The GBP/USD pair surged sharply to nearly 1.2965 during Asian trading hours on Monday. Concerns that U.S. President Donald Trump's tariffs could drive inflation and slow economic growth have put pressure on the U.S. dollar (USD), acting as a catalyst for the major currency pair. ➡️ Last week, Trump announced a 25% tariff on imported cars and light trucks, effective April 3. This measure follows a 25% tariff on steel and aluminum and the upcoming announcement of retaliatory tariffs by Trump on Wednesday. Many analysts are worried that these tariffs will have a negative impact on the U.S. economy, potentially limiting the Federal Reserve's ability to cut interest rates while also increasing inflation in the coming months. As a result, this could weaken the USD further, boosting the GBP/USD pair in the near future. Personal opinion: ➡️ Current news is supportive for GBP/USD in the short term. DXY is also having its third consecutive losing streak, further strengthening this pair. ➡️ Analysis based on resistance - support levels and Fibonacci combined with SMA to come up with a suitable strategy Plan: 🔆Price Zone Setup: 👉 Buy GBP/USD 1.2940 – 1.2930 ❌SL: 1.2900 | ✅TP: 1.2980– 1.3010 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Long
by FM-ForexMastermind
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